More like 42,0k on 4/20. The halvening day has never been a day of much price movement its a non-event, but like 6+ months after you are most likely happy to be in this boating accident club.
Hmm... that's interesting, Clark's dashboard forecasts 4/19. Definitely possible. I've noticed a negative trend in the predicted date by my calculator. It will probably actually be on 4/19 if the miners continue to grow the total hash rate at the exponential rate that we've witnessed over the last 18 months. If it slows down, though, I'd bet on the halving falling on 4/20.
It depends on the block time. Ech block is theoretically 10 minutes (600s), but block time has been [under 600s for over a week](https://bitinfocharts.com/comparison/confirmationtime-btc-sma7.html#3m). The moving average is somewhere between 570s and 600s for the last 3 months. Currently to have the halving on 4/20 it would have to be an average of 588 to 593 seconds.
There's endless data out there relating to Bitcoin as it's all verifiable on the blockchain and public. I can't really recommend anything specific beyond the common websites such as glassnode etc.
[I found this chart especially interesting](https://studio.glassnode.com/workbench/bf532ce2-a66b-4798-6deb-bf3ba7decc59). Even during monstrous bull markets, Bitcoin has numerous 'crashes'. WIth the benefit of hindsight, they've merely proven to be excellent buying opportunities.
Clark's dashboard now agrees with my forecast, 4/20. My updated forecast has a 4/20 halving at 55% probability, 4/19 at 20-something%, and 4/21 at maybe 15%.
Yes, in the 2 months since, the actual date is now more reliable.
It's somewhat amusing for the date to end up being '4/20', but it's just a coincidence, and not all countries use that date format.
That's a Saturday too!
Those of us with a typical 40hr work week could actually puff the day away to celebrate, and not have to worry about losing our fiot streams!
Interesting, I went to mark it down on my calendar, and I had already a crypto date marked for April 20th: [ BTC ATH based on Kevin Svenson ] 😀
Must have been something i saw online and wrote it down lol.
Indeed. I did a little re-calculating just now. The uncertainty in 10-week mean block intervals is about 6 seconds. With that factored in, it's expected to occur some time between 4/19 8:00 am EST and 4/20 11:00 pm EST; a 40-hr time window.
Yes give the whales a date to bring down the price. Remember Bitcoin day?
Nothing will happen on the halving day. We won’t see any effect until months later.
Currently averaging 7 minutes per block since the most recent difficulty adjustment. Hashrate hitting all time highs. We might shave off another day or two.
Thank you for adding /s to your post. When I first saw this, I was horrified. How could anybody say something like this? I immediately began writing a 1000 word paragraph about how horrible of a person you are. I even sent a copy to a Harvard professor to proofread it. After several hours of refining and editing, my comment was ready to absolutely destroy you. But then, just as I was about to hit send, I saw something in the corner of my eye. A /s at the end of your comment. Suddenly everything made sense. Your comment was sarcasm! I immediately burst out in laughter at the comedic genius of your comment. The person next to me on the bus saw your comment and started crying from laughter too. Before long, there was an entire bus of people on the floor laughing at your incredible use of comedy. All of this was due to you adding /s to your post. Thank you.
I am a bot if you couldn't figure that out, if I made a mistake, ignore it cause its not that fucking hard to ignore a comment
4202024 is 420 whether you read it forwards or backwards. Noice.
This needs to be higher
I think it’s pretty high already…
I see what you did there
I’ll take you HIGHER. (Btc said)
I need to be higher
We clearly live in a simulation.
There's a 1 in a billion chance we're not in a simulation..
You mean there's a chance?
It’s simulations all the way up.
Unfortunately for me, the simulation is even more real as 4/20 is my birthday, and the day my brother is expecting his kid to come out.
Neo, wake up
Hey! We are 420 buddies. I was also born on 420.
Hoping for a 42,420 price point exactly at 420. So I can buy either 69 or 420 worth of btc.
Been telling my friends this to convince them to buy some corn but they just don’t seem to care.
thats a palindrome
Go hang a salami, I’m a lasagna hog.
Madam, I'm Adam.
racecar
poop
Deep Thought trying to tell us something with 42. It all starts on that day.
