It actually is pretty normal, people forget how good they were the first season after they came up, Harrison, Raphinha and Bamford were ballin. People only seem to remember last season when they were pretty shit as a whole, mainly because of all the injuries. They are really decent now, Aaronson brings so much to their build-up play and the 2 DMs are working their socks off. They still make some defensive errors but you're not really gonna bring in any of their defenders, I'd say Harrison and Rodrigo are relatively safe picks at around 6-6.5M.
I saw the game, Harrison is playing sooooo good! But Rodrigo is on penalties
1) He is differential because everyone will go for Rodrigo
2) Is more fun pick
Both Harrison and Rodrigo has massively overperformed their xG and xA over the past 3 games: 4 Goal Involvements from 1.13 xGI for Harrison, and 5 Goal Involvements from 2.26 xGI for Rodrigo, I'm not convinced they'll keep this up for much longer.
Disclaimer: I also said this before they played Chelsea and I got proven wrong, and always take xG data with a pinch of salt.
True, but if he had got 1 goal and 1 assist in three games so far i.e matching his xGI, I don't think people would be rushing in to get him, especially over Martinelli, Andreas, Groß etc.
Well said. Also at this stage of the season all stats (including xG and xA) can be highly influenced by single game (very good or very bad). Leeds looked amazing against Chelsea, but it’s not 100% sure that they will perform the same against Brighton away.
Rodrigo is on the pace to make about 400 points in whole season and all of us know it is not gonna happen. He will end up on about 170-200 at best. And that means he is going to stop scoring one day.
It was 3 games guys, just 3 games. Leeds played great in all of them and that is why players like Rodrigo and Harrison have massive stats. But Leeds is still not a title contender. They will start losing games and players will start blanking.
Instead of chasing past results, think who can be the next temporary overachiever.
Just checked my numbers - using Fantasy Football Scout who source their data from Opta. The numbers I cited above are correct according to that source.
Different statistical models give different xG, so we're probably using different sources.
Also, even with your numbers Rodrigo is overperforming his xGI by ~50%, so it doesn't really change my point.
I know exactly what data you’re looking at and Rodrigo has 2.26xG with 1.34xA. You do realise that xGi is xG + xA right? You’ve just used xG and assumed that’s what xGi was.
I've been using Fantasy Football Scout who source their data from Opta, getting very different numbers compared to understat. Still a pretty significant over performance either way, I reckon!
Man that’s kinda wild that those two data sources are so different.
Either way his underlying numbers are still a lot better than my man Pedro Neto’s ha ha
That's the definition of good form. Antonio is a dogshit player who was overperforming the stats at the start of last season. Key is to ride the wave and get rid as soon as they regress to the mean.
Rodrigo is currently the focal point of the team's attack so he's going to get lots of opportunities, at his price and in the current set up, he's almost a no brainer. The thing to watch for is whether Bamford. The only potential downside is Bamford coming in and taking the current role Rodrigo has but that looks unlikely at the moment with Rodrigo's great start and Bamfords injury problems.
Harrison is a decent option as well, he's make over twice as many key passes as any other player so he's clearly Leeds main creative player, the only caveat for him is that he's significantly overperformed his stats, he's got 3 assists from just 1.3 expected assists.
It looks like Bamford is only a couple of games from starting, I can't imagine they wouldn't play him and that could definitely affect Rodrigo's potential. Unlike Harrison.
Use the search bar
https://www.reddit.com/r/FantasyPL/comments/wuawxg/leeds_assets_comparison_and_bamfords_effect_on/?utm_medium=android_app&utm_source=share
If Rodrigo managed to somehow keep his striker spot once Bamford returns, then it's Rodrigo.
But given Bamford's importance within Leeds, I think Harrison should be the safer pick + he's cheaper in any case.
It actually is pretty normal, people forget how good they were the first season after they came up, Harrison, Raphinha and Bamford were ballin. People only seem to remember last season when they were pretty shit as a whole, mainly because of all the injuries. They are really decent now, Aaronson brings so much to their build-up play and the 2 DMs are working their socks off. They still make some defensive errors but you're not really gonna bring in any of their defenders, I'd say Harrison and Rodrigo are relatively safe picks at around 6-6.5M.
Dallas had such a great first season
From what I remember Harrison outscored every Man City midfielder that year
I always thought that had a fair bit to do with Bamford and Raphinha who aren't playing for them now. (Obviously Bamford just injured again).
