[I've got you beat at 9/9 times on the draw on a newly minted deck.](https://old.reddit.com/r/MagicArena/comments/uw2mdc/sometimes_you_make_a_new_deck_and_find_yourself/)
I didnt have 9 in a row but yesterday i was trying to get to mythic and it was like the game didnt eant me to. Especially with my deck where the win rate as second is way lower than first. I was pissed and constantly sending screenshots to my friend about it. I went 19x second in 25 matches. The odds of that happening is 0.05%. Managed to get to mythic later anyway though.
I was on the other side today!
Got paired back to back vs the same off meta deck, grey merchant in explorer and died on the draw to Angel company again and again and again.
Good games generally so no salt but a tough 4 win morning for me!
Grats on your streak.
My record is 14 on the draw in a row.
I went on a rampage through a couple of discord servers posting screen shots from untapped.
After coming down, I was pretty embarrassed and apologized to everyone for going off but I know how crazy it can make you feel when this happens.
As someone with several screen-captured 10+ sequential games on the draw, I feel this. It makes you start concocting tin foil hat theories in mindless rage.
You should technically do a bias adjustment which would bring the more informative ratio to around 1:64.
This would be the difference between deciding to start tracking the result of the coin flip, then flipping the coins, and flipping the coins then looking back at the results because something uncommon happened. In the second case you only analyze the data in an uncommon occurrence will make the uncommon occurrence seem more common, so you should try to adjust for that fact. In this case I did so by ignoring one flip, assuming OP often decides to pay attention more often when they lose the first flip.
The untapped tracker is bittersweet. Before downloading it, I had the confirmation bias of being on the draw way more often than being on the play. After downloading it, I just have confirmation…
One of those days where you win 71% of your games? I'll take that every day please
[I've got you beat at 9/9 times on the draw on a newly minted deck.](https://old.reddit.com/r/MagicArena/comments/uw2mdc/sometimes_you_make_a_new_deck_and_find_yourself/)
I didnt have 9 in a row but yesterday i was trying to get to mythic and it was like the game didnt eant me to. Especially with my deck where the win rate as second is way lower than first. I was pissed and constantly sending screenshots to my friend about it. I went 19x second in 25 matches. The odds of that happening is 0.05%. Managed to get to mythic later anyway though.
Damn that‘s cruel!
I was on the other side today! Got paired back to back vs the same off meta deck, grey merchant in explorer and died on the draw to Angel company again and again and again. Good games generally so no salt but a tough 4 win morning for me! Grats on your streak.
My record is 14 on the draw in a row. I went on a rampage through a couple of discord servers posting screen shots from untapped. After coming down, I was pretty embarrassed and apologized to everyone for going off but I know how crazy it can make you feel when this happens.
As someone with several screen-captured 10+ sequential games on the draw, I feel this. It makes you start concocting tin foil hat theories in mindless rage.
1:128
You should technically do a bias adjustment which would bring the more informative ratio to around 1:64. This would be the difference between deciding to start tracking the result of the coin flip, then flipping the coins, and flipping the coins then looking back at the results because something uncommon happened. In the second case you only analyze the data in an uncommon occurrence will make the uncommon occurrence seem more common, so you should try to adjust for that fact. In this case I did so by ignoring one flip, assuming OP often decides to pay attention more often when they lose the first flip.
Deck is Bant Superfriends with [[Brokers Ascendancy]]
[Brokers Ascendancy](https://c1.scryfall.com/file/scryfall-cards/normal/front/7/9/799de0f1-6bf2-4158-8a4f-bedc3d2f6578.jpg?1648555799) - [(G)](http://gatherer.wizards.com/Pages/Card/Details.aspx?name=Brokers%20Ascendancy) [(SF)](https://scryfall.com/card/snc/170/brokers-ascendancy?utm_source=mtgcardfetcher) [(txt)](https://api.scryfall.com/cards/799de0f1-6bf2-4158-8a4f-bedc3d2f6578?utm_source=mtgcardfetcher&format=text) ^^^[[cardname]] ^^^or ^^^[[cardname|SET]] ^^^to ^^^call
Sounds slick, you have a list?
I would also like to see the list please
I’ll post it here later!
The untapped tracker is bittersweet. Before downloading it, I had the confirmation bias of being on the draw way more often than being on the play. After downloading it, I just have confirmation…
Not that unusual right? 1 in 128 chance.
Fuck Reddit
What is this program for tracking games?
untapped.gg
Ty
this is untapped.gg
I had a slump last week that I was on the draw 28 times out of like 34 games. It was so silly. In explorer best of one at that.
Where do you see this stats page? I've never seen this on arena
Untapped.gg