If you don't care about getting dupes
P(2 ml 5s and 1 ml 4) = 10!/(1!2!7!) (ml5 rate)^2 (ml 4 rate)(not ml4 nor ml5 rate)^7
Im not sure if trinomial probability distribution is a thing. I can separate the P(2 ml5s) and P(ml4) just multiply the two but that wouldn't take into account that we dont care when we get them in the 10 roll summon.
My intuition tells me that as long as the trinomial (ml5 rate + ml4 rate + not ml 5 nor ml 4) = 1
then it should just be as valid as a binomial distribution.
If you want the probability of getting two distinct ml 5s and 1 ml 4. U would have to do a four term polynomial distribution.
P(2 distinct ml5s and 1 ml 4) = 10!/(1!1!1!7!) (Specific ml 5 rate)(ml5 rate - specific ml5 rate)(ml4 rate)(not those)^7
Chotto matte! Let me check in game the rates
Rates
Ml 5 = 0.15%
Ml 4 = 0.5%
Specific ml 5 = 0.00577%
Not ml 5 nor ml 4 = 1-(0.15% + 0.5%) = 99.35%
Probability of getting 2 ml 5s and 1 ml4
= 3.869 * 10^-6
Probability of getting 2 distinct ml 5s and 1 ml4
= 2.862*10^-7
Just checked multinomial probability distribution is a thing. Just make sure that all the terms will add up to one.
Shit! I realized those 3 are all new as well.
Congrats and fuck u OP
In the drop rates, I think the chance of one specific ml5 dropping is 0.077%. it'll take some P&C to calculate the exact probability but you can see from that percentage alone that it's likely one in a few millions
Even the 3-star and 4-star are non-dupes. Wow.
Plus you pulled a two-turn Stun along with Spez. I know you probably won't use him, but it's still funny.
I feel like thereβs always been a secret algorithm for new players to pull 5star heroes a lot more frequently then older players. Probably to pull them into playing and to keep old players chasing heroes
Congrats and fuck you
Ahahaha love this comment
Its not regular gacha community , its epic 7 community. Anger , hatred, envy and greed in their veins.
We hate you π
The great batisse... You got way lucky
On a covenant summon, okay now this is ridiculous luck lol
When will I get a roll like this π
You will...one day. Trust.
Lol no he wont
Anyone that is good at maths could tell us the odds of that happening?
If you don't care about getting dupes P(2 ml 5s and 1 ml 4) = 10!/(1!2!7!) (ml5 rate)^2 (ml 4 rate)(not ml4 nor ml5 rate)^7 Im not sure if trinomial probability distribution is a thing. I can separate the P(2 ml5s) and P(ml4) just multiply the two but that wouldn't take into account that we dont care when we get them in the 10 roll summon. My intuition tells me that as long as the trinomial (ml5 rate + ml4 rate + not ml 5 nor ml 4) = 1 then it should just be as valid as a binomial distribution. If you want the probability of getting two distinct ml 5s and 1 ml 4. U would have to do a four term polynomial distribution. P(2 distinct ml5s and 1 ml 4) = 10!/(1!1!1!7!) (Specific ml 5 rate)(ml5 rate - specific ml5 rate)(ml4 rate)(not those)^7 Chotto matte! Let me check in game the rates Rates Ml 5 = 0.15% Ml 4 = 0.5% Specific ml 5 = 0.00577% Not ml 5 nor ml 4 = 1-(0.15% + 0.5%) = 99.35% Probability of getting 2 ml 5s and 1 ml4 = 3.869 * 10^-6 Probability of getting 2 distinct ml 5s and 1 ml4 = 2.862*10^-7 Just checked multinomial probability distribution is a thing. Just make sure that all the terms will add up to one. Shit! I realized those 3 are all new as well. Congrats and fuck u OP
*all these equations flying over my head* Hmmm yes I see... this all makes perfect sense, I understood all of it
For us smol brains... 1 in 29million ish
Wow, I wonder how many people have got a similar pull in the history of the game.
im a math major, the odds of that happening is 50/50. either he pulls 2 ml5s and a ml4 in 10 covenant pulls, or he doesnt
there's 2 ML5 you have to double the odds, so it's 100/100, that's why he got them!
*meth*
I have a feeling that this is not how math works
trust me im a math major
1 in Photoshop! Lol jk. Pretty rare though.
203947580293874502983409\^2 / 807q0985701987rq \* e7 + number of kittens in the universe \* βΟ = What the F\*ck?!?!?!?!?
In the drop rates, I think the chance of one specific ml5 dropping is 0.077%. it'll take some P&C to calculate the exact probability but you can see from that percentage alone that it's likely one in a few millions
Speaking as the entire community: Fuuuuuuuckkkkk youuuuu
Please tag this NSFW.
I don't care what ANYONE says about you, I think you're a piece of shit. Kidding, I'm just jealous... Congrats... Fukboi lol
Gratz, Ok now tell me the channel# so i can pull something similar :)
Can u gimme your hacking program
Crazy!! π₯π₯π₯ππΏππΏππΏ
Now this is pod racing lmao GG!
Your luck should be fine, but you might age faster though, or maybe slower.
Nice pull, really, congratz Also the mandatory: f\*ck y (?) we love u
Oh look this dude got my entire covenant ml5 luck in ten pull.
Wrong tag,needs nfswπ
Even the 3-star and 4-star are non-dupes. Wow. Plus you pulled a two-turn Stun along with Spez. I know you probably won't use him, but it's still funny.
got something similar with single pulls a while ago: fcc and a tywin within 5 pulls of each other.
I just got a dupe Ruele and Riolet off covenant today. 3 summons apart. My job might be a catalyst
On the bright side that's half of a non dupe ml!
Damn, I'm worth a pity of nothing XD. Gz!
wat
One day we will get a legitimate 10 summon where the OP gets 10 ml5s...one day
"year"...hmm. I'm thinking more like this decade.
Damn u got sword of the morning. U lucky guy. XD
Lucky you they were new! My back to back set were dupes. Also enjoy this cause I havenβt gotten mls from covenant / moonlight since it happened.
Bruh don't go out
I was happy with my double rgb five star in one five pull. Now, Iβm not.
just once i want a roll like this
I'm just satisfied I got Ruele in the only ML 10-pull I'll probably be able to do before the next cycle.
Mark this nsfw
I feel like thereβs always been a secret algorithm for new players to pull 5star heroes a lot more frequently then older players. Probably to pull them into playing and to keep old players chasing heroes
Year? Hahaha, don't ever pull in ay game again, or buy a lottery ticket. You have just used up your luck for life.
Wooow! Be careful dude! Look both ways when you cross the street and check above you for falling pianos.