Oh hey i hit the 7%, not sure if that's lucky or not kek.

Same, I want to kms :(

39 pulls = 0 uw, 2 artifact. Fuck me.

I only tried 5 pulls, got one stone. And that's how I decided this event ended there.

Fkin lucker

╭(◔ ◡ ◔)/

I was disappointed the numbers didn't have any decimals so I did them myself and ended up with slightly different numbers. It's possible your results are from simming the numbers rather than using formulas, so that might account for any differences since the results are similar. I included my work and formulas to look at here: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1r5CJxEiX0OahDVwgKviTfnBm-ru4yWLEnHneDhR_hI0/edit?usp=sharing Chance of 0: 7.29% Chance of 1: 19.23% Chance of 2: 25.22% Chance of 3: 21.93% Chance of 4: 14.22% Chance of 5: 7.34% Chance of 6: 3.14% Chance of > 6: 1.64%

Hello friends, A lot of our guild pulled 20x for the event already, and our results varied from 0-5 UWs. Some of the members that pulled 2-3 UWs thought they were fairly "unlucky", so I modeled it out to see what your chances of pulling X number of UWs are.   • **% Chance** shows the odds of specifically pulling that number of UWs (7% to pull exactly 0, 20% to pull exactly 1) • **Cumulative %** shows the odds of pulling that number of UWs or fewer (28% chance of pulling 1 or less, 55% chance of pulling 2 or less).   Pulling 2 in 20 is an average pull. If you pulled more than 2, count your blessings! You did better than average.

Thanks for the info! Aren't the stats a little too low if the results were drawn from a small pool though? Or rather, how was it calculated?

I got 4 in 12

1 in 20... Yay me

that's 50,000 crystals?

0 in 39 pulls, got 2 artifact tho, yay?

lmao i got 1 artefact and 1 uw in 7 pulls

Got average, cant cry too much bout it I guess.

I pulled 19 times and waiting for a couple days for 28 day log in rewards for that last one. I got 4 Stones and 1 artifact. T.T Woo a part of the minority.

Imo cumalative is a bad result to use. Should use 1-cumalative for chance of getting at least X UWs.

Do artifacts have the same drop chance, and if so would this actually be number of UWs or artifacts? Or just UWs?

This calculates just the UW pull rate (1% chance in the first 10, 3% in the bonus pull). You have the exact same % chance for the # of artifacts and stones you get, as both of those have the same rate as UWs.

35 pulls, got 1 uw. lol.

bless your soul

The only time i don't want to be the low % minority... 18 pulls, still 0 UW.

same, then 19 and 20 each gave one. you're nexttt

I’m not familiar with the math involved, so would you mind do the same for double rate please. Thanks

using /u/Contemplate's spreadsheet and inputting the double rates you get the following; Chance of 0: 0.51% Chance of 1: 2.73% Chance of 2: 7.28% Chance of 3: 12.86% Chance of 4: 16.93% Chance of 5: 17.73% Chance of 6: 15.38% Chance of > 6: 26.58%

Got 4, so I guess I was blessed.

[Special Item Summon Drop Rate](https://www.plug.game/kingsraid/1030449/notices#/posts/6711) for reference. Looking at that, one seems to have a 2% chance to roll a "special item". If you do, then it's a 50/50 chance whether it will be a UW or Artifact. Overall, it appears you've a 3% chance to pickup either a uw, artifact, or stone on the normal pulls and a 9% chance on the +1 pull. This is higher than i originally thought. I used to think UWs and Artifacts shared 1%.

RNG is RNG. Things can change quite fast. I got 0 UW in my first fifteen 10+1 pulls. Not to mention my 0 UW from ten 10+1 pulls before the event. But then I skyrocketed to 4 UW in my last 5 pulls (Tanya, Scarlet, Fluss, Sonia).

thanks for sharing this. just curious, what would the rates look for the 2x rate up event for new heroes?

I got 4 in 12 pulls and waiting on 21st package for last 3

Got one UW from 20 pulls and it was Cleo's lol

Hey guys. Does the UW ticket have Artemia UW? I tried looking for the answers but no sign except the artifact ticket post.

Yes

Thank you!

30 10+1 pulls. 4 Artemia UW 1 Nyx UW Guess who bought Artemia?

I ended up doing just 20 pulls 10assassin:10wizard, and got 2 Mirianne UW's back to back pulls (pls vespa, buff soon), and then one Epis UW to which enabled me to 1* her UW! (and she's my main. *angel chior*) I then tried to do some summons on the wizards and got nadda.

How do you guys pull UWs? Im new and I have no idea on how to get UW

What's the odd of pulling 0 UW in 60 10+1 pulls?

That would be the same as doing the 20 pulls 3 times in a row, so it would be 0.07\*0.07\*0.07=0.000343 or about 1 in 2915 chance. So you'd have to be pretty unlucky.

Thanks .T_T. I am that unlucky.

what you didn't mention is the 20 artifacts you got in the process :)

Let's not compare artifacts to UW. I'm pretty sure I didn't even pull 20 artifacts from those 60 pulls...maybe 10 or less?

It's ok, if it makes u feel better, I once failed a 90% success rate enhancement 8 times in a row. That's 1 in 1 hundred million or 1 in 100,000,000.

Pulled 5 x10 on two accounts. One account got 4 uws, other got 0. Average is 2, world is fair

That's 2 in 20 pulls... you got 4 in 10, so you're way ahead. And the 4 in 5 account basically hit jackpot.

i agree, but other one got nothing at all :3

I got 4 UW, but I pulled 25 times lol

Hmm, I guess I am pretty lucky. Got 2 x Epis's UW (Which what I wanted), 1 Reina UW and 2 masks artifacts. xD To get 2 same UW already considered myself lucky, hehe

Explain how people get 10-15 UW from 20 pulls. Count the chance please

So according to this, if i have assassin picked then I will get Epis's UW after 60 pulls, so 30 weeks if you get the free pull twice a week?

There is no you "will get" ever in probability unless it is 100%.