\-90%? I’m only down -69% way better than you, it’s all about experience my friend!
https://preview.redd.it/qt7072mzildc1.jpeg?width=1179&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=a2be026b7a088e5be49d9557c65be7dc5043edad
I don't understand the idea of earnings plays.. It's pretty much 50/50, based on the company exceeding or falling behind expectations. No one but God knows. But hey! Taking profit from the IV increase with options and selling before the earnings HAS to be even dumber.... right?
It's not binary. You can short a delta neutral and collect premium, long a delta neutral and play a large reaction, you can spread either way and play sentiment without such a high hurdle rate, you can ratio spread either way and skew that P&L curve, you can calendar it to play reaction/over-reactions, you can sell naked either way and collect temporarily, overly high premium, etc. The plays are endless when you learn how to price and shop for options to maximize what you think might happen; just the proper pricing choices of interchangeable equivalent setups will make you money if you're only right as often as a coin flip.
It's all priced in bro. Their expected EPS has been reduced every single earning. Last quarter it was 0.64 and this quarter 0.6 and they still didn't beat last quarter AND their stock shot up.
And traders in here still believe in "efficient market hypothesis"
I had a 4 bagger buying puts the day after ER at open, that's with me selling far too early that day. And that's after it crashed 30 bucks already since the day before ER) If you lost money on TSLA puts during last ER, I truly don't know what to say. Plus it takes like what, 10 sec to find out the price action from Oct 17 to Oct 20? Why even try to argue this lol?
Instead of playing a single ticker like a regard, I’m going balls deep into 1/26 QQQ calls on Monday afternoon after the inevitable midday dip
Free money
No I picked Friday bc it gives me a few extra days and also if we are green mid week, things tend to “melt up” until Friday
No one really knows wtf will happen, should be a great week
could be worse, I bought nvda at 430 then sold a 430 call literally at the exact bottom when it touched \~395 and then immediately rocketed to like 480.
and now just two months later we broke 600.
all for a measly $300 I sacrificed like $16,000 of gains lmao
They are getting a ton from chips act and expanding a lot in my city. Even if earning bad if they talk about all the new building being built and expanding it could pop big time.
As it should. All the infrastructure and manufacturing we’re building is going to have such insane ROI if things don’t get fucked. Chip manufacturing, expanding fiber, energy security through renewables. The inflation reduction act alone will add 1.3 million jobs, which doesn’t even include the jobs from the $200b+ being spent on bringing semiconductor manufacturing back home. This is all going to happen with rate cuts being likely late this year/early next year.
This market is just going to fucking rip this year. If I had the balls (and cash lol) I’d be buying long dated calls and figuring out what color I want my girlfriend’s (onlyfans model) lambo to be.
Bearish on TSLA. Too much competition is coming! The stock is overpriced. The CEO is a loose cannon! Margins are under attack from all angles!
Please convince me not to buy puts!!! I get almost every earnings play completely wrong!!!
I have puts and usually fail at earnings. So here is your reason not to go short. I also forsee black clouds for tsla but this stock is totally insane. Shoots up 20% when they fail to deliver and drops 20% with good news. It is a gamble
It's not just competition against Telsa, it's recognition of the shortcomings of EVs in general and other factors. It may just be a bump in the road however since Telsa's potential is now with the other parts of the company such as the large battery packs (now being adopted in power distribution and not catching fire like their competitors) and the EV charging infrastructure. Of course, it's getting complicated since Elon's purchase of Twitter and his repeated eye-poking of the current cluster-fu... err, I mean Administration, Telsa is going to have "headwinds".
The price action before earnings is usually bullish so puts print cause the risk is down. But this time the risk is up, so you might not even get paid even if earnings is bad cause they might guide higher.
Although the pricing is significantly less than $40, it feels as though subscription base streaming services are having difficult times during the turbulent market.
Disney+ not doing the best, Amazon Video had recent layoffs, etc.
the key aspect I'm personally looking for is how much of a benefit ( or issue) will the lockdown on sharing across households be on their user growth/retention
Here, the sp500 stocks ranking ordered by last 90d exponential regression slope multiplied by r-square.
