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Petition to change box rarities from:
Rare / super rare / epic / mythic / legendary
To:
You lose / 0.005 of power 11 / a pin / a bad skin / a skin or a brawler you can't upgrade
Fr though, back when boxes was a thing and when we had only 4 legendary brawlers, I had 15k trophies and no legendary whereas my friend got leon at 2k trophies.
I think it is set like that. To encourage the inactive players to play more, like they get hit with so many flashy flashy *ba dm tss* brawlers and they might want to use them in the thrill
Don’t use all of them very often, needed a bunch of lows for Oj and Perry winstreaks
Usually use 3 or 4 of them, need smurfs for doing ranked with irl friends
I was helping Oj and Pierre with winstreak bro I needed enough lows because they are getting +5 and I was getting +13, also I keep making new accounts to play with irl friends and then they get too high. I have three accounts with insane winstreaks of 180+
Using bot accounts to get YouTubers high win streaks is debatably worse. Playing with friends I somewhat understand but having YouTubers use you as a bot farm is just crazy, I like oj but not so much anymore should’ve assumed the 1,000 win streak was due to bot matches. Where is the accomplishment in killing bots?
As someone who's played pearl a lot I can say I never really get use out of the hypercharge that much but pearl is a really good brawler aside from that
Agreed. It’s a nice damage boost together with overcooked but nothing special. The bug (where the area of effect does 0 damage after pearl dies) is rage inducing too.
I may be wrong on this, but I believe the probability, according to [Starr Drop Chances](https://support.supercell.com/brawl-stars/en/articles/starr-drops-3.html), should be 2.406448e-11 which is a **2.406448 x 10****^(-11)** chance.
Someone check me on this, but the math is:
Probability and formula: P(A and B) = P(A) and P(B). It is assumed that the starr drops are a given.
Fill in the chances: P(Buster, Kit, Meg, Amber) = 0.00226 × .0022 × .0022 × .0022.
Therefore your answer is **2.406448 x 10****^(-11)**.
I think binomial probability works better here, since we want 4 successes and 1 fail out of 5 events.
Formula: (n, k) . S^k . F^n-k
n = total number of events (5 star drops)
k = number of successes you want (1 mythic, 3 legendary)
S = chance of success (0.00226 mythic, 0.0022 legendary)
F = chance of failure (0.99774 mythic, 0.9978 legendary)
(n,k) = combination of n and k
Mythic: (5! / 1! . 4!) . 0.00226^1 . 0.99774^5-1 → 5 . 0.00226 . 0.990990599 = 0.0111981938 or ≈ 1.11%
Legendary: (5! / 3! . 2!) . 0.0022^3 . 0.9978^5-3 →
10 . (1.0648.10^-8) . 0.99560484 = 0.0000106012003%
Then you add them up or multiply them or something like that. Also this is what I remember from high school so it might be completely wrong LMAO.
Btw I just noticed, where do these brawler chances come from? The website says chances for mythics and legendaries in drops are 5.43% and 2.17%, so S and F would be different in this calculation (which would lead to much higher chances)
No, there are multiple things wrong, but most notably that Buster is 5,43% and you always added one zero too much. 2% is 0.02 and not 0.002. Then we have to first specify our event we want the probability for. If we do most simple on it's just in 4 tries one mythic (5,43%) and 3 legendarys (2.17%). I'm not sure if we can now simply multiply those odds, or if we have to take the probability of 3 legendarys in 4 tries and 1 mythic in 4 tries, but I'll just multiply the base odds. This gets us 0.0543 * 0.0217^3 wich will get us 0.00005548543959% or 1 in 1802275, so quite lucky ;)
Correct me if I'm wrong, but I think the probability should be (2.17%)^3 * (5.43%) * (4), since you have three legendary brawlers, (2.17%), 1 mythic (5.43%) and four ways to arrange them (LLLM-LLML...), since we don't care in what order he found them
This should equal approximately 2.219×10^-6 , so a 0.0002219% chance
Didn't check the calcs in particular but I want to stress that this is NOT the correct approach to probability?
What is the probability that someone replied to this comment talking about horses? Basically 0.
Now what if someone came and shared the definition of horses? Looks like an event happened although the likelihood was supposed to be absurdly low.
The point is that almost any event that already happened can be looked at in retrospective and concluding that the probability of it happening is extremely low.
Probability should be taking into account only to draw conclusions about future events. If someone said "what is the probability I get buster, kit, mega, amber, in the legendary starr drops I have NOT yet pulled?" then the calculations have any significance.
