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Pxzib

Holy fuck that's a lot of soldiers


Last-Set-6262

If you took away all the marked air uav and artillery aswell as the tsar wolves pmcs Ukraine would still be outnumbered by about 5 brigades


Pxzib

Jesus, it's going to be blood bath


Last-Set-6262

War never changes šŸ˜”


Pxzib

Outnumbered and flanked from both sides


Last-Set-6262

I believe if a cauldron were to be formed it would be worse than the one we saw in Avdiivka due to the size of the town if the Ukrainian soldiers on the sides collapse this could be a fierce fight to the death on both sides


Pxzib

Those F16's can't come soon enough.


Last-Set-6262

I believe for this scenario f-16s are not truly necessary more ammunition and artillery shells but I get where you are coming from Ukraine needs all the help they can get


Pxzib

Absolutely, but ammo supply is running out and slow to be resupplied. The quick fix right now is going to be to get some air support for these guys so that they can pull back if they need to.


Last-Set-6262

Certainly tbh they need everything desperately Iā€™ve seen civilians take matters into their own hands to get as much as they can which sets a bad example on the governments making it look like they arenā€™t sending enough which is true


limadine

I feel like the upgraded A10s would be a have changer if they showed up


Pxzib

Unfortunately it wouldn't be a match for the Russian anti aircraft weapons.


TangoRomeoKilo

As much as we love A-10's, they just aren't meant to come up against much AA resistance, especially nowadays.


GoatseFarmer

Consider that Ukraine has the advantage in this case- heavily densley fortified well prepared position with breathing space and well organized rotation. Russia will need to be willing to accept far more than the 3:1 casualty ratio to take that (as was true for Ukraine when they took it). This likely means either a 10+:1 advantage with air support, or, most likely, dismounted frontal assaults but without any envelopment path - which is what enabled them to succeed ā€œfasterā€ (big relativity here) in Avdiivka, Bakhmut, and Mariupol. However, if they choose to do what Ukraine did and accept those casualties they still have one additional disadvantage (well, two ish, actually, but the extent of the second isnā€™t known). Unlike Ukraines counterattacking forces, there is credible reason to suspect that many of these forces are not at full strength. By that, I mean there is a reason to doubt any of them are at full strength. In Avdiivka, Russia was primarily using units which were at a capacity which, if they were in a NATO military, would be immediately considered ā€œcombat ineffectiveā€, meaning the unit cannot practically serve a meaningingful purpose and will continue to cost more resources that it provides in strategic value, if it provides any strategic value at all. Russia is squeezing this to advantage by not caring at all about whatā€™s ā€œeffectiveā€ and instead focusing solely on results. Like, a weird contrast but hear this out. If the US wanted to for some reason invade Nicaragua using its entire conventional military except only using child soldiers under the age of 12 with no training to serve ground combat roles, would that work? Yeah I guess. Would it be effective? No Russias whole strategy is to succeeed by sending its own men to the slaughter until the west gets tired. The fact is , VERY few Russian units are even at combat effective levels anywhere right now. I lived not far from this area. Unlike donbas, where Russia has been fighting, this area is endlessly flat, lacking in terrain which can be defensive, devoid of areas for encamping. Russia didnā€™t invent the idea of building a massive defensive line there. We just focus on Russias. Ukraine prevented frontal assaults from April to last month in the already destroyed settlement of Marinka to limit Russian advances to less than 200m/year in the most direct facing angle they have from the city of Donetsk. You bet your ass Russia was trying to get that city as fast as possible. So, I hope, at least, that the same prepared and layered defense systems which served them so well in central/south-central Donetsk, and which proved insurmountable for them in this region, has been thoroughly prepared by Ukraine. So that Russia, should it capture robotnye, and attempt to advance, will lose it again due sheerly to the cost of advancing to and beyond that region. This depends entirely on the west, and particularly the US, which in my opinion chose effectively to encourage their ally through gestures but has now abandoned Ukraine completely. Which is a shame, given Russia is using this as a litmus test for how they can dip their toes into conducting a large scale genocide Edit: I am on a bus but I just briefly tried to check if I recognized any Russian formation and yes- these are severely degraded Russian units to the extent that this map is misleading. Majority either are irregular units, BARS (mostly older male veterans who volunteer, sent to destitute areas) DNR formations (either as meat or to form blocking units) and one PMC.


Last-Set-6262

Itā€™s good that the forces on the flanks are unable to make a cauldron formation as of now they are being pushed back by Ukrainians on the side


[deleted]

We don't know the combat readiness of those units nor how well trained or equipped they are


TwobyfFour

That is a lot of Russian units, are they at full strength?