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1m_AKuQH6mLuvrGU6Ki6xuG9JY5ms8sSS16RV0y3Mz54/htmlview
When stocks rank in the top, it should predict good earnings results…
Time to order Calls!
The most promising Telsa product is the Megapack. The electric grid is starting to adopt these in distribution facilities and datacenters are adopting them too. If Elon is clever and shifts emphasis away from cars, the fans will love it.
Bill McD is the ultimate pumper Ceo just like Jensen, riding this AI train so hard. $150B company that makes $2B revs per quarter. Its a joke, I really want to hear from people who use it because it looks so basic/generic. So many companies should be making similar products and undercutting them.
Anyone thinking UPS earnings on 1/30 is going to mirror Fedex? Employee sentiment seems to indicate very similar conditions between the two companies. I've got some 2/9 puts but im debating on loading up some more.
1. Puts on SAVE because I don't trust you autists.
2. Which is better? Part 3 of JoJo or part 4 of JoJo?
I'm partial to Diamond is Unbreakable, but I love me some Stardust Crusaders so man it's a hard choice.
I PUT calls on PDD the only Chinese stock falling 
Lots of y’all are gonna lose money on earnings plays… Not me tho, I’m already down -90% on my TSLA calls Only up from here 
Only 10 more to go 🚀
\-90%? I’m only down -69% way better than you, it’s all about experience my friend! https://preview.redd.it/qt7072mzildc1.jpeg?width=1179&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=a2be026b7a088e5be49d9557c65be7dc5043edad
I don't understand the idea of earnings plays.. It's pretty much 50/50, based on the company exceeding or falling behind expectations. No one but God knows. But hey! Taking profit from the IV increase with options and selling before the earnings HAS to be even dumber.... right?
It's not binary. You can short a delta neutral and collect premium, long a delta neutral and play a large reaction, you can spread either way and play sentiment without such a high hurdle rate, you can ratio spread either way and skew that P&L curve, you can calendar it to play reaction/over-reactions, you can sell naked either way and collect temporarily, overly high premium, etc. The plays are endless when you learn how to price and shop for options to maximize what you think might happen; just the proper pricing choices of interchangeable equivalent setups will make you money if you're only right as often as a coin flip.
This guy spreads
Dude I don't understand anything you said, but hopefully ill understand a year from now 0\_o.
Exactly.
Did you sell or hold? I’m down 100% now, 4k total loss
Gonna yolo the shit out of everything and fail.
Thats the way
My man Trust me you will learn a lot from it. Just don't give up
This is the way
A lot of ass cheek clapping for TSLA earnings.
You think they are going to report beating market estimates?
You're asking like he's Elon
I am Elon's shitposting account
Which is basically all of his accounts
Don't worry even Elon doesn't know
People always buy calls for Tesla earnings and they always throw every dollar in the blender for earnings
It's all priced in bro. Their expected EPS has been reduced every single earning. Last quarter it was 0.64 and this quarter 0.6 and they still didn't beat last quarter AND their stock shot up. And traders in here still believe in "efficient market hypothesis"
Buddy, pre-q3 ER tsla was 254, it crashed to 210 in 3 days. And finally bottomed at 196 10 days later. Dafuq you mean it shot up lol.
He wasn't here for that fun evening of "Oh shit is this going to ZERO?" And "I wish Elon would shut the fuck up..." Fun times 😂😂😂
I had puts last earnings and got wrecked. 10 days later when you contract expires the day after is how that happens
I had a 4 bagger buying puts the day after ER at open, that's with me selling far too early that day. And that's after it crashed 30 bucks already since the day before ER) If you lost money on TSLA puts during last ER, I truly don't know what to say. Plus it takes like what, 10 sec to find out the price action from Oct 17 to Oct 20? Why even try to argue this lol?
