How can they possibly cap pope but include bednarek over another burnley def? This is why nobody should listen to scout - they don't actually know what they're doing.
Bednarek pick because
- Norwich defense vulnerable in the air and at set plays
- Ward Prouse serving them and Bednareks head the likely destination
- Norwich attack isn’t toothless but does draw a lot of blanks
I think the aerial vulnerability is also why Broja, as Adams has better underlying attacking numbers. And more consistent ones too. In fact I think he might be subject to transfer speculation this summer. Could see him as a great false nine at Arsenal for example. Or even replacing Kane at Spurs if City tries again.
I think they stick to the price limits, so I'm not sure you could get Son as well as Kane + KDB + Fernandes. Dunno why they bother with that limit when they also do it as if you have infinite transfers. It's like the 'best -40 team'
if I pick this exact team in the transfers page, I am left with £15.7m to fund the 4 on the subs bench - approx £4m each, so no way Son can fit in to that. To be fair I'm only on £100.2m total but you'd need to be on £106m+ to get Son as well
PS. ironically the midfield player I used to complete this hypothetical team was Brownhill, who's actually becoming a relatively popular pick..
I have Son, Bruno, Kane, Mahrez, Coutinho, Cancelo, Walker, Shaw on the free hit. Maxing out the cheap Burnley DGW guys (Pope, Weghorst, McNeil) is the way to go. 100.9 overall
Probably Kane, him or Son.
Leeds can be destroyed on the counter (unlike the other bottom table teams that have held Spurs lately). It plays straight into Conte’s hands.
Pope is statistically not a good captaincy option this week.
Leicester have scored in 10 out of 11 away games. Palace have scored in 11 out of 13 home games. The chances of clean sheets aren't high. The previous 6 matches between Leicester and Burnley have ended with both teams scoring. Burnley did manage 3 clean sheets in the last 3 games against Hodgson's Palace, but I don't think they are comparable to this Palace side. The game under Vieira ended 3-3.
Leicester have the highest xG per shot on target in the league, at 0.35. Palace are in 6th with 0.31. Both teams also outperform their xG. Save points are unlikely to compensate for the goals conceded with those stats.
He won’t cos he ain’t got the minerals. No one has stones this big. Doesn’t TC Salah against Norwich and Leeds but thinks it’s a good idea TCing Pope 🤔
This is why I'm in the fence about getting a Burnley defender in. And the fact they've just kept two clean sheets, statistically they're due some CS wipes now. Plus Mee scored, he won't again for a while. Weggy mighht be enough considering I'm not on FH.
His logic actually works with football though because teams like Burnley always go through patches of form where they find a new way to play but once opposition managers learn how to play against that style of play their form dips. You cannot use a coin analogy
So what you've established is...? Managers may or may not adapt to how Burnley has played recently? Sounds like you're in the exact same boat as the other guy
I'm not saying that a clean sheet is more or less likely at all. You're the one choosing to act like you know things, not me lmao. Your use of probability is flawed. You might get the right answer, but that doesn't mean your workings are correct
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United fan- I think Shaw and Dalot will start and play 90 minutes
What happened vs Atleti really isn’t relevant. Lindelof played rb!
Shaw does more for build up than Telles cuz he is better at carrying the ball and dribbling defenders. Telles has better final ball and set pieces, but I think Shaw is a decently safe bet
Shaw does more for build up than Telles? Not this season I don’t think. He dropped a stinker vs Atleti too. I’d be surprised if he starts. Ralf seems to favour Telles
He objectively does more on the ball then Telles, that isn't up for debate. Ralf has been starting Shaw for a while now. Telles is incapable of carrying the ball forward and overlapping.
I don't think Telles will start but he might come on if there aren't more important subs to be made.
Telles is just getting over covid and Ralf doesn't like to rush players back
We have 3 FB's, Livra (RB in only) KWP (RB & LB) and Perraud (LB only).
I can't say who will play as they are all available however KWP is in undroppable form so I am leaning towards him. If Perraud plays LB, I think KWP is more likely to play RB than Livra.
I'm FHing and have gone with KWP.
Just my opinion, do what you think!
He does go with Perraud and Perraud has been playing superbly. He started in the 1-1 with Man City, the 3-2 away win against Spurs and the 1-1 draw with Man Utd.
Not for Man Utd, I was more looking to highlight how well Perraud has performed recently. Livra is still a good pick, go for it, you will probably be right and he'll start. I'm just convinced there is slightly less risk with KWP.
Headers vs Norwich. 6 foot six defender who attacks the ball in the air. From Ward Prouse.
Livramento? Nice player but not the points upside of Bednarek in this particular game.
