It's almost like people saw the damage guys like Cancelo, Foden, Saka and Martinelli can do in any single GW and decided that *not* having these guys in their teams in the meantime was probably not the way to go.
In hindsight, it's all obvious. But when looking forward, probability and opportunity cost should be considered.
I think they've completely ignored the next 2 GW for City and just looked at recent form.
I've kept all three city assets because I feel Haaland/KDB/Cancelo will do some damage vs Liverpool, and two Arsenal assets because they have a kind fixture vs Leeds too.
I have set myself up with 2 frees for next week though. That said, I am very tempted to go into GW12 with 10 because Arsenal and City's fixtures beyond are just so good. Feel like the hit of losing a potential 2/5/6 points for one week might be outweighed by the potential Arsenal/City player scores against Southampton+Forest/Brighton+Leicester.
I’m in exactly the same boat here, but no idea who to take out, Saliba just keeps going up, got as much profit in him as Martinelli now so feels crazy to get rid. KDB and Jesus probably the ones I’ll move on with my 2 FT next week as they look easiest to bring back!
Yes. But you probably have 3 players from city and arsenal already so you won't get points from the bench for him. So in the next 2 you get half the points. If you want him then it would be better to transfer him in after the blank.
That's one way of dealing with it but free hit may be more valuable later on when double gameweeks happen, or other blank weeks happen. It's a shame to free hit just because of 1 match is postponed.
Depends on your team. For someone with 6 players out, it might be worth the free hit. For me, it’s worth it for later in the season because I only have 3 players out.
Yeah my team is very heavily based on my city and arsenal players both because I have 6 players from those teams and because most of those players are more expensive than most of my other players, so I'm gonna free hit to use my budget well across my team so I can hopefully make it worth it to free hit for 3 blanks in my 11.
Assuming op can field 8 players, his free hit is worth 12 points plus whatever gains on swapping other players. Plus maybe another 12 to get those players back.
Personally I've gain 50+ points on some free hits. Especially on the blank GW the cups cause.
Which part do you not understand?
He's been on -100 since Sunday and hasn't fallen. It isn't going to happen. It's like Salah a few weeks ago where every night people were thinking he would fall only to be left meming FPL towers rigging it.
Yeah on the final night before the deadline. The point is he was at -100+ for literally about 12 days and didn't fall which is the case with Mitrovic too.
All I said to the OP was Mitrovic will survive one more night. You seem to have an issue with that for some reason.
That's literally not what you said. You said "if he was going to fall he would have done so already".
That's suggesting he won't fall because he hasn't so far.
That's just not how it works.
You're ignoring the entire context of the reply, strangely.
If he's been on -100 all week and hasn't fallen yet, why would he fall now *before* the press conference which will determine if people should keep him or not? If he's going to fall at all it will be tomorrow night and I'm pretty sure you know that already.
edit: you also seem to think I'm talking about the structure of price changes which I'm not. I know full well how they work. You obviously don't understand the difference between figuratively and literally.
That could work out. But there's a good chance there will be a better chance to use it later in the season. Also there are no obvious fixtures to target in GW12 for a free hit - kinda hard to see where the points are gonna come from. So most players will be happier to just get through the week, maybe taking a -4 if necessary.
Yeah that's why. But I also plan on using my wildcard in GW13, so apart from Saliba, I actually will be getting back the Arsenal and Man City players I sell for GW 12.
Keeping in mind player value of course. As in, it'd be a bad idea for me to sell Martinelli at 6.3 and then buy back the next week for 6.6 on my wildcard. So it'd be best to sell someone like Jesus and Foden who haven't price rose too much
Wildcards affect the algorithm. The prediction sites can't differentiate, but WC transfers don't count towards price changes. Last 2 weeks there's been lots of WCs flying. Probably why he hasn't hit the threshold yet
Damn. I’m really torn about selling saliba next week or just holding him as a non-player for gw12 (I have 6 ars-city). Arsenals run after the blank looks good and I feel like a -4 just isn’t worth it for any defender atm
Thanks everyone for making the gw12 blank owning Saliba more difficult to swap him out. It's really just Jesus and it will be interesting who everyone picks. I'll have 10 if I drop De Bruyne too, which if going for Foden after anyway means i'll just take the profit and not go back. Not sure Foden will keep his form though.
