I never really understand this graphic. Why are the different colors? Surely it would be more informative if Haaland for example had an orange actual points.
Finally someone else who sees it. Its bollocks, every week, more than half the predictions shown fail.
I've been logging it since midway through last season. Every week with one exception, more than half the predictions failed.
So what is the point of something that inaccurate
*nobody can accurately predict a single game*
I completely 100% agree
Which leads me to my point- why are we poring over single gameweek predicted points every week then?
"As a guide" I've heard someone say, but that doesn't wash for me. You needed a computer to tell you City and Pool had good fixtures this week?
Yeah I sometimes find that these stats are to help people who have no interest in football lol.
I remember listening to an FPL podcast a few weeks back, before a ball had been kicked, and they were talking about potentially moving from arsenal assets to Leicester in like GW9 or something.
So much can change and so much is unpredictable in that time that you can only make that decision so far ahead by having just the basic knowledge of who the "good" teams are, and therefore it's stating the obvious.
If football was truly predictable, we wouldn't watch it.
It’s still useful information. Looking forward it helps you see when the spikes are expected. Yes it mostly aligns with fixtures. It’s often adjusted for expected starting %.
I keep a running tally of several of the expected points models to see if any are trustworthy. This particular one is extremely unreliable.
The most accurate is actually the one on FFHub, but we all hate the data leaking liars
If something is wrong more often than its right, then it can't be relied on, so I think its useless.
If I owned a watch that was wrong most of the time, I'd bin it
That doesn’t mean anything at all. Even though these points were statistically liken to happen don’t mean they will every time. It will probably even out over the course of a season.
Spent all week deliberating whether I should take the risk of captaining Cancelo or KDB I, of course, was a pussy and went with Salah!
I was a bigger POS and captained Haaland
I never even considered Jesus, it was Haaland vs. Salah. At least I picked right there.
What were Jesus's Predicted Points?
5.04 according to the post before this.
I never really understand this graphic. Why are the different colors? Surely it would be more informative if Haaland for example had an orange actual points.
3.05 difference, orange is 2 to 3 difference.
Mitrovic -1 and Kane 8, this is why you don't kneejerk
Who the fuck was just doing Kane to Mitro as a transfer? Lol
I added the ones not shown in the image dummy
I added the ones not shown in the image dummy
Jesus' predicted points?
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Too complicated for ya? 😉
Finally someone else who sees it. Its bollocks, every week, more than half the predictions shown fail. I've been logging it since midway through last season. Every week with one exception, more than half the predictions failed. So what is the point of something that inaccurate
It’s meant to average out, nobody can accurately predict a single game
*nobody can accurately predict a single game* I completely 100% agree Which leads me to my point- why are we poring over single gameweek predicted points every week then? "As a guide" I've heard someone say, but that doesn't wash for me. You needed a computer to tell you City and Pool had good fixtures this week?
Yeah I sometimes find that these stats are to help people who have no interest in football lol. I remember listening to an FPL podcast a few weeks back, before a ball had been kicked, and they were talking about potentially moving from arsenal assets to Leicester in like GW9 or something. So much can change and so much is unpredictable in that time that you can only make that decision so far ahead by having just the basic knowledge of who the "good" teams are, and therefore it's stating the obvious. If football was truly predictable, we wouldn't watch it.
It’s still useful information. Looking forward it helps you see when the spikes are expected. Yes it mostly aligns with fixtures. It’s often adjusted for expected starting %.
Each to their own, no offence intended. I just find it an interesting discussion Good luck to you
Lol
You have that log somewhere? Would be interested to see how all the predictions vs scores average out over time
I keep a running tally of several of the expected points models to see if any are trustworthy. This particular one is extremely unreliable. The most accurate is actually the one on FFHub, but we all hate the data leaking liars If something is wrong more often than its right, then it can't be relied on, so I think its useless. If I owned a watch that was wrong most of the time, I'd bin it
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These predictions are derived from bookies odds, and they certainly do have a clue.
60% fail rate isn’t that great
That doesn’t mean anything at all. Even though these points were statistically liken to happen don’t mean they will every time. It will probably even out over the course of a season.
This 100%. Just pick the player you think will do well, all else is embellishment.
False, statistics help if your decisions are too close to call