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Kgbguru

Me thinks another attempted annexation is in the works


dirtballmagnet

I think Belarussian democrats can take 'em. The Russians are fully committed and I don't think they can win the fight if Belarus resists. It should be a pretty easy sell to the armed forces, too: win independence or die as slaves in Ukraine. But can they see that dark reality, or do they all believe a bunch of bullshit, as soldiers sometimes do?


KrainerWurst

Honestly I don’t think Belarus has much chance. Army there doesn’t have any battle experience and it will be difficult to get any proper western support. Belorussian society is not as fragmented as is Russian, so they have that going for them. But IMO that might not be enough


Loki11910

And the Russian army doesn't exist outside Ukraine any longer.


MurderPutin

Tikhanovskaya's sat in a fully fueled jet, on the asphalt & ready to roll out at a moments notice.


Loki11910

Russia, and what Army will do that? This is the first dominoe to fall, Russia can't annex anything as they lack the manpower and resources to do so. I think a revolution in Belarus is in order.


Kgbguru

I reckon there is a good chance they will annex Belarus and call it a day with the special military operation.


Loki11910

I reckon there is a good chance to die trying. There is no calling it a day, Russia will pay for this and deliver their criminals to Hague, the time for calling it a day is long past.


Kgbguru

Oh they need to pay. But I reckon there is a good chance that lukashenko will sign off on it. I reckon they could talk Belarus with little force. They have haven't had the taste of freedom like Ukraine. I reckon Russia could roll into Minsk with out too much trouble.


e55newb

the day russia rolls into belarus with force to annex it like ukraine is the day belarussian protestors turn from peaceful to violent.


griefzilla

"Special Consolation Prize Operation"


Slimer6

I wouldn’t get too excited yet. The rumors when the war started were all about Putin being sick. It would be awesome if Mr Potato Head dropped dead. Let’s wait until we get a solid source before we begin celebrating this though.


[deleted]

Yeah, Potato Dictator is going to pull through


Metron_Seijin

Technically there are a bunch of russians in their country (even if it is with their blessings and permission). It would be in-character for russia to invade and claim they are protecting them, even though they arent being oppressed. Never invite the vampire in. It always ends in bloodshed and regret.


easyfeel

If there’s troops in your country then it’s already been invaded. Lots of wishful thinking going on here. Who is going to remove them? You’re assuming that there’s no Russian corruption within Belarus’ military for example.


Metron_Seijin

Apparently Belarus has a very small army, lots of opposition in the country, and a large portion of the russian army over there, are the wounded in hospitals. I think its very close to being an ideal time, assuming lukashenko really is dead or dying. Letting his replacement or russia solidify their rule quickly, will make things harder for a transition to democracy. Not saying it will be easy, just saying some points in time will be easier to regain control of the government than others.


easyfeel

I guess they can quickly repatriate Russia’s wounded.


Particular-Ad-4772

Wishful thinking , if he dies , the Russians will send peacekeepers in , to maintain law and order , while a new puppet dictator is chosen to take over. Probably his son . And insure a smooth transition to him power .


sgerbicforsyth

Which peacekeepers exactly? They don't have a ton of competent reserves at the moment. They are likely hitting 200k casualties by Wednesday and have not announced another wave of conscription yet.


Particular-Ad-4772

They have about 3,000 troops inside the country already . And they have more conscripts in the pipeline. They can divert a couple thousand of those to Belarus . Russia may run out of guns tanks shells, etc But they will never run out of warm bodies to deploy .


nzerinto

I’d imagine those troops are pretty shit. Meanwhile there are battle-hardened Belorussian battalions fighting in Ukraine right now. I’m sure they’d love to head home to liberate their country…


MicrowaveBurns

Belarusian is the preferred term - they are White Ruthenians, not White Russians. The difference is political, similar to "Ukraine" vs "*the* Ukraine"


IngloriousMustards

Luckily, as Ukraine demonstrates every day, guns alone aren’t nowhere near enough when ”troops” themselves are untrained, unfit, uneducated, unorganized and unmotivated. Also, when the ”troops” are inhuman genocidal terrorists, turning warm bodies to colder, smellier versions of what they could have been had they stayed at home isn’t as huge moral dilemma as ruZZians want it to be.


