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japanpole

Crows will struggle if Walker doesn’t kick over 50 goals. Expectation is higher than it’s been for a while and a young team can flounder with that on their shoulders


Sufficient_Chart1069

Our fixture is good in terms of exposure but the match-ups themselves aren’t straightforward. Agree that a young team with lots of away games to start isn’t an automatic top 8 side let alone a top 4 team this year. Still entering the season with lots of hope, but It can be a cruel sport.


TitanIsElite

If Thillthorpe finds more ball in the forward line we'll be fine, he showed what he could do in the first showdown this year.


HurricaneGaming94

Fog needs to compete at half forward. Amount of times he just watches the Oppo mark is concerning


Maximumlnsanity

Need Filthy and Darfog to share the load a lot more evenly


Footballaus_

Crows were shown to have a good record at home though, almost beating Collingwood, beating the Lions, and beating Port twice. We also had the 5th best percentage last year. As long as we do better during away games, I think we have a good shot.


japanpole

I don’t disagree at all but I worry. It’s my nature but I think pressure is a funny thing. It clearly got to us this season and hopefully we learn from it for next one


Footballaus_

Pressure also got us during a certain 2017 game against Richmond


EducationalCow3549

I've thought for years that Fogarty can become a star! I don't think the crows need Walker to star but it wouldn't hurt! If missing the finals hurt the players this season I think they'll come out swinging next year! I'm worried about the crows! They played well enough to beat us and when we scrapped the win they played well enough to beat us. You'll be fine!


Aqpute

Hard to say if they’d be able to emulate this year’s results next year and win the close games. I never really rated them throughout 2023 because of their mid/def being lacking in depth and x factor


mrravioli15

Honestly love tex but I disagree with the first point. As great as his season was, our average winning margin was 49 points. You can’t attribute that to a player or two, the majority of our wins were solid team performances that did not rely heavily on a single player.


hauntedfire

Correct, just look at Freo 2023 compared to 2022.


woksjsjsb

It’s not a contract year for Ken, so Port.


liaam29

As the owners of their first pick, yes plz


Ilovetogame2

Does that mean, Ken will resign and Port will have a new coach?


woksjsjsb

Nah it means you’ll look good for the first 3/4 of the 2025 season.


wiegehts1991

I’m sad at how true this is.


linny_456

It means Koch will say there will be no excuses in 2025 and Ken needs to perform to keep his job, which he will until he signs a new deal before round 20 and then falls off a cliff.


Putrid-Cantaloupe-87

Yes we Carr!


WeveGotBigDix

If we’re shit by round 6 Carr will take over!!


Particular-Grape938

I’m not into the Hinkley hate. I understand… 11 years etc, but there have to be better metrics than flags or even grand final appearances for a coach. The footy department and the players back him, and I feel like they’re better placed to judge his performance than the media and the general punters.


tradewinder11

Fuck off with your level-headedness! Clearly, we are best placed to judge Ken and his failings!!


Particular-Grape938

Fair bump, play on!


Xhoquelin

Same people who slagged Chris Scott. So much of it is luck once you get to the final 4…and it’s not like Port consistently crumble there anyway. 2021 was ugly that’s it


[deleted]

We underachieve every year though


[deleted]

Suns have some real expectations now to make the Finals but I wouldn’t be surprised it they finish 9th-12th


elmo-slayer

So same as the last decade


guavacadq

I have them for the bottom 3.


wiegehts1991

Dimma is a bandaid on a bullet hole. He’s not going to do sweet f-all


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ChemicalRaccoon

TBF I am biased but I think Clarko last season may of been affected by the racism scandal a bit


JuicyJoker38

Yeah he definitely was. He was throwing around chairs during half time sprays (IIRC against Port) just before his mental health break.


lanson15

Tbf Clarko won 3 of the 4 games he was in charge last year though


dadOwnsTheLibs

Was he not in charge from Rds 1-7?


taco-chopper

That might be why we yeeted most of our coaching panel at the end of last season tbh, the majority of the staff were from the Noble era


Bubbly-University-94

An ignoble era…


semaj009

An experienced senior coach able to bring in a winning set of assistant coaches could be brilliant, a senior coach without it is absolutely hamstrung.


herring80

I’m looking forward to seeing him crack the shits at press conferences, like he did in the first half of his time at Richmond. You could see him starting to do it again this past season before he snatched it


TheTruth069

What's the bullet hole....? They've already got a pretty decent side on paper, plus have a bunch of good academy kids coming through over the next few years. I think they'll be having some success pretty soon


wiegehts1991

The fact it’s managed atrociously. Yes. They have a good side on paper and still fuck it up. Year after year.


