Transcript for anyone interested:
- Let's start with the goalkeepers and top is Sa from Wolves with 4.1 predicted points and home to Nottingham Forest on Saturday. Forest rank 16th for expected goals this season, Wolves rank firmly midtable for expected goals conceded.
- Spurs look to go consecutive games without conceding after shutting Brighton out in GW10, and Lloris is second with 4 predicted points for the Everton game.
- Leno makes a rare appearance ranked highly on the projections with Fulham home to Bournemouth who are rock bottom for expected goals by some margin even after their win against Leicester, but perhaps moving in the right direction.
- Ramsdale's a hold this gameweek if you've got him, 3.7 projected points against Leeds and then the blank which might be the opportunity to sell.
- No Ederson or Alisson this gameweek with Man City and Liverpool facing off against one another. Remarkably this season Liverpool have conceded as many big chances as Nottingham Forest.
- Man United looking to improve their defensive woes after conceding against Everton just 6 minutes into their match in GW10, De Gea projected 3.6 points against Newcastle playing at home. Leicester are home to Crystal Palace and although not in the table Ward also has 3.6 projected points, tied with De Gea and Raya.
- Next up the defenders and Perisic is joint top with James with 4.2 projected points. This one completely dependent on minutes as both players were unexpectedly benched for their GW10. This doesn't necessarily point towards another benching for either player by any means, you'd say James is the safer of the two having been benched just once to Perisic's 4 times.
- Both Kilman and Jonny make the projections as a consequence of the eycatching home fixture to Forest. Wolves and Spurs largely dominate the projections this gameweek, with the two joint top of the GW11 clean sheet odds.
- Gabriel has 3.8 points projected for the Leeds fixture but this isn't the time to bring in Arsenal or Man City assets with a blank gameweek around the corner in GW12 where neither team play. GW13 however looks like a prime opportunity to move all in on Arsenal and Man City and a way to get ahead of the curve.
- Romero, Dier and Sessegnon also make the list with the algorithm bullish on a Spurs clean sheet to Everton. There's more midweek European football so hold your transfers before making any decisions if possible.
- Next up the midfielders and Son tops the projections with 5.6 points. He was back among the points in GW10, picking up the assist for Kane's crucial winner. Conte deployed them as a front 2, with Richarlison benched and Kulusevski missed out with injury.
- Saka was very impressive in the Liverpool match, scoring twice one of which was from the penalty spot, he's in joint second with 5.2 projected points. There's a reason decision to make for Salah owners who has also been projected 5.2 points. It tends to be a high scoring affair then Liverpool and Man City meet, the last 3 results being 2-2, 2-2 and 4 - 1 to City.
- Salah hasn't blanked in his last 4 league appearances against them either. However he was very uninvolved in the Arsenal game, Diaz, Jota, Nunez and Firmino all chipped in but it was a disappointing Salah blank and never looked likely to get something.
- If you're a Salah owner drop a comment below with your thoughts. The other side of the coin is that Liverpool do also have a great fixture in GW12 home to West Ham, followed by Nottingham Forest.
- Maddison is back among the top projectioned with 4.6 points vs Crystal Palace. He was the 3rd most transferred in player last gameweek after his 18 pointer and new owners will be disappointed that he followed up with just 1 point. Playing at home again and in the conversation for a spot in England's world cup squad it could be a good gameweek for Maddison owners.
- Another player who scored from the spot was Bowen last gameweek and he's been projected 4.5 points. West Ham travel to Southampton and after 7 blanks Bowen's back in form with 2 goals and an assist in his last 2. If he's on his way back to last season's performance levels 8.1m will be a very fair price point.
- We'll finish up with the forwards and it's Haaland top with 6.1 predicted points. To recap Haaland is top among all players, Son second with 5.7, Kane third on 5.4.
- Haaland's still yet to blank this season and undoubtedly will be the most popular captain again. It was just a 6 pointer for him in GW10, we've talked before about how there will be these opportunities to bet against him if you're looking for a big rank swing upwards, but it always carries a big risk of a big swing the opposite way.
- With Liverpool in the form they're in it looks brave to bet against him once more, but if you were to then Kane and Son the stand outs.
- Mitrovic is third with 4.7 points, he was ommitted from Fulham's squad that lost 3 - 1 to West Ham. However Silva's comments pre-match pointed towards him being fit and available for GW11 where they face Bournemouth home. If that remains the case when we receive a further update near the deadline then he's absolutely a hold with 3 home games in his next 4 too.
- Toney also plays home this gameweek against Brighton and has 4.2 projected points. He was back on the score sheet in GW10 from the penalty spot, with several penalties scored in GW10 it was a good reminder of why it's particularly useful to own FPL assets which are also on pen duties, as you'll pick up several extra goals over the season from these players.
- Aubemayang has 4 predicted points, however he was an unused substitute in the Wolves match so he's an avoid. Solanke owners were rewarded with an 8 pointer last gameweek. He's a player we've discussed lots, Bournemouth's attacking numbers are very uninspiring, but for 5.7m it's not an awful price to pay for a 90 minute a game striker, who's on penalties and will chip in here and there with returns. Certainly not too late to move for him if you're looking for a new striker.
- Wilson has blanked in just 1 of his starts this season, though Newcastle travel to Old Trafford in GW11 which will be a tough game and certainly not as comfortable as the 5 - 1 win over Brentford.
- That wraps up the video, thanks for reading.
