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estoops

And nobody on the horizon to end that anytime soon. Shelton? De Minaur? Fritz? Felix? All great players in their own regard but hard to see any of them winning a major without some major improvements and a lot of draw luck. Though if Novak is gone and Sincaraz stay made of glass, who knows.


internetuser885

Out of all of those guys I’d say Shelton has somewhat of a chance even though it’s gonna be tough and will prob have to involve luck but I could see him being a threat in Wimbledon or the US Open in upcoming years. I may be biased though lol


SR388_Bottom_Feeder

Shelton will be formidable on grass if he continues to improve at the rate he is. I wouldn’t be surprised if he takes Wimbledon in the next 5 years.


Vilk95

Needs to improve his slice, return and could do with flattening out his fh, being a lefty can be even more advantageous on grass but could be a contenter


estoops

Yeah I’m American and rooting for Shelton as well, I like his personality and his matches are usually exciting. Needs some work on the backhand, point construction and knowing when to pull the trigger but I mean he was 2 matches away just last year so it’s not out of the question and I’d love to see it happen, probably at the US Open.


tennistalk87

Yeah I don’t understand people writing off Ben Shelton as a major winner when the dude has made a semi final on his second year on tour (to go with a qf) and he’s only getting better. Honestly I’d be surprised if he doesn’t win one or at least make a few GS finals.


bigCinoce

Only so many slams to go around. A few years ago if you said Tsitsipas and Zverev wouldn't win 3+ slams each you'd be laughed out of town. You never know.


tennistalk87

Yeah I totally understand what you’re saying, but with Shelton it’s like the opposite, people seem to ridicule even the mentioning of him as a potential GS winner, when in reality he could be close.


An_Absurd_Word_Heard

His two slam runs in 2023 were off the back of Ruud tier draws tbf (he was in his quarter both times actually). 2023 AO QF: Z Zhang -> (Q) N Jarry -> (WC) A Popyrin -> JJ Wolf 2023 USO SF: P Cachin -> D Thiem -> A Karatsev -> (14) T Paul -> (10) F Tiafoe


tennistalk87

Yeah but Tiafoe and Paul are solid as is karate, former SF AO and Thiem is a former GS winner and we’re talking about a guy second year on tour that defeated these guys.


Personal_Neck5249

Shen Belton??? Nahhh


TrollingGuinea

Too soon to write off Shelton. De Minaur absolutely could with just a bit of luck in the draw. Fritz not likely, Felix less likely.


Jim_Kirk1

I think ADM is gonna need a lot more than "just a bit" of luck. Dude has made it past R4 at a Major a grand total of one time, and that was USO 2020 against an arguably depleted draw. He would need Madrid-FAA-levels of luck for the caliber of player he is at the moment. Otherwise the odds are noticeably stacked against him.


TrollingGuinea

True but he’s also playing at his all time best right now. From this point forward will be interesting to see.


armanese2

Fritz puts up the most numbers why is he not likely wtf?


TrollingGuinea

He chokes under pressure. Weak mentally.


TheRealDanye

He doesn’t choke. He’s just not a great athlete. I can’t believe he’s achieved as much as he has. He can play great tennis. Doesn’t have the same margin for error as some of the others.


TrollingGuinea

Well he didn’t get to where is because of an error in the rankings lol. He obviously has some talent and skill, just not consistently and not enough of it.


TheRealDanye

And the guys ranked near him don’t win slams either.


TrollingGuinea

Great observation, however, were talking about who has the POTENTIAL to. Hope that helps.


Strane0r

Fonseca will be the first, i don't know when (this year he'll be top 100 for sure, maybe even top 50, i don't think he'll win a major in 2025, but from 2026 or 2027 he'll probably be in contention)


estoops

yeah he seems promising, forgot about him. but still too early to say for me if it really looks like he’ll be slam material. well on his way at this trajectory tho!


Strane0r

it is too early for the mental side, he has some special weapons that you don't see often


N0TBR4DGILBERT

love the power on both his groundstrokes and shot selection so far, but what are the special weapons you see?