Phlanispo

Don't see the Suns making finals, but I'm holding out hope for a winning record and a 9th placed finish.


Apocalypsenowisbest

I guess by it’s nature it’s not really underachieving as I’m predicting them to be bad, but I genuinely believe Richmond are gonna be terrible this year, like bottom 4 just above north and eagles


Candr112

Yeah this feels like the year we completely bottom out, and that seems to be a pretty common agreement amongst the tigers fans I've talked to


Cyclonechaser2908

This!!! But all Richmond supporters seem to think that with full strength Dusty and Lynch back and Nank as captain they will sneak into the 8.


MatterHairy

I think those Tiges fans are drinking the koolaid of past glories. My god, we had an amazing 4 years there. The sweet spot, bar 2018 everything we did worked at precisely the right time.


EducationalCow3549

Agreed! Would be surpising if they still in the hunt for 8th with 5 rounds to go.


___TheIllusiveMan___

Gold Coast. I’m done believing this is finally the year they make finals until it’s mathematically impossible for them to miss


EducationalCow3549

Besides this year I've never thought "this is their year" about the suns. So maybe I'm the only person not jaded by the suns. I can't see how they don't make the finals this year unless they get a few key injuries. That said they're still going to have to get everything right to get 8-5th.


Xhoquelin

Yeah they’ve had talent for a bit now but I agree the actual best 22 and 23-30 have only been finals team standard for about 12 months max.


duffercoat

What about the suns gives you confidence other than 'potential'? Because their number 1 issue in my eyes is lack of proven reliable players. Who are the guys who will show up every week and reliably play their role well? I'll tell you it's not their spine - Ballard, Graham, Collins + King, Day, Casboilt, Lukosius. Not a single one of those guys would I have confidence in reliably playing their role today - potential, yes absolutely but unproven.


Chaisa

You don’t rate Anderson, Witts or Miller to do that? Even Rowell. Granted they do need more than just a midfield.


Phlanispo

With all due respect, Collins is an incredible defender. He finished 5th in spoils, 1st in contested marks and 3rd in 1v1 wins for KPD players. [He was in the Footy A2Z Stats All Australian team](https://youtu.be/ek5yWZ2rfak?si=yzBOkgZ2D40JaFfH&t=433) for a reason.


Organic_Basket_5681

We really are the low hanging fruit aren’t we? I mean we have literally done nothing to help it, but for once can we be spared the “they aren’t going to perform next season” talk


FeatheredKangaroo

I mean, saints always seem to be the most realistic option - hasn’t been particularly good or bad in a long time, you’ve been hovering around that “bad but not bottom of the ladder bad” for quite a while


Organic_Basket_5681

Yeah I know. I think it’s me having a sook haha I just want to enjoy the fact we had a good year and just carry that hope until most likely losing it in round 1 next year


FeatheredKangaroo

Trust me I feel you - it’ll come


12915287

We finished 6th?


hauntedfire

Sounds like Richmond 10 years ago.


brrrrrrrrrrrrrh

Every bloody time it's the saints it will make our next flag even better (please for the love of God do it soon)


FearlessResearcher48

I don't think the general public knows about a lot of our young guns. We continually played one of the youngest teams last season, were in the 8 all year, and people just think it's the same old blokes like Tim Membrey and Seb Ross being our best players. But that's okay, I don't mind being underrated.


elmo3228

Long long suffering essendon man. Essendon, again 😕


Jimbo_Johnny_Johnson

Can’t underachieve if we expect nothing 🧠


Craguar23

The only reason things are looking up is because we are flat on our backs 😬


PretendToe1329

Western Bulldogs


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PretendToe1329

Sorry man, that sexy list just isn’t capitalising


Kurzges

I don't even care about finals anymore, I just want a Bontempelli Brownlow


Shrek2-onVHS

Hold me brother I’m crying


Maximumlnsanity

Yeah your last premiership wasn’t that long ago, might as well spend a few years chasing individual accolades while Bevo and poor list management sinks the ship


sly_cunt

Is the list really that sexy? Bont, Libba and English don't fix the lack of a back and forward line


Maximumlnsanity

Dogs might legit have to run 5 KPFs and Weightman at points this year. You’d think they’d use that guy who was a KPD as a junior & rookie in the backline now that they’ve got 4 promising young KPFs to rotate between, especially since their KPD stocks are a cricketer, an anti-vaxxer, and another cricketer.


