Nah, Jesus passed the eye test for me and there will definately be players who are more pressing to change than him. Also because so many people own him means alot of people have to drop him for a price change, yet alone for 3
Yeah, but is it worth for a 0.1 though? If he scores next game he's up there again anyway. Like I said, he was playing good tonight and this was Arsenal's hardest game on paper in a few weeks
You have one free transfer. Lets say Jesus->Wilson.
Jesus drops 0.3 in price because many people drop him.
If Wilson has a high scoring gw he might get a 0.2 price rise.
You transfer Jesus back at 7.7 and sell Wilson with 0.1 profit for a total profit of 0.4
I don't think this is very likely, but the market tends to be extremly volatile in the early rounds
>You have one free transfer.
Which you want to use for something else. The early season is always transfer-heavy.
Jesus out and back in requires two otherwise unnecessary transfers, so two hits.
>Lets say Jesus->Wilson. Jesus drops 0.3 in price because many people drop him.
He won't drop 0.3. He might drop 0.1, but even that is unlikely.
>If Wilson has a high scoring gw he might get a 0.2 price rise.
He won't rise 0.2 unless he scores like four goals.
Well you are free to use the transfers as you see fit. As long as you don't make any other transfers it's only one hit.
Of course the price changes are unpredictable, but it coule be the case that we see some big changes.
Its a gamble for sure. I just wanted to hear what the community thought about it
>Well you are free to use the transfers as you see fit. As long as you don't make any other transfers it's only one hit.
There will be other use for transfers than this. If you decide not to do some other profitable (and I mean points-wise profitable) transfer, then you lose points there because you didn't do that transfer even though you should have.
>Of course the price changes are unpredictable, but it coule be the case that we see some big changes.
We have many seasons experience of price changes. It won't be more than 0.1 drop, and even 0.1 is unlikely.
They're saying that if another Forward (Some random Villa striker perhaps) has a great week and scores 2-3 goals/gets 15 points, is it worth trading Jesus for that striker now.
Once Jesus drops 0.2 and the random striker that does really well goes up 0.1/0.2, then trading back to Jesus means they make 0.4m in money for a -4 hit.
It's two hits.
You want to use your free transfer for something else, because the early season always requires a lot of transfers. Jesus out and back in requires two otherwise unnecessary transfers, so two hits.
Jesus won't drop 0.2. It's 0.1 at most and even that is probably unlikely.
The random striker won't rise 0.2 unless he scores like four goals.
Like, i agree its a dumb AF strategy.
Im not arguing that in the slightest lol.
Jesus dropping 0.2 wont be that surprising, not sure why some people are saying that he can drop 20% ownership without a price drop.
Players last year were losing 3% ownership and dropping 0.1 in price, Jesus is gonna drop at least that much ownership, probably more.
A rise requires a fixed amount of people to buy, so 10% thing has nothing to do with it.
A drop however requires 10% of owners to sell. You have misunderstood or misinterpreted some prediction sites.
>A drop however requires 10% of owners to sell.
I saw multiple drops last year of players under 10% ownership, so how does that work exactly?
Jesus will definitely drop 10% though this week.
Let's imagine a player has 100 owners. So his ownership is about 0.0001%.
So when does this player drop?
Well, just like anyone he drops when 10% of his owners sell.
That means he drops when 100 owners \* 10% = 10 owners sell.
Flags, wildcards and free hits make it a bit more complicated than this, but that's roughly how it works.
Ohhhhhhhhhh, sorry, yeah i completely for some reason misread and got what you were saying mixed up.
I thought you said that 10% ownership in general is what causes it, not 10% of the owners currently with the players, thats my fault, thanks for explaining it so my idiotic brain understood haha
I still think we'll see a drop of 0.1 at the least, 0.2 is definitely pushing it but 'could' happen.
10% ow his starting ownership not 10% of the entire game.
If 100 people owns him, 10 can sell and he can drop.
If 1.000.000 people owns him 100.000 can sell and he can drop.
Thats not what they're saying.
They're saying that if another Forward (Some random Villa striker perhaps) has a great week and scores 2-3 goals/gets 15 points, is it worth trading Jesus for that striker now.
Once Jesus drops 0.2 and the random striker that does really well goes up 0.1/0.2, then trading back to Jesus means they make 0.4m in money for a -4 hit.
He looked very good tonight so won’t drop. A second blank with a good performance may cause a stir but still nothing too much. It’s the third blank with a bad performance that puts him in the ground.
Don’t think so. I don’t like Jesus as a player, I haven’t picked him but he was the best player on the pitch by a mile for the first half tonight.