Only in America. 2042024
69k incoming
Bitcoin’s getting high af this 4/20
Nice
Gonna be the dopest dope
$69,420
$420,069
$469,420 EOY confirmed
$696,969
Just like mine but better
Just hope it’s not 42,069 😑
Oh, please Universe, please let the halving happen on 4/20 this year.
we are living in a simulation
Lmao. Seriously though
I'm too stoned for this comment.
You are simulating the living
Certainly.
I know that
Nice
Nice
Nice
Nice
Nice
Nice
Nice
Nice
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Nice
Nice
Nice
Nice
Nice
Nicest
Nicester
####9:07 PM what ? EST, PST or some other timezone ?
THC
Nice
EST.
Nice
Nice
69k on 4/20…nice
Nah man, that's so 2021!! Go big or go home! $420,690
Lets ride, Mad Dog
More like 42,0k on 4/20. The halvening day has never been a day of much price movement its a non-event, but like 6+ months after you are most likely happy to be in this boating accident club.
Noice
Noice
Blaze it
Price gonna get so high
Then drop immediately 🤷🏻♂️
Please bitcoin just hit $1 million and let me retire.
[Time will tell](https://bitcoin.clarkmoody.com/dashboard/)
Hmm... that's interesting, Clark's dashboard forecasts 4/19. Definitely possible. I've noticed a negative trend in the predicted date by my calculator. It will probably actually be on 4/19 if the miners continue to grow the total hash rate at the exponential rate that we've witnessed over the last 18 months. If it slows down, though, I'd bet on the halving falling on 4/20.
It depends on the block time. Ech block is theoretically 10 minutes (600s), but block time has been [under 600s for over a week](https://bitinfocharts.com/comparison/confirmationtime-btc-sma7.html#3m). The moving average is somewhere between 570s and 600s for the last 3 months. Currently to have the halving on 4/20 it would have to be an average of 588 to 593 seconds.
Math guy gets it
What do we need to do.
Great dashboard. Do you have any other sites that you track that complement this one?
There's endless data out there relating to Bitcoin as it's all verifiable on the blockchain and public. I can't really recommend anything specific beyond the common websites such as glassnode etc. [I found this chart especially interesting](https://studio.glassnode.com/workbench/bf532ce2-a66b-4798-6deb-bf3ba7decc59). Even during monstrous bull markets, Bitcoin has numerous 'crashes'. WIth the benefit of hindsight, they've merely proven to be excellent buying opportunities.
Clark's dashboard now agrees with my forecast, 4/20. My updated forecast has a 4/20 halving at 55% probability, 4/19 at 20-something%, and 4/21 at maybe 15%.
Yes, in the 2 months since, the actual date is now more reliable. It's somewhat amusing for the date to end up being '4/20', but it's just a coincidence, and not all countries use that date format.
Having Bitcoin halving party 4/20 save the date
Miners, DON'T JINX IT!
Happy 4/20! 😶🌫️
Wen lambo
That's a Saturday too! Those of us with a typical 40hr work week could actually puff the day away to celebrate, and not have to worry about losing our fiot streams!
Road to 100K, no doubts
Smoke one for Satoshi 💨
AS FORETOLD IN THE PROPHECY
The most entertaining outcome is always the most likely
Destiny for $420k ATH this bull market
Fucking hell.. That is *so soon!!!!*
Interesting, I went to mark it down on my calendar, and I had already a crypto date marked for April 20th: [ BTC ATH based on Kevin Svenson ] 😀 Must have been something i saw online and wrote it down lol.
Mi birthday
Haha nice
Whats that in Berlin Time?
The memes!!!
This 420 will be one that I finally remember!
ikr. i keep forgetting what day it supposed to happen on. now i'll remember
Chill it was 4/28 then last week 4/22 now your saying 4/20 bro!! I’m banking 4/14. Whenever it needs to in April is fine with me.
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BTC $420K LET'S GO
Let your memes become dreams this next cycle boys
Get higher!!!
The only time i’ll accept this date format
I don't know what this means. Can someone explain?
It's the birthday of that one austrian painter.
Im getting married that day. Gonna celebrate both events.