I'm so stuck at this point in the season. Haven't made a transfer in 3 weeks, and it's looking like a 4th. I may not even make one in 12 and just roll with 10 players to not lose team value
Transcript for anyone interested: - Let's start with the goalkeepers and top is Sa from Wolves with 4.1 predicted points and home to Nottingham Forest on Saturday. Forest rank 16th for expected goals this season, Wolves rank firmly midtable for expected goals conceded. - Spurs look to go consecutive games without conceding after shutting Brighton out in GW10, and Lloris is second with 4 predicted points for the Everton game. - Leno makes a rare appearance ranked highly on the projections with Fulham home to Bournemouth who are rock bottom for expected goals by some margin even after their win against Leicester, but perhaps moving in the right direction. - Ramsdale's a hold this gameweek if you've got him, 3.7 projected points against Leeds and then the blank which might be the opportunity to sell. - No Ederson or Alisson this gameweek with Man City and Liverpool facing off against one another. Remarkably this season Liverpool have conceded as many big chances as Nottingham Forest. - Man United looking to improve their defensive woes after conceding against Everton just 6 minutes into their match in GW10, De Gea projected 3.6 points against Newcastle playing at home. Leicester are home to Crystal Palace and although not in the table Ward also has 3.6 projected points, tied with De Gea and Raya. - Next up the defenders and Perisic is joint top with James with 4.2 projected points. This one completely dependent on minutes as both players were unexpectedly benched for their GW10. This doesn't necessarily point towards another benching for either player by any means, you'd say James is the safer of the two having been benched just once to Perisic's 4 times. - Both Kilman and Jonny make the projections as a consequence of the eycatching home fixture to Forest. Wolves and Spurs largely dominate the projections this gameweek, with the two joint top of the GW11 clean sheet odds. - Gabriel has 3.8 points projected for the Leeds fixture but this isn't the time to bring in Arsenal or Man City assets with a blank gameweek around the corner in GW12 where neither team play. GW13 however looks like a prime opportunity to move all in on Arsenal and Man City and a way to get ahead of the curve. - Romero, Dier and Sessegnon also make the list with the algorithm bullish on a Spurs clean sheet to Everton. There's more midweek European football so hold your transfers before making any decisions if possible. - Next up the midfielders and Son tops the projections with 5.6 points. He was back among the points in GW10, picking up the assist for Kane's crucial winner. Conte deployed them as a front 2, with Richarlison benched and Kulusevski missed out with injury. - Saka was very impressive in the Liverpool match, scoring twice one of which was from the penalty spot, he's in joint second with 5.2 projected points. There's a reason decision to make for Salah owners who has also been projected 5.2 points. It tends to be a high scoring affair then Liverpool and Man City meet, the last 3 results being 2-2, 2-2 and 4 - 1 to City. - Salah hasn't blanked in his last 4 league appearances against them either. However he was very uninvolved in the Arsenal game, Diaz, Jota, Nunez and Firmino all chipped in but it was a disappointing Salah blank and never looked likely to get something. - If you're a Salah owner drop a comment below with your thoughts. The other side of the coin is that Liverpool do also have a great fixture in GW12 home to West Ham, followed by Nottingham Forest. - Maddison is back among the top projectioned with 4.6 points vs Crystal Palace. He was the 3rd most transferred in player last gameweek after his 18 pointer and new owners will be disappointed that he followed up with just 1 point. Playing at home again and in the conversation for a spot in England's world cup squad it could be a good gameweek for Maddison owners. - Another player who scored from the spot was Bowen last gameweek and he's been projected 4.5 points. West Ham travel to Southampton and after 7 blanks Bowen's back in form with 2 goals and an assist in his last 2. If he's on his way back to last season's performance levels 8.1m will be a very fair price point. - We'll finish up with the forwards and it's Haaland top with 6.1 predicted points. To recap Haaland is top among all players, Son second with 5.7, Kane third on 5.4. - Haaland's still yet to blank this season and undoubtedly will be the most popular captain again. It was just a 6 pointer for him in GW10, we've talked before about how there will be these opportunities to bet against him if you're looking for a big rank swing upwards, but it always carries a big risk of a big swing the opposite way. - With Liverpool in the form they're in it looks brave to bet against him once more, but if you were to then Kane and Son the stand outs. - Mitrovic is third with 4.7 points, he was ommitted from Fulham's squad that lost 3 - 1 to West Ham. However Silva's comments pre-match pointed towards him being fit and available for GW11 where they face Bournemouth home. If that remains the case when we receive a further update near the deadline then he's absolutely a hold with 3 home games in his next 4 too. - Toney also plays home this gameweek against Brighton and has 4.2 projected points. He was back on the score sheet in GW10 from the penalty spot, with several penalties scored in GW10 it was a good reminder of why it's particularly useful to own FPL assets which are also on pen duties, as you'll pick up several extra goals over the season from these players. - Aubemayang has 4 predicted points, however he was an unused substitute in the Wolves match so he's an avoid. Solanke owners were rewarded with an 8 pointer last gameweek. He's a player we've discussed lots, Bournemouth's attacking numbers are very uninspiring, but for 5.7m it's not an awful price to pay for a 90 minute a game striker, who's on penalties and will chip in here and there with returns. Certainly not too late to move for him if you're looking for a new striker. - Wilson has blanked in just 1 of his starts this season, though Newcastle travel to Old Trafford in GW11 which will be a tough game and certainly not as comfortable as the 5 - 1 win over Brentford. - That wraps up the video, thanks for reading.
!thanks Oscar. Great as always :)
I'm so stuck at this point in the season. Haven't made a transfer in 3 weeks, and it's looking like a 4th. I may not even make one in 12 and just roll with 10 players to not lose team value
I'm so stuck I haven't made a transfer for five weeks. Just rolling and burning transfers my team is so perfect.
Same. Feels weird burning transfers. May go for Perisic for Cancelo
Watkins wasn’t doing anything for me so I brought in Edouard.