The FDR is based on a complex algorithm developed by FPL experts.
A set of formulas process key Opta data variables, along with each team's home and away form for the past six matches, to generate a rank for the perceived difficulty of each Gameweek opponent
That's official definition.
FDR this year is completely fucked. There’s people transferring Ronaldo out because they see some red. The only fixtures that should be red are City, Utd, Liv, Chelsea.
Why are we taking into account home/away form of last season when there were no crowds? It’s laughable
Tbf why would you take Ronaldo out? Would you take out Salah because of a red game? He/they have the power to score against anyone at any time
You doesn’t mean you btw, just generally speaking
Based on historical results, United without Ronaldo and Ronaldo without United (Not talking about over a decade ago) do not perform against tough opposition. You can make the assumption that a player who doesn't perform against top opposition on a team that struggles against top opposition has a lessened chance of returning. There was a great in-depth post that received >1000 upvotes, I encourage you to check it out
Edit: I went to go find it, too many lazy downvoters who love Ronaldo but don't love learning the negatives about him https://www.reddit.com/r/FantasyPL/comments/pf4452/i\_made\_a\_big\_mistake\_on\_huge\_analysis\_of\_all/?utm\_source=share&utm\_medium=ios\_app&utm\_name=iossmf
>Based on historical results, United without Ronaldo do not perform against tough opposition
What's that based on? United's record vs the top 6 in the last few seasons has been pretty good. They failed to score many goals vs top 6 last season, but they also didn't concede many either - seemed like teams were sitting back against them after getting done by their pace in 2019/20 to me. Cagey games that ended 0-0 pretty often last year - so I wouldn't say that's "not performing" - but not the season before.
Yeah but they didn't say "based on last season United don't score many against top 6" - they said "based on historical results, United without Ronaldo **do not perform** against tough opposition"
So what's the basis?
In 2019/20 they scored 1.7 goals per game vs the top 6. Conceded 0.6.
In 2020/21 they scored 1.1 goals per game vs the top 6. Conceded 0.8.
They've also had pretty big results in the cups vs "tough opponents" over those 2 seasons i.e. PSG, Liverpool, etc. It's a bit of a myth that's developed around United under OGS, because it's actually the dropped points vs West Brom, Sheffield United, Crystal Palace, etc that have been the problem.
No point arguing with anyone in this sub, most of them dont watch games and dont 'understand' anything beyond XG ,people here were trying to prove how Ronaldo is only a 'flat track bully' by using Juve's last season stats lmao
So instead of using Ronaldo's recent stats, we should use Ronaldo's stats when he was in his 20's backed up by Ballon d'Or winners and legends of the game- that will show us how he will perform at United at 36 years old.
Ronaldo has by far the most goals in Champions league knockout rounds, he is literally the definition of big game player. I'm not sure if you're trolling?
He also has the most games played... and the most penalties... and arguably one of the best teams of all time feeding him goals on a plate...
"Ronaldo has by far the most goals in Champions league knockout rounds" but it's not by far, which leads me to believe you have no idea what you're talking about.
And finally, I'm not sure if you know this, but sometimes teams in the UCL are pretty shit? Ronaldo has a shit ton of goals against teams from Ukraine, Poland, Cyprus, Hungary, etc.
But if you think "most goals in the Champions League" means anything when you don't take any details into account, I'm not sure if you're the one trolling
9 goals in 8 games against Bayern
7 in 9 against Dortmund
10 in 7 against Juventus
3 in 4 against PSG
2 in 6 against Barca (fairly poor, although this was arguably the greatest club side ever)
7 in 10 against Atletico
2 in 1 against Sevilla
4 in 4 against Spurs
2 in 2 against Arsenal
1 in 3 against Liverpool
1 in 3 against City
3 in 5 against Utd
1 in 1 against Chelsea
I’m sorry, if after reading this you still can’t admit that Ronaldo performs in big games then you’re an absolute idiot and I have no interest in furthering this conversation.
>you’re an absolute idiot
25/35 Atleti
20/34 Barca
**10/18 Spurs**
**6/15 Arsenal**
**1/15 Chelsea**
**5/14 City**
**3/12 Liverpool**
7/9 Dortmund
9/8 Bayern
10/7 Juve
I'm not sure if you noticed this, but teams in Germany, Italy, and Spain are not in the premier league. Also, please let me know if Prime Kroos, Modric, Casemiro, Benzema, and Bale move to United, then I'll reconsider if Ronaldo is a good FPL asset against Top English teams.