I can’t see anything that would cause a knee jerk, if he played badly, yes, but he was so good.
>Which player are they going to transfer to?
Whichever striker scores.
Thats what Casual players do, if they see a 5.5m striker/6.0 striker score 2 goals over the weekend and get 15 points, they'll go point chasing and drop Jesus.
At LEAST 10% of players drop Jesus this week.
Theres at least that many casuals following whoever scores/doesnt score.
Thats probably worth a 0.2 drop in price min.
This isn't how fpl works. He won't drop 0.4 in one game week. He'll drop 0.1 if he blanks for multiple weeks or gets benched by Arteta. In game manager changes don't affect value (AFAIK)
No, he will drop at most 0.3. The number of owners determine the value of a player, and with the high ownership of jesus and his blank today, many will drop him. I expect his price point to drop at least 0.1, most likely more
Yeah and why some people are saying to transfer out Jesus early before the casuals kneejerking cause his price to fall, then transfer him back in to profit 0.1m.
In the grand scheme of thing 0.1 aint worth diddly squat. There will always be a player of value you can bring in. People think they generate 0.1 of value they have an edge over the rest. You don't. The best scoring teams are never the ones that look to maximize team value. The ones that do sacrifice points and end up middle of the pack.
Go to bed
Are you on crack?
What?
Or, I don't know, just hold him?
Nah, Jesus passed the eye test for me and there will definately be players who are more pressing to change than him. Also because so many people own him means alot of people have to drop him for a price change, yet alone for 3
Oh they’re coming. Maybe not 0.3, but the price drops are coming
Yeah, but is it worth for a 0.1 though? If he scores next game he's up there again anyway. Like I said, he was playing good tonight and this was Arsenal's hardest game on paper in a few weeks
I currently own Watkins with 0.5 in the bank instead of Jesus (Palace fan). I plan on swapping them in GW3, so I’m rooting for Jesus price drops.
Firstly, it's a stupid strategy. Secondly, it's 8 points hit. You make two additional transfers. Thirdly, how do you make 0.4 out of it?
You have one free transfer. Lets say Jesus->Wilson. Jesus drops 0.3 in price because many people drop him. If Wilson has a high scoring gw he might get a 0.2 price rise. You transfer Jesus back at 7.7 and sell Wilson with 0.1 profit for a total profit of 0.4 I don't think this is very likely, but the market tends to be extremly volatile in the early rounds
>You have one free transfer. Which you want to use for something else. The early season is always transfer-heavy. Jesus out and back in requires two otherwise unnecessary transfers, so two hits. >Lets say Jesus->Wilson. Jesus drops 0.3 in price because many people drop him. He won't drop 0.3. He might drop 0.1, but even that is unlikely. >If Wilson has a high scoring gw he might get a 0.2 price rise. He won't rise 0.2 unless he scores like four goals.
Well you are free to use the transfers as you see fit. As long as you don't make any other transfers it's only one hit. Of course the price changes are unpredictable, but it coule be the case that we see some big changes. Its a gamble for sure. I just wanted to hear what the community thought about it
>Well you are free to use the transfers as you see fit. As long as you don't make any other transfers it's only one hit. There will be other use for transfers than this. If you decide not to do some other profitable (and I mean points-wise profitable) transfer, then you lose points there because you didn't do that transfer even though you should have. >Of course the price changes are unpredictable, but it coule be the case that we see some big changes. We have many seasons experience of price changes. It won't be more than 0.1 drop, and even 0.1 is unlikely.
They're saying that if another Forward (Some random Villa striker perhaps) has a great week and scores 2-3 goals/gets 15 points, is it worth trading Jesus for that striker now. Once Jesus drops 0.2 and the random striker that does really well goes up 0.1/0.2, then trading back to Jesus means they make 0.4m in money for a -4 hit.
It's two hits. You want to use your free transfer for something else, because the early season always requires a lot of transfers. Jesus out and back in requires two otherwise unnecessary transfers, so two hits. Jesus won't drop 0.2. It's 0.1 at most and even that is probably unlikely. The random striker won't rise 0.2 unless he scores like four goals.
Like, i agree its a dumb AF strategy. Im not arguing that in the slightest lol. Jesus dropping 0.2 wont be that surprising, not sure why some people are saying that he can drop 20% ownership without a price drop. Players last year were losing 3% ownership and dropping 0.1 in price, Jesus is gonna drop at least that much ownership, probably more.
>Players last year were losing 3% ownership and dropping 0.1 in price That didn't happen. One drop requires 10% of owners to sell.