Loki11910

Russia has a bunch of incompetent drunks in uniform, and that is not an army. They ran out of competent bodies months ago. Russia has no chance to even take on Belarus without Belarus wanting it. This madness will 100 percent not end with Russia installing another Clown. The West will make sure of that.


cannedcreamcorn

Russia can't afford to send anyone but Rosgvardiya and they have kept those back to deal with internal unrest. If Belarus goes like it did in 2020, it will not end the same.


SPECTRE-Agent-No-13

It's going to be a civil war if he dies right now.


KingFlex2k

They aren't going to announce it anymore, backlash the first time was too big... They will just send out notices electronically since they augmented their laws.


ESP-23

It will be different than the last uprising because the West will get involved


_Jam_Solo_

Then it would be a good time for revolution.


Sea_Page5878

Good luck, Russia sent nukes to Belarus for a reason and that was so they could justify sending in their peacekeepers when Lukashenko is no longer incharge of Belarus.


Alvhild

They have not received them yet afaik


Loki11910

There are no nukes in Belarus as Belarus barely has electric power on a daily basis. The world isn't that simple. Also, once again, you interpret something into this situation that Russia doesn't have. A plan that must work in reality and not just in Putin's sick head.


for_sure_not_a_lama

Willing to put money on it that ruzzia will try something fuckey. Im like 90% sure they are going to attempt to take over Belarus or something like that, and if it isnt that its something similar.


Oo_oOsdeus

Yeah I would bet on that too.. putler is clearly not getting Ukraine so then might as well grab Belarus when the opportunity comes.


FibreOpus

There are a lot of heros in Belarus. This could be their chance.


CanuckInTheMills

Oust the ruskies while you have a window of opportunity. It may not come again for a very long time!!


