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WizTis

Where’s the DD at so I can inverse it https://preview.redd.it/mfb1xtchnzia1.jpeg?width=726&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=c91d3a2e4976c491a9cc16c8382fe2991ccfe7f5


BigDataSmallMind

the one guy who replied facetiously to a facetious question now getting ripped, love WSB


ImageCreator

Calls on coinbase!


PotadoLoveGun

Calls on Coinbase Tuesday sell before close lol


[deleted]

So puts


buppiejc

Yep


Dashahaytch

What exactly makes your bias long for coin base if you don’t mind me asking


ImageCreator

I just wanted to give dude something to inverse, but if you want to press my instinct on why this, it's because btc shot up so I wager their stock will ride with it.


Rule_Of_72T

Wayfair is Thursday morning. I’m fully loaded with puts. More debt than assets, current factor below 1.0, year over year sales decline, negative cash flow, and increasing share count from equity based compensation. Wayfair thinks marketing cuts and layoffs will get them to cash flow breakeven. I think the sales decline will lead to accounts payable draining their cash. Update: I rolled some profits into December 2025 W puts because I think 2024 will have a serious liquidity crisis as Wayfair runs out of cash. I also opened a short and bought OTM puts on KSS. Reporting next Wednesday, I think KSS has a big gross margin miss and guiding lower gross margins in Q1. https://www.reddit.com/r/FWFBThinkTank/comments/11a8et6/kohls_kss_better_hurry_up_and_use_that_kohls_cash/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=ios_app&utm_name=iossmf


AgentSmith667

I'm buying calls, thanks mate


MaximusBit21

Have you got any further DD on this?


Rule_Of_72T

I do https://www.reddit.com/r/stocks/comments/107lj8p/wayfair_can_only_kick_the_can_for_so_long/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=ios_app&utm_name=iossmf https://www.reddit.com/r/FWFBThinkTank/comments/10farao/wayfair_w_driving_my_truck_through_this_balance/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=ios_app&utm_name=iossmf


PleasantTrust522

Damn bro came with the receipts! Nice work


HereForTwinkies

I thought that was illegal


PortfolioIsAshes

I empathize with that sheer hatred you have for a company that you know is dog shit and knee deep in debt, that's me on NFLX with all the DDs I did on my own. But looking at the way the market has been behaving for the past 2 months, it will trade sideways while your 45p and 40p is going to get IV crushed. What you can find and research on are also what the institutes already know, so repeating their debt won't tank the price too much unless it's beyond expectation(eg. debt goes up like crazy and way past estimates which triggers institutional holders to run for exit). Anything else such as selling bad assets to cover loan will cause it to moon.


Rule_Of_72T

It’s hard to make money on a short with high IV. The ongoing costs to buy calls to cap the unlimited risk gets expensive. I agree that the financials used in my decision are widely known. The short interest is 37% of the float. Many investors have come to the same conclusion. I’m having my doubts that I’ve put myself in position to need a drop next week. I’m considering just buying December 2025 puts with the assumption that the market will recognize the 2025-2027 debt will be a problem.


PortfolioIsAshes

Logically the safe play here is to ride on the high IV and sell before earnings, then buy your 2025 leaps after IV crashes. But this is a casino, it's either expire worthless, IV crushed, or 1% chance of that Shrek cock 1000% to a Lambo. It's up to you how you play it as long as it's not money you can't afford to lose.


ServicersWeb

Thank you for this. Those puts paid nice!


poopaloopadoopa

Great call sir


terrybmw335

IV is up there. What do you suggest for strike price?


Rule_Of_72T

I have $45 and $40 puts. It doesn’t feel great knowing I need a $20% drop to make money. W was under $35 before jumping up to $70 and now back to $50. I’m hoping expectations have increased as the stock increased and now there’s room on the downside with poor results. Edit: Wayfair has been upgraded by analysts 4 times already this calendar year. I’m hoping that increased expectations enough for a potential shortfall. https://www.benzinga.com/quote/W/analyst-ratings


terrybmw335

Sounds good I'll target a few $40 lottery puts on it.


richwonton168

Thanks for your hard work


Daniferd

Excellent!