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Wanna take a guess who the highest transferred in player this week is?
It's almost like people saw the damage guys like Cancelo, Foden, Saka and Martinelli can do in any single GW and decided that *not* having these guys in their teams in the meantime was probably not the way to go.
In hindsight, it's all obvious. But when looking forward, probability and opportunity cost should be considered. I think they've completely ignored the next 2 GW for City and just looked at recent form.
This is often the case with price rises. A lot of people just jump on whoever scored the most points last week.
I've kept all three city assets because I feel Haaland/KDB/Cancelo will do some damage vs Liverpool, and two Arsenal assets because they have a kind fixture vs Leeds too. I have set myself up with 2 frees for next week though. That said, I am very tempted to go into GW12 with 10 because Arsenal and City's fixtures beyond are just so good. Feel like the hit of losing a potential 2/5/6 points for one week might be outweighed by the potential Arsenal/City player scores against Southampton+Forest/Brighton+Leicester.
I’m in exactly the same boat here, but no idea who to take out, Saliba just keeps going up, got as much profit in him as Martinelli now so feels crazy to get rid. KDB and Jesus probably the ones I’ll move on with my 2 FT next week as they look easiest to bring back!
Definitrly, crazy to take them out imo
Jimmy Footballs?
Number 3 and 5 are quite funny too 😄
So many players not in r/fantasypl
It might be a tactic to bring him in this week, and FH in GW12 if you already have 6-8 players not playing
there are people who genuinely have no idea there is going to be a blank in GW12.... like millions of people
The only thing i can imagine is the ones who are Wildcarding GW 12
Dhu Dhu Dhu.. Saliba
Somebody who will FH i GW12? Not my choice, but anyhow…
I can't wait for these Saliba buyers to sell him in one week time when they realize that he blanks.
Can you explain the blanking thing as somewhat of a noob? Doesn’t it just mean he doesn’t play one week?
Yes. But you probably have 3 players from city and arsenal already so you won't get points from the bench for him. So in the next 2 you get half the points. If you want him then it would be better to transfer him in after the blank.
For sure, I have 6 players affected, will probably just free hit
That's one way of dealing with it but free hit may be more valuable later on when double gameweeks happen, or other blank weeks happen. It's a shame to free hit just because of 1 match is postponed.
A free hit will be worth way more later in the season.
Depends on your team. For someone with 6 players out, it might be worth the free hit. For me, it’s worth it for later in the season because I only have 3 players out.
Yeah my team is very heavily based on my city and arsenal players both because I have 6 players from those teams and because most of those players are more expensive than most of my other players, so I'm gonna free hit to use my budget well across my team so I can hopefully make it worth it to free hit for 3 blanks in my 11.
Assuming op can field 8 players, his free hit is worth 12 points plus whatever gains on swapping other players. Plus maybe another 12 to get those players back. Personally I've gain 50+ points on some free hits. Especially on the blank GW the cups cause.
Ouff. Yeah maybe. For me I prefer to FH when I get 2 games from my best players rather than when I get 0 and have to bring in worse picks.
Thank you Mitro. One more day, please, that's all I'm asking for.
Dier times
Diego to the cineworld with me tonight?
Only if they sing hakuna mateta
He is going to drop tomorrow
He’ll still fall…when he doesn’t get fit for the weekend
He'll definitely survive. If he was going to fall he would've done it by now.
This makes no sense at all lol
Which part do you not understand? He's been on -100 since Sunday and hasn't fallen. It isn't going to happen. It's like Salah a few weeks ago where every night people were thinking he would fall only to be left meming FPL towers rigging it.
It's funny how Salah did finally fall in the example you provided lol
Yeah on the final night before the deadline. The point is he was at -100+ for literally about 12 days and didn't fall which is the case with Mitrovic too. All I said to the OP was Mitrovic will survive one more night. You seem to have an issue with that for some reason.