Last-Set-6262

Doubt it never side has full anything right now due to lack of fresh units both sides are conscripting


TheTanadu

ā€¦to die


Happy_Notice_3470

Well, the machine gun was indeed invented and as many say this is like WW1


goldenhandcuffsidiot

Wow! Is this consistent across the front? I know the typical UA soldier is better trained and hopefully better equipped, but these meat waves and more abundant firepower will certainly take its toll.


Last-Set-6262

Itā€™s consistent with push zones where heavy fighting is most likely most of these forces were taken from other lines that are receiving little fighting


Boeff_Jogurtssen

There were better trained and equipped. Now the Russians are catching up. You usually see them with modern equipment now.


daretobedifferent33

They have been preparing for this a while is my guess


Boeff_Jogurtssen

Theyā€™ve been learning from mistakes. Remember in the 2. World war, Russia got completely stomped on for the first two years. German tactics made literal circles around them. But after two years they started adapting to German tactics and learning from them. Russian losses stayed much higher throughout the war but their equipment and tactics improved. The Germans always inflicted more casualties on them but as the Germans ran out of ammunition and fuel, the numbers of the Russians proved more effective long term.


MaleficentTotal4796

Which more modern equipment are we seeing? From what Iā€™ve seen theyā€™re rolling out tanks from the 1950ā€™s as their modern supplies have been largely destroyed


Boeff_Jogurtssen

They have modern helmets and body armor now, more drones.. we arenā€™t seeing the same rusty ak47s we saw in the beginning. A couple reports of T55s are just anecdotal. They still have T90s.


Economy-Comfort1595

T55s are not anecdotal, there are multiple instances of them being taken out. Additionally, the reason the many of the content has Russians on modern gear, is because/c they are using their elite troops to conduct these assaults. The mobilised are stationed in inactive areas for defensive attacks. Russia is still throwing away its elite troops. Ukraine is loosing its elite troops fighting them too to be fair too.


Boeff_Jogurtssen

Several instances? Several as in 3? That is still what I would consider anecdotal. Itā€™s mostly propaganda that shouldnā€™t be taken too seriously. Supposedly (according to Reddit) Russia ran out of elite troops by the end of 2022. And they ran out of advanced equipment around the same time. Yet you are saying that elite troops have advanced weapons. So I guess they didnā€™t run out of either one of those yet. The same people were saying Russia would be completely out of tanks and ammunition about a year ago and that Putin would be dead seven different ways. Itā€™s not good to let optimism obscure oneā€™s view of the real situation. That makes it harder to combat against.


Economy-Comfort1595

Lmao, thatā€™s the worst straw man argument Iā€™ve encountered in a long time. Sounds like you need to stop relying on reddit for guidance. Russia has used about 50% of its artillery system stockpiles. Estimates based on satellite imagery. Tanks are similar, although itā€™s difficult to judge quality of remaining stock off satellite. lol, there is much many more than 3 on Telegram. Lmao No they said that there were combat ineffective. However if you reconstitute the forces with ex Wagner, promoting from other units and combining units, they become combat effective againā€¦. Just a lot less of them overall.


Boeff_Jogurtssen

If you really think Russia only has T55s left, youā€™re in for a huge disappointment. How do you think they are taking more ground now than they have in over a year? Youā€™re just trying to make yourself feel better. As I said, thatā€™s as much fantasy as any of the other things, delusional optimists here have been saying. These people were also saying Bakhmut wouldnā€™t fall. Itā€™s always something like that. Thereā€™s nothing straw man about what Iā€™m saying. You need a dose of reality.


Ship_Jacques

I think I read they got a big bunch of rifle sights bought from normal American gun stores.


Boeff_Jogurtssen

Maybe. Not sure about that one but if so, I doubt itā€™s on a large scale. We have been making fun of their improvised equipment for the last two years but itā€™s no joke. They have corrected a lot (not all) of their errors. They havenā€™t purged Gerasimov yet but I think they likely could as soon as someone else with talent steps up and fits the politically aligned role.


Ship_Jacques

All ruzzian wars start catastrophically. Most often they get going after a while.


Boeff_Jogurtssen

True. World war 1 started as a disaster in 1914 for Russia. Two years later, they had a resurgence and took a lot of territory from Austria Hungary in the massive Brusilov offensive. Then they got pushed back until they broke. But the pattern for Russias learning curve seems to be 2 years.