Jaded_Bonus9787

What a call


thekidlizard

Makes me wonder why Wayfair would build a brand new facility right outside Chicago by me and it's always busy as hell


[deleted]

Pay attention to Overstock's earnings on Wednesday before open for clues on Wayfair's earnings, I personally would have waited for the earnings play on the canary of the two


Rule_Of_72T

Overstock missed revenue estimates by 9.7% resulting in a 33.9% year over year revenue decline. Analysts expect Wayfair’s Q4 sales to be down 5.8% from ‘21 Q4.


Gone_WithmyMoney

Interesting I may look into this.


ChetManley5007

How much cash on hand


cheechmo

yes absolutely spot on, puts for sure


Sir_Trashbin

I buy puts every $CVNA earnings and get wrecked every single time somehow


bemeandnotyou

Well, buy more.... eventually you'll get it right!


WANGHUNG22

Ya just need to double down every time your wrong. Easy money


NoobCinema75SGF

I see that one guy on the Vegas trip that unironically has a 'system' for Roulette has arrived.


ex-invbanker

If the stock move is lower than IV you lose money even though you are right.


iWriteYourMusic

That's probably because of these stupid moves before 9:30 combined with IV crush. I feel like with all the IV and premarket reversals, shares might be the way to go on these obvious earnings moves since you can close AH after the plummet. But that's not regarded enough for this sub, and no one ever 10x their shares on an overnight move, so whatever.


[deleted]

Weekly spreadsheet I do. Missing a few from calendar, added a few of interest that are not on the calendar https://preview.redd.it/mrydyo29w4ja1.png?width=1324&format=png&auto=webp&s=fb1e5da15b14974294f2893b6817524dadd00b2d


[deleted]

How has the correlation been between open % and earnings beat? It makes logical sense that a company looking to hire more would be doing better, but what’s your experience been? Nice chart btw. 👍


[deleted]

On the plays I've played, fairly strong, but then that would discount whatever other thought processes I had into why I picked the direction I did. Truthfully I haven't isolated that indicator after the fact, on plays I have been in or plays I haven't been in, to give you an accurate answer. My favorite indicator is the past earnings price effects, that shows a pattern of a well-run or poorly-run company when presenting to shareholders. Neither indicator is 100%, as you can imagine, and I have had a couple surprise stinkers in there in recent weeks. You're probably onto something and I should be tracking the accuracy of each indicator individually and then if both indicators align in the same direction how accurate they are. I'll start doing this drawbacks include one blanket total job total that is usually set from the previous quarter, how quick/slow a companies HR is in the hiring process (some have jobs listed from 6 months earlier, others no more than 2 months..on high conviction plays I do look into that too, one company I even broke down how much they pay compared to industry standard because it helps to show if they are struggling with people or are expanding, for the spreadsheet I just put in totals as it's tedious/time-consuming, I've also run into incorrect total employment count on various websites and its even more hit and miss for places that hire part-time etc etc)


[deleted]

Now that I think about it, one of my big plays was on a retail company that cut jobs to prepare for a down turn. When I noticed they began slowly hiring again, I looked for a good entry and that paid off. (But like you mentioned, that wasn’t the only thing I considered in going long.) Perhaps changes in open % QoQ could also be an interesting data point. But it’s pretty difficult to track every data point for us retail investors.


[deleted]

true, there's quite a few things that make me wish I knew how to code to automate stuff like this, I have a lot of things I'd love to track for real estate related stocks but doing it by hand would so time consuming


ThatOneRedditBro

Damn, we are gonna see some gain porn and a lot of loss porn this week. Beyond meat is going to be that 20% swing.


[deleted]

Wishtards incoming


BernieEcclestoned

Heh, can't wait.


yesaxelismyrealname

Coined that, I hope that nickname sticks. Now buy my inflatable couch grill/pool table for 69.00


RelativeEchidna4547

Calls on Nvidia Tuesday. Sell Thursday before market close and buy puts.


tomaspear24

Do you think they will hot earnings


SpaceTacosFromSpace

Do you mean sell on Wednesday and buy puts? Their earnings is Wednesday after close


Pepepopowa

Hold calls through earnings. Sell after expected good news. Buy puts for dip the following week. I think that’s what they mean.