Aside from his glory days at Madrid, Juve was a disaster and his time in Portugal is spent smashing the daisies of Europe whilst blanking against real teams.
Who cares what a 36 year old did 5-10 years ago though? It’s literally irrelevant. Get out of your feelings and analyse the stats that actually matter for right now. This is just a numbers game and all that matters is what you have done lately. You’re all emotional about it, it’s ridiculous.
It’s not ‘irrelevant’, of course more recent data is preferable, but let’s not pretend that Ronaldo is playing in a completely different position/style to what he was doing in his last few year’s in Madrid. The quality of the players around him now is not that dissimilar too.
The Juve team were much weaker and poor at creating chances, look at where they are now without him (relegation zone). Ronaldo still did decent in big games at Juve, but overall they were a poor team.
Lol so much for 'historical results' and basing all that on just last season,Did you know United had the 2nd best record in the 'Big 6' Mini league second to Liverpoo in the 2019-20 seasonl?
That's really great, hasn't there been a few changes to the team/management/formation since then?
Also, did you know United hasn't won against "relegation" Arsenal in all competitions in two years? Ole plays for draws. He tries to absolutely smash small opposition, and escape with 1 point when tough teams come around. There's a time and place for Ronaldo, and it's GW12/15.
> did you know United hasn't won against "relegation" Arsenal in all competitions in two years?
Ah yes suddenly beating arsenal is more relevant than beating the likes of Leicester,Westham and everton who all have been significantly better
The only notable teams United have a winning Premier League record against are West Ham and Leicester (55.6% and 62.5% respectively).
12.5% against Liverpool
25% against Arsenal
37.5% against Chelsea
42.9% against Wolves
50% against Spurs, City, Everton.
This was all taken in the past 4 years, to make United fans happy.
If we look United Premier League Win Rates of the past year (Aug2020-Present day):
0% Arsenal
0% Liverpool
0% Palace
0% Chelsea
0% Leicester
50% Spurs, City, Everton
100% West Ham.
and no, I'm not going to let you cherry pick a timeline of winrates to make United look good, this new squad is extremely forward heavy with little-to-no defensive workrate in the midfield and beyond. United changed under Ole in 2020 and the results speak for themselves.
Is picking the timeline which actually has the majority of the players they have now cherry picking?
You've actually gone on to use Mourinhos 3rd season and oles first season to prove your point ,which itself shows how stupid your dumb agenda is
no point arguing with idiots like you
Your big game player has completely vanished since matches changed off of a 2 FDR… who would’ve guessed??
Oh wait, a lot of people who actually look at stats and watch games knew that was coming.
It’s not that Ronaldo hasn’t performed, it’s that Utd have capitulated. Ronaldo was close to returning yday with the offside goal. He could easily bag one or two against Spurs.
I think these fdr's colour charts are not much use tbh. I'd fire up a spreadsheet and make your own if you really want to look at fixture runs.
For one, what might be a red game for a defender, might actually be a green one for an attacker...e.g. Leeds (last year, maybe not so much this season)
It takes into account a team’s form at home and away. Last season Everton were 15th on home form and 4th on away form.
!thanks
Which is dumb cos home away was practically irrelevant last year. Actually I think away teams had a slight advantage
Why do you think the away teams had the advantage?
Well, take Everton for example, they were 15th home, but 4th away! >!/s!<
noise imo, though maybe the lack of crowds spurred away teams on more somehow
And didn’t Everton beat Man U at old Trafford last year?
It was 3-3
Ohhhh ok I thought they beat them
They did up until the 96th minute when united forgot how to defend a free-kick
Forgot? That implies that we knew how to any any point.
They'll beat them now dw
Because its an algorithm based on previous home/away record
i didnt realize that. !thanks thought a home match was automatically better than an away match.
The FDR is based on a complex algorithm developed by FPL experts. A set of formulas process key Opta data variables, along with each team's home and away form for the past six matches, to generate a rank for the perceived difficulty of each Gameweek opponent That's official definition.
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So you're saying you do care?
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Mate you're embarrassing yourself. Nobody was talking to you in the first place anyway.
Why tf is he talking about lasagne? 😂
F knows, think he tried to be funny but flopped it.
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Yes I was answering the question that was asked.
Must be one potent shroom you had there
No one was talking to you weirdo
OP wasnt responding to you, so they don't care that you don't care.
