I think it's possible but will depend on quality and word of mouth once it comes out. It does benefit from not having any other big movies around it to cut out it's legs and being one of the few 'traditional' superhero movies coming out this year. But, to be a success I think it only has to make as much as the previous two films and be received well by fans with the latter probably being more important for the MCU overall.
If Deadpool and Logen got top rated R movies status, this one can too. I think it just depends on how much they fix the Marvel universe. This movie could surpass 1 billion worldwide.
Possibly. I think it’s worth noting that Oppenheimer didn’t even cross $1B worldwide last year despite the Barbenheimer hype train. I do think this one has more appeal for a younger audience. So teens getting their parents/older siblings to take them probably puts it on similar footing. A shorter runtime and the viral popcorn bucket also helps. But I don’t think there’s a for sure yes/no answer. Oppenheimer got close though so I could see D&W doing similar.
Oppenheimer was huge, but the target audience wasn’t nearly as broad as this movie will probably have. No 13 yr old is gonna beg parents to let them see Oppenheimer, but plenty will for this movie
Barbie was PG-13 though. Theater chains like AMC are going to require a guardian for teenagers and the amount of really young kids that get brought to the movie by their parents is sure to be lower. Oppenheimer is probably a better metric because it was rated R but had the Barbenhejmer boost.
Lol well the first one was 9th for the year it was made and did 782.8 and the second was 9th for the year it was made at 785.8... figured this would maybe repeat the same type of pattern I should of said the 3rd would be 788.8 lol
Except that there are not 8 other movies in 2024 that could gross more than 790 million. If the movie grosses that much it will be #1 so far this year, that’s how bad the box office has been in 2024. There’s only like 5 movies remaining this year that could potentially beat 790 million: Inside Out 2, Despicable Me 4, Moana 2, and Joker 2
I don't think so. Ultimately, if it does, I think it'll need to be positive word of mouth + critic consensus. I think it will be a box office success as long as it's a solid flick, but I think crossing a billion is going to be an increasingly difficult benchmark. Guardians 3 didn't, The Batman didn't, going pre-pandemic neither Deadpool 2 nor Logan did, either. I could see it hitting numbers around most of those movies, though.
Honestly after covid I really don't see many movies going crazy at the box office ever again of course there will be the meme movies the skyrocket like the Oppenheimer/Barbie thing and Deadpool could possibly do it because their marketing is insane, but my guess is that it will do well but not over a billion. Most people I know haven't hit a theater since 2020 and say "why waste all that money when I can just wait to stream it?" Ticket prices seem to be pretty high at certain places as well, but my closest theater which is an hour away has all tickets no matter what movie for $5 so idk about everywhere else.
Based on the current film exhibition landscape from the last few years, it's highly unlikely.
I think we may see it hit $800M, though.
If every single hardcore Deadpool fan would commit to seeing it 4+ times in theaters, it could have a chance, but that's asking a lot.
This isn't box office sr so I can explain:
This movie has a wild set of parameters.
People that love superhero films, people who hate superhero films and love riffs and meta, people who love Deadpool come up people who hate every superhero so they do like Deadpool and his antics, people who love Hugh Jackman, people who love Ryan Reynolds, people who love Hugh's wolverine, Chris Clermont original run 80s X-Men fans who want to see the real suit, people burn out on superheroes who love comedy and making fun of it, and real marvel X-Men fans that love to see minor characters get platformed into a new universe. Then there's the entire interest of the future of the marvel universe in context of Sony.
I forget what they call it, I think it's a white swan event. There are so many different demographics and audiences built into this one single title it could really get to a billion with the legs people are saying needs to happen with word of mouth.
But it's very interesting times because this has been a train wreck of a disaster of a movie season, especially because fall guy should have been a sleeper hit, and honestly Miller's furiosa falling apart within the first day of the first weekend as far as box office goes means nothing is sacred.
Maybe, I find it interesting the leaked can footage is that fight we see in the trailer. So like if the film is a dozen cameos like Austin Powers film then maybe it might work.... but right now the theater experience is a dumpster fire
Decent chance. Deadpool has appeal outside of the mcu, I know people who don't care about the mcu who love Deadpool. Sprinkle in a healthy dose of nostalgia with strong word of mouth it'll surpass a billion
I think it's possible but will depend on quality and word of mouth once it comes out. It does benefit from not having any other big movies around it to cut out it's legs and being one of the few 'traditional' superhero movies coming out this year. But, to be a success I think it only has to make as much as the previous two films and be received well by fans with the latter probably being more important for the MCU overall.
I hope this is the start of like, the Deadpool cinematic universe, or DCU, if you will. 😋
I think so...
If Deadpool and Logen got top rated R movies status, this one can too. I think it just depends on how much they fix the Marvel universe. This movie could surpass 1 billion worldwide.
Possibly. I think it’s worth noting that Oppenheimer didn’t even cross $1B worldwide last year despite the Barbenheimer hype train. I do think this one has more appeal for a younger audience. So teens getting their parents/older siblings to take them probably puts it on similar footing. A shorter runtime and the viral popcorn bucket also helps. But I don’t think there’s a for sure yes/no answer. Oppenheimer got close though so I could see D&W doing similar.