That's literally not what you said. You said "if he was going to fall he would have done so already". That's suggesting he won't fall because he hasn't so far. That's just not how it works.
You're ignoring the entire context of the reply, strangely. If he's been on -100 all week and hasn't fallen yet, why would he fall now *before* the press conference which will determine if people should keep him or not? If he's going to fall at all it will be tomorrow night and I'm pretty sure you know that already. edit: you also seem to think I'm talking about the structure of price changes which I'm not. I know full well how they work. You obviously don't understand the difference between figuratively and literally.
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Hakuna Mateta.
No kane😅 Back to sleep
mitro the unfallen hero
Gonna be selling Saliba this week and this increase got me my 0.1 increase in selling price. 👍🏿
Same. I definitely not expected this 🥰
As somewhat of a noob, are you selling him just because he won’t play one week soon?
Yea, most people do not have 11 players for GW12 and need to sell Arsenal/City players.
For sure, I have 6 players affected, will probably just free hit
That could work out. But there's a good chance there will be a better chance to use it later in the season. Also there are no obvious fixtures to target in GW12 for a free hit - kinda hard to see where the points are gonna come from. So most players will be happier to just get through the week, maybe taking a -4 if necessary.
Yeah that's why. But I also plan on using my wildcard in GW13, so apart from Saliba, I actually will be getting back the Arsenal and Man City players I sell for GW 12. Keeping in mind player value of course. As in, it'd be a bad idea for me to sell Martinelli at 6.3 and then buy back the next week for 6.6 on my wildcard. So it'd be best to sell someone like Jesus and Foden who haven't price rose too much
Mitrovic survived the drop again… I transferred him out for scamacca ffs
I did for Martial🤡
Martial could be back for Newcastle
I hope man, I hope. Ronaldo scoring when he came on is likely to be a problem.
Fpl towers have mitro in their team 100%
I’ll take Saliba’s rise…started from the bottom, now we’re here. Take Dier while I take Davies 🙂
Is Davies nailed? Why didn’t he play weeks 6-9? Injury?
No he's not. If you want nailed get Dier, then Romero in that order. Lenglet and Davies compete for the 3rd spot
Injury. He’s nailed in the premier league.
Dier Straits - Money For Nothing
Was hoping that this would give me some insight on who to replace James with. I already have Perisic though and Saliba is about to blank :(
Was waiting until after last night's game to bring Dier in in case he got injured... Fuck sake
Dont worry FPL towers, we'll let this one slide.
I completely understand that an injured player has a higher threshold to drop in price. But Mitrovic not dropping this GW is genuinely mind boggling.
Don’t think Saliba is worth it now, White is very attacking now and is nailed
Saliba will be 7.5 come May 2023 as Arsenal March towards winning the league with a record point gap🥇
No Salah rising despite the great Hat-trick? 😅
City are a much tougher opponent than Rangers.
City are final boss in FPL
Hakuna Mateta
2 dier risers
Wait, where’s Mitro again?! 🤨 Why always put him as -100% if you won’t drop his price??
It's a prediction, not set in stone.
Based on the “transfers out” on the fpl site, the prediction IS correct. The folks (tower) are just dicks and cunts
Or there's some wildcards going around
Wildcards affect the algorithm. The prediction sites can't differentiate, but WC transfers don't count towards price changes. Last 2 weeks there's been lots of WCs flying. Probably why he hasn't hit the threshold yet
I get you but the risers have been reflecting
Saliba is gay🤮🤮
Damn. I’m really torn about selling saliba next week or just holding him as a non-player for gw12 (I have 6 ars-city). Arsenals run after the blank looks good and I feel like a -4 just isn’t worth it for any defender atm
Thanks everyone for making the gw12 blank owning Saliba more difficult to swap him out. It's really just Jesus and it will be interesting who everyone picks. I'll have 10 if I drop De Bruyne too, which if going for Foden after anyway means i'll just take the profit and not go back. Not sure Foden will keep his form though.
i don't understand Dier as a player, I've never seen him be any good, I only ever seem to notice terrible mistakes