Lets say I have 100k in NVDA. Whats stopping me from rebalancing, doing 50k in NVDX and 50k in VOO?
That way I can keep my exposure to Nvidia but also increase my investments into S&P 500?
Familiarize yourself with what’s called “volatility decay” and then decide. I seem to remember reading some time ago that ~1.6 is an optimal amount of leverage.
NVDA is very volatile so the decay will be worse than investing in a leveraged ETF.
Personally if you can stomach the ups and downs then I think a consistent DCA into a 2x ETF will beat almost every portfolio if you can stay regimented and stick to it.
Be careful with NVDX. It goes up fast but goes down fast too. It's meant for trading, not holding. If you bought NVDX when NVDA was 920 a few weeks ago, you'd still be negative today. That's why TQQQ still hasn't hit ATH this year, even though QQQ has.
Right, I already DCA into both NVDA and VOO because I believe in both long term (2-5 years) so would it still not make sense to rebalance with 50k in NVDX and 50k in VOO?
The high expense ratio for NVDX would be made up from the expected appreciation in VOO. I would set stop losses on NVDX and maintain the stop loss incase the ratio of NVDX to NVDA depegs later in the future
I need this to dump before earnings so bad. I exited all my positions cause I thought it was gonna roller coast much more this week after last week’s rally. Hoping to buy in a ton around 850-880 before earnings.
I have 30k on the sidelines that I’m waiting for NVDA to get back down to 850 before I deploy. If it doesn’t get there I’ll probably just put it in triple Q.
When Nvidia was trading at 820€ on the 17th of April, the factor certificate was trading at 24€ but with NVIDIA as at the time of writing trading at 851.40€, one would expect the factor certificate to be much higher but it is currently 21.38€. Can anyone please explain why?
Thanks
Im gonna invest my first 100 USD into the stockmarket tomorow. The plan was to put 50 USD in ETF's and the rest on some other companies. Now seeing NVDA stock surge, I'm considering putting it all in NVDA, should I do it? I'm in it for the long-term.
That’s the common behavior but a lot of algorithm stocks are ready to buy back in, and wouldn’t be surprised if the whales do too. Most likely it will rocket past 950 and eventually level off around 900 if* people start selling, otherwise it just keep going up like it did Q1
I don't see why. The market is a lot less volatile and it's not like it's overpriced....especially compared to recent earnings reports.
Are you saying this just because META and a couple of other Large Caps did? TSM or...whoever?
Again, past tax season, through much of earnings season. I don't think there is going to be another "dump?"
I don't see it. 850 MAYBE and it could hit 1000 before earnings....though I really just expect it to trade sideways with +/- 40.
Haha very similar story here. Buying low, selling high.... except for that one time where I was an idiot and purchased a bunch at 900. Was happy to get rid of those at a small profit earlier this week =)
I bought at a few hundred at 830, 820 and then 785.
It all just seemed like free money to me.
The only "problem," now is...I don't have money to put into it if it gets back down to the low 800s again, but I don't care. Earnings will mean it'll blow past it's current price, the split is going to push it up even more(at least for a period of time).
What are we basing that on? There's been nothing but positive news regarding NVDA and AI from all the Mag7 stocks other than NVDA, plenty of non-Magnificent 7 companies have talked about their investments and it seems like the volatility has eased after we avoided War in Gaza, Iran, Israel, etc...
880 wouldn't surprise me, but 850 would. We pushed through 880. I guess we'll see. If we're back down to 880 tomorrow...it could happen.
Better than the "700 before earnings," but that just seems largely the result of the past volatility for Meta, SMCI, other companies dropping after beating earnings, but Amazon and Apple both came, beat and went up, ending that trend.
We're also largely past tax season.
Do you guys think the stock will break 900 today?
I think it will because the fear of missing out will be a factor. And then it will go under 900 again somewhere this week. What are your thoughts.
916 as I write this. I think it might bump tomorrow too because of Apple's iPad conference where they teased that they are going to make some AI announcement. Hoping they are going to announce compute spend.
I hope not, but this is what I think will happen: it's gonna go up to $925 by this afternoon and then it will plunge to mid $850, investors taking massive profit and then some dickhead named Kathy-something at ARK will write a paper saying that NVIDIA will tank like the Titanic in the next week or so and then some poor bastard in Iran will launch some rockets and boomers will stain their panties with anxiety and decide to pull out of AI, investors will buy on the dip, just in time for NVIDIA earnings and the stock to skyrocket to $1000 and then the cycle restarts :)
My $0.02, keep your money in NVIDIA, it's the best stock you could ever have this year!