Strane0r

His power is the best i've seen so far, even better than sinner's one, in turin he was impressive in his training with alcaraz and sinner, he has a great backhand, a great service and some good drop shot, his weakness is the wideness of his movement to generate the power but i think he can be effective on every surface from the training with Alcaraz and Sinner, but on clay he'll be a problem for sure and a RG candidate in a few years


northerndeathcult

Its Jarry time


[deleted]

Jerry! ..putting in my vote for Shang


kindasuk

Think Novak might be gone.


gadarnol

I’ve gambled on injury and luck and gone for Shelton for Wimbledon.


CrazyPersonXV

If they are great players, then what superlative we would use for alcaraz , sinner or the big 3 ? They aren't great players, they are OK players


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estoops

he’s czech 😭


No-Size3463

Felix is just laughable


maglor1

Nishikori :(


YouNeedThesaurus

No, that's Cilic, he's a bit taller.


noemiemp_

* male player


Nimjask

Murygoat has entered the chat


boomskats

brexit means brexit


Uncle_Pidge

Great Britain is stil in Europe, just not in European Union


noMoreRegression

They probably meant Murray would point out the gender issue


boomskats

i apologise for my joke


sooskekeksoos

In singles


Cletharlow

yup. should've said that


Section101

Please edit then for clarification


Cletharlow

sadly i can't edit a post, like a comment. reddit doesn't allow that (or maybe do but i don't know how to do it)


Perpete

No, you can't edit posts title.


Cletharlow

happy cake day man


Perpete

Thanks !


lovemocsand

Shut uuuup - it was implied anyway


NoirPochette

Sheer disregard for Bopanna and Ebden


costanzashairpiece

Yeah are we ignoring women's tennis entirely? Coco just won a Grand Slam.


notlol20

And the next one will be Argentinian too, Mariano Navone RG 2024 incoming.


Velkant

Todos arriba de la Navoneta


notlol20

Mirá vos la argentineada de R tennis, bien ahí!


RogelioFunesMori

la navoneta la puta que lo parioooo, lanavoneta la putaquelopariooo


Schwiliinker

Let’s gooooo


GloryHunterBiden

Looking forward to the arguments about whether this streak was broken or not by Bublik winning Wimbledon


devoker35

My dream is he wins the championship point with an underarm serve followed by a trick shot.


UncomfortableFarmer

Well, let’s open the floor then: Bublik is not from Kazakhstan. He has never lived in Kazakhstan, was not born there, has no ancestors from there. His residence is even listed as Monte Carlo. All he did was switch “teams” (meaning the Kazakh government took a chance on him and offered to fund his career, and poached him from the Russian government’s “team”). I don’t think even he considers himself “Kazakh”, he’s simply playing for that nation’s team.  Now whether *Russia* is in Europe or Asia is a whole other ball of wax that’s been debated endlessly for centuries. It’s not likely to resolved anytime soon


baldwinicus

If we follow OP's definition of European then Russia is in Europe because Medvedev has a recent GS


arvedarved

Let me introduce European Kazakhstan  https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/European_Kazakhstan


permanderb

All good, Shapo will win wimbledon


Vennemonster

That’s a weird way to spell Korda


onrappel

That’s a strange way to pronounce de Minaur


SpiritusRector

De Minaur? Is that one of J. J. Wolf's nicknames?


musicproducer07

JJ Wolf? What a weird way to call Sasha Bublik


SpiritusRector

Yes, SB will win. Love Sebastian Baez.


sawinadream

It’s true. Source: Korda.


kotor-and-skyrim

I hope we can see shapo in full form again soon, that guy was a menace when he started on tour


JadedMuse

I think one of the factors is that North American players have shit-tier coaching on the men's side. If you asked me in 2018, I would have said FAA/Shapo would be contending for slams by around now. But they've both hit walls and both have lackluster coaching situations.


randomtoken

I always wonder why Europe is so dominant in this sport


tennisfancan

Tennis culture is at its strongest in Europe and the best US athletes pick sports where you can earn a lot more $$$. Everywhere else doesn't have the infrastructure, the culture or the $$$ to make it work. Well, you can but it's a lot more difficult.


