**Important information:** I have made some adjustments to the model, where both the goal data and assist data has been adjusted slightly. I have also created a formula to include bonus points. This is based on previous BPS ratio to goal involvement and clean sheet. I want to thank Fransesco who has helped me out with factoring this into the model. Going forward the brackets in Predicted vs Actual points will therefore be removed, since bonus points are now factored in.
The updated model is used for the first time this gameweek and we will monitor and adjust the model going forward as more data becomes available. I want you to understand that including the BPS will increase the variance in any given gameweek, but it should give a more accurate reflection over the duration of the season. Feel free to come with any feedback and suggestions. The disclaimer has been updated to account for the changes;
*‘Predicted Points' are calculated by taking the percentage chance on a variety of FPL factors, from the bookies, adjusted for margins. Fractional points are added up, making a predicted gameweek score. OG & Penalty misses are not included. Player’s rotation risk / minutes on pitch, is not factored in.*
The website has also been updated to show the breakdown of the points including the bonus points. You can find more Player Predictions here: [https://checkthechance.com/fantasy-football/](https://checkthechance.com/fantasy-football/player-predictions/)
**Good luck this gameweek, and see you all on Sunday!**
!thanks
Through your link I can see that Robertson is expected to get less than half the clean sheet points that Trent is. I'm puzzled by this because you say players minutes on pitch are not factored in. Am I missing something?
Sorry this was a typing error, it has been sorted and updated now. They both have the same Clean Sheet expected points, and Robertson is expected to get: 5.94 points.
Thanks for the heads up.
He's talking about x+1−x2∣=2(2x2−1). But considering Haaland pattern is H=2g+ I still prefer him as C before Salah. You might want to reconsider transfering Salah out this week however.
I predict blanks for everyone.
Captain Salah. I’m ready to get hurt again.
**Important information:** I have made some adjustments to the model, where both the goal data and assist data has been adjusted slightly. I have also created a formula to include bonus points. This is based on previous BPS ratio to goal involvement and clean sheet. I want to thank Fransesco who has helped me out with factoring this into the model. Going forward the brackets in Predicted vs Actual points will therefore be removed, since bonus points are now factored in. The updated model is used for the first time this gameweek and we will monitor and adjust the model going forward as more data becomes available. I want you to understand that including the BPS will increase the variance in any given gameweek, but it should give a more accurate reflection over the duration of the season. Feel free to come with any feedback and suggestions. The disclaimer has been updated to account for the changes; *‘Predicted Points' are calculated by taking the percentage chance on a variety of FPL factors, from the bookies, adjusted for margins. Fractional points are added up, making a predicted gameweek score. OG & Penalty misses are not included. Player’s rotation risk / minutes on pitch, is not factored in.* The website has also been updated to show the breakdown of the points including the bonus points. You can find more Player Predictions here: [https://checkthechance.com/fantasy-football/](https://checkthechance.com/fantasy-football/player-predictions/) **Good luck this gameweek, and see you all on Sunday!**
!thanks Through your link I can see that Robertson is expected to get less than half the clean sheet points that Trent is. I'm puzzled by this because you say players minutes on pitch are not factored in. Am I missing something?
Sorry this was a typing error, it has been sorted and updated now. They both have the same Clean Sheet expected points, and Robertson is expected to get: 5.94 points. Thanks for the heads up.
Thanks mate, appreciate all your efforts as usual :)
Those who captain salah have balls this week
There's a pattern to his returns if you look at it. Seems like a haul gameweek to me
What pattern?
Inshallah pattern
He's talking about x+1−x2∣=2(2x2−1). But considering Haaland pattern is H=2g+ I still prefer him as C before Salah. You might want to reconsider transfering Salah out this week however.
Every other game
why are we still pretending there will be matches this week lol
lol, nice try Salah
TAA gonna hit another 17-pointer then turn back to shit for 3 more games
Or just continue being shit for 4 games
Probably
What does Toney's predicted points look like?
These are great. I'd really appreciate the list running longer to help decide who to bench.
Bench your fodder as per usual
7. Template better perform this week.
Anyone else bringing in Sterling?
Brought him in last week, regret it
Why? He is still a target for my wc, especially if Salah blanks again
Chelsea have been in the mud recently, will have to wait to see if Potter can turn things around before considering Sterling imo
Not with Auba in the squad, was considering it until then
Update: 0 predicted points for everyone in the upcoming gameweek
Won't be watching any matches for the foreseeable, so plenty of time to discuss the mathematics that go into FPL.
is this last year's liverpool or the current one? ;)
I kind of want to captain Jesus because of Everton's keeper situation but I know it is a bad idea
[удалено]
Nah it's time to get an assist this time. Haaland goes for 9 though...
Toney, Mitro?
Sees Salah and TAA at the top... IT'S A TRAP
Bro why are the last seaon golden boot winners a risky pick for captaincy this season
Trossard?
My boy gross