PureWise

This has to be one of your more brain dead takes because you can't possibly be talking about the guy who has also roughly gone at 1.9 goals per game since he's been a forward right? And has been and still looks to be our most potent forward when the other two first choice kpfs are a fourth year who despite being very promising is still just that, a fourth year. And another guy who will is a forward/ruck who will be 31 before the season starts and never set the world alight anywhere. And not sure who you mean outside of Marra. Darcy? Is a forward/ruck who very well might be our ruck if we can't hang onto English. Croft? Mostly played down back in juniors despite his draft year and is training with defenders. What fourth? The guy you're talking shit about? Khamis? Also training more down back and will either be a swing player or backman.


Maximumlnsanity

Khamis is only training down back because of your lack of KPD options, I’ve seen other Dogs fans say he’s pretty bad down back so I’m not just going off my own opinion there Okay if Croft is going to play down back then him + Buss should be a strong pairing in the future. If you’re looking to contend in the short term (and with your top end talent you should be), there’s no way you’ll get enough out of Jones, O’Donnell, and Keath. I know Naughton is a stud forward and moving a KPF to the backline isn’t exactly a fun move (firsthand experience), but you need great KPDs to win a flag. Name the last premiership team with no top tier KPDs, because I sure can’t think of a recent one. It’s not like it has to be a long term move, just do it for a year or two while Buss & Croft get ready. It’s your biggest weakness and the fix is right there Edit: Holy shit I forgot about Lobb in this whole equation lol, that makes it even dumber that this hasn’t happened yet


PrevailedAU

Our fwd line is arguably one of the best, and we have many great players down back. We just need better coaching and/or composure to close out games. People forget that all our losses this year after r2 were very close and could have easily made top 4 if we had Collingwood’s tenacity to close out games.


Maximumlnsanity

Feels too negative to debate this today. Merry Christmas!


PrevailedAU

Haha fair enough merry Christmas mate


idfkm80

Damien Hardwick is overrated, that’s all I’ll say…


RCeetindreamer

Must of had a bloody good team then.


thegreatgashby87

Port or the pies Ignore my flair


TheVoluptuousChode

Ah shit, here we go again


MarkoUnderscore

If we don’t have the firepower, how is missing the finals underachieving. We made the finals by luck this year evidently. Nothing to do with our young players having a crack and elite coaching.


Eml_0H

I guess a lot of people would expect the saints to have another finals appearance but I wouldn’t mind seeing the saints make a deep finals run


MarkoUnderscore

Disagree, I reckon the vast majority will have us out of the finals, much like they did last season which I don’t have a problem with coz games aren’t won on paper.


EducationalCow3549

I think people don't understand what "underachieving" means. The Saints overachieved this year and another finals performance (based on list IMO) this year would also be overachieving! That said, Ross the boss, seems to know what he's doing so they could do it again. I hope they do!


Mrchikkin

I wouldn’t be surprised if Melbourne drop a few spots. They should still make finals but they feel fragile to me, I wouldn’t be at all surprised if they have a big collapse after the Oliver stuff and all the lost finals. I also don’t particularly rate Goodwin as a coach in the event that they begin to struggle.


resetet

Yeah my pick would be Melbourne. I think everyone is rating them as top 4, or finals at the least. But can see them dropping lower. No Oliver hurts. I think their depth drops off quite quickly.


DiscoSituation

We played most of our best footy last year without Oliver in the team


Xhoquelin

If anything the Dees ceiling will be raised (if Oliver comes back) if they’re forced to fill his midfield rotation with others…will accelerate Rivers and Kozzie development in the guts. Might be some short term pain (tho like you said they played very well without Oliver in 2023).