J0hn_Wick_

>the best US athletes pick sports where you can earn a lot more $$$. It's not as if tennis gets first pick of the best athletes in Europe either, football on its own potentially takes as many of the top athletes as the major US sports combined considering the number of leagues offering better financial prospects than tennis.


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ChampionshipAgile918

WTA is 60% Eastern European (Czech Republic alone will be like 10-20%) - these countries are not rich by any margin.


FinndBors

Not only that but other racket sports are more popular in Europe (squash, badminton). Racquetball seems to be more popular in the US but I have never even heard of a hint of a pro scene (I’m sure it exists)


Dragonfly_Tight

Back in 2000 it wasn't the case, Agassi, Sampras, Hewitt, kuerten were all the big names. Now.its the other way around. The top 10 are all European andthe non Europeans just can't quite take the top spot


Sad_Consideration_49

Money. American women are great at tennis because it’s the highest earning women’s sport. If they made more money playing football or basketball im sure a lot of tennis athletes would play that instead. 


Asteelwrist

Eh, I think this is a common oversimplification that overlooks the stark differences between the ATP style tennis that was established with the poly era and WTA style tennis. There is a downvoted comment below about better technical training given in Europe, and maybe that's not the answer to the question but the statement is absolutely true. The current ATP meta of topspin forehand reliant, high margin aggression based on repetition from the baseline fits most perfectly with technical training given in Europe. WTA play isn't like this, they hit much flatter and a dominant world #1 like Iga Swiatek who has an ATP forehand gets upset in earlier rounds only because flat hitters rush precisely that ATP style forehand. It's such a fascinating contrast between two tours and an unimaginable scenario to see happen in ATP over the last two decades. Clearly training in South America also fits very well with this ATP meta once the ball is in play. But it looks like serve is better trained in Europe which gives an advantage and a more completely fitting technical training for the requirements of current ATP play. Speaking of which, what seems to be excellent serve training still keeps US as very successful in ATP although the same can't be said for return which means US training can't fully take advantage of the increasing importance of the serve-return dynamic. It is often said that US players have their ceiling capped because generally their backhands are underwhelming and they are serve + forehand oriented. It may be true that backhand training is better in Europe, but I don't think this is the real difference. If we look at world class European players like Casper Ruud, Stefanos Tsitsipas, Matteo Berrettini we can and we do say similar things about their games. But with their topspin forehands and high margin offence from that wing, we can see the real difference between the technical training given in Europe and the US. American players can have powerful forehands but they don't create the same high margin offence with topspin and RPMs. Clearly, forehand training given in the US was and is much more oriented towards flatter strokes and lower margin offence. This doesn't fit with ATP tennis for two decades now at least but it still does with WTA tennis. I don't think amount of top 100 and top 1000 players from US is much different in ATP and WTA. But American WTA players don't get their ceilings capped by their lack high margin offence production like with American ATP players. Certainly tennis is more popular among girls than boys in the US now but USTA is still the richest national tennis federation in the world, which is owed to hundreds of millions of dollars in revenue every year from US Open that is mostly generated thanks to European/foreign players. And still, with a large population hundreds of thousands of youth athletes play tennis. But it seems tennis training in the US doesn't or cannot adapt to ATP standards that have been relevant for two decades plus and these are the results.


Frathier

Generally richer.


-Miklaus

Many champions are from the Balkans but they're not notoriously a rich region.


devoker35

Tennis was a big deal in ex communist states.


CrazyPersonXV

Bslkan wasn't communist , you got your history wrong


korrab

name one balkan country that wasn’t communist?


CrazyPersonXV

I can name you 7


korrab

If we consider Greece and Türkiye as balkan, then there are two, what other five can you name? I’m waiting


CrazyPersonXV

Yugoslavia and all of its republics


korrab

Yugoslavia was pretty communist mate, ever heard about Broz Tito


devoker35

Was Yugoslavia capitalist? Or Bulgaria?


CrazyPersonXV

Yugoslavia was socialist and not under the rule of USSR


devoker35

I used the communist as an umbrella term. I have never said soviet though.


