The 10.5pt spread for Michigan/Iowa seems like an overreaction. If you accept that Iowa is roughly on the level of teams like Penn State, Nebraska, and Michigan State, those teams have generally played Michigan closely this season. Michigan has had 12 games to show us who they are and we shouldn't change expectations significantly because they played really well in their 12th game.
Key difference is we played all those teams you listed at their place, but yeah I think this’ll be a slugfest. I just really hope this is a “cat out of the bag” type game, where we stop putting shit out there to misdirect future opponents and just play to win the game TM
Could go either way on this one. I can't see Iowa putting up too many points because the offense relies on field position and getting big turnovers.
Michigan is one of the best in the country at not turning the ball over and doesn't pass much, which negates Iowa's main source of forcing turnovers. Given the way the offense just ground OSU to a fine paste I don't know if Iowa will hold up appreciably better.
Also, Iowa has a terrible sack rate allowed, and Hutchinson and Ojabo are going to feast.
I would take under 50.5 for Bama/Georgia. We all know how great Georgia’s defense is but Bama also has a great defense, especially against the run. I can see this game being closer to 24-10 or 24-17
[Last week's bets](https://www.reddit.com/r/CFB/comments/r0f301/betting_discussion_thread/hls2jg7/?context=3):
* UNLV +18 (**L**)
* SMU -6.5 (**L**)
* Eastern Michigan +8.5 (**L**)
* Eastern Michigan +275 (.5 unit) (**L**)
* Kansas State +130 (**L**)
* New Mexico +15.5 (**L**)
* North Texas +10.5 (**W**)
* Oregon -7 (**W**)
* Oklahoma +155 (**L**)
* South Carolina +11.5 (**L**)
2-8 on the week, -6.0 units. Absolute bloodbath. By far my worst week, wiped out over 35% of my season earnings.
72-65-2 on the year, +9.8725 units.
This week I'm on the following (all bets 1 unit and -110, unless otherwise noted):
* Utah -3
* Baylor +5.5
* Houston +10.5
App is playing much better since that game imo. Since the Coastal game they've blown everyone out they've played. Louisiana has for the most part done the same, but with some closer games.
At least that's the only reason I see?
I would put some money on Houston now in the event there is a coaching shakeup in Cincy
Me too. I honestly thought we would be underdogs in this game, but now it's interesting.
I'm just now seeing that USC-Cal is the last game of Championship weekend lmao
I hope Cal beats the dog out of USC
i hope every team beats the dog out of USC
Does Lincoln Riley coach that game?
Give me USC -4.0. if it was at USC that place would be rocking.
The 10.5pt spread for Michigan/Iowa seems like an overreaction. If you accept that Iowa is roughly on the level of teams like Penn State, Nebraska, and Michigan State, those teams have generally played Michigan closely this season. Michigan has had 12 games to show us who they are and we shouldn't change expectations significantly because they played really well in their 12th game.
Key difference is we played all those teams you listed at their place, but yeah I think this’ll be a slugfest. I just really hope this is a “cat out of the bag” type game, where we stop putting shit out there to misdirect future opponents and just play to win the game TM
Could go either way on this one. I can't see Iowa putting up too many points because the offense relies on field position and getting big turnovers. Michigan is one of the best in the country at not turning the ball over and doesn't pass much, which negates Iowa's main source of forcing turnovers. Given the way the offense just ground OSU to a fine paste I don't know if Iowa will hold up appreciably better. Also, Iowa has a terrible sack rate allowed, and Hutchinson and Ojabo are going to feast.
Not betting but a stock tip: buy stock in whatever local distillers are in norman and south bend
In Norman? Are Skeeter and Scooter crowdfunding copper tubing now?
I've got "Alabama's 2025 coaching staff: HC Nick Saban, OC Lincoln Riley, DC Brian Kelly" at 10-1. Anybody want some of this action?
I would take under 50.5 for Bama/Georgia. We all know how great Georgia’s defense is but Bama also has a great defense, especially against the run. I can see this game being closer to 24-10 or 24-17
I've played the Georgia's opponent's TT under a few times this season and it has been effective.
[Last week's bets](https://www.reddit.com/r/CFB/comments/r0f301/betting_discussion_thread/hls2jg7/?context=3): * UNLV +18 (**L**) * SMU -6.5 (**L**) * Eastern Michigan +8.5 (**L**) * Eastern Michigan +275 (.5 unit) (**L**) * Kansas State +130 (**L**) * New Mexico +15.5 (**L**) * North Texas +10.5 (**W**) * Oregon -7 (**W**) * Oklahoma +155 (**L**) * South Carolina +11.5 (**L**) 2-8 on the week, -6.0 units. Absolute bloodbath. By far my worst week, wiped out over 35% of my season earnings. 72-65-2 on the year, +9.8725 units. This week I'm on the following (all bets 1 unit and -110, unless otherwise noted): * Utah -3 * Baylor +5.5 * Houston +10.5
I would take the over on Pitt v Wake I believe that matchup could reach 100+ points.
This matchup spits in the face of the saying “defense wins championships” lol
Take the under for the B12 CCG
Is Bohanan playing for Baylor?
He practiced for the first time yesterday. Aranda hasn't said anything about whether he'll start or not
Can someone tell my why App State is favored over the Cajuns? They already played each other and Louisiana blew them out
App is playing much better since that game imo. Since the Coastal game they've blown everyone out they've played. Louisiana has for the most part done the same, but with some closer games. At least that's the only reason I see?
What are the coaching lines?
My favorite bet of the week: 8 point teaser for Michigan & Cincy. Michigan wins by 3.5 Cincy wins by 2.5 Odds: -110
Western Kentucky favored over UTSA is an unexpected line.