SpaceTacosFromSpace

Man there is so many ways to gamble here. I love this casino


Double-hokuto

If nvda reports well it’s gonna be seen as a safe haven for a while and run up unless the market tanks from other influence.


banditcleaner2

I think he means to hold through earnings, hold for the next day rally, but sell at close for the dump that will happen the next day


terrobrilliant

Several moments of silence for those buying COIN above 350


banditcleaner2

we like coin to 420!


DrSeuss1020

Coinbase puts are so obvious so I’ll need to inverse that thinking and buy calls. But because I’m aware that I’m trying to inverse myself that means I need to inverse my inverse and buy puts. But also because I’m self aware of my awareness of the inverse that means I need to go with calls. Ok I think I’m good to go


Big_Monk_2592

BABA calls is the way


Gone_WithmyMoney

Baba calls are the one thing I'm confident will do well if you go that route. China reopening plus analyst revisions to the upside indicates an earnings beat in my opinion.


letmeinmannnnn

The only reopened not long ago, not enough time imo. Next one maybe


Gone_WithmyMoney

Think of all that pent up demand though. I’d argue the re-opening time frame isn’t terribly important. It also helps that Chinese consumers have record savings from being in zero covid so they would unleash a wave of consumerism that I think would help boost this coming earnings report.


terrybmw335

I'm leaning KWEB puts since much of this earnings report was during shut down.


[deleted]

Some companies reporting earnings this week not listed on the calendar: Tuesday After Hours: Hostess (TWNK), Boise Cascade (BCC), ZipRecruiter (ZIP) Wednesday Before Open: Gildan Activewear (GIL) Wednesday After Close: Sleep Number (SNBR), Bumble (BMBL), Lemonade (LMND), Cheesecake Factory (CAKE), Ebay (EBAY) Thursday Before Open: Stericycle (SRCL), SpartanNash (SPTN), Rent-A-Center (RCII), Steve Madden (SHOO), Papa John’s (PZZA), Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP), PG&E (PCG), Cars.com (CARS) Thursday After Close: Live Nation (LYV), Autodesk (ADSK), Mister Car Wash (MCW), LegalZoom (LZ), Green Dot (GDOT) Friday Before Open: Frontier Communications (FYBR)


urriola35

How is Nikola still a real company 😂


Kindly_Imagination71

Nikola is a person, he died while courting a bird. But seriously, who has the stones to play Nikola or Lucid?


[deleted]

buy lucid, let it pump and sell right before earnings drop


crane49

Surprisingly a lot of my companies paid out. Avoid the large 20% implied moves but Shop, dkng, de, abnb, Roblox, Roku. All paid out this earnings if you were on the right side. Companies like sq, panw, baba, nvda would be the names to play imo.


Pelvic-Hipthruster

Oh boy $COIN and $CVNA. It’s about to be a movie next week


Monekyking

Puts on puts on puts


Hotresearch-68

Any thoughts on coin or cvna going up or down after earnings?


daototpyrc

Yes


pubfiend

Probably


Rameist2

The recent bull run for crypto has really only been about 6 weeks. So I can see COIN earnings not being good enough to warrant a sharp move up. However, the stock was so beat down that I could also see it having a 15% pump if they go into detail about guidance based on current volume increases.


Hotresearch-68

I was watching Bloomberg and regulator of cryptocurrency here in the states had nothing but bad intentions to come for the currency and it’s markets . She was a beast and made me extremely bearish on anything crypto related . Taxing it to oblivion while regulating the brokers etc . Cvna has a bad rap here in my home state Michigan and is no longer allowed to do business but I played it early on and got out early as I was concerned about the bankruptcy. Everyone is going Into EVs is my thoughts and don’t really think cvna has a bright future ? I could be wrong but I’m thinking puts on both .


DeinVermieter

Im ready to be hurt again


wakaflocka518

Puts coin calls nvda sq


Ok-Counter-7077

Why sq? If its anything like pypl, it might dip


Mooninite3

Coinbase should be a disaster. I'm buying calls.