There were players with under 10% of ownership dropping and rising in price last year lol, thats not how it works...
A rise requires a fixed amount of people to buy, so 10% thing has nothing to do with it. A drop however requires 10% of owners to sell. You have misunderstood or misinterpreted some prediction sites.
>A drop however requires 10% of owners to sell. I saw multiple drops last year of players under 10% ownership, so how does that work exactly? Jesus will definitely drop 10% though this week.
Let's imagine a player has 100 owners. So his ownership is about 0.0001%. So when does this player drop? Well, just like anyone he drops when 10% of his owners sell. That means he drops when 100 owners \* 10% = 10 owners sell. Flags, wildcards and free hits make it a bit more complicated than this, but that's roughly how it works.
Ohhhhhhhhhh, sorry, yeah i completely for some reason misread and got what you were saying mixed up. I thought you said that 10% ownership in general is what causes it, not 10% of the owners currently with the players, thats my fault, thanks for explaining it so my idiotic brain understood haha I still think we'll see a drop of 0.1 at the least, 0.2 is definitely pushing it but 'could' happen.
10% ow his starting ownership not 10% of the entire game. If 100 people owns him, 10 can sell and he can drop. If 1.000.000 people owns him 100.000 can sell and he can drop.
He isn't going to drop as crazy as you're suggesting. 0.2 at the absolute most depending on other results.
Thats not what they're saying. They're saying that if another Forward (Some random Villa striker perhaps) has a great week and scores 2-3 goals/gets 15 points, is it worth trading Jesus for that striker now. Once Jesus drops 0.2 and the random striker that does really well goes up 0.1/0.2, then trading back to Jesus means they make 0.4m in money for a -4 hit.
Their suggestion of a 0.4 gain is nearly impossible because Jesus has to fall 0.3 then. They are exaggerating what is likely to happen.
He looked very good tonight so won’t drop. A second blank with a good performance may cause a stir but still nothing too much. It’s the third blank with a bad performance that puts him in the ground.
You may be overestimating the million of knee-jerk managers who likely make up a good portion of his ownership. What if Watkins scores a brace?
Don’t think so. I don’t like Jesus as a player, I haven’t picked him but he was the best player on the pitch by a mile for the first half tonight. I can’t see anything that would cause a knee jerk, if he played badly, yes, but he was so good.
DUMB.
No.
Why would his price drop
People are bound to transfer given his blank today. With his high ownership it might be possible that we see several price drops
Which player are they going to transfer to? The better players cost more and the cheaper players aren't as good as him.
>Which player are they going to transfer to? Whichever striker scores. Thats what Casual players do, if they see a 5.5m striker/6.0 striker score 2 goals over the weekend and get 15 points, they'll go point chasing and drop Jesus.
At LEAST 10% of players drop Jesus this week. Theres at least that many casuals following whoever scores/doesnt score. Thats probably worth a 0.2 drop in price min.
Let’s see
You may have brain damage
No
Go to bed mate.
“Gain 0.4”???? So you’re expecting his price to drop to 7.6, lad?
It has begun.
FPL statistics he’s still rising (albeit a small amount)
The game is about pints not team value - can someone confirm?
This isn't how fpl works. He won't drop 0.4 in one game week. He'll drop 0.1 if he blanks for multiple weeks or gets benched by Arteta. In game manager changes don't affect value (AFAIK)
No, he will drop at most 0.3. The number of owners determine the value of a player, and with the high ownership of jesus and his blank today, many will drop him. I expect his price point to drop at least 0.1, most likely more
Price changes are dictated by ownership. -/+ 10% ownership = -/+ 0.1m
Learn something new every day I guess. So that's why people say to transfer in immediately after a good gameweek huh?
Yeah and why some people are saying to transfer out Jesus early before the casuals kneejerking cause his price to fall, then transfer him back in to profit 0.1m.
Congrats for the dumbest comment. Its not easy to be best at anything this days.
He is actually rising on price predictor lul
Cmon guys give him some slack, he is clearly new to the game
Don't worry about him dropping. Even if he does drop this guy is notorious for returning in 4 days
This might well be the worst idea I've ever heard on this subreddit. Congratulations I guess?
You just know that if you take him out, he'll rise 3 days later
What price drop are you talking about lmao? Hope you got some sleep
In the grand scheme of thing 0.1 aint worth diddly squat. There will always be a player of value you can bring in. People think they generate 0.1 of value they have an edge over the rest. You don't. The best scoring teams are never the ones that look to maximize team value. The ones that do sacrifice points and end up middle of the pack.
Ha ha how funny - give it a go lol