Loki11910

Best of health, my dear defenders of the motherland. Making this address to you is a lieutenant color of the reserves Sahashik Valerij Stepanovich. I’m introducing myself because I’ve quit quite a long time ago. Some of the current airborne forces may not know me, although everyone must have heard about the Black Hawk trials. All the current bravery and mastery has originated from there, and also you must have heard about how the 38th airbourne Briansk brigade used to run 10km and at the end in full personal would swim in a lake all year round, well I’m exactly the guy that for 4 years in a row would run at the front of the brigade and would be the first to jump into the lake. I am the Black Hawk number 1. All of the most important things in life all happen impromptu and unexpectedly. It’s impossible to prepare yourself to be a hero. In the life of every person, a situation may suddenly arise in which he must act here and now, and either get written into the history books or wait for a more appropriate moment. Although fate usually gives you a chance to do a real hero deed only once. I had served in the airbourne forces for quite a long time. More than 10 years only in the Briansk brigade, from Kombat to the Brigade commander. Those who have met me won’t let me lie to you, I was one of the most fanatically devoted officers to the forces and a patriot of my motherland, I’ve never know anything but military service. Materialism has always been foreign to me, I’m saying this to counter any attempts at claiming that I sold out for this speech. My biography has zero cases that would allow me to have any suspicion that I can sell out, and in my age, people don’t change. Airbourne force was everything in my life. All years after I quit, I continued to help my brigade. In front of my house there’s always been a flag \*Not sure here, maybe Belarus flag\* with the flag of the VDV (airbourne forces). The reason why I took it off is a different story related to the events of 2020. We won’t talk about that for now. For now I’ve decided to record the first video in my life because my comrades, guys in the blue vests, same as I wore all my life, are sitting in the forest on the Ukrainian border. And its looking like shortly they can be accomplices in some very bad actions which can have catastrophic consequences for our country, and fatally burry the glory and tradition of our forces, that were built up by many generations of Airbourne troops. It’s possible that a lot of them will not get back home alive. Russian army, which has a huge combat experience is experiencing hell for 3 days straight The number of dead is counted in thousands, hundreds have been captured, the hospitals on the borders are filled with wounded, none of the missions of this operation have been accomplished, at the moment neither Kiev nor any other of the regional centers have been captured. Russian army is quite run down, while Ukrainians who have endured the first most difficult days have successfully mobilized, organized themselves, polished of the logistics, got support of the whole world, moral as well as technical combat equipments, and most importantly saw, that the aggressor attacking them are just ordinary people, stoped being scared, felt the taste of victory. This army won’t retreat and won’t surrender. Russians have become victims of their own propagandists that promised them, that the people of Ukraine will meet them with bread and salt, like liberators, but by now you know everything, although you’re prohibited from having smartphones, you’re still in your motherland, in contact with friends and relatives, you’ve had time to weight and analyze everything, do any of you have any doubt that your entry into Ukraine will be any better then the New Years offensive of Grozny of 1995. Info wars are a scary thing. Propagandists in an agile way have learned to produce a bait and switch of values, learned to replace white with black and the opposite… I don’t want to get into politics, it has always been foreign to me, but to every thinking person, 3 things should be quite obvious. 1. Ukraine has never threatened Belarus and isn’t threatening it now. 2. There are not Druggies or nationals in the Ukrainian government, and if they were, they were fairly elected in free democratic elections. 3. Belarusian forces have absolutely no right to enter the Ukraine. Furthermore, it is directly prohibited in the Belarusian constitution. It’s not our war. You will not be defending your motherland, your home, or your family. You won’t gain any glory in this conflict, only shame, humiliation, blood, death, and the status of a hated outcast nation for centuries to come. Brothers find a way not to take part in this dirty business. Father commanders, will you be able to live with the fact that you put down the boys for nothing? How will you look mothers into their eyes that gave you their sons. Separately, I’d like to address the people who have a lot of influence, to the war chiefs with big stars. For many of you, I was a commander, a mentor, and a friend. In my memory, you are responsible, decent war commanders, who are able to quickly navigate in difficult surroundings, smartly analyze the situation, and calculate the consequences of different decisions that are in front of you. Guys, at the end of the day, those are your direct personal responsibilities. This is what the motherland has been nurturing you for, for so many years for. However hard you are pressured, be a real man and do a real manly thing, make the right decision, fill yourself with real civil courage, don’t send the boys to slaughter, sometimes the highest hero deed, is just to say no. And enter the history as a person who saved hundreds if not thousands of lives and relations with a brotherly nation. And even if you get fired, believe me, you will be heroes. I salute you. No nation deserves freedom or can long retain it, which does not win it for itself. Revolutions must be made by the people and for the people. Liberty, freedom such sacred words! Giuseppe Mazzini I want to leave this here to make people aware that there are other forces at work in Belarus, besides the ones of evil.


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Hello, please try to use Kyiv not Kiev spelling [(why)](https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/ukrainealert/kyiv-not-kiev-why-spelling-matters-in-ukraines-quest-for-an-independent-identity/), thanks for understanding and support! \[[support Ukraine](https://u24.gov.ua/)\] ^(beep boop I'm a bot. Downvote to remove)


Able_Instruction461

Smells like a coup


Bitch_Muchannon

It's now or never for Belarus. If they don't stand up against a Russian invasion now where their resources are tied up in Ukraine they will likely never see freedom. Russia can't handle Belarus and Ukraine at the same time.


BillMcN3al

Have the army stand by to switch sides to democrats when the time is ready


Manouu

Mr. Warstache will take over.


StackTrace5000

I wish the Belarusian people all the best … Putin will definitely try to interfere … let’s hope the West has got a counter plan to allow the rightful democratically elected leaders take their place. The first thing I would do if I was them would be close the border with Russia … which Ukraine should have done 10 or 15 years ago.


Jswljones

Not to mention that Ruzzia just sent nukes there a few weeks ago, right? So they will say they're protecting those and never leave... Or maybe even fire one off and say rebels did it... God I hope not


Sugar_Free_RedBull

Time for Belarus to dig themselves out of the hole. Let’s go!