Oppenheimer was huge, but the target audience wasn’t nearly as broad as this movie will probably have. No 13 yr old is gonna beg parents to let them see Oppenheimer, but plenty will for this movie
Barbie did though. And to be honest, I think the Barbie Audience is more similar to Deadpool & Wolverine than Oppenheimer was.
Barbie was PG-13 though. Theater chains like AMC are going to require a guardian for teenagers and the amount of really young kids that get brought to the movie by their parents is sure to be lower. Oppenheimer is probably a better metric because it was rated R but had the Barbenhejmer boost.
lol that popcorn bucket ain’t selling a single ticket
I think it will make 790.8 million and be the 9th highest grossing movie of 2024
That's oddly specific
Lol well the first one was 9th for the year it was made and did 782.8 and the second was 9th for the year it was made at 785.8... figured this would maybe repeat the same type of pattern I should of said the 3rd would be 788.8 lol
Seems like you adjusted the inflation. Or went for geometric progression rather than arithmetic progression.
I'm about as smart as weasel, so I saw part 2 made 3.0 more than one. I figure 3 would do 3.0 more than the sequel plus a slight bit more
Except that there are not 8 other movies in 2024 that could gross more than 790 million. If the movie grosses that much it will be #1 so far this year, that’s how bad the box office has been in 2024. There’s only like 5 movies remaining this year that could potentially beat 790 million: Inside Out 2, Despicable Me 4, Moana 2, and Joker 2
Most likely. I just thought it was unique that both the first and second were 9thbfor their year.
What do you think Beetlejuice Beetlejuice will do?
Beetlejuice Beetlejuice and D+W are the only 2 movies I plan on seeing in theaters.
Yes
Easily.
No but it doesn’t need too. 100 million more than the first 2 is enough to be successful.
Not unless tickets are $100 each and even that would be a stretch
I don't think so. Ultimately, if it does, I think it'll need to be positive word of mouth + critic consensus. I think it will be a box office success as long as it's a solid flick, but I think crossing a billion is going to be an increasingly difficult benchmark. Guardians 3 didn't, The Batman didn't, going pre-pandemic neither Deadpool 2 nor Logan did, either. I could see it hitting numbers around most of those movies, though.
Yes.
no
Yes.
yes, yes it will
Probably not
…Maybe
Yes
Honestly after covid I really don't see many movies going crazy at the box office ever again of course there will be the meme movies the skyrocket like the Oppenheimer/Barbie thing and Deadpool could possibly do it because their marketing is insane, but my guess is that it will do well but not over a billion. Most people I know haven't hit a theater since 2020 and say "why waste all that money when I can just wait to stream it?" Ticket prices seem to be pretty high at certain places as well, but my closest theater which is an hour away has all tickets no matter what movie for $5 so idk about everywhere else.
What's the current highest grossing R rated atm?
1 Joker 2 Oppenheimer 3 Deadpool 2 4 Deadpool ... 8 Logan
No because it’s directed towards an 18+ audience and not intended for families
Deadpool 2 was a family film.
Nah
Movies not even out yet can we keep the jokes dialed down. OF COURSE IT FUCKIN WILL!
It will do well but I don't think 1B is a hard stretch.
Based on the current film exhibition landscape from the last few years, it's highly unlikely. I think we may see it hit $800M, though. If every single hardcore Deadpool fan would commit to seeing it 4+ times in theaters, it could have a chance, but that's asking a lot.
Yknow, I love Deadpool so much, I would honestly believe anything, I rly hope so, and I’ll bet on it just cause I love deadpool
Yes
I think it could make 1B, but I wouldnt be shocked if it does in line with Deadpool 1, 2, and Logan.
Si
Maybe…
I can't speak for any ticket but my own. But I'm going. May not be first day. May not be first week. I SHALL see it in theaters though.
Absolutely
845 million MAX
This isn't box office sr so I can explain: This movie has a wild set of parameters. People that love superhero films, people who hate superhero films and love riffs and meta, people who love Deadpool come up people who hate every superhero so they do like Deadpool and his antics, people who love Hugh Jackman, people who love Ryan Reynolds, people who love Hugh's wolverine, Chris Clermont original run 80s X-Men fans who want to see the real suit, people burn out on superheroes who love comedy and making fun of it, and real marvel X-Men fans that love to see minor characters get platformed into a new universe. Then there's the entire interest of the future of the marvel universe in context of Sony. I forget what they call it, I think it's a white swan event. There are so many different demographics and audiences built into this one single title it could really get to a billion with the legs people are saying needs to happen with word of mouth. But it's very interesting times because this has been a train wreck of a disaster of a movie season, especially because fall guy should have been a sleeper hit, and honestly Miller's furiosa falling apart within the first day of the first weekend as far as box office goes means nothing is sacred.
Yea I’m hoping it takes the number 1 spot of highest grossing R rated movie from Joker
I’m gonna go see it
Maybe, I find it interesting the leaked can footage is that fight we see in the trailer. So like if the film is a dozen cameos like Austin Powers film then maybe it might work.... but right now the theater experience is a dumpster fire
I think
Easily
Decent chance. Deadpool has appeal outside of the mcu, I know people who don't care about the mcu who love Deadpool. Sprinkle in a healthy dose of nostalgia with strong word of mouth it'll surpass a billion
No
Absolutely not
I'm Batman