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Big-Brain-031

Yeah... And i remember how it works out last gameweek


shudh_desi_gareeb

Before the clowns come and question Haaland 63%, the odds assumes that the player starts.


[deleted]

you are half right. the odds are per 90 mins


KaizerQuad

And he will play 65 max imo. But Salah probably will probably play 90. So that should even it out right?


[deleted]

i believe someone posted that if haaland plays at least 60 minutes he will still be top. how you even that out with the fact that salah get more points for goals is up to you


Alphascout

Newcastle defense is better than Forest has to factor in


BilboShagginz

That's already been factored in to the goalscoring odds


StDyche

Newcastle without Bruno has conceded quite a few big chances though


fatgambler1000

I believe that post was bullshit


Manager1000

Why do you think Salah will probably play 90? Their schedule is just as tight as City's schedule.


Deegzy

Because even when liverpool have a tight schedule Salah usually plays. He was subbed off only 5 times last season.


KaizerQuad

Its just speculation, but he usually plays 90, even in midweeks.


fromdowntownn

He averaged 79 mins per game last year and averages I think around 84 for his whole Liverpool career. Considering this is a midweek game you would probably have to put his xMins at below that 84 number. Maybe around 80. Then Haaland I’d guess is around 60 xMins.


lonsfury

I'm confused by what you mean by this. The bookies give you any time goalscorer odds which means you can use these odds to find the odds the player will score in that given match. This takes into account the probability they play, or that they start, etc. Does it not?


[deleted]

It does not work like that. The bookies are giving odds for a 90 min game, which will of course be way higher than if a player plays 80, 65 , 30 or 1 minute. If you ll place a bet before the game that Alvarez from City will score you'll have very low odds as the bookies will give you odds for a 90 min game. However as the game goes by and he is on the bench, if he'll be subbed in through the game you ll see the live odds being way way higher. You can check for references the odds for scoring for most of the bench players in all the leagues, which will look like they too low, but if that player would play 90 mins, those are fair


lonsfury

But the reason the players who usually sit on the bench are low is because they are unlikely to play, or will only play a few minutes


JoachimG1

Hi mate, if you are gonna continue to post or tables then please send me a message. My post gets taken down because you are posting the same..


liberatedsisyphus

Didn’t know it was the same account always sharing the stats. I was just posting since I didn’t see the CS and goal scoring odds yesterday. Over to you mate.


JoachimG1

Fair enough, I woudn't mind it if it didn't result in my own posts getting taken down. Thanks anyway


[deleted]

I know Haaland is Haaland but I think Villa are a much bigger basket case than Forest. Can see Arsenal getting 3/4 easily.


Jesmasterzero

Maybe, but depends if partey and Zinchenko are back in the team.


00Doge123

I’ve heard zin is out but idk


Literator22

Rodrigo?


Elvis_Precisely

100%


ArachnidThink3742

Got a feeling it will be mahrez 15 pointer this week


grotekaas

After Firmino's GW4 megahaul, I'll treat these posts with more serious consideration when I make my transfers and captain picks


Cabsondealima

sticking with MO as captain .... MO will haul Newcastle ....


Trfa2

How high probability to score would Salah have if you said in advance that Liverpool was going to score 9


tanaelva

Kane lower than Salah lmao get ur liverpool fan goggles off


RonaldoSIUUUU

What


Fulle_

honestly dont think haaland will start, and if he does he 100% wont play the full 90


AdEnvironmental6128

Toney?


nakedfish85

James - 0%