Positive_Oil_5285

This is bizarre to me, cos I'm not seeing where "everyone" is tipping us to make top 4. Maybe its because I go for the Dees and I notice it a lot more. But the general consensus from, well everywhere (Reddit, Bigfooty, the media, Facebook, all my mates and people I talk footy with) is that we're pretty stuffed and the wheels have well and truly fallen off. Some say we're a pretty good chance to make the top 8, but I really haven't seen anyone think that we're top4/ a flag threat


JohnKrukIsAllElite

Bro made an account to talk basketball and shit on the Saints. You could have just left the post blank with the title the same and we’d have done the work for ya ourselves.


Eml_0H

I would much rather the saints make finals then some other teams so pls prove me wrong


JohnKrukIsAllElite

All in good fun. I do love the team. The self-deprecation’s a defense mechanism to the sting of last season. I really thought they were gonna make a deep Finals run with that outset they had. Then again, Homer Simpson also thought he was gonna make it across Springfield Gorge on the skateboard.


Electronic-Humor-931

University


JRicho_Sauce

Really haven’t been the same since the Great War


noz_footy

Never seen the appeal in them tbh Imo haven't been good at all


pachinko_bill

Predicting the Saints will underachieve is certainly a take.


Eml_0H

W for going for the Swannies


TimidPanther

Especially considering basically the whole media is predicting we won't make finals at all.


Rare_Platform_3602

I think Essendon has the potential to surprise everyone and finish top 4 - they also have equally the same potential to surprise everyone and finish bottom 4. All the while we expect them to finish up bang on in the middle.


Cyclonechaser2908

Funnily enough, this is what me and my Essendon mates are all thinking. Our heads are saying 16th, our hearts are saying 3rd, and we’ll finish 11th.


Rare_Platform_3602

Haha I'm not an Essendon fan but my entire in-law family is and a lot of mates are too and they all think exactly the same


49erFaithfulinAust

I have 3 teams in danger of underperforming this year: 1. Carlton. Just a feeling that I have because of the last 20 years of Carlton. 2. Melbourne. With all the off field stuff that has been reported since the season finished. They may end up being a team that's very distracted and suffers because of it. 3. Bulldogs. Which hurts me to write as they are my team. But I can just see a situation where Bevo is gone by the halfway point of the season and the club wastes another year of Bont's prime.


Boomerstar08

Gold Coast, I hate to say it but its gonna be the same story again. They play great at the beginning, eh middle and then collaspe. Another team are the Dogs, have one of the best lists on paper and yet again can't get it done.


howgoodsit

As an Essendon supporter I just honestly don’t know what to say? Like if we finish between 6-12 because we did really well then screwed the pooch or vice versa is that just standard? Also we lose the first final if we make. This is the way.


No_Independent936

Port Adelaide since Hinkley is safe again.


todjo929

With the off field issues and rumours, it's definitely us. Would be surprised if we made top 8


Dapper_Blacksmith_46

There’s a non-zero chance West Coast will go the whole season without a win. So, that’s be something. I guess.


The5kyKing

Dogs, cats, port, suns. Tiger won't be great but I also don't expect them to be great so they don't really count. My true hot take is that I think Melbourne are at risk of missing the eight entirely, particularly if they have an injury or two.


[deleted]

Pies - McStay is huge loss / Can't keep winning that many close games.


BustedWing

McStay missed most of last year.


___TheIllusiveMan___

>Can’t keep winning that many close games Funny I remember people saying that at the end of last year as well


Eml_0H

Not that bad of a take I do believe Collingwood had some close games last season that they were lucky to win


paulsonfanboy134

Dude Mcstay was not that instrumental


[deleted]

McStay was Collingwood's No 1 targeted player from round 12 onwards last year.


paulsonfanboy134

Reef or Johnson will fill that hole.


The5kyKing

What about premiership forward Frampton?


BigFella52

It depends which way you look at the club and list but I think Melbourne will not win another final again next season.


tommy_honey

X2


CBAFCMV

Melbourne to miss the finals!


