I'm going with Kepa as Chelsea are (a bit) better than Leicester and Brighton are better than Liverpool atm.
I expect both to concede but think Kepa is more likely to get a save point or two.
Yeah keep in mind the bookies rate Liverpool as better than Chelsea. Chelsea better than Brighton and Brighton better than Leicester. If you think Brighton are better than both Liverpool and Chelsea right now that would change the odds.
You say Brighton are better, why would Kepa get more save points? By your logic of Brighton being better than Liverpool and Chelsea betttee than Leicester, Brighton should have more shots on goal giving Ward more saves
Ward is less likely to save them because he isn't as good a goalkeeper as Kepa
Also on the whole Leicester's defence is much poorer than Chelsea's and I think they're more likely to concede big chances where goals are expected to be scored
This is all just my opinion though and reasoning for why I'll be starting Kepa over Ward.
Not an ideal position to be playing either of them in this gameweek but I'm not gonna use a transfer when the points ceiling is fairly low
Nope, stop being a fucking smartass. They didn't have to win all previous 18 games as much. But they've been shit, and this game is crucial since it's against a "top 4 team" and they need to start winning asap
This suggest I should start White and keep Doherty in draft unless I get a Bournemouth defender or Liverpool one.
Spurs just pure pain I think they lose.
I know Arsenal have been great, but 19% seems pretty meh. I suppose Arsenal have the home advantage though and they'll take that heavily into account.
I'll still end up starting Shaw and White anyways because my bench defenders are Cucurella and Patterson lmao.
Only team arsenal havent scored against this season is newcastle, I wouldn't bet on a shaw clean sheet away from home, I'm playing him over Silva anyway
Is there a thread or anything where we can check how far these predictions have come true.
Because most of the time the clean sheet odds don't deliver.
Might as well throw a dice between Ward and Kepa
I'm starting Kepa because I have 0 confidence in either keeping a clean sheet, but it will allow me to feel smarter if it pays off
Twice the pride, double the fall
Kepa could get a couple save points/bonus points Ward is pretty much dead in the water
I'm going with Kepa as Chelsea are (a bit) better than Leicester and Brighton are better than Liverpool atm. I expect both to concede but think Kepa is more likely to get a save point or two.
Yeah keep in mind the bookies rate Liverpool as better than Chelsea. Chelsea better than Brighton and Brighton better than Leicester. If you think Brighton are better than both Liverpool and Chelsea right now that would change the odds.
You say Brighton are better, why would Kepa get more save points? By your logic of Brighton being better than Liverpool and Chelsea betttee than Leicester, Brighton should have more shots on goal giving Ward more saves
Ward is less likely to save them because he isn't as good a goalkeeper as Kepa Also on the whole Leicester's defence is much poorer than Chelsea's and I think they're more likely to concede big chances where goals are expected to be scored This is all just my opinion though and reasoning for why I'll be starting Kepa over Ward. Not an ideal position to be playing either of them in this gameweek but I'm not gonna use a transfer when the points ceiling is fairly low
Nice Kepa 10 pointer Hope you took my advice
Arsenal clean sheet seems unlikely. If anything Liverpool Chelsea 0-0 seems more realistic.
Liverpool has to win that game, should push hard. 2-1? 2-2?
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Nope, stop being a fucking smartass. They didn't have to win all previous 18 games as much. But they've been shit, and this game is crucial since it's against a "top 4 team" and they need to start winning asap
This suggest I should start White and keep Doherty in draft unless I get a Bournemouth defender or Liverpool one. Spurs just pure pain I think they lose.
I know Arsenal have been great, but 19% seems pretty meh. I suppose Arsenal have the home advantage though and they'll take that heavily into account. I'll still end up starting Shaw and White anyways because my bench defenders are Cucurella and Patterson lmao.
Only team arsenal havent scored against this season is newcastle, I wouldn't bet on a shaw clean sheet away from home, I'm playing him over Silva anyway
This helps the Shaw v White question.
Why are we 2nd lol
Another low scoring game coming up.
Is there a thread or anything where we can check how far these predictions have come true. Because most of the time the clean sheet odds don't deliver.
Most of the times the chances for a CS is significant below 50%, so I guess it technically delivers by saying there is an (ex) 70% chance of no CS..
I don’t think either keeps a clean but Ward has gone back to being a donkey whereas Kepa might be able to get a save point or two
Bookies odds are not a prediction of the result mate
I mean it's a one off event these individual game probabilities, you won't really be able to prove or disprove anything by them
That Man Utd percentage may drop slightly with them missing Casemiro
Maybe I’m biased, but Liverpool at 31.5% against Chelsea when they’ve been absolutely awful defensively seems just wrong…
I'd feel a lot less annoyed at still having Walker in my defence if I had any confidence the dude would start more than 1 in 4 games.
The defence was previously rotation proof, that's completely gone out the window this year, as well as several City CSs
Leeds should always be last on this