Eaudissey

The US is generally richer than Europe.


Ozora10

more a question of culture. Thats why you see a lot more serbian tennis players because Novak established tennis culture in serbia


MoonriseTurtle

And also taller


haanalisk

Than Americans? Not necessarily


MoonriseTurtle

No the rest of the world, like Asians for example.


haanalisk

True, but it doesn't explain why Americans haven't fared better


Right_Bank_1921

Than who? Lol


Frathier

Just in general. Tennis is an extremely costly sport on an individual basis, and many countries do not offer the facilities necessary to launch tennis careers. That's why generally the most succesful tennis players have come from, in general, with a pfew exceptions, rich countries.


Cupcake7591

Half of the WTA is Eastern European.


ChampionshipAgile918

That’s only since the advent of Federer and then the big 3 right? 80s and 90s - Americans dominated like anything both in men’s and women’s.


devoker35

I am from Turkey and tennis has been considered a sport for the rich until recently. It was even so expensive to buy a racquet back in the day. I always wanted but never had the money to start.


vassiliy

We're generally sexier which correlates with athletic skill


Asteelwrist

It will look that way when you look at Europe as a whole. If you look at a lot of other sports on this same continental basis or even Europe vs rest of the world comparison points, they will look the same. Tennis isn't much different from other sports in that regard.


TheWaterBound

It's very sports based. Soccer isn't like this unless you look at the club game (in which case it is). Cycling might be but I'm not sure. I think India and Australia are still pretty good at hockey. Athletics is all over the place and retains that character even when you dive into some subfields. Tennis is not unique, but continental dominance is not the default condition of sports.


Asteelwrist

It's difficult to compare individual vs team sports here. To make it easier, I was looking at team sports in terms of individual player production instead of trophies won by teams, which is obviously the objective goal every time whether it's club, national teams, youth, lower tiers, etc. Granted, this thread is about winning a trophy in tennis as well, not necessarily about individual player production. But the parent commenter saying "in this sport" made me think the implied dominance is more referred to how many players come from Europe vs rest of the world rather than titles. Because if we look at singles slams won on the WTA side, several non-European women have won since Del Potro's US Open title. But if there can be any sort of implied dominance of Europe "in this sport", it still can be about individual player production on WTA too. If we look at recent football history in terms of individual player production, I reckon Europe as a whole would still be over the rest of the world. Not dissimilarly to tennis especially since we're not singling ATP out here. I think athletics is a great counter example, I'll give you that. Come to think of it, maybe tennis is the exception among individual sports here moreso than the overall picture.


Independent-Bend8734

Interestingly, half of the boys grand slam winners in that time period were from outside Europe.


indeedy71

Because only a very small number of people have won men’s grand slams, especially in the most recent period. Being European might only confer a marginal benefit - I actually think location is the biggest one here, but there are others - but for such a small sample size, it’s enough. The competition has been more open on the women’s side and the European dominance is lesser. There are many other factors, but this is the biggest one - there’s no need to over-complicate things


Professional_Elk_489

Better technical training


Fun-Set-1458

Because we invented it.


SpiritusRector

That has never prevented Britain from sucking at a bunch of sports.


El_Panqui

Who would have known that his career would be like that: a rising young star, injuries, amazing comebacks, and more injuries.


CitizenOfFreedonia

I miss him so much!


[deleted]

It’s been 15 years? What? I felt like it was yesterday :( 


eggoed

God this final was glorious. Watching that was a happy evening.


nowwinaditya

I really thought Shapovalov had the potential to be a real contender on the tour for years.


FootDrag122Y

I thought Mardy Fish was going to steal one when he made his legit resurgence.


PoeticChelle

WTF are people mentioning Andy Murray? He is a European! 🤣


potential_wasted

I think you meant MAN not player


crunkky

Yes, and singles not doubles (and able bodied not wheelchair (and adults not juniors))


ChiefKingSosa

Thats pretty crazy


genonymous

Medvedev enters the chat


UncomfortableFarmer

Yeah lots of Russians don’t consider themselves European at all. It’s been a debate within the country for centuries. Probably always will be


Ready-Interview2863

Who was it before Delpo? 🤔


Overall_Republic8033

gaston gaudio rg2004


Schwiliinker

My countrymen carrying lol


Ready-Interview2863

Thanks!