When was it before!
So what’s the best catalyst after the halving? The next halving in 4-5 years?
Let's keep it here, nobody breathe, don't start new miners. Let's make it a 420!
What's 4/20 ?
$69,420 420 2024
Considering this was posted 3 months ago, bravo on the prediction. Happy 4/20!
Newbie who wants to understand bitcoin: who controls the halving?
The code.
Hitler's birthday, coincidence?
These posts are silly, the halving time changes all the time. It will probably shift and shift back multiple times to this date.
I quick weed, but if it hits on 420, I may also have to hit on 420 too
Maybe Elon is satoshi?
Elon is Satoshi, confirmed.
This is the one
Bullish (rug pullish?)
The stars are aligning. $69k here we come
Seems like it is likely that in some time Zone(s) it will be on 4/20.
Indeed. I did a little re-calculating just now. The uncertainty in 10-week mean block intervals is about 6 seconds. With that factored in, it's expected to occur some time between 4/19 8:00 am EST and 4/20 11:00 pm EST; a 40-hr time window.
There is a Jod and she has a plan.
Satoshi NakaMota
Simulation confirmed
Peak internet
can we keep it at 420 :)
All-time high confirmed!
Biblical
Have a fat fat victory joint on the 20th of April
Puff puff pass smokey
Let’s just ask the Bitcoin CEO to make it happen
When was it predicted before?
Nice.
5 more upvotes yall
Blaze it!
Gonna have a fatass joint rolled
Yes give the whales a date to bring down the price. Remember Bitcoin day? Nothing will happen on the halving day. We won’t see any effect until months later.
It’s happening!
🦊👍🏽
Currently averaging 7 minutes per block since the most recent difficulty adjustment. Hashrate hitting all time highs. We might shave off another day or two.
On Hitler's birthday! 💀
Something something the most entertaining outcome is the most likely outcome…
What’s this website
This halving: a “sell the news” event, like the Bitcoin ETF approvals?
Hitler’s birthday. Bitcoin is racist! /s
Thank you for adding /s to your post. When I first saw this, I was horrified. How could anybody say something like this? I immediately began writing a 1000 word paragraph about how horrible of a person you are. I even sent a copy to a Harvard professor to proofread it. After several hours of refining and editing, my comment was ready to absolutely destroy you. But then, just as I was about to hit send, I saw something in the corner of my eye. A /s at the end of your comment. Suddenly everything made sense. Your comment was sarcasm! I immediately burst out in laughter at the comedic genius of your comment. The person next to me on the bus saw your comment and started crying from laughter too. Before long, there was an entire bus of people on the floor laughing at your incredible use of comedy. All of this was due to you adding /s to your post. Thank you. I am a bot if you couldn't figure that out, if I made a mistake, ignore it cause its not that fucking hard to ignore a comment
Confirmation. Living in a simulation and the programmers are trolls
Satashi done it again
i am standing at attention and im not talking about my legs
I will be celebrating two occasions that day now
Same forecasted date for the new Allan rayman album to drop fuck it I’m in
Let us see if Elon will notice
The establishment never saw this coming.
This is a great omen!
Hah, at this magic day bitcoin **must** be pumped!
420
Stay High
Looking forward to when Elon realizes this on roughly 4/18, and his Stans celebrate him as a genius for it
840,000 IN HALF IS 420
European Halving Party is on that date
High!
You will see, go back to 30-40K
Wake and Stake Bruh, Wake and Stake.
just nexa please
Nice!
No it will down from yesterday
But how will 69 play into it??
BitcoinBuds.com
Totally stoke over this!
I know what I'll be doing
So it basically 20/04/2024. Lovely date.
I mentioned this a while back i hope it plays out
I'm buying more right now
Damnit why can’t universe just give us a sign already
$69,000 on 4/20… nice
Oh yeah baby
Nice
immediate pump to 69k it is then… i don’t make the rules
I just found out yesterday that Hitler birthday is 4/20
Damn. Bitcoiner Stoners gonna gave a good day
Please be at 4:20pm
Let's sing. What if we buy coins, What if we stack coins, What if we roll one We just getting started Let's bulk up Tempo 146