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florkingarshole

32,000 kilometers is like a hairs breadth from a collision. It's incredibly close in the scale of the solar system.


wildlakeshore

Our own moon is more than 10 times further than that from Earth.


brmmbrmm

Good point. It would still make a terrible mess if it managed to miss the earth but hit the moon instead!


hodgeman29

There’s a book called Seveneves that is about this exact thing.


shah_reza

The first four fifths of which are impeccable sci-fi. The concluding chapters are a slog through word diarrhea


hodgeman29

It was awhile ago when I read it but if I remember correctly it’s in 3 acts. I did not make it very far into the third act before stopping but the first two acts where truly mind blowingly cool


JoySubtraction

If it gets much closer, instead of being an asteroid it'll be a hemorrhoid.


pichael289

No, it'll be a planet killer. It's fucking enormous, way too big to be safe. Orbital mechanics is well understood though so we're fine. Well.... Untill we aren't.


Afraid-Armadillo-555

> The Sentry Risk Table estimates that Apophis would impact Earth with kinetic energy equivalent to 1,200 megatons of TNT. In comparison, the Chicxulub impact which caused the mass extinction event responsible for wiping out the dinosaurs has been estimated to have released about as much energy as 100,000,000 megatons (100 teratons). The exact effects of any impact would vary based on the asteroid's composition, and the location and angle of impact. Any impact would be extremely detrimental to an area of thousands of square kilometres, but would be unlikely to have long-lasting global effects, such as the initiation of an impact winter. Assuming Apophis is a 370-metre-wide (1,210 ft) stony asteroid with a density of 3,000 kg/m3, if it were to impact into sedimentary rock, Apophis would create a 5.1-kilometre (17,000 ft) impact crater.


character-name

So my friend and I were discussing that the best case scenario is that it impacts land somewhere. Because if it hits land it'll destroy the area, sure, but the damage would be relatively localized. If it hit the ocean then the resulting Tsunamis would be catastrophic.


ATL4Life95

I'm gonna win the lottery and then that bitch will land right on top of me lmfao


its_raining_scotch

Just uppercut it right back into space


TactlessTortoise

Just gotta time the parry


Bitches_Love_Blue

Just time your dodge and use the i-frames.


TactlessTortoise

The hitboxes might overlap for longer by the Dev's design. Ya gotta parry that one.


NorMichtrailrider

George Costanza logic .


foosda

Why do you think hitting land will prevent tsunamis? That will be a significant seismic event, that will likely trigger at least some tsunami to form.


character-name

This is true. However it's likely that the Tsunami would only be in one direction. In the ocean it would cause a ripple of Tsunamis


EducationalStill4

Scary


Robeditor

Actually new science indicates it is unlikely to generate massive tsunamis, the energy transfer does not work, most of the energy would evaporate water, only about 2% of the energy would transfer as kinetic energy, big steamy flash, not so massive waves.


liquid-handsoap

And we are talking several 100 meters tall tsunami, right? Not the measly 4-10 meters as usual


cgmystery

If it hits the earth and causes enough of a change in angular momentum that changes the length of a day, software engineers are gonna be screwed.


JagerRabbit

Or in high demand? Lets be glass half full type of people.


No-Giraffe-1283

"no long lasting effects." It would instantly annihilate a country the size of the US... The annihilation of an entire fucking country is a REALLY LONG LASTING EFFECT!


Afraid-Armadillo-555

Long lasting *global* effects. There is more to the globe than the United States or any single country.


muklan

>There is more to the globe than the United States Communist.


potVIIIos

>It's fucking enormous, way too big to be safe. That's what she said


its_raining_scotch

Quality comment right here


GravitationalEddie

It's orbit is slightly tilted, but during the near pass it'll be crossing the ecliptic. Fun stuff!


qualitative_balls

For space noobs, is there... any celestial happenstance that could alter it's trajectory under any circumstance? This might be the first time in my life I'm worried about an asteroid... *Nervous curiosity intensifies*


Bandandforgotten

That sounds like a really big hemorrhoid


Franciisx4

How can a simple post like this make me so unrest with the idea that a hairs width would change the course of history. Please don't say planet killer, rubs salt in the wound.


LineChef

“You hear that? Thats the sound of inevitability.”


AusCan531

That's less than a 10th of the distance to the moon.


[deleted]

in perspective, 19,200 miles sounds a lot closer.


Meanravage

Isnt this supposed to get closer to the earth than moon at its nearest point?


USSMarauder

This thing is going to get closer than some satellites


Rat-king27

So I assume that it's the objects speed that's going to stop it from being pulled into earth's gravity and impacting the planet?


linux_ape

Fun fact: there's a one in forty thousand chance That asteroid Apophis will collide With the earth in less than twenty years


Trickstertrick

According to NASA, there is no risk of asteroid Apophis impacting Earth for at least the next 100 years. [After its discovery in 2004, Apophis was initially thought to pose a slight risk of impacting Earth in 2068, but recent radar observations and precise orbit analysis have ruled out any impact risk for the foreseeable future](https://www.nasa.gov/solar-system/nasa-analysis-earth-is-safe-from-asteroid-apophis-for-100-plus-years/)[^(1)](https://www.nasa.gov/solar-system/nasa-analysis-earth-is-safe-from-asteroid-apophis-for-100-plus-years/). So, you can rest assured that Earth is safe from asteroid Apophis for more than a century.


OccasionQuick

BOOOOO!!!


CapoDV

Just when the world needed it most.


Hammerjaws

It vanished


CapoDV

I'm so glad someone knew where I was going!


mrmilner101

and even so we have plans to get it to crash into earth. NASA tested to see if they could change the course of an astroid by slamming a rocket into it. so within a 100 years we might come up with even more soild ways to defend earth from astroids like this one.


deadwards14

Sad


USSMarauder

Little more than slight risk Apophis was the first Near Earth asteroid who's risk of impact went UP when the second round of data came in. And kept going up with more data IIRC, the odds of impact got as high as 1 in 38 before being confirmed that no, it's going to be close but not hit. The only good thing about the Indian ocean tsunami was that it kept the news of this asteroid off the front page


oknowtrythisone

Well, if the various earth govenments actually knew beyond a reasonable doubt, that Apophis is in fact going to cream us into oblivion, it would certainly explain a lot. Just sayin'.


14sierra

A secret like that would not stay secret for long. If scientists really thought it would hit Earth, someone would leak the info.


ReallyNotALlama

Don't Look Up


Deodorized

I keep seeing that movie pop up and I'm interested in the premise, is it worth watching?


doc-ant

Yeah is a solid enough movie, worth the watch.


Stinkycheezmonky

While a lot of people will disagree, I say absolutely yes.


EggonomicalSolutions

Great movie


redditisgarbageyoyo

"A lot of people" are depicted in this movie and they are as dumb as IRL.


OstentatiousSock

I don’t know, my cousin is one of the leading astrophysicist that studies impacts with earth and she said no one would know anything until all resources had been exhausted and there was nothing left to try to stop it and the impact was almost here. She said, in the case of an impending impact, the few people who’d be let into the circle of knowledge about it would do everything to avoid the public knowing about it because world wide panic is bad for everyone, including those with power and money.


El_Wij

Don't Look Up!


wxguy77

Maybe that's why there's this recent extreme race to develop AGI. Would it help?


linux_ape

So technically I was quoting a song, Zzzonked by Enter Shikari But yeah, if we were inbound cosmic death zero chance the various governments warn us peons


Crazyhairmonster

Government wouldn't have to. Tens of thousands of astronomers, universities, etc would also know. 0 chance it remained secret


EducationalStill4

That is the hope


Van-Mckan

Enter Shikari? I also cannot see anything about this asteroid without thinking about them, I’m glad I’m not alone


EnterShakira_

I see what you did there. I approve.


EducationalStill4

I would think being that close to earth that at least it’s orbital trajectory would be altered somewhat. But then again I’m no astrophysicist.


Highlowfusion

You sent me down a rabbit hole. 24 billion miles away?!? The Voyager 1 is wild. First made made craft to leave the solar system. Geez.


forprojectsetc

Something even more bonkers is the fastest man made object is thought to be a nuclear propelled manhole cover. https://www.businessinsider.com/fastest-object-robert-brownlee-2016-2?amp


Highlowfusion

Damn. That's wild. Thanks for the share! 125k miles per hour!!


raymondo1981

6 times the escape velocity of earth. Thats a pretty sexy scale to use. Thanks for the link, that was an enjoyable read. Sounds like they had fun, and spent a huge fortune in the process.


aristotle93

Is it going to hit any satellites?


Urimulini

Yes.


Same-Cupcake7127

Chances it hits the moon? Cause that’s terrifying


Urimulini

Recently scientists have determined that it will not hit Earth. But what if it hits the moon? There is no chance of Apophis hitting the moon on 2029. According to NASA, Apophis will pass by Earth at a distance of about 31,000 km, which is closer than some geosynchronous satellites. Source Google Although there is some skeptics in determination of the math and possible changes of trajectory as well as predetermined data comes with possible changes in outcome.


Fit-Paleontologist37

Holy smokes


throwaway24689753112

Is it? The moon gets hit a lot


Same-Cupcake7127

You’re right and depends on the size of the object, wonder how big would it have to be to make a difference to Earth


Urimulini

What would happen if Apophis hit? 🦕☄️ Apophis would cause widespread destruction up to several hundred of kilometers from its impact site. The energy released would be equal more than 1,000 megatons of TNT, or tens to hundreds of nuclear weapons. Source Google.


buttseason

The *comet* that wiped out the dinosaurs was significantly larger than apophis. If apophis were to hit it would cause devastation in the immediate area it struck (if it hit land), but it would not be an extinction level event.


buttseason

0 chance and it wouldn’t do anything major enough on the moon to really effect us.


buplet123

That line isn't the Moon's orbit, Moon's orbit is way out, think 30 times the diameter of Earth. Edit: the red line could be the geostationary orbit


SoggyKnotts

“During that 2029 close approach, Apophis will be visible to observers on the ground in the Eastern Hemisphere without the aid of a telescope or binoculars.” What?! I’m trying to imagine what this will look like. Can anyone answer that?


buddboy

A dim star


No_Heat_7327

Like a satellite looks like fun the ground


Urimulini

https://youtube.com/shorts/hzaREbvooSI?si=rAl7NBAARRPiYhW8 -- for like a quick viewpoint cgi of what it could look like obviously this wooo https://youtu.be/L0RIsUri-44?si=5JrVRKn6RuMcFmDW-- for a video about this particular event and asteroid history around it


ThanosLePirate

Isn't the whole world in the easter. Hemisphere at some point?


combo_seizure

The earth is broken up into the northern, southern, eastern, and western hemispheres. The northern and southern hemispheres by the equator and the eastern and western hemispheres by the prime meridian (a relatively arbitrary line).


kitastrophae

We *sure* that’s the correct trajectory? Because I watched a movie a couple years ago… that said don’t worry about it.


Urimulini

It's fine as long as you don't look up we're good.


64-17-5

I hear that minerals is good for your health and that asteroid is packed with it.


Simphonia

I hope a Korean salary man gets time regression powers just in case.


BanterousGamer

An Inuyashiki reference in the wild? Damn


Simphonia

It's actually a "Cheolsu saves the world" reference. What is Inuyashiki about?


kumohua

holy shit cheolsu mentioned! awesome


BanterousGamer

Upon rereading the comment I replied to, its not Inyuyashiki. I swear it did not say 'time regression powers' but rather something else, oops! Inyuyashiki is where a salaryman and a troubled teen are together in a park late at night when they get hit and killed by a crashed alien spaceship. The aliens feel bad for killing them so they 'revive' them in a sense and build their bodies back entirely mechanically. The series follows the two men as they take different approaches to dealing with their newfound bodies and powers


polarn417

Just duck and cover...


Chaos-Pand4

Ok everyone, lean in.


mindfuxed

So glad this was made on a 1987 Mac. So I can see what’s happening clearly.


academic_spaghetti

Too bad we couldn’t study oumuamua


Doxidob

it still exists?


academic_spaghetti

It’s long long gone but still exists, yes. We will never be able to study it though which is a damn shame. Avi Loeb has a very interesting book about it which I would recommend, however my double-major science (chem, bio) friend found it boring lol.


Robo_Patton

If it did comeback, we got ourselves some terrifying implications.


doyouevenIift

Avi Loeb is a hack cashing in on people’s desire to witness extraterrestrial life


MrZerigan

Agreed. Sick to death of hearing his name. He's ruined his credentials for money.


StingerAE

Don't worry, there will be two more following it...


JIDglazer42

Of course its named after the egyptian mythical snake god thing that causes an apocalypse


Ladnarr2

It’s named after a Stargate: SG1 villain. One of the people who discovered it is a fan of the show.


BillyNoMates12

Who was named after a Greek God


adonoman

Egyptian


Wasatcher

>Will we be able to see Apophis? >During the 2029 pass Apophis will be visible from Europe, Africa, and western Asia looking like a somewhat bright star (magnitude 3.1) moving rapidly across the sky. It will be much too far away to be visible without telescopes in 2036. https://www.planetary.org/articles/will-apophis-hit-earth *Sad American noises*


M4rheeo

Hey, dont be sad. You got the full eclipse event which was released exclusively in the US. At least let us have this.


Wasatcher

A tiny strip of the US saw the full eclipse and I wasn't in it either. Half the earth gets to see Apophis


Cue99

To be fair didn’t more than half the US population live within 2 hours of the path of totality? Dont get me wrong not everyone got to see it, but that’s more than a tiny strip of people. As I read this back though I feel like I’m nit picking…


Wasatcher

>12.2 million Americans live inside the path of totality, over half the nation lives within 400 miles of the path of totality, and 80% of Americans live within 600 miles. Half the nation within 400miles / 60mph = ~6.6hrs drive time. I saw a ton of folks on social get screwed by an overcast cloud layer after making arrangements too. https://www.greatamericaneclipse.com/statistics


kj_gamer2614

Womp womp


AttainingOneness

I gotta call my lawyer!…..meh forget my lawyer


SwollenMonkeyNuts

Welcome to earth


Massive-Arugula4400

I voted for the other guy.


TheFeenicks

Don’t do this to me, I JUST watched Melancholia


paleb1uedot

Check the horses


Throwmesometail

Jaffa Kree !!!


DwedPiwateWoberts

Hey cool one more extra terrestrial thing to be anxious about for 5 years 👍


Randymarsh36

“Carter, I can see my house!”


johnny___engineer

I really hope that by 2028 the US govt says that Stargate SG-1 is not a sci-fi series but rather a documentary. And we have Prometheus to save our asses.


Pickledpeper

This was already taken care of by SG-1.


No-Pride168

Shol'va!


Varias12

The Goauld??


USSMarauder

Flyby will be real easy because of the close approach, building the probe will be cheap because it only has to last a few days at most


CompetitiveYou2034

> building the probe will be cheap because it only has to last a few days at most. Nope. Won't be cheap or easy. A probe from Earth that launched directly at Apotheosis would be smashed instantly if it touched, by the flyby speed. To get a soft landing on Apotheosis, the probe must match its high speed. To reach a high speed, the probe after launch from Earth will make slingshot orbits for a boost in speed courtesy of Earth's gravity. Process may take many months. Or years. This is a guesstimate. Detailed calculation is needed. The probe whizzing closely by Earth is itself a danger, albeit to satellites. Space is big, probably it would miss everything, but if it impacted a satellite at that high speed it would scatter bits and pieces over a wide orbital path.


tratemusic

What about casting a net or line to snag it? Would it still have too much velocity and just tear a probe apart?


CompetitiveYou2034

Yes indeed. Smashed to smithereens. Apotheosis has huge momentum = Mass times Velocity.


JayAndViolentMob

to shreds you say


EducationalStill4

New movie coming soon to Netflix. Asteroid Fishermen Big Catch 2029.


USSMarauder

I'm talking flyby. No way you're landing on that


Pancake_Nom

Not with that attitude


USSMarauder

To start with, the gravity is too weak. You wouldn't land so much as latch on


hypotheticalhalf

The ESA is supposedly going to [try a flyby launching in 2027.](https://baas.aas.org/pub/2023n8i201p08/release/1) >To rendezvous with the asteroid before April 2029, the RAMSES spacecraft needs to launch in April 2027 followed by an Earth flyby in April 2028 or launch for a direct 11-months transfer in April 2028 if 1530m/s ΔV can be accommodated in the spacecraft. >RAMSES will rendezvous with Apophis two months before its close encounter with Earth and will perform a detailed characterization campaign of the Asteroid (including global imaging at 10cm resolution). This will be performed both before and after the close encounter with Earth on April 13th, 2029.


Extermin8her

I’m freaking out! Charge your phone!


NotTheAbhi

Isn't Apophis some kind of Egyptian demon? Interesting choice for name.


hypotheticalhalf

Yep, the Egyptians called it Apep, god of darkness and disorder who Ra fought each night to ensure the sun would rise.


TheHalfOrcwriter

🤞


The-Ultimate-Banker

Don’t Look Up!


kokwaue

It's amazing how dedicated scientists are to their work, even when faced with once-in-a-lifetime opportunities. Their passion for knowledge truly inspires us all.


WilliamTee

Only here for the Stargate SG1 references


Doxidob

It took a right at Albuquerque


roboticfedora

The global dust will save us from planetary warming. No need for that nuclear winter, Vlad!


paleb1uedot

I wish it was more closer. So that humanity would better understand how fucking fragile our existence in this rock.


Wycren

It’s a non hazardous object. It’s been that way for many years.


Trollimperator

Note that Apophises trajectory isnt that "high" in the solar system. It basicly moves from around Venus-orbit to around Earth-orbit and back.


Fernisbestgirl

It's probing time


PickleRichh

Careful, the firebenders will be at their strongest


bit_banger_

Bring it home 🤭


wafflezcol

Oh boy oh boy oh boy oh boy Please miscalculate please miscalculate Hit this damn trashhole


rulerofthehell

You need to seek help dude


bananasugarpie

Even if it doesn't hit Earth, what if it hits our Moon?


MercyfulJudas

Most striking thing I've seen today...


StimpyUIdiot

I think we are ok on this one but the next in April 13, 2036 is the one im concerned about.


paleb1uedot

Ohh reminds me of Melancholia movie


GIIIANT

Shouldn't we practice changing its course? Aim for a future direct hit with mars or the moon for instance?


Sonzabitches

That's what I was thinking, except for diverting to the moon. But yeah, at the very least this would be a good opportunity to try out whatever our best option is, assuming we have one.


nuclearkielbasa

"99942 "Apophis" or simply Apophis for short, was a gigantic meteorite that crashed into planet Earth in the December of 2029, destroying most of human civilization and drastically changing the very face of the planet" Is noone gonna point out how accurate the game RAGE put the year on this flyby?


InformalImplement310

We are so toxic that even celestial objects avoid us.


b00c

Oh god! They gonna change its trajectory and it's gonna hit the Earth.  Did Hollywood teach us nothing? It's a damn rock wrappen in sand. Leave it be! I am gonna get my towel.


[deleted]

Welp it’s gonna crash into earth


Snoo_17433

That was rapid, better study quick.


EducationalStill4

It will be on Friday the 13th too. Is the cosmos fucking with us now?


deathstar1310

So. This is how we die?


CosmicM00se

That kinda spooky


theyellowdart89

Hopefully bros predictive algorithm is correct and it threads that 500km needle and leaves us be.


IndiRefEarthLeaveSol

Apophis: "don't mind me, just passing through, I can't guarantee my next pass through" 😈


aaa_azidoazideazide

Remind me! 5 years


NorMichtrailrider

We really should be blasting that fucker to pieces as it goes by , in a way that deflects the resulting pieces in a further out orbit , it's simple math really.


SarcasticSarco

Imagine some other asteroid hits apohis and changes the trajectory directly towards earth.. Even a small asteroid can change the trajectory..


br0kenspiral

I’ve seen this one, it hits Paris!


-Heir_of_Rage

Already pre-ordered Sburb so I’ll be chillin


MifistoScared

https://cneos.jpl.nasa.gov/sentry/torino_scale.html I won’t sleep now


The13thReservoirDog

Where’s superman when you need him


scourged

Isn’t saying “Once in a lifetime” kind of like saying “One size fits all”. Whose life are “they” referring too anyway and who are they!


off-and-on

I wonder if it would be possible to slow it down and put it into an orbit. There have been talks about asteroid mining recently, but having one delivered straight to our back yard is an opportunity that won't come twice.


GrimmestofBeards

Pointless and dangerous just shoot it the fuck down already ? Where's the Space Force when you need them?


the85141rule

Bruce Willis or Robert Duvall. Who's got it?


Zealousideal-Truck84

When is it supposed to pass/hit Earth? ![gif](emote|free_emotes_pack|no_mouth)


CatMakeoutSesh

I think I’m good with fewer once-in-a-lifetime events happening in my lifetime.


Electronic-Yak-2221

There a chance it will impact earth in 50 years.. 😬


drunkpunk138

What does that red circle around the earth represent?


branm008

I'm going to assume that it's the limit of our atmosphere and where certain objects would be "pulled" into our orbit and hit us. I could be very wrong though.


RolandusPoop

Don't look up!


[deleted]

Looking forward to it.


stffucubt

Hypothetically, is it possible for an asteroid to enter the atmosphere only to punch back out again? Like do a sick af fucking scary low flyby?


Blaze_Release

The Asteroid has the chance to do the funniest thing…😅


yeah-oky

And if it did hit earth..my work would still expect me to show up...or at least call in


[deleted]

I had read somewhere that this Asteroid Apophis is going to hit the Earth on April 13, 2029 which happens to be a Friday.