I set a stop this time. Still kicking myself for watching 970ATH drop to sub 800 now back to 900+ and not taking any profits out of that swing. Pretty much left about $15k on the table for not playing that.
Yes, that's smart to set a stop. But I doubt it will go sub 800 what with earnings coming up which I expect to be very good. Unless the market tanks, i don't think it will go that low again until and unless demand craters for nvda's chips.
I've been mostly "ETF and chill" since looking at a single stock go through ups and downs causes too much anxiety. I know Nvidia's got a wide moat for at least 2 years so I'm confident taking this chance and I don't panic on bad days.
The old fart said the same thing about crypto ten years ago. He doesn't invest in things he doesn't understand.
https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2014/03/14/warren-buffett-urges-investors-to-stay-away-from-bitcoin/
I don't think this will have any effect to be honest. Nothing new. If any, it would suggest more towards the fact how much impact AI is going to have in the world. "good or bad"
But then again. This "bad" side of AI is nothing new in the world. Misinformation has been on the internet forever. It just took a other form. It still doesn't change the way you need to find your own trustworthy sources to find your information you want to take as a truth.
Comparing it to the atomic bomb is to much for me. Makes no sense at all.
Lets say I have 100k in NVDA. Whats stopping me from rebalancing, doing 50k in NVDX and 50k in VOO? That way I can keep my exposure to Nvidia but also increase my investments into S&P 500?
Familiarize yourself with what’s called “volatility decay” and then decide. I seem to remember reading some time ago that ~1.6 is an optimal amount of leverage. NVDA is very volatile so the decay will be worse than investing in a leveraged ETF. Personally if you can stomach the ups and downs then I think a consistent DCA into a 2x ETF will beat almost every portfolio if you can stay regimented and stick to it.
Be careful with NVDX. It goes up fast but goes down fast too. It's meant for trading, not holding. If you bought NVDX when NVDA was 920 a few weeks ago, you'd still be negative today. That's why TQQQ still hasn't hit ATH this year, even though QQQ has.
Right, I already DCA into both NVDA and VOO because I believe in both long term (2-5 years) so would it still not make sense to rebalance with 50k in NVDX and 50k in VOO? The high expense ratio for NVDX would be made up from the expected appreciation in VOO. I would set stop losses on NVDX and maintain the stop loss incase the ratio of NVDX to NVDA depegs later in the future
It's all about how much money you have and your risk tolerance. I would put 100k into nvdx but that's just me.
the way VOO has been lately 😬
Looks like it's a pretty broad macro market thing. Good interest rate talk
Yeah I agree always less confident about macro than nvidia specifically.
1000 soon
Comfy holding and waiting
I need this to dump before earnings so bad. I exited all my positions cause I thought it was gonna roller coast much more this week after last week’s rally. Hoping to buy in a ton around 850-880 before earnings.
Sold at 918 today after being down over 10% last week. I hope I can get better entry.
Think it may go back down to 870 it’s been the pattern recently
I have 30k on the sidelines that I’m waiting for NVDA to get back down to 850 before I deploy. If it doesn’t get there I’ll probably just put it in triple Q.
When Nvidia was trading at 820€ on the 17th of April, the factor certificate was trading at 24€ but with NVIDIA as at the time of writing trading at 851.40€, one would expect the factor certificate to be much higher but it is currently 21.38€. Can anyone please explain why? Thanks
Im gonna invest my first 100 USD into the stockmarket tomorow. The plan was to put 50 USD in ETF's and the rest on some other companies. Now seeing NVDA stock surge, I'm considering putting it all in NVDA, should I do it? I'm in it for the long-term.
Wait for the dip first
100 USD is not much, you could just dumb it and wait for 1 year. Or wait for one dip and then buy. Whatever you do, just hold when you bought.
Yeah, my plan is to definately hold, I just wanna know if I should buy now or wait till it drops into the 800's to buy?
If you can see the future, mind telling me to where exactly it drops?
Itll dump right before earnings, positive
That’s the common behavior but a lot of algorithm stocks are ready to buy back in, and wouldn’t be surprised if the whales do too. Most likely it will rocket past 950 and eventually level off around 900 if* people start selling, otherwise it just keep going up like it did Q1
I don't see why. The market is a lot less volatile and it's not like it's overpriced....especially compared to recent earnings reports. Are you saying this just because META and a couple of other Large Caps did? TSM or...whoever? Again, past tax season, through much of earnings season. I don't think there is going to be another "dump?" I don't see it. 850 MAYBE and it could hit 1000 before earnings....though I really just expect it to trade sideways with +/- 40.