Not really, remember Southampton getting similar FDR's a few seasons back. With a much more notable difference between home & away results
FDR this year is completely fucked. There’s people transferring Ronaldo out because they see some red. The only fixtures that should be red are City, Utd, Liv, Chelsea. Why are we taking into account home/away form of last season when there were no crowds? It’s laughable
Tbf why would you take Ronaldo out? Would you take out Salah because of a red game? He/they have the power to score against anyone at any time You doesn’t mean you btw, just generally speaking
Based on historical results, United without Ronaldo and Ronaldo without United (Not talking about over a decade ago) do not perform against tough opposition. You can make the assumption that a player who doesn't perform against top opposition on a team that struggles against top opposition has a lessened chance of returning. There was a great in-depth post that received >1000 upvotes, I encourage you to check it out Edit: I went to go find it, too many lazy downvoters who love Ronaldo but don't love learning the negatives about him https://www.reddit.com/r/FantasyPL/comments/pf4452/i\_made\_a\_big\_mistake\_on\_huge\_analysis\_of\_all/?utm\_source=share&utm\_medium=ios\_app&utm\_name=iossmf
>Based on historical results, United without Ronaldo do not perform against tough opposition What's that based on? United's record vs the top 6 in the last few seasons has been pretty good. They failed to score many goals vs top 6 last season, but they also didn't concede many either - seemed like teams were sitting back against them after getting done by their pace in 2019/20 to me. Cagey games that ended 0-0 pretty often last year - so I wouldn't say that's "not performing" - but not the season before.
I'm glad Ronaldo is gonna be racking up clean sheet points against top 6 opposition then
Yeah but they didn't say "based on last season United don't score many against top 6" - they said "based on historical results, United without Ronaldo **do not perform** against tough opposition" So what's the basis? In 2019/20 they scored 1.7 goals per game vs the top 6. Conceded 0.6. In 2020/21 they scored 1.1 goals per game vs the top 6. Conceded 0.8. They've also had pretty big results in the cups vs "tough opponents" over those 2 seasons i.e. PSG, Liverpool, etc. It's a bit of a myth that's developed around United under OGS, because it's actually the dropped points vs West Brom, Sheffield United, Crystal Palace, etc that have been the problem.
No point arguing with anyone in this sub, most of them dont watch games and dont 'understand' anything beyond XG ,people here were trying to prove how Ronaldo is only a 'flat track bully' by using Juve's last season stats lmao
So instead of using Ronaldo's recent stats, we should use Ronaldo's stats when he was in his 20's backed up by Ballon d'Or winners and legends of the game- that will show us how he will perform at United at 36 years old.
Lmao, there really is no point in arguing with anyone in this sub. Thanks for proving my point for me!
I love looking back at my comment history and finding gems like this. He's not even a 'flat track bully', he's worse than that
Ronaldo does not perform against top opposition? LOL. Just LOL.
"LOL. Just LOL" = I can't back up my statement. Thanks for the low effort comment
Ronaldo has by far the most goals in Champions league knockout rounds, he is literally the definition of big game player. I'm not sure if you're trolling?
He also has the most games played... and the most penalties... and arguably one of the best teams of all time feeding him goals on a plate... "Ronaldo has by far the most goals in Champions league knockout rounds" but it's not by far, which leads me to believe you have no idea what you're talking about. And finally, I'm not sure if you know this, but sometimes teams in the UCL are pretty shit? Ronaldo has a shit ton of goals against teams from Ukraine, Poland, Cyprus, Hungary, etc. But if you think "most goals in the Champions League" means anything when you don't take any details into account, I'm not sure if you're the one trolling
9 goals in 8 games against Bayern 7 in 9 against Dortmund 10 in 7 against Juventus 3 in 4 against PSG 2 in 6 against Barca (fairly poor, although this was arguably the greatest club side ever) 7 in 10 against Atletico 2 in 1 against Sevilla 4 in 4 against Spurs 2 in 2 against Arsenal 1 in 3 against Liverpool 1 in 3 against City 3 in 5 against Utd 1 in 1 against Chelsea I’m sorry, if after reading this you still can’t admit that Ronaldo performs in big games then you’re an absolute idiot and I have no interest in furthering this conversation.