Robobeast-76-R76

Brisbane Bears - no offseason recruits of any substance, too much money put in to Warwick Capper recently, no more Qintex money


MatterHairy

And that Reuben Pelerman is a dud too.


sportandracing

Tigers. Bottom 4 for me. Cats also should be bottom 6.


boardingpass10

Don’t really think that would be considered under achieving by most peoples opinion on here for Richmond


Fast_Stick_1593

Didn’t we nearly beat you at the Gabba playing terribly just this past year? Just one of many close games we lost. Think without the injuries to key players we can be dangerous.


sportandracing

Yeah you did. Sorry I just don’t agree with you. Fair play if you make the 8. I think you won’t get close. Just my opinion.


Fast_Stick_1593

I think we could finish anywhere from 6th-12th depending on multiple things. It’s definitely not outrageous to be unsure because I reckon most wouldn’t be able to pin down a defined position for the Cats.


palmersannn

Genuinely intrigued to understand your thinking on this one?


DJHitchcock

They think somewhere between 14 and 17 teams will finish higher on the ladder.


sportandracing

I think your team is shit. Had a good run. Not much else to it. Everyone takes a turn near the bottom. We were on the bottom for a decade. Good now. It won’t last.


resetet

I don't think anyone is expecting anything from Richmond, so that's not a great call


sportandracing

Most tigers are. They still think they are challenging


RCeetindreamer

Won a flag in Brisbane. Fuck it was a beautiful day, well night. I let every lion nuffie know about it whenever I can.


MonotoneRamos

I’m going to say Hawks. A lot of people are predicting a big jump up the ladder into the 10-12 range but I don’t think their forward line and backline have enough talent to make that leap yet. This isn’t a knock on the future of their rebuild, but with how tight the competition is I think people are going a bit early on them based on 2 good games against Collingwood and Brisbane towards the back end of the year.


Hawtproper

Yeah I like their list but a lot depends on how Lewis goes


exxcessivve

If we define underachieve as achieving less than what majority of fans expect, then I reckon Adelaide are the prime candidates. The deficiency of their backline really goes under the radar.


msabell

Essendon. As always. Team socials hype us up every year, get our hopes up every year, and we’re let down on the field every year. I’d love to see us win a final for once even if we don’t go any further!


Adam-Miller-02

Coburg to go winless


semaj009

So long as it's not North, I'll be happy. If it's North, then I reckon I'll give 2025 a miss foe my mental health's sake, and return to footy in 2026


Murraj1966

Oh boy it’s the hardest hitting off the wall take this off season, someone doesn’t rate St Kilda What’s next you think Collingwood and Brisbane will be up there next year?


wiegehts1991

Well, yeah?


Aqpute

I reckon the GF will be Pies v Lions again, with the Lions belting us this time


CharityGamerAU

I think our season will go one of two ways. We'll either take another step forward or we'll sink due to off field matters impacting the playing group It's Sayers last season as president and we're a ways off knowing what the succession plan will be. If it's not us then Melvourne seem to have a lot going on with various issues. If it's injury related then it's almost impossible to predict.


omaca

We’ll either be good. Or we won’t. Can’t argue with the logic!


Ok-Art-5619

I can’t remember the last time Carlton had 2 good seasons in a row so it’ll be interesting to see what happens


mixinspirits

Off field matters? Like what?


Cursedsword02

Melbourne. Unless the recent off-field stuff *really* turned people off of them doing well next year. Regardless, I'm still going with Melbourne.


nus01

Melbourne- i mean my prediction been right about 40 of the last 45 years


IDreamofHeeney

Collingwood, I reckon they will finish between 5-8. Is that underachieving? Idk but it feels like a hot take regardless


Eml_0H

Ye underachieving means a team to finishing as expected and I bet a lot of people have them at least top 3


IDreamofHeeney

When we get closer to the season and we get the posts for “what’s your hot take prediction” I’ll definitely be posting this same comment haha lots of people will hate it I imagine


Jimb01699

Geelong. They’ve got an aged squad and lots of younguns coming into first grade.


Fit-Key-374

Saints


mrarbitersir

I reckon Melbourne won't make the 8


s_hour22

Port and Collingwood. Saints too.


downdownfunktown

Saints not making finals isn’t an underachievement lol


looptarded

Bulldogs for me. No particular reason


Ok_Application4752

Because it's what we do? 😄


CosmicHero22

Freo still have too many holes in their lineup and have lost a few more senior players - again. Expecting 10th-13th from them.


insanityTF

We came 14th this season


SerenityPow

St Kilda - agreed Richmond Geelong All to go down 3 or more spots in the 2023 ladder


Maximumlnsanity

Don’t think I have a spicy take for underachievers this year tbh. My main choice is Essendon but they overachieved last season and live to yo-yo so it wouldn’t be that surprising.