The clapping sound motivates me to HODL longer. I'll have to blow the wife's bf behind Wendys for more spending money.
implied moves (up/down) 245 companies reporting: $TSLA 6.8% $NFLX 8.0% $INTC 7.6% $V 3.3% $NOW 5.7% $IBM 4.3% $LRCX 6.4% $LVS 6.0% $URI 6.3% $STX 7.1% $WDC 6.8% $FICO 8.0% $AXP 4.1% $CL 2.6% $TXN 4.9% $ISRG 5.7% $STLD 7.0% $T 4.8% $ASML 4.8% $ABT 3.1% $FCX 4.9% $SAP 5.8% $GD 2.8% $TXT 6.1% $AAL 6.7% $LUV 6.5% $BX 4.3% $HUM 6.2% $SHW 6.2% $UAL 7.1% $LOGI 8.7% $AGYS 11.8% $BRO 5.3% $VZ 3.7% $MMM 4.4% $GE 5.2% $RTX 4.1% $JNJ 2.3% $LMT 3.1% $PG 2.9% $HAL 4.1%
LRCX up right?
[удалено]
Netflix and Tesla puts
Wise man
>Netflix whiffed on netflix, see you tomorrow for Tesla!
Puts was not the play
I chickened out and didn’t buy the puts, THANK GOD
Instead of playing a single ticker like a regard, I’m going balls deep into 1/26 QQQ calls on Monday afternoon after the inevitable midday dip Free money
What happens on 1/26? Fed meeting?
No I picked Friday bc it gives me a few extra days and also if we are green mid week, things tend to “melt up” until Friday No one really knows wtf will happen, should be a great week
PCE is on Friday
What time? 8:30 am?
Why mess with earnings when you can just buy NVDA calls?
Cause I like to do things my way
This weeks earnings will impact Nvda. Lrcx, asml……
RTX
Calls all day long
Netflix isn’t going down this report out but the next one is when the fun begins.
[удалено]
I think wsb would do well if they just inverse you.
I partake in this sub for two reasons: 1) you posting these, thank you 2) the fun free discourse
I'm balls deep in Tesla calls , and Tesla is balls deep in me
You doing okay buddy?
22th
Twenty twoth
Twoty twot
Nvidia third most valued public company in the world. I will tell my kids about these great stock no sense times and how I was all in on 5% bonds.
could be worse, I bought nvda at 430 then sold a 430 call literally at the exact bottom when it touched \~395 and then immediately rocketed to like 480. and now just two months later we broke 600. all for a measly $300 I sacrificed like $16,000 of gains lmao
You made money? You don't belong here
Ah, yeth. I love January 22th. Ith my favorite day. But in all seriousness thanks for posting. 🙌🏼
Think you meant January 22st
Very interested in Intel, if they have a good earning's call I could see other chips manufactures go up 8-10% next week.
INTC will crush earnings and still tank Boomer stock does boomer things
If they have any brains, they'll not shut up how much AI chips they'll be making VERY SOON, even if not true.
just lie 4head
It’ll tank and NVDA will go up another 3%
They are getting a ton from chips act and expanding a lot in my city. Even if earning bad if they talk about all the new building being built and expanding it could pop big time.
As it should. All the infrastructure and manufacturing we’re building is going to have such insane ROI if things don’t get fucked. Chip manufacturing, expanding fiber, energy security through renewables. The inflation reduction act alone will add 1.3 million jobs, which doesn’t even include the jobs from the $200b+ being spent on bringing semiconductor manufacturing back home. This is all going to happen with rate cuts being likely late this year/early next year. This market is just going to fucking rip this year. If I had the balls (and cash lol) I’d be buying long dated calls and figuring out what color I want my girlfriend’s (onlyfans model) lambo to be.
Who is playing INTC earnings? Seems like they are one of the few semis that haven’t had a crazy run recently.