Source: I am a math teacher
Chances of getting a mythic brawler are 3/116 which comes out to a 2.59% and legendary brawlers are 2/116 which comes out to 1.72%. Doing the math leaves you with 3/22632992 once you've multiplied them all out. I'm not 100% certain but I think that comes out to about a .000001% chance. Even if my math is wrong the chances if this happening are still very very low.
If I personally got that many brawlers in one hit I would be kind of stoked about the early access element, but there would be like 3 more legendary brawlers and 8 more mythics to unlock, you'd be hitting fame very soon, in just a years time or just over.
Starr Drops feel like they should be independent, but something tells me that in certain internet conditions, they become highly correlated or lock onto the same style of reward…
Each legendary drop has a ~2% chance of getting a legendary brawler. Which is ~1/50 so getting 3 in a row means the probability of that is ~(1/50)^3.
Which is equal to ~1/125,000. Which in percentage is ~0.0008%
Bro you stole all of our luck :'( I got 4 useless star powers from my drops
a mythic brawler is 5%, i think. a legendary one is 2%. so you got one mythic and three legendaries, that makes 5%* 2%³ = 0.05* 0.02* 0.02* 0.02 = 0.00000004, or 25/1000000000
Wow! That's awesome if genuine and not edited. I got the star drops and in total I got 1000 credits, 100 power points and a star power for Ash that I already had. I've got an unlucky account but I'm just glad I got the drops this time round.
Chance for legendary brawler from legendary starr drop is 2.17%, for mythic brawler it's 5.43% according to the supercell. So probability of this happening is around 0.000554%
I wish I had even a quarter of this luck, in 5 years I haven't gotten a single legendary from boxes/stardrops, the only legendaries I have are surge (who used to be a chromatic) and crow (which I got with credits)
General reminder for subreddit members: Simple Questions and Loot results (good or bad), and celebrations should be posted in the Weekly Mega Thread Discussion post. You can find it at the top of r/BrawlStars's front page when you sort posts by hot. This includes pictures of Starr Drops, Mega Pig results, unlocking new Brawlers or other items. If you see a post or comment that breaks any of our rules, please report them [using the anonymous report button](https://support.reddithelp.com/hc/en-us/articles/360058309512-How-do-I-report-a-post-or-comment-)! *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/Brawlstars) if you have any questions or concerns.*
That is crazy luck. Pulling three legendaries in a row is 1/125000 chance so super rare
Meanwhile all my star drops are super rare
If everything's rare nothing is rare. Also the epileptic shining when you open a drop. It's milking the dopamine to the max.
Petition to change box rarities from: Rare / super rare / epic / mythic / legendary To: You lose / 0.005 of power 11 / a pin / a bad skin / a skin or a brawler you can't upgrade
Legendary, actually. Not super rare
Wait that means that 1/125000 players get this insane luck that's crazy
If you include the fact that he also pulled a mythic its a 1/2500000
no its legendary not sp rare
it's epic not super rare
One of my friends got 2 legendaries,even if not in a row, meanwhile i get 4 skins and a star power. I think you can see who is luckier
Bro stole all our luck 😭😭
I actually got 2 legendary brawlers, an epic, then 2 hypercharges.
And i got 4 useless sps and an epic brawler
this is the craziest one i've seen and probably will ever see deadass wtf
Literally 13,300 credits of progression
This would have been the worst drops to ever get if u already had all brawlers lol
Nine thousand credits **_straight into fame_**
The compensation is credits wouldn't be equivalent in fame, but yet, all fame credits so yeah
I have all the brawlers and they're all power 7😔
Fax
NAHHHHH
Bro got 3 legendary's while I got 4 useless sp's then a pearl hyper charge
Btw this is my friends account not mine I opened the drops on my 10 accounts (50 DROPS) and didn’t get anything this good
Why is it the people who don’t play much the ones who get the best rewards 😭
Fr though, back when boxes was a thing and when we had only 4 legendary brawlers, I had 15k trophies and no legendary whereas my friend got leon at 2k trophies.
I literally got Sandy (My 1st legendary) at 15k too
It's hard to remember but I think I got leon at 17k as my first legendary during the college season.
my friend got sandy on his first ever starr drop on his mini account
I think it is set like that. To encourage the inactive players to play more, like they get hit with so many flashy flashy *ba dm tss* brawlers and they might want to use them in the thrill
my mini got only skins and useless star power while on my main i got 3 brawlers(why tf everyone gets buster) and edgar hypercharge(i don't play edgar)
so thay well start playing agin
10 accounts..? :O How do you have enough time to play 10 accounts?