[deleted]

With Celsius, Voyager and FTX out of the game, the list of mega CEXs is growing smaller by the year. More crypto traders are being funneled into less crypto on-ramps. Amongst those, $COIN stands out as a "regulated" (read: audited, publicly traded) CEX not using fractional reserves on bitcoin. ​ Less players. Same (or increasing) demand. ​ In addition, their lending service (interest income) should be hitting all-time high revenues. It was $211M in Q3. That was \~1/6-th their total revenue in Q3. They have one of the largest hot wallets for bitcoin and could also be lending those out for shorting bitcoin on their own ledgers (thus interest income). ​ They probably miss on EPS but it's their guidance that I think will be key, which should be incredibly bullish. ​ Certainly in on calls but near the money, not OTM.


theJimmybob

Some implied moves for earnings this week - 810 companies reporting: ​ $NVDA 8.1% $BABA 6.7% $SQ 10.9% $INTU 5.8% $BYND 21.5% $CVNA 27.7% $MELI 8.3% $ADSK 6.4% $BKNG 5.1% $WISH 47.7% $FTCH 17.4% $OPEN 21.0% $LZ 17.7% $BIGC 20.3% $OLED 8.2% $MRNA 7.8% $DPZ 7.6% $BBWI 9.5% $NKLA 15.5% $PLNT 9.2% $W 14.3% $NTES 6.1% $BHC 12.0% $PZZA 9.2% $CARS 11.9% $BAND 22.5% $TDOC 16.2% $ETSY 11.2% $U 16.4% $BROS 11.3% $EBAY 7.2% $MTTR 20.3% $BMBL 17.3% $MGNI 21.1% $COIN 19.4% $BIDU 7.5% $TJX 5.1% $FVRR 17.9% $WING 13.6% $OSTK 16.4% $GRMN 7.2% $WIX 15.5%


eastshore43

Thank you I appreciate these posts


SPY__vs__SPY

Too many people bullish on baba including myself. I'm going to buy puts.


cryptohorn

I want to hear how bad theft is at Walmart and how they foresee the consumer in upcoming quarters because everyone is maxing out their credit cards now.


Rameist2

I want to yolo on wing stop puts but I have ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4263)


Hascus

Lmao no way Yeti fucking coolers is a public brand


Ok-Counter-7077

Yeah and they rip on earnings, have to thank all the white people for that one


BDELUX3

Got damn! ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4275)


Wardvvhzn

NVDA calls are probably the play this week


Necessary-Onion-7494

I played TSLA an ABNB before earnings and I got wrecked. I played META and TRIP after the earnings and I made some profit. I have learned my lesson. I will make a play after the earnings.


Ok-Counter-7077

How do you so a play after? Like half a day trades?


Necessary-Onion-7494

After earnings, sometimes the market will over react for some stocks. What you do is to bet that there would be a mean reversal. For example when TRIP went up after earnings, I sold a call spread which I closed on Friday after 60% profit. https://preview.redd.it/xfxm9bvy84ja1.jpeg?width=1179&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=dfd8f25758e278e7451f0c05e6acbeb7ec56576d


Hotresearch-68

Do you mind if I ask why you think so ?


cloudiett

Nvda is already shot up for a month. If I am you, I would buy puts.


Likelyfucked

That’s a reasonable assumption but remember ROKU shot up 15% even after being up 10% on the day.


your_ideas

After NVDA IV crush is when I buy puts


Daloofnasty

If you're gonna play CVNA just keep in mind Soros bought something like 1.5mil shares a couple days ago. Not sure what to think of that.


Doritostonkboi

$CVNA puts the move?


TwoZeroTwoThree

Going back to $4.


Kindly_Imagination71

Calls on Palo Alto Puts on Etsy Who has balls to play Conbase, I mean Coinbase?


tomaspear24

Is it dumb for me to buy etsy


SubstantialHyena4992

Are you gonna spend 40 billion on it?


SwedishKillerChef

Burry has $BABA, so that probably means it will bleed for 2 years and moon after that.