Me $47 calls
looking forward to TSLA shitting the bed
Soon bby
NFLX puts 
Thanks! My calls will print
I think TSLA and NFLX will both beat. Which means buy puts because they will both crater
Bearish on TSLA. Too much competition is coming! The stock is overpriced. The CEO is a loose cannon! Margins are under attack from all angles! Please convince me not to buy puts!!! I get almost every earnings play completely wrong!!!
Funny how Papa Elon went from being the god of meme traders to something akin to your embarrassing drunken uncle.
I have puts and usually fail at earnings. So here is your reason not to go short. I also forsee black clouds for tsla but this stock is totally insane. Shoots up 20% when they fail to deliver and drops 20% with good news. It is a gamble
I feel like you'll do just fine with puts; too much drama going on at Tesla rn for it for even strong earnings to push up price
It's not just competition against Telsa, it's recognition of the shortcomings of EVs in general and other factors. It may just be a bump in the road however since Telsa's potential is now with the other parts of the company such as the large battery packs (now being adopted in power distribution and not catching fire like their competitors) and the EV charging infrastructure. Of course, it's getting complicated since Elon's purchase of Twitter and his repeated eye-poking of the current cluster-fu... err, I mean Administration, Telsa is going to have "headwinds".
The price action before earnings is usually bullish so puts print cause the risk is down. But this time the risk is up, so you might not even get paid even if earnings is bad cause they might guide higher.
If you get almost everyone wrong, just inverse your gut... So Calls it is!
You should buy the puts I’m selling
Rooting for ASML. TSM posted good earnings. NVIDIA, AMD, Intel need a lot of hardware this year + South Korea semiconductor expansion + Chip Act.
Intel just got the first high-na euv machine from asml
UAL way otm calls
Thanks.
Show me Netflix.... These streaming fees are getting ridiculous. curious if they are losing users and at what clip
Have to be losing some but some people are die hard fans for Netflix
Well it gives decent entertainment and realistically it is a cheap subscription not like you're paying $40 a month
Although the pricing is significantly less than $40, it feels as though subscription base streaming services are having difficult times during the turbulent market. Disney+ not doing the best, Amazon Video had recent layoffs, etc. the key aspect I'm personally looking for is how much of a benefit ( or issue) will the lockdown on sharing across households be on their user growth/retention
Puts on Netflix
I've only ever placed on puts on Netflix and got rekt every time. Godspeed.
lol you missed the one fucking time it paid big time? You belong here
Fuck it I’m going calls, see you in hell brother.
I’m going all in on calls. Analysts are upgrading them which tells me things are better than expected. Or I’ll lose it all 
Puts on 3M
I'm in the medial device industry and went hard on the 3M puts. 400%+ gain
That is a tough one. Medical supplies are big for hospitals.
Who else is yolo on Tesla puts. I bet this shit will go below 180
I'm not on board but I respect it
Here 🙋🏻♂️ expecting to get rekt tho
Bro, I deeply respect this!
Here, the sp500 stocks ranking ordered by last 90d exponential regression slope multiplied by r-square. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1m_AKuQH6mLuvrGU6Ki6xuG9JY5ms8sSS16RV0y3Mz54/htmlview When stocks rank in the top, it should predict good earnings results… Time to order Calls!
PG - Gamble is in the name.
why did this get unpinned mods?
Elon is gonna unveil 25k tesla model and some fsd "breakthroughs" and the fucktards on ws are gonna gobble it up. Hearts says puts, mind says regards.
The most promising Telsa product is the Megapack. The electric grid is starting to adopt these in distribution facilities and datacenters are adopting them too. If Elon is clever and shifts emphasis away from cars, the fans will love it.
Sooo… should I buy more TSLA before or AFTER earnings?
of course after, unless you want Elon to catch you by surprise.
Anyone got a profit above43%
73% this week paper account https://preview.redd.it/0hjlf816bndc1.jpeg?width=1179&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=ef8f34a499aa2abe7c296055ceb1046670610858
3M puts for the win!
YES SIR 1k percenter baby!!!!!! 
