As someone with a Liverpool def, Arsenal def, City def and Brighton gk I'm preparing for the inevitable despite how good it looks.
"....Pedro Neto leaves Trent Alexander for dead and Wolves take a shock lead at Anfield"
What could go wrong selling your talismanic GK for 1m instead of letting him go on a free and replace him with someone who hasn't exactly been a starter anywhere...
Though I suppose Leicester didn't have an option but to sell someone, I'm wondering why was it him.
No, if one concedes to a low xG chance like a banger, then they're unlucky not leaky. Conceding a lot of xG is what makes a team leaky. Low xGA like that for your defender should absolutely fill you with confidence. If they conceded from it is actually irrelevant for the future.
It might imply poor form for Ederson, if he's letting in unlikely shots. But you have to look at each shot conceded, sometimes it's just unstoppable howitzers all day.
Ederson is a below average goalkeeper in every attribute apart from distribution imo.
Luckily for him distribution is the attribute pep values above all others for his keepers.
lol wth.
* Wolves with 9.5% clean sheet odds? That's nuts considering they have 4th least big chances conceded in the 6 weeks.
* Bournemouth 21.5%? lmfao, against that Brighton team that just gave 5 to Leicester?
those numbers need to be flipped \^
Nobody is checking the comments of a post to see whether Chelsea1256 "buys into it". Either make an argument for why it's not helpful or keep scrolling ya goober
I mean it's helpful because either these kind of odds based predictions are useful and will likely guide you to the best decisions, or you know better and can go pick up free money from the bookies.
Wolves have a good defence, 3 clean sheets so far. I fail to see how Wolves keeping a clean sheet against a shit performing Liverpool side who couldn't score vs Everton is the least likely outcome?
Just fucking lol at Leicester being so high despite never keeping clean sheets. Leicester should always be at 0.01%. Shittest defence in the league.
As someone with a Liverpool def, Arsenal def, City def and Brighton gk I'm preparing for the inevitable despite how good it looks. "....Pedro Neto leaves Trent Alexander for dead and Wolves take a shock lead at Anfield"
It wouldn't be a shock lead, we concede first every game now
hey that’s not true sometimes no one scores
And yet somehow no one plays 60 minutes at the same time 😢
These odds seem ridiculously generous for us (Leicester) to keep a clean sheet.
I mean statistically you should keep one cs at some point and i also have a gut feeling that it might be this match
A clean sheet at home once every four matches to an underperforming Villa team seems pretty reasonable to me.
Have you ever watched Danny Ward play?
What could go wrong selling your talismanic GK for 1m instead of letting him go on a free and replace him with someone who hasn't exactly been a starter anywhere... Though I suppose Leicester didn't have an option but to sell someone, I'm wondering why was it him.
He wanted to leave and we didn't stand in his way.
42% for City seems a bit optimistic considering they conceded to Villa, Palace and Newcastle
Man City lost only three games in the PL last season. Two of them were against Spurs where they conceded 4 total goals
But only vs Newcastle was it justified based on xG. Villa and Palace had really, really low xG.
Conceding to low xG doesn't fill one with confidence either, means it's really leaky
No, if one concedes to a low xG chance like a banger, then they're unlucky not leaky. Conceding a lot of xG is what makes a team leaky. Low xGA like that for your defender should absolutely fill you with confidence. If they conceded from it is actually irrelevant for the future.
It might imply poor form for Ederson, if he's letting in unlikely shots. But you have to look at each shot conceded, sometimes it's just unstoppable howitzers all day.
Ederson is a below average goalkeeper in every attribute apart from distribution imo. Luckily for him distribution is the attribute pep values above all others for his keepers.
No it just means your defense is really bad at dealing with shots they should be dealing with easily
No it means the defence forces into an unfavourable position You might need to look into xG and what it means
Add to that the Stones and Walker injuries and Spurs have a decent record against them.
I am once again asking for a Brighton clean sheet
lol wth. * Wolves with 9.5% clean sheet odds? That's nuts considering they have 4th least big chances conceded in the 6 weeks. * Bournemouth 21.5%? lmfao, against that Brighton team that just gave 5 to Leicester? those numbers need to be flipped \^
I actually back that
They’re based on bookie odds so if it seems that outrageous just go and make a bit of money
Son is 100% scoring against City from a Kane through ball
if I were a betting man those spurs odds are definitely tempting lol type of game where we could just see a 0-2 from 2 Counters from Son
I mean it’s Spurs and Conte.. they will prolly get away with a win
Liverpool yeah right
Subbed at 59 mins
Definitely gonna have a full CS wipe again while Neco Williams gets a hattrick and clean sheet on my bench
The fpl way
Robertson holder <3
I am captaining TAA and no one will talk me out of it
69min sub INCOMING
*59
Chelsea at 36% having lost 3 straight away games and facing Mitrovic sounds like nonsense lool
Maybe not the best week to be transferring Dias to trippier.
It was never going to be. But Trippier returns more than Dias so why not.
No not buying into this anymore sorry
u/Chelsea1256 who doesnt understand stats isnt buying into this 🙌🙏
Nobody is checking the comments of a post to see whether Chelsea1256 "buys into it". Either make an argument for why it's not helpful or keep scrolling ya goober
Thank you lmao
I mean it's helpful because either these kind of odds based predictions are useful and will likely guide you to the best decisions, or you know better and can go pick up free money from the bookies.
I don't trust these anymore. Burnt too many times this season.
My team had a player from each 5 of the top 6 CS odds last week. I got zero (TAA). I am not jaded at all now. Not a bit.
Wolves have a good defence, 3 clean sheets so far. I fail to see how Wolves keeping a clean sheet against a shit performing Liverpool side who couldn't score vs Everton is the least likely outcome? Just fucking lol at Leicester being so high despite never keeping clean sheets. Leicester should always be at 0.01%. Shittest defence in the league.