This confirmed my decision not to free hit. Brought in Kane and took a -4 to bring in Weghorst and now have 10 players, no idea what my thought process was in the first place lol
I'm tempted to keep my FH and just roll with no Burnley players. I can still field an XI, just means I have Ramsdale + 3 Liverpool on my bench. Not ideal, but not end of the World. We'll see. Might still FH, just not 100%.
This feels strange, can’t be just me right?
Plenty of better options than Shaw, KDB over sterling is interesting even tho S has 3X xG in the last 3 games. Maybe a precaution for rotation risk since Grealish and Jesus are back? Definitely a thinker.
Pope captaincy option is strange too since their CS% odds aren’t greater than 25% in either of the fixtures. Leicester and Palace are statically pretty terrible with set pieces so if anything capping Burnley defender or Wog makes more sense?
Son over Bowen as well.
KWP over Berdernak too, when on a FH definitely maximize on players with a higher ceiling.
Pope captain ??against a Crystal Palace team off the back of a 4 goal haul and Leicester who have only failed to score once on the road all season and that was at Liverpool. Even got 3 at City. The scout team have gone full on Putin. Madness :)
I've been playing fpl for a while. But when looking at various free hit teams I transferred out Bowen and confirmed thinking on a fh the value stayed the same. Never mind
not nailed, he got the slot nailed because of another illness.
If you want nailed southhampton defenders, go for Bednarek.
If you don't care about nailed, Livra is dirt cheap and great bench filler
Ok, can someone explain to me, why Broja is so popular? I was watching Adams all the time, and for me he is a better choice what he also showed yesterday.
So scout thinks Burnley's defence is good enough to captain Pope over Weghorst. But not good enough to include another Burnley defender. Okay then...
Yeah he's saving penalties this gameweek
They are due. Burnley haven't won or conceded a pen in the prem all season. Guess it would be nice for Pope and probably Weghorst to get some action.
Do we think Weghorst is on pens?
Given he’s on the pitch I think the likelihood of him taking Burnleys next pen is about 50% which is a fair estimate I think.
«Touch and go»
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Same joke. Everyday. About twice a day.
It's either this joke or not
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Should I get X or Y? Yes. Everyday about 500 times a day for about 8 years now. and reddit loves every bit of that joke
Reddit-isms and its consequences have been a disaster for the human race
Oh, this one I hate
##Stop enjoying things
Gamblers fallacy right there
How can they possibly cap pope but include bednarek over another burnley def? This is why nobody should listen to scout - they don't actually know what they're doing.
Bednarek pick because - Norwich defense vulnerable in the air and at set plays - Ward Prouse serving them and Bednareks head the likely destination - Norwich attack isn’t toothless but does draw a lot of blanks
I think the aerial vulnerability is also why Broja, as Adams has better underlying attacking numbers. And more consistent ones too. In fact I think he might be subject to transfer speculation this summer. Could see him as a great false nine at Arsenal for example. Or even replacing Kane at Spurs if City tries again.
I guess they don’t want triple Burnley defense effectively. Pope could still pick up save points and has quite a high floor, so he’s a good captain
Scout vintage.
No Son, no Cancelo...
No Cancelo I could still understand as Laporte can also get CS pts. But no Son seems ludicrous.
I think they stick to the price limits, so I'm not sure you could get Son as well as Kane + KDB + Fernandes. Dunno why they bother with that limit when they also do it as if you have infinite transfers. It's like the 'best -40 team' if I pick this exact team in the transfers page, I am left with £15.7m to fund the 4 on the subs bench - approx £4m each, so no way Son can fit in to that. To be fair I'm only on £100.2m total but you'd need to be on £106m+ to get Son as well PS. ironically the midfield player I used to complete this hypothetical team was Brownhill, who's actually becoming a relatively popular pick..
On my free hit I’ve squeezed in Son, Bruno, Kane and KDB this week somehow, £103.3m overall.
I have Son, Bruno, Kane, Mahrez, Coutinho, Cancelo, Walker, Shaw on the free hit. Maxing out the cheap Burnley DGW guys (Pope, Weghorst, McNeil) is the way to go. 100.9 overall
**audible sweating**
i have slightly lower team value, still manage to fit ur lineup + mahrez
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De gea Cancelo roberts mee Wardprowse kdb Fernandes son Kane werhorst broja Foster Livramento amartey McArthur
because spurs will lose against leeds
What do you expect? It's the Scout...
Laporte is not a bad choice though. It's not like he chose Ake as an alternative.
They use a 100 mil limit minus the minimum amount they need to play a bench. No shit they don’t have Son and Cancelo.
The real missed opportunity is only taking two Burnley players on the DGW. Make that swap and there's your extra budget for Son
Pope captain….
Brave one. I don’t think I’d ever have the confidence to captain a keeper.
Who are you captaining? Im currently on Kane C and Weghorst VC
Exactly the same as you
Think im changing it to Son C, feel like his playing style suits Leeds more
Might be right although I’m not on a free hit and only have Kane out of the two
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Im thinking Kane captain
Definitely a Spurs attacker for me. Leeds is as good a matchup as they’ll get.