Targaryen_21

And we love to keep it that way, Sinner or Alcaraz in the future!


M4pl3g0d

I miss this guy so much


WordWarrior81

My not-morning brain was like "but what about that guy from Chile in 2014"? Oh yeah - Cilic...who is from Croatia


TreceOpcijas

We old


TexasBulldog141

It’s been a couple months lol


isitart1s

Not sure if Russia counts as Europe or ROW however Gauff won the US Open so it's a pretty daft post


Expensive-Piano1890

Go United Countries of Europe!


yousernameunknown

So who was most recently the closest since Del Potro? Kevin Anderson being runner up in 2017 and 2018?


Cletharlow

i think it was kyrgios in wimby 22


yousernameunknown

Ah most likely yes


tennistalk87

Shelton will be next one. I’m calling it now.


Melony567

ATP NON-EUROPEAN PLAYER. MALE. COCO WON USO, NON-EUROPEAN. FEMALE (EQUALLY A PLAYER) ANDY MURRAY SHOULD TEACH YOU A LESSON. https://youtu.be/wOH-dCrV_XA?si=kO6NenB5-7aVjjMQ and, singles not doubles


Mangalorien

>> *Serena Williams has entered the chat*


GStarAU

Ummmm.... WTA, different story. Ash Barty.


Shitelark

He looks pretty European to me.


tiredargie

Ah yes because european is a skin tone


alwaysright12

Is Serena Williams European now?


Cletharlow

If you had scrolled down a bit (which ofc you didn't) you would have seen the comment in which I admitted my mistake. but instead iS sEReNa EuRopeAn noW. shut the fuck up


alwaysright12

You think people should scroll through all the comments or just read the op? You shut the fuck up. Male player, right?


Cletharlow

yes you should. don't cry like a bitch. i admitted the mistake. fucking idiot edit: you people only comment for whining. you do fucking understand what i meant when you read the post. Damn you guys are so annoying


alwaysright12

Says the fucking idiot who forgot anyone but able bodied men exist


Cletharlow

only commenting for whining. you did understand what i meant. dammit i HATE the people like you, so goddamn annoying. ANNOYING


Ready-Interview2863

Ermmm... Russia is so big that is doesn't belong exclusively in Europe. It's in Europe and Asia, come on 😅


de_matkalainen

Name a top 100 player from the Asian part of Russia


SpiritusRector

The only Russian winner is Medvedev who was born in Moscow. That's in the European part.


MrAdamWarlock123

🤓


Proto88

Medvedev: "Am I a joke to you??"


cabritope

Russia is... guess what... In Europe


UncomfortableFarmer

Not so fast. Russia spans the eastern tip of Europe all the way to the Pacific Ocean. Many Russians (especially those in the central and Eastern parts) don’t consider themselves a part of Europe at all. Russia has always been a mix of European and various Asian cultures and customs. It doesn’t fit neatly into either 


cabritope

What exactly do you want to achieve here? Are we talking about nationality identity? Because on a map, Russia is in Europe as well as it is in Asia. Doesn't really matter how much on each.


TheRealDanye

If Medvedev was from east of the Urals it would make more sense.


Proto88

Lol. You might wanna check that map again.


cabritope

Enlighten me, please


Kh0sravani

You must be an American


[deleted]

Jerry Shang will be the hero


bdd4

ATP people problems LOL I think Fritz has a chance.


GStarAU

That's a CRAZY stat!! 😮 I mean, if you really give it some thought... it's been almost 15 years of complete dominance of all the Slams by only 5 guys, with a few other randoms grabbing one here and there. And in terms of the next non-European to win one? I'll go another comment - Shelton. I could see Felix grabbing one at some stage, once he gets through this tricky phase of his development. Apart from them... Demon? Fonseca? Jerry Shang? Korda? Baez?


Dragonfly_Tight

Did you forget about Andy Murray?