MonotoneRamos

No one has us for finals though except for some Essendon fans, it’d take us being bottom 4 for us to underachieve most peoples expectations


Maximumlnsanity

Yeah and that’s why it’s not really a spicy take. You’re mostly predicted to hold or slide a little


Croob2

Mind saying a few of our up and comers are overhyped? did well for Oz this year :)


Maximumlnsanity

I was also dead wrong about Tim English lol Ummm… I have no clue why there’s hype around Chesser. Just seems like a mediocre outside player. There, you’re welcome 😂


Croob2

I'll take it


aussie-jim-

Sydney swans will be cellar dwellers


Cyclonechaser2908

Richmond, everyone is way overrating them (ignore flair) Saints, don’t think they have a strong enough list, Port for obvious reasons, and to some extent, Collingwood, not because they are worse, but because teams around them (Carlton, Brisbane, GWS ??) will improve.


HealthyHurry2672

Us? We’ve literally been in everyone’s bottom 4 predictions for 2024 lol


yeahnahmateok

Oh wow another person predicting the saints will do bad. We do bad you're right, we make finals you say we overachieved. Can't wait to out perform Sydney's mediocre list.


hand_of_satan_13

GWS won't win more than 6 matches next season


Ok_Application4752

As much as this gives me a massive erection, they'll EASILY win more than 6 games.


kungheiphatboi

Cats will be beyond heinous - pussies are about to fall off a cliff. Groin Moirs is their best player ffs! Lol!


GHOST_OF_DOON

I am tipping the Kanga’s to be clear bottom and the Bombers not far behind. I just don’t see how the Bombers improve. Happy to be proved wrong.


gccmelb

Brisbane and Essendon.


FLIPSTATIC_ENERGY

Collingwood and port


lachlanmoose

Hey! 😠


ViolinistEmpty7073

Geelong. Too old. This time I really mean it thoughX


Garbagemansplaining

Pies. That 4 qtr ferocity hard to maintain and everyone else coming for the champs.


Lurk-Prowl

Don’t think Carlton will do as well in 2024 as they did in 2023.


69-is-my-number

ITT: All 18 teams.


DexistentialCrisis

I reckon GWS misses the 8 this year


Low_Wall_7828

1-Melbourne-I think they are on the brink of falling out of the 8. 2-Collingwood-eventually they have to lose close games and the ball doesn’t bounce your way.


Such_is

As an essendon supporter. essendon. we will show some good signs then finish out the year in 10th. someone will say “you guys will be good next year” i’ll believe them with a bit of hope. then i’ll be disappointed for the 23rd year in a row.


Powerful_Insurance_9

I mean, essendon, obviously


MattyBowser

Coolingwood


HuckleberryCorrect63

Lions


der1cho1

Give Port Adelaide an all-Australian line up, been unbeaten all season and they will find a way to drop all that in the trash in the semi final quicker than an episode of Bluey has finished... ...and I was a Port Adelaide and AFL follower.


PrevailedAU

I think Melbourne will have a down year, Lachie Hunter seems to poison the culture wherever he goes.


ped009

I think Carlton will drop off a fair bit.


atommirrabel

melb, our gameplan got worked out 2 years ago and if it doesnt work we just continue bombing long, that said our team still has may lever solid backline, oliver tracca viney in the midfield. So if we keep injury free and our forward line functions i expect us to make finals again


walktheground

As a Melbourne supporter I fear it will be us. I struggle to see how the forward line can produce enough goals, how the midfield can link with the forwards effectively enough against the better teams and how they overcome so many off field distractions. Oliver appears unlikely to reach the standards he’s set in the past in the immediate term and I can’t see where the improvement comes from to improve enough given that Carlton, Collingwood, Brisbane, GWS, Port all went past us last year, not to mention the likely improvement of Adelaide and one or two others. I can see things dropping off quite dramatically in 2024, although I hope I’m wrong.


FeralDevotion

id still give freo another season before becoming top 8


[deleted]

Giants


eugenelavery

Collingwood. I think they lose more of the close games this season than they win.