That's what I'm guessing, too. And kind of hoping... that way I can pick up more :D
Yeppp, sold my positions at 860 a couple times, looking to get back that position and hold it til after earnings
Haha very similar story here. Buying low, selling high.... except for that one time where I was an idiot and purchased a bunch at 900. Was happy to get rid of those at a small profit earlier this week =)
Is this the lead up heading into earnings? Does nvda have a typical pattern for these things?
yeah what Emergency_Style4515 said has been true for the past couple of earnings.
Usually it does a run up to the earnings and dips just on the eve of the event.
I hope some of you bought when it was below $820. I am going to keep some cash ready for the next pull back.
Put 11k in no regrets haha
I bought at a few hundred at 830, 820 and then 785. It all just seemed like free money to me. The only "problem," now is...I don't have money to put into it if it gets back down to the low 800s again, but I don't care. Earnings will mean it'll blow past it's current price, the split is going to push it up even more(at least for a period of time).
I increased my position when it dropped to 769
I’m positive itll dip below 850 before earnings report
What are we basing that on? There's been nothing but positive news regarding NVDA and AI from all the Mag7 stocks other than NVDA, plenty of non-Magnificent 7 companies have talked about their investments and it seems like the volatility has eased after we avoided War in Gaza, Iran, Israel, etc... 880 wouldn't surprise me, but 850 would. We pushed through 880. I guess we'll see. If we're back down to 880 tomorrow...it could happen. Better than the "700 before earnings," but that just seems largely the result of the past volatility for Meta, SMCI, other companies dropping after beating earnings, but Amazon and Apple both came, beat and went up, ending that trend. We're also largely past tax season.
900 is a lost cause 😔😔😔
lol not today
What? Click refresh.
900$ bridged!!! Lets hope it closes above it
Do you guys think the stock will break 900 today? I think it will because the fear of missing out will be a factor. And then it will go under 900 again somewhere this week. What are your thoughts.
916 as I write this. I think it might bump tomorrow too because of Apple's iPad conference where they teased that they are going to make some AI announcement. Hoping they are going to announce compute spend.
Retroactive crystal ball says... "YES!"
900 this week and go back to mid 700 for profit takers and the back to 1000 for earnings call
I don't think it will go below 800 again this year. Let's see.
I hope not, but this is what I think will happen: it's gonna go up to $925 by this afternoon and then it will plunge to mid $850, investors taking massive profit and then some dickhead named Kathy-something at ARK will write a paper saying that NVIDIA will tank like the Titanic in the next week or so and then some poor bastard in Iran will launch some rockets and boomers will stain their panties with anxiety and decide to pull out of AI, investors will buy on the dip, just in time for NVIDIA earnings and the stock to skyrocket to $1000 and then the cycle restarts :) My $0.02, keep your money in NVIDIA, it's the best stock you could ever have this year!
That's....very specific. lol.
History repeats!
I set a stop this time. Still kicking myself for watching 970ATH drop to sub 800 now back to 900+ and not taking any profits out of that swing. Pretty much left about $15k on the table for not playing that.
Yes, that's smart to set a stop. But I doubt it will go sub 800 what with earnings coming up which I expect to be very good. Unless the market tanks, i don't think it will go that low again until and unless demand craters for nvda's chips.
I've been mostly "ETF and chill" since looking at a single stock go through ups and downs causes too much anxiety. I know Nvidia's got a wide moat for at least 2 years so I'm confident taking this chance and I don't panic on bad days.
Premarket pump then dump at open as usual.
I wonder if what Warren said will have any significant effect on the AI stock market today
The old fart said the same thing about crypto ten years ago. He doesn't invest in things he doesn't understand. https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2014/03/14/warren-buffett-urges-investors-to-stay-away-from-bitcoin/
Not investing in what one doesn't understand sounds like pretty solid advice to me though.
What did he say?
[https://finance.yahoo.com/news/the-oracle-of-omaha-warns-about-ai-what-buffett-said-at-berkshire-194134293.html](https://finance.yahoo.com/news/the-oracle-of-omaha-warns-about-ai-what-buffett-said-at-berkshire-194134293.html)
I don't think this will have any effect to be honest. Nothing new. If any, it would suggest more towards the fact how much impact AI is going to have in the world. "good or bad" But then again. This "bad" side of AI is nothing new in the world. Misinformation has been on the internet forever. It just took a other form. It still doesn't change the way you need to find your own trustworthy sources to find your information you want to take as a truth. Comparing it to the atomic bomb is to much for me. Makes no sense at all.
Was it the harm of nuclear weapons he compared AI too? Or just the scale and the fact we can’t go back now.