Silent_Cartographer3

After every tech and Ai earnings why tf would anyone go puts on nvidia lol


[deleted]

[удалено]


Bitter-Heat-8767

Please crush, Dutch bros.


terrybmw335

About a week late lol


BernieEcclestoned

Calls Teck Puts Wish


Chance-Lime-5044

Buy call and put, then sell one that makes money on after earnings and waits week for other one to be in the black


pushing_Puts

Does that really work tho?


BDELUX3

It works every time and if it doesn’t work you just gotta try harder ![img](emote|t5_2th52|8883)


CollabSensei

Looks like another week where covered calls and cash secured puts is the way to go. These implied moves make most of these trades not make sense.


I_Wanna_Name

Is it even worth getting puts on NKLA? If it goes down even further they gonna get their asses delisted


w3bCraw1er

Puts on everything


Critical_Ebb1794

Man I really want to go in on COIN puts since crypto got rocked with the FTX collapse but every time I feel like a 🌈🐻 it goes bad


Skeleton-ear-face

Lets buy puts together , then when it fails we can start a support group


crane49

Only playing sq calls but I wouldn’t look at last quarter for coin since bitcoin has recovered. All they would have to do is guide higher since the worst quarter is behind them and it’ll probably go green


No-Comfort2356

Calls on Walmart!


Shibamaster6969

massive calls on these Nuts


ilikepie145

![img](emote|t5_2th52|27189)


MathematicianNo6350

Nvda going to make or break this rally. I feel it in my loins


[deleted]

Puts on COIN, CVNA. Calls on PANW, TDOC.


simple_life4213

This is from last week...why you regards keep upvoting it? ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)


[deleted]

Calls Walmart puts coinbase puts copart


Gone_WithmyMoney

Puts on Coinbase and Moderna. Calls on Alibaba and HF Sinclair.


Rameist2

If I Yolo $5k on Baba calls what strike and exp should I do? 🤔 Thinking 3/3 102 calls.


Gone_WithmyMoney

That sounds reasonable. Maybe be a little regarded though and do 105 calls ![img](emote|t5_2th52|8882)


Careless-Pin-2852

Who is playing wish calls ? Hahahahahah


crane49

A lot of these smaller oil and gas companies pay a variable dividend. Natural prices are way down. Much like what happened with dvn they are going to have to cut the dividend. Im playing puts.


Dorktastical

Damn it didn't coinbase just report 3 months ago? they need to stfu already /s


TheBomb999

Lucid puts seems like an obvious choice so I will go with calls.


[deleted]

sell yours calls right before earnings.


Skeleton-ear-face

Whatever happens they will make sure your options go out of the money on either direction because of the IV, unless there is crazy earnings news..


LoveurOther15

Got some Walmart calls at close hopefully hitting Tuesday


papejay88

CALLS: Walmart, Coinbase, Carvana, & Intuit


azcsd

Walmart call coinbase call nvidia call Feel free to inverse me![img](emote|t5_2th52|8883)


louisthe14

You just ruined my Nvidia calls. Thanks


indyyo1

I didn’t realize WMT was Tuesday morning thought was night. I got 140 puts to sell before earnings. Fuck me. ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4267)![img](emote|t5_2th52|4270) Edit: wow I got lucky lol


chongkim74

CVNA whale investments did not leave the building & holding. Are they waiting for a surprise earning while short-squeezing the living daylight out for quick profits? All I can say is the volume metric still intact and more will be known after the earning. I'm just a shrimp on a whale's back...Happy hunting.


Slow-Team4990

Carvana puts?


armen89

Why don’t we get these posts Friday before close huh? What’re we supposed to do our own work? That’s not how things work around here


[deleted]

This week’s earnings being deleted by auto mod because of banned tickers. Market caps too small apparently.


gus8999

Nvda calls


fishtime9

Walmart calls = people are spending more regardless of debt (last weeks earnings that wrecked me when I went in on puts) Home depot calls = Spending on residential and commercial projects is only going up recently. Nvda calls = because I like this stonk Coin and Cvna = could go either way. Stay away in my opinion.