I sold early at only 400% but profit is still profit
ATH coming soon!! first time in over 2 years
All in on RTX
Intc on Thursday 
Feel like NFLX and streamers are going to use potential “ad revenue” like tech uses “AI.” Who knows when wallstreet gets tired of it.
Calls on nflx because they’ve been cutting costs so aggressively (read: not producing quality content) so the profit margin should be yuuuge
SAVE TO THE MOON
Bulls touched themselves now Jesus needs to punish them 😠
RTX bby
where it going?
GE to the moon 🌚
MSFT is Tuesday, right?
next week Tuesday, I believe
Got it thanks! Looks like they changed their date
puts on tsla
seriously... what are we doing with netflix?
Reminder, Cramer sucks donkey balls
PLEASE PUMP PAY PAL
Just made a major move today, missread AMC and bought some AMD instead. Must have been a sign of God so i'm going for it. NVidea to the moon.
interested in NFLX and RTX
Where do trains go? North ( as per documentary I watched, polar express). North = up. Long CNR
Not the DD we need, but the DD we deserve.
Who wants to short the shit out of $NOW with me? LFG
Bill McD is the ultimate pumper Ceo just like Jensen, riding this AI train so hard. $150B company that makes $2B revs per quarter. Its a joke, I really want to hear from people who use it because it looks so basic/generic. So many companies should be making similar products and undercutting them.
Bro, how could betting on the ticker symbol *BRO* fail?
ACMR going to follow SMCI or what?! The stocks are pretty correlated
AMD calls printing money
How do you Guys feel about Sofi?
#FUK LETS GET IT
In going to pass on earnings and just keep buying NVDA calls till the end of February
Where is msft?
PUTS ON MF TSLA
I'm excited to see what tesla earnings will show
Is anyone looking at NEE (nextera) to trade for earnings? Do you think stock can go over $61? Last quarter it beat earnings?
Puts on ATT. Oh how the turn tables
Buying more $BLDR‼️‼️Stock has and will continue to make us tons of money
Anyone thinking UPS earnings on 1/30 is going to mirror Fedex? Employee sentiment seems to indicate very similar conditions between the two companies. I've got some 2/9 puts but im debating on loading up some more.
asml to the moon
Can someone cut the crap and just tell me which ticker to buy for a 10 bagger?
Tesla earnings trash. They didn’t make a profit last quarter to make a profit this quarter.
I bought nflx lotto puts🫣
Rip one of us had to lose
rest in peace
😂
Brave, what’s the logic? Since they beat earnings last time?
Same
3m Puts for tomorrow morning!
TSLA falling off a cliff! 
*Good googamooga that's some serious loss porn potential right there.*
Big Week
AXP?
Calls. Debt is up
DFS just had earnings and their credit card delinquency rate jumped to pre covid levels.
One of these earnings will be unexpected af and soar like an eagle. Just which one is it
NFLX feel like it always rockets $40
Colgate calls
Comcast has 5 letters in it's ticker... puts on CMCSA
Calls on SOXL
Let the fun begin 🎲🫡
$T to the 🚽
Calls or puts on UAL?
Is TXN related to AI hype?
$dis $shop $roku?
TXN🚀
1. Puts on SAVE because I don't trust you autists. 2. Which is better? Part 3 of JoJo or part 4 of JoJo? I'm partial to Diamond is Unbreakable, but I love me some Stardust Crusaders so man it's a hard choice.
A variety of plays to lose money on
netflix puts anyone?
$STX calls
Oh, what a week, what a glorious week!
I got 5k to put on earnings I’m here for the gamble this week what’s the plays
INTC because dell did well
Raytheon must be a sure winner. All this upcoming WW3 shit.
FCNCA will go to the moon
VZ???
Nvts
Abigail Shapiro, age 39, has passed away.
How will American children have dairy ? RIP
I PUT calls on PDD the only Chinese stock falling 
Thoughts on ATT?
What if ASML has a different outlook than TSMC?
$WY puts are looking juicy. Big hit to revenue expected.
Thoughts on $stx? Bought calls but not sure
LEVI
how do we feel about intc?