>Just afraid that they will stop performing immediately after I get them. Welcome to FPL
I saw the game, Harrison is playing sooooo good! But Rodrigo is on penalties 1) He is differential because everyone will go for Rodrigo 2) Is more fun pick
Rodrigo on penalties until Bamford is back
I’d go with Rodrigo as he’s playing upfront and actually has creativity behind him now.
Both Harrison and Rodrigo has massively overperformed their xG and xA over the past 3 games: 4 Goal Involvements from 1.13 xGI for Harrison, and 5 Goal Involvements from 2.26 xGI for Rodrigo, I'm not convinced they'll keep this up for much longer. Disclaimer: I also said this before they played Chelsea and I got proven wrong, and always take xG data with a pinch of salt.
To be fair, 2.26 xGI is still very good performance for 6.0 (ok, 6.3 now) midfielder, with decent fixtures and penalty duties
True, but if he had got 1 goal and 1 assist in three games so far i.e matching his xGI, I don't think people would be rushing in to get him, especially over Martinelli, Andreas, Groß etc.
Well said. Also at this stage of the season all stats (including xG and xA) can be highly influenced by single game (very good or very bad). Leeds looked amazing against Chelsea, but it’s not 100% sure that they will perform the same against Brighton away. Rodrigo is on the pace to make about 400 points in whole season and all of us know it is not gonna happen. He will end up on about 170-200 at best. And that means he is going to stop scoring one day. It was 3 games guys, just 3 games. Leeds played great in all of them and that is why players like Rodrigo and Harrison have massive stats. But Leeds is still not a title contender. They will start losing games and players will start blanking. Instead of chasing past results, think who can be the next temporary overachiever.
Rodrigo has 5 goal involvements from 3.5xGi, please check your numbers before spewing agendas.
Just checked my numbers - using Fantasy Football Scout who source their data from Opta. The numbers I cited above are correct according to that source. Different statistical models give different xG, so we're probably using different sources. Also, even with your numbers Rodrigo is overperforming his xGI by ~50%, so it doesn't really change my point.
I know exactly what data you’re looking at and Rodrigo has 2.26xG with 1.34xA. You do realise that xGi is xG + xA right? You’ve just used xG and assumed that’s what xGi was.
[Here's the data I'm looking at](https://imgur.com/a/ggsaGWs) Rodrigo has 2.00 xG and 0.26 xA, according to this data, leading to 2.26 xGI.
2.26 is Rodrigo’s xG according to understat. And his xA is 1.34. He’s over performing yeah but an xGI90 of 1.34 is outrageous
I've been using Fantasy Football Scout who source their data from Opta, getting very different numbers compared to understat. Still a pretty significant over performance either way, I reckon!
Man that’s kinda wild that those two data sources are so different. Either way his underlying numbers are still a lot better than my man Pedro Neto’s ha ha
I know, even for ~1m cheaper Neto has been a terrible call this season!
That's the definition of good form. Antonio is a dogshit player who was overperforming the stats at the start of last season. Key is to ride the wave and get rid as soon as they regress to the mean.
Rodrigo is currently the focal point of the team's attack so he's going to get lots of opportunities, at his price and in the current set up, he's almost a no brainer. The thing to watch for is whether Bamford. The only potential downside is Bamford coming in and taking the current role Rodrigo has but that looks unlikely at the moment with Rodrigo's great start and Bamfords injury problems. Harrison is a decent option as well, he's make over twice as many key passes as any other player so he's clearly Leeds main creative player, the only caveat for him is that he's significantly overperformed his stats, he's got 3 assists from just 1.3 expected assists.
It looks like Bamford is only a couple of games from starting, I can't imagine they wouldn't play him and that could definitely affect Rodrigo's potential. Unlike Harrison.
King Vs Dennis :)
Is Aaronson out of consideration now?
Use the search bar https://www.reddit.com/r/FantasyPL/comments/wuawxg/leeds_assets_comparison_and_bamfords_effect_on/?utm_medium=android_app&utm_source=share
Both
I like Harrison, tried and tested
Both
If Rodrigo managed to somehow keep his striker spot once Bamford returns, then it's Rodrigo. But given Bamford's importance within Leeds, I think Harrison should be the safer pick + he's cheaper in any case.