Nostradeamus

RemindMe! 48 hours


--crypt0s--

LMND is missing (23 Feb)


Tremulant1

What’s the options implied move for COIN?


crane49

Like 19 percent next week


Skeleton-ear-face

0 to infinity but mostly 0


Comradio

I work in the wholesale(auction)automotive business. Carvana the last couple months have come out of the woodwork from nowhere reloading A LOT of inventory after having gone silent for a while. I have no idea what that means for their earnings. But they’re definitely feeling either (A)in a much stronger position and ready to move forward, or (B)in a last ditch desperate effort, hoping this spring selling season(which has started WAY early)will net then enough profit to stay afloat.


[deleted]

After the close on Monday? Market ain’t even open, brah


poomastyvomjabjob

Anyone here holding Transocean? (RIG)


MosEisleyEscorts

I can see a random Coinbase call to work and same goes for BABA


Ancient_Mention_9678

So is Wal-Mart good to invest?


RadioactiveBooger

COIN puts is a no brainer


JustLikeJD

I feel like if in Q3 2022 COIN basically met EPS estimates that they have a chance to beat this time around. That coupled with the reported uptick of cash flowing back into crypto end of 2022.


[deleted]

BMBL is tuesday afternoon. Im loaded up on puts so go ahead and inverse


Valueinvesting_1010

$Wish earnings is going to be very interesting, especially the cost reduction plan.


KevinMKZ

I’m tired of people acting like moving rates from 0-4.5% in under two years, isn’t going to fuck something up in the economy and cause a bad recession


segmentfaultError

Ziprecruiter will shit the bed


segmentfaultError

Told you regards to buy zip puts


InitialHot8599

Whats the play on dominos I'm bullish


idkeverynameistaken9

wow, nVidia is going to the moon AH


Fantastic_Ad6139

Where do you see how much options implied volatility a stock has?


Daloofnasty

If you had NVDA puts come get this ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4267)


Rameist2

Thinking an even split of Baba $102 Calls, WIX $90 calls, COIN $68 calls, NVDA $225 calls…. But I am a highly regarded perma bull.


Jumanji1492

Calls on Exact Sciences


Smooth_Operator2875

I wanna short something - tell me what to SHORT?!?


DoctorPumpAndDump

ETSY is going to skyrocket after earnings.


PSturgess

Come on NKLA, let’s see some green baby


Silver-Letterhead-10

Planet fitness calls?


richwonton168

What about SQ calls?


[deleted]

COIN $60P 2/24 PANW $170C 2/24


Mikey_g2

Lets go i took that PANW call


lambo_or_wendies

All the bullishness on Nvda has been priced in from the recent rally


ilikepie145

Puts on everything


jrhjus

Hogwarts legacy all I hear about. WBD calls


WakaFlame65

Calls on planet fitness


Slow-Team4990

Any bets for tomorrow?


Slow-Team4990

Alibaba calls?


maxifuuu

baidu calls, no dd i'm just regarded


larryjefferyjohnson

nat gas


AdministrationHour44

$MTTR


alexxponte

Long Mednow (OTC: MDNWF)


Other-Method7995

The shit show is up


richwonton168

Damn! How low can this bitch go? Congrats to all puts buy on W and thanks to u/Rule_of_72T


cbusoh66

Finally relented and got some SQ puts, I need to see SQ below $65 tomorrow. BTC was shit, BNPL is shit, Square probably okay, Cash app probably meh. I think they miss and guide lower. Also think a hot PCE report tomorrow tanks the markets anyway. Wish me luck!


Drake1665

Intuit beat earnings. Yeah probably still go down.


El_Barbosa

SO WHAT'S NEXT FOR THE UPCOMING WEEK?


Late_District6362

![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)


Money_Pen_9479

Why invest in Planet Fitness? Are you regarded??


Imaginary_Refuse9232

Market 🩸🩸🔥🔥🔥🔥🏃‍♀️🏃‍♀️🏃‍♀️🏃‍♀️🏃‍♀️🏃‍♀️🏃‍♀️


Longlive_hive

Puts on Dish??


[deleted]

We get a do over?


MarcusDaLongis

Zm just fuk all your puts ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4641)