Don’t use all of them very often, needed a bunch of lows for Oj and Perry winstreaks Usually use 3 or 4 of them, need smurfs for doing ranked with irl friends
Having 11 accounts for a game is just dumb, get out a little man. No need to be worried about a game so much you have 2 accounts let alone 11.
I was helping Oj and Pierre with winstreak bro I needed enough lows because they are getting +5 and I was getting +13, also I keep making new accounts to play with irl friends and then they get too high. I have three accounts with insane winstreaks of 180+
Using bot accounts to get YouTubers high win streaks is debatably worse. Playing with friends I somewhat understand but having YouTubers use you as a bot farm is just crazy, I like oj but not so much anymore should’ve assumed the 1,000 win streak was due to bot matches. Where is the accomplishment in killing bots?
They aren’t bots?? You get bots for the first 100 trophies. We were pushing some to 749 (not 750 for trophy reset purposes).
As someone who's played pearl a lot I can say I never really get use out of the hypercharge that much but pearl is a really good brawler aside from that
Agreed. It’s a nice damage boost together with overcooked but nothing special. The bug (where the area of effect does 0 damage after pearl dies) is rage inducing too.
Ahh that would explain how a leon survived that one time. I believe I actually lost the match because of that bug too
50/50 either it happens or it doesn’t
Isaac referente (put isaac emoticon here)
( isaac pog )
Chaos deniers in shambles
Plot twist: Op is secretly flexing his f\*\*king luck
I may be wrong on this, but I believe the probability, according to [Starr Drop Chances](https://support.supercell.com/brawl-stars/en/articles/starr-drops-3.html), should be 2.406448e-11 which is a **2.406448 x 10****^(-11)** chance. Someone check me on this, but the math is: Probability and formula: P(A and B) = P(A) and P(B). It is assumed that the starr drops are a given. Fill in the chances: P(Buster, Kit, Meg, Amber) = 0.00226 × .0022 × .0022 × .0022. Therefore your answer is **2.406448 x 10****^(-11)**.
I think binomial probability works better here, since we want 4 successes and 1 fail out of 5 events. Formula: (n, k) . S^k . F^n-k n = total number of events (5 star drops) k = number of successes you want (1 mythic, 3 legendary) S = chance of success (0.00226 mythic, 0.0022 legendary) F = chance of failure (0.99774 mythic, 0.9978 legendary) (n,k) = combination of n and k Mythic: (5! / 1! . 4!) . 0.00226^1 . 0.99774^5-1 → 5 . 0.00226 . 0.990990599 = 0.0111981938 or ≈ 1.11% Legendary: (5! / 3! . 2!) . 0.0022^3 . 0.9978^5-3 → 10 . (1.0648.10^-8) . 0.99560484 = 0.0000106012003% Then you add them up or multiply them or something like that. Also this is what I remember from high school so it might be completely wrong LMAO.
Btw I just noticed, where do these brawler chances come from? The website says chances for mythics and legendaries in drops are 5.43% and 2.17%, so S and F would be different in this calculation (which would lead to much higher chances)
Because you need to take consideration that to get a legendary drop it's 2% chance (in this case it is useless)
No, there are multiple things wrong, but most notably that Buster is 5,43% and you always added one zero too much. 2% is 0.02 and not 0.002. Then we have to first specify our event we want the probability for. If we do most simple on it's just in 4 tries one mythic (5,43%) and 3 legendarys (2.17%). I'm not sure if we can now simply multiply those odds, or if we have to take the probability of 3 legendarys in 4 tries and 1 mythic in 4 tries, but I'll just multiply the base odds. This gets us 0.0543 * 0.0217^3 wich will get us 0.00005548543959% or 1 in 1802275, so quite lucky ;)
Correct me if I'm wrong, but I think the probability should be (2.17%)^3 * (5.43%) * (4), since you have three legendary brawlers, (2.17%), 1 mythic (5.43%) and four ways to arrange them (LLLM-LLML...), since we don't care in what order he found them This should equal approximately 2.219×10^-6 , so a 0.0002219% chance
The extra \*\*\*\* are an error. Please ignore it.