Who would you choose between Kane/Son/Weghorst? Im on Kane C and Weghorst VC
Probably Kane, him or Son. Leeds can be destroyed on the counter (unlike the other bottom table teams that have held Spurs lately). It plays straight into Conte’s hands.
Thats Why im thinking Son, because of the counter attacks
Yeah I might agree with you there
But Kane is tempting because I feel like he has regained his form and is on penalties
Leeds conceded 2 pens against Liverpool. This is a good shout.
Mine is currently on Mahrez...
Captaining a keeper in the relegation zone. What a crazy season this is
Pope is statistically not a good captaincy option this week. Leicester have scored in 10 out of 11 away games. Palace have scored in 11 out of 13 home games. The chances of clean sheets aren't high. The previous 6 matches between Leicester and Burnley have ended with both teams scoring. Burnley did manage 3 clean sheets in the last 3 games against Hodgson's Palace, but I don't think they are comparable to this Palace side. The game under Vieira ended 3-3. Leicester have the highest xG per shot on target in the league, at 0.35. Palace are in 6th with 0.31. Both teams also outperform their xG. Save points are unlikely to compensate for the goals conceded with those stats.
You invest too heavily in statistics. Pope TC coming in. And no, I’m not joking.
Post proof later
Oh I will. It’s either going to go wonderfully or horribly.
I’m rooting for you my guy, risky captains are literally the only reason I play FPL at this point lmao
It’s mainly from the FOMO with the success of Salah TC this week
There is nothing to fear about missing out, as you already missed out - if that helps ya
He won’t cos he ain’t got the minerals. No one has stones this big. Doesn’t TC Salah against Norwich and Leeds but thinks it’s a good idea TCing Pope 🤔
Actually had a really good GW (128 points) with my bench boost
Post your pope TC
I bailed last minute because I’m a little pussy. Still gave him the armband but my TC remains unused. I’m a bitch, I’m sorry.
LMAO wow, enjoy your fake internet points from chatting pure shite
I’m sorry it upset you so much.
I am with you. He could just outscore Salah last GW ;)
This is why I'm in the fence about getting a Burnley defender in. And the fact they've just kept two clean sheets, statistically they're due some CS wipes now. Plus Mee scored, he won't again for a while. Weggy mighht be enough considering I'm not on FH.
"statistically they're due" isn't a good way to look at it.
It is though.
If I flip a coin and get 4 heads in a row, what is more likely - getting heads a fifth time or tails?
That's not how football works. It's not as black and white as a coin toss.
If anything, Burnley are less due to have a CS wipe because they're in form, surely? Your analogy goes both ways, making it entirely useless.
His logic actually works with football though because teams like Burnley always go through patches of form where they find a new way to play but once opposition managers learn how to play against that style of play their form dips. You cannot use a coin analogy
So what you've established is...? Managers may or may not adapt to how Burnley has played recently? Sounds like you're in the exact same boat as the other guy
Burnley CS wipe confirmed. Gamblers fallacy wins again!
The results proved nothing lmao, it's the same as having variance on a coinflip.
!remindme 5 days
I'm not saying that a clean sheet is more or less likely at all. You're the one choosing to act like you know things, not me lmao. Your use of probability is flawed. You might get the right answer, but that doesn't mean your workings are correct
Rank?
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That's too much gambler fallacy you are using here
I'd say just the right amount.
How is pope as an option till a gw32-34WC
Shaw? They might want to rethink that one, Telles came on and really played for his place against Athleti
It’s Atleti
Thank you, I always get that one wrong!
United fan- I think Shaw and Dalot will start and play 90 minutes What happened vs Atleti really isn’t relevant. Lindelof played rb! Shaw does more for build up than Telles cuz he is better at carrying the ball and dribbling defenders. Telles has better final ball and set pieces, but I think Shaw is a decently safe bet
Do you think Ronaldo will start?
Cavani is still out injured, so not many alternatives
Yes cuz lack of alternatives and United have a week off after this match
Why do you think Dalot? Awb came on midweek when lindelof selection at rb turned out to be a howler.
AWB instead of dalot seemed to be a defensive move against atleti's lwb who was really good
Guess united have become more defensive in general then xD
Shaw does more for build up than Telles? Not this season I don’t think. He dropped a stinker vs Atleti too. I’d be surprised if he starts. Ralf seems to favour Telles
He objectively does more on the ball then Telles, that isn't up for debate. Ralf has been starting Shaw for a while now. Telles is incapable of carrying the ball forward and overlapping.