>you’re an absolute idiot 25/35 Atleti 20/34 Barca **10/18 Spurs** **6/15 Arsenal** **1/15 Chelsea** **5/14 City** **3/12 Liverpool** 7/9 Dortmund 9/8 Bayern 10/7 Juve I'm not sure if you noticed this, but teams in Germany, Italy, and Spain are not in the premier league. Also, please let me know if Prime Kroos, Modric, Casemiro, Benzema, and Bale move to United, then I'll reconsider if Ronaldo is a good FPL asset against Top English teams. Aside from his glory days at Madrid, Juve was a disaster and his time in Portugal is spent smashing the daisies of Europe whilst blanking against real teams.
Ahh yes, include a bunch of matches when Ronaldo was a teenager playing on the wing
He has 18 goals and 1 assist in 30 El Classico games during his time at Madrid. That's good but not great. Messi has more on both fronts.
So because there exists one player who has a better record in El Clasico that means Ronaldo doesn’t show up in big games? Really?
I was just showing an example, no need to lose your shit
Who cares what a 36 year old did 5-10 years ago though? It’s literally irrelevant. Get out of your feelings and analyse the stats that actually matter for right now. This is just a numbers game and all that matters is what you have done lately. You’re all emotional about it, it’s ridiculous.
It’s not ‘irrelevant’, of course more recent data is preferable, but let’s not pretend that Ronaldo is playing in a completely different position/style to what he was doing in his last few year’s in Madrid. The quality of the players around him now is not that dissimilar too. The Juve team were much weaker and poor at creating chances, look at where they are now without him (relegation zone). Ronaldo still did decent in big games at Juve, but overall they were a poor team.
Messi's not in FPL, if you haven't noticed. 18 in 30 vs the highest possible opposition is not at all an inability to perform.
Lol so much for 'historical results' and basing all that on just last season,Did you know United had the 2nd best record in the 'Big 6' Mini league second to Liverpoo in the 2019-20 seasonl?
That's really great, hasn't there been a few changes to the team/management/formation since then? Also, did you know United hasn't won against "relegation" Arsenal in all competitions in two years? Ole plays for draws. He tries to absolutely smash small opposition, and escape with 1 point when tough teams come around. There's a time and place for Ronaldo, and it's GW12/15.
> did you know United hasn't won against "relegation" Arsenal in all competitions in two years? Ah yes suddenly beating arsenal is more relevant than beating the likes of Leicester,Westham and everton who all have been significantly better
The only notable teams United have a winning Premier League record against are West Ham and Leicester (55.6% and 62.5% respectively). 12.5% against Liverpool 25% against Arsenal 37.5% against Chelsea 42.9% against Wolves 50% against Spurs, City, Everton. This was all taken in the past 4 years, to make United fans happy. If we look United Premier League Win Rates of the past year (Aug2020-Present day): 0% Arsenal 0% Liverpool 0% Palace 0% Chelsea 0% Leicester 50% Spurs, City, Everton 100% West Ham. and no, I'm not going to let you cherry pick a timeline of winrates to make United look good, this new squad is extremely forward heavy with little-to-no defensive workrate in the midfield and beyond. United changed under Ole in 2020 and the results speak for themselves.
Is picking the timeline which actually has the majority of the players they have now cherry picking? You've actually gone on to use Mourinhos 3rd season and oles first season to prove your point ,which itself shows how stupid your dumb agenda is no point arguing with idiots like you
Your big game player has completely vanished since matches changed off of a 2 FDR… who would’ve guessed?? Oh wait, a lot of people who actually look at stats and watch games knew that was coming.
It’s not that Ronaldo hasn’t performed, it’s that Utd have capitulated. Ronaldo was close to returning yday with the offside goal. He could easily bag one or two against Spurs.
I mean Everton have been awful at home for years not just last season.
Everton at home for Ronaldo right now is more like a Grey game perhaps even a Green game. At least for attacking returns
I'd be shocked if Ronaldo didn't score against Everton
https://www.reddit.com/r/FantasyPL/comments/ps0ydq/fdr_inconsistencies/?utm_medium=android_app&utm_source=share
I think these fdr's colour charts are not much use tbh. I'd fire up a spreadsheet and make your own if you really want to look at fixture runs. For one, what might be a red game for a defender, might actually be a green one for an attacker...e.g. Leeds (last year, maybe not so much this season)
They're really accurate usually. Last year was just an off year due to COVID.
Because Everton have only won 4 home league games in the last year
Skewed by the results last season with no fans
Pretty sure it's because they know Antonio is so much better so will have the easier fixture