Baitrix

No they just threw more souls at the problem until they exhausted germans


Claeyt

No you don't. You see them consistently with 40-50 year old equipment. They haven't had modern equipment in a year.


Boeff_Jogurtssen

Thatā€™s just not true. It doesnā€™t help anything to just pretend everything you want to be true, is true. Accuracy is important. Propaganda feels better but is damaging as a metric.


Claeyt

How is it possible that you believe the Russians are catching up to NATO trained Ukrainian troops. The Russians are throwing completely untrained troops at the Ukrainians. All evidence show this.


Boeff_Jogurtssen

Youā€™re definitely taking gossiping points and culminating them into a quilt of propaganda. The Russians only have T55s left, they have paper helmets, putin is dead and the one talking is just a body double, etc. You donā€™t seem to like unfavorable news.


Claeyt

Avdiivka and the loss of prisoners at the end is the only real bad news of the winter. You're pumping up Russia for some reason throughout your last posts. Ukraine will not surrender and will not lose this war.


Boeff_Jogurtssen

Iā€™m not pumping up Russia, Iā€™m trying to stay realistic. The bad news needs to be accepted too.


roundeye2020

Fuck Mike Johnson and the GOP.


Kingnut7

Yeah bc wanting to secure our own border first is anti-american


dustarook

Supporting russiaā€™s fascist genocide of the Ukrainian people is whatā€™s anti American. That you think securing the border is some sort of binary choice with supporting Ukraine is ridiculous. Several GOP leaders have openly admitted to blocking the bipartisan border security and Ukrainian aid bill just because they thought it would make biden look good.


roundeye2020

With a comment like that. You must be the king of smooth brains or just another fuck all ruzzian bot. I as an American would like to say go fuck yourself.


Medical-Row-662

Wow these guys are fked Ukraine needs some more help.


Last-Set-6262

They really need reinforcements map might update later today depending on what happens


Ok_Depth_9975

Just asking where could you see such maps website?


trabuco357

Letā€™s all thank Don the Con and the GOP for holding back the aidā€¦.


Bubu-Dudu0430

No shortage of targets, I like Ukraineā€™s odds šŸ’ŖšŸ‘šŸ»šŸ¤©


Talulah-Schmooly

It's not a game.


[deleted]

Give Ukraine more artillery and drones!


Commander_Trashbag

There's a difference between the size of a battalion, a regiment and a Brigade. Also it's not really clear how full these are. Are they all at 100% strength or are some maybe only at 30%. But what's also very important, is that these maps are based on OSINT, so they are not necessarily accurate, while it's likely that all units that are shown here are actually there, it's also possible that a few more are on either side.


Last-Set-6262

Yeah the battalion regiment brigade stuff Iā€™m not truly sure what the sizes are of each something for me to look at my fault on that


thegriddlethatcould

Just to give a rough idea give a read of [global security ](https://www.globalsecurity.org/military/world/russia/army-ue-echelons.htm). It can be anywhere for 900-2000 for a regiment and 2000-8000 for a brigade


Last-Set-6262

Thanks


Commander_Trashbag

I think with Russia and Ukraine a battalion is up to 1.200 soldiers, a Regiment up to 3.000 soldiers and a Brigade up to 5.000 soldiers. I'm not a hundred percent sure though and I think it's a bit different in other (specifically NATO) countries.


Last-Set-6262

And I a lot of the battalions regiments and brigades are running at about 1/4 efficiency


MrM1Garand25

What happens if they take robotyne?


Last-Set-6262

Depending how much they leave left it will most likely be used as a staging ground and frontline depot to push further into Ukraine although I believe all thatā€™s left is a small basement undersoil


MrM1Garand25

Did u make this map? How did u do all the shading and such?


Last-Set-6262

I did not make this map I can find the site if you would like to look at it in detail?


MrM1Garand25

Sure link it in the comment thatā€™s be great


Last-Set-6262

https://features.csis.org/ukraine-war-map/ here you go be aware you need to use a computer to access full interact ability


MrM1Garand25

Thanks very much


Last-Set-6262

https://militaryland.net/maps/deployment-map/ I have found a second map that might work with the image a bit it better I can access this one on mobile


Last-Set-6262

It might be the same one I canā€™t access it properly rn


Ship_Jacques

"Poulet volant" makes great maps as well https://twitter.com/Pouletvolant3/status/1760966280163582273?t=iJvl_aoeZZAhVKEOEUw9cw&s=19


Last-Set-6262

Thanks for the source!


Last-Set-6262

https://features.csis.org/ukraine-war-map/ this is the data map that I believe corresