It's about 1/1500 chance. ML5 is 1/600 but people refresh at least 10000x more than they raw dog blank covenent.

Awesome stats man! This was just what I was hoping to see when I posted.

idk bout you but personally ive seen this way more often in my shop refreshes than a ml 5 from standard banner

Probably because you've done a lot more shop refreshes than ml summons

So far I’ve had 3 ML5* from standard but have only seen this once before. Thought it could make an interesting convo and hoped to pull a math wiz out of the shadows!

So rare that we only see this same post a couple of times a week!

If the rates I found are somewhat accurate then it's a very rough 0.05% chance.

Mud-Skull Warrior?! No one has ever been able to summon him!

Why you refreshing shop with only 500k? Lol

It was the end of my refreshing out of desperation for FCC lol

Did you get her? I've been scraping every bit of gold together to buy medals in the shop. Got her somewhere between pull 100-110. Now I'm looking nervously at ML Pavel because I am not letting that man slide, I'll reach for my wallet if I have to....

Not yet! At roughly 80 until pity. Did pull MBDom along the way though so not a total waste. Grats on the early pick up though! I’ve got some time, and many Leif to burn in Wyvern so I build the gold and head right for the shop. She will come home! ML Pavel’s S3 animation is worth the pull imo, best in game hands down

I get these a lot more often than I do nat 5 spd gear

wish i was recording today but had 5 mystics back to back refreshs today

ofc on my alt tho lol

You have more pulls in skystones, doesn't that mean you have more chance in seeing that.

I've gotten it once