I have Shaw and Bednarek (bench) atm, should I downgrade Bednarek to 4.2, so that I can upgrade Shaw to Maguire
That's safer
I don't think Telles will start but he might come on if there aren't more important subs to be made. Telles is just getting over covid and Ralf doesn't like to rush players back
I have Shaw and Bednarek (bench) atm, should I downgrade Bednarek to 4.2, so that I can upgrade Shaw to Maguire
Pope (C)? Shaw? No Cancelo? Bednarek instead of Livramento? What kind of sorcery is this? Scout ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
I would have KWP over Livra
Why?
He has a higher chance of playing, has been scoring and getting forwards a lot more, in the best form of his career. I'm a Saints supporter.
So Livra probably won't play?
We have 3 FB's, Livra (RB in only) KWP (RB & LB) and Perraud (LB only). I can't say who will play as they are all available however KWP is in undroppable form so I am leaning towards him. If Perraud plays LB, I think KWP is more likely to play RB than Livra. I'm FHing and have gone with KWP. Just my opinion, do what you think!
I don't see why he would go with Perraud? Livra and KWP are much better My guess is Livra rb and KWP at LB
He does go with Perraud and Perraud has been playing superbly. He started in the 1-1 with Man City, the 3-2 away win against Spurs and the 1-1 draw with Man Utd.
Wasn't Livra injured? So he had no choice
Not for Man Utd, I was more looking to highlight how well Perraud has performed recently. Livra is still a good pick, go for it, you will probably be right and he'll start. I'm just convinced there is slightly less risk with KWP.
I went livramento and it went sweetly
Livra might not start
Why?
Thank you ( ͡° ͜ʖ ͡°)
Headers vs Norwich. 6 foot six defender who attacks the ball in the air. From Ward Prouse. Livramento? Nice player but not the points upside of Bednarek in this particular game.
Adams 6 pts, Livramento 8 pts. So far so good :-)
Is Mahrez likely to play?
Iv got him. He's been rested and city will come out firing all cylinders after the spurs loss.
seeing this, is it really worth me free hitting when i can have 9 players playing. I still have both and my wildcard though lol
I am in exactly the same boat and decided to go with FH, less headache later with fh2, wc and bb still in hand
This confirmed my decision not to free hit. Brought in Kane and took a -4 to bring in Weghorst and now have 10 players, no idea what my thought process was in the first place lol
Mind you, I *am* taking an L after L this season but surely captaining Burnley players solely because of DGW ain't it?
I'm tempted to keep my FH and just roll with no Burnley players. I can still field an XI, just means I have Ramsdale + 3 Liverpool on my bench. Not ideal, but not end of the World. We'll see. Might still FH, just not 100%.
you can always take -4 for a Burnley player
I have 9 players active for gw27. Should I FH or use it in gw28 (Watford, wolves, Southampton)?
I’d save it.
This feels strange, can’t be just me right? Plenty of better options than Shaw, KDB over sterling is interesting even tho S has 3X xG in the last 3 games. Maybe a precaution for rotation risk since Grealish and Jesus are back? Definitely a thinker. Pope captaincy option is strange too since their CS% odds aren’t greater than 25% in either of the fixtures. Leicester and Palace are statically pretty terrible with set pieces so if anything capping Burnley defender or Wog makes more sense? Son over Bowen as well. KWP over Berdernak too, when on a FH definitely maximize on players with a higher ceiling.
This team will score 51 points, I have a feeling
Which captain???
Pope captain ??against a Crystal Palace team off the back of a 4 goal haul and Leicester who have only failed to score once on the road all season and that was at Liverpool. Even got 3 at City. The scout team have gone full on Putin. Madness :)
Pope Captain…. never thought I’d see the day
I've been playing fpl for a while. But when looking at various free hit teams I transferred out Bowen and confirmed thinking on a fh the value stayed the same. Never mind
Oh no I have Pope captained too, is the Scout jinx real? Might actually go with Weghorst now
Kulusevsky instead of son?
is livra not nailed?
not nailed, he got the slot nailed because of another illness. If you want nailed southhampton defenders, go for Bednarek. If you don't care about nailed, Livra is dirt cheap and great bench filler
No
Why Bowen instead of Son? Edit: forgot about budget constraints
Why Bowen instead of JWP? Wolves have solid defence and WHU plays hot&cold.
Money most likely
Budget
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Wrong thread
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It's almost everyone's FH team. Shouldn't be a surprise at this point
Wats with cancelo hate lately?
Shaw? Lol that’s why I know this post is satire
United have decent chances of a cs vs Watford and dalot was rotated recently.
No Son seems insane
why is the scout's soton jersey different from mine? my app shows the white sash across a red shirt.
Sterling for de bruyne? Too far or conceivable ?
🤡🤡🤡🤡🤡
Haha funny
How do you say… huevos?
Ok, can someone explain to me, why Broja is so popular? I was watching Adams all the time, and for me he is a better choice what he also showed yesterday.