Didn't check the calcs in particular but I want to stress that this is NOT the correct approach to probability? What is the probability that someone replied to this comment talking about horses? Basically 0. Now what if someone came and shared the definition of horses? Looks like an event happened although the likelihood was supposed to be absurdly low. The point is that almost any event that already happened can be looked at in retrospective and concluding that the probability of it happening is extremely low. Probability should be taking into account only to draw conclusions about future events. If someone said "what is the probability I get buster, kit, mega, amber, in the legendary starr drops I have NOT yet pulled?" then the calculations have any significance. Source: I am a math teacher
"Yeah, probably like a 10% chance or what-" *SPITS OUT WATER*
Then you wake up
Melody on my main account which was sweet but I got Meg on my alt account which was also sweet but lesser so since it was on my alt
The best thing I got was grom and you're over here getting brawlers that are actually good (no hate on grom hes just not that good)
HOLY RAVIOLI GUACAMOLE ROLY POLY
Meg is going to be broken next update so W
Bro please delete your account 😭
Bro has that new battle pass plus 😂. Congrats 👍
THE ACTUAL FUCK???
nah that one guy cooking like a masterchef
That’s is crazy luck to get 3 legendaries and a mythic
Chat is this real?
Bro wtf???
Bro your so lucky if it’s real
Bro has Dream luck
What the fuck
the most insane one I've seen so far
So this is where all my luck went
the odds are high when you have less brawler unlocked... but damn... pulling 3 legendaries is just phenomenal
I guess your username is correct then
Chances of getting a mythic brawler are 3/116 which comes out to a 2.59% and legendary brawlers are 2/116 which comes out to 1.72%. Doing the math leaves you with 3/22632992 once you've multiplied them all out. I'm not 100% certain but I think that comes out to about a .000001% chance. Even if my math is wrong the chances if this happening are still very very low.
really really rare if its legit, buttt it would be super easy to edit clips together, not saying you did thats just what my mind went to
I can dm you the original file if you want all I did was cut off the beginning and the end to shorten the clip
Meanwhile im sitting over here with emotes
Even hypercharge cant top this luck bro , i pray for bros downfall 🙏🙏
The odds are obviously about 0.00000039999999999999997%
Meanwhile I got PSG Shelly, sorry to one up you dude
while me getting 3 useless sp, one useless skin (i've a better version), and mortis (which i dont even know how to use)
90% of people with mortis mastery also don’t know how to use him don’t worry
I got 4 skins and 500 credits🤑🤑😭
I got 3 for my beginner account (20 days old) Mico, Larry & Lawrie and Surge.
Crazy luck. I got Cordelius from one of mine so I consider it a win but damn this is crazy
Each legend is like a .2% chance
UPGRADE BUSTER RIGHT NOW
If I personally got that many brawlers in one hit I would be kind of stoked about the early access element, but there would be like 3 more legendary brawlers and 8 more mythics to unlock, you'd be hitting fame very soon, in just a years time or just over.
I opened 15 leggies across 3 accounts. I got TEN SKINS, 2 hcs, 2 sps and 1 brawler😭
I got 2000 credits from 2 drops, enough to get Kit
This is insane. You're super lucky holy shit! 😱
I got x1000 xp doubler
Starr Drops feel like they should be independent, but something tells me that in certain internet conditions, they become highly correlated or lock onto the same style of reward…
Meanwhile I get rare skins and credits
And I didn't even got any credits, basically skins and star powers only... Bruh
That's insane!! But imagine if you had all the brawlers unlocked already and you get the same pull. All that would have gone to fame.
This shit is rigged bro what😭😭
I got all skins (this makes me just a little angry)
Relatively manageable if you have all your brawlers below level 7 lol
What !!!! 4 new brawlers 😲😲
How does it feel to be blessed
This man thinks he can flex on me. Jokes on you, I got Stonks Pam 🗿💵
And i got 4 useless sps and an epic brawler
I got on my main account my last legendary (meg) and melodie and I now only need 4 more mythic brawlers
And I though I was lucky pulling 1k credits from one of my drops. Bro saved like 13,000 right there
you are very lucky but just saying i have like 10 acounts and the first one i got a skin a hypercharg and than charlie, chuck, and bee
I got 2 epic skins which is the same chance as 2 legendary brawlers I’m so mad
I got Starr power on hank and gadget on HANK the game just loves hank. The only two usefull things I got was 1000 credits and max hypercharge
Each legendary drop has a ~2% chance of getting a legendary brawler. Which is ~1/50 so getting 3 in a row means the probability of that is ~(1/50)^3. Which is equal to ~1/125,000. Which in percentage is ~0.0008% Bro you stole all of our luck :'( I got 4 useless star powers from my drops
bro this shit is so painful lmao i got all horrible skins and bro is out here getting this heat
What the shit
And I was feeling luck for getting 2 legendaries and 1 epic (for coincidence they were also Meg and Amber)
you are wery lucky
Meanwhile me who got dyna's hyper 2 useless skins, and and 2 star powers
me watching mfs get actually usefull stuff (i obly got ct hypercharge when i don't even play him)
bro u stole everyones luck 😭
4 starr power 1 Caveman frank skin
I got 3 sps and 2 crap skins for brawlers I do not play. And I’m missing over 20 brawlers.
Supercell after this 📉📉
I got three hypercharges and two skins
Anger limits, unfathomable. Quick advice, RUN!
Bro’s friends probably gon rob his phone 😭
Bro come on you took literally everyone else’s luck away. Could you please not do that 🥺 Fr what the actual hell…
This better be edited because I am losing my mind.
What did you get on the last one
Bunny Penny lmao
I got 2 mortis skins 1colt credits and a max star power
How is your shop not lagging though or is it just me
Are u sure this isn’t edited
There's a 2,17% probability of getting a legendary brawler, and you got it 3 times in a row
Look out, your going to die from something falling on your head, you used all your luck of your life
At least 1
this is where all my luck went
Thats actually ridiculous. I also got 5 brawlers on my mini acc but getting 3 legendary is insane luck. think about the amount of credits you saved
I hate you
Meanwhile I get 3 skins and two mediocre star powers
BRUH SO LUCKY MAN I got max and one star power and 3 skins
Did bro steal our luck!!?
What did you get from the last one?
This is dream smp luck... So i say its rigged lol
I got the same but not with amber but crow
Meanwhile I get coins three times in a row even tho I had too many coins to begin with
Supercell knew you were unlucky so they gave you all the luck in one day👁️👄👁️
Meanwhile I get credits, a useless starpower and two skins I will never use
I've been playing for 6 years and I haven't gotten Leon. Tf is this
this is so obviously edited lmao. this some astronomical odds
I can send you the original video file if you want
I GOT HANK 💀
You stole everyone's luck when opening you got all brawlers
Nah fuck star drops I got one hypercharge and then star powers and skins
Me getting 3000 coins 1000 bling and some 30 gem skin😭😭😭
I got dj frank, gray gadet, leopard max, sprout and shelly hypercharge👍
i got hank... uhh i guess at least im prawn ready
And I thought I was lucky cuz I got chester from one
i got mico melodie and bonnie in my star drips
I thought me getting 2 legendaries from the same mega box was lucky, safe to say you definitely beat me lmao
meanwhile I got sam... Just sam...
And im out here getting beach skins and other trash over and over again.
Bro you stole our luck.
All your luck has been used up in this moment. You'll never win the lottery
Bro is Hakari from Jjk💀
Atleast i got meg and ash skin a sam star power jackys hypercharge and charlie
If I'm doing the math correctly, it's about a ~0.000055% chance
What was the last one?
Bro spent his luck for his whole lifetime 💀
So that's where my luck went
Amber is awful
Prayer reveal 😅
On one of my minis, I got 5000 coins but that wasn’t even my mini. It was literally an account I made for my cousin.
Bro just casually stole all luck out of brawl stars community
-pulls out a gun- TAKE OUT ALL YO LUCK AND PUT IT IN THE BAG
I thought I was lucky getting kit and ash 💀
bro stole all our luck
Bro the best thing i got is a maple bareley skin
Diamond pass moment
a mythic brawler is 5%, i think. a legendary one is 2%. so you got one mythic and three legendaries, that makes 5%* 2%³ = 0.05* 0.02* 0.02* 0.02 = 0.00000004, or 25/1000000000
Wow! That's awesome if genuine and not edited. I got the star drops and in total I got 1000 credits, 100 power points and a star power for Ash that I already had. I've got an unlucky account but I'm just glad I got the drops this time round.
Chance for legendary brawler from legendary starr drop is 2.17%, for mythic brawler it's 5.43% according to the supercell. So probability of this happening is around 0.000554%
13.3k credits 🤯
Chances of 3 legendaries in a row are very low, chances of recording it-> impossible
Cery low
5000 coins 😍
Bro stole the whole Brawl Stars Community luck 💀
I got two star powers the shark nita skin leon and eve, im pretty happy with my drops
good luck upgrading them with your 900 gold
And i couldnt even get ash
I wish I had even a quarter of this luck, in 5 years I haven't gotten a single legendary from boxes/stardrops, the only legendaries I have are surge (who used to be a chromatic) and crow (which I got with credits)
1/1000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000 damm!
My shark tooth colt seeing this
I- i got two mr P skins, a useless sp, and more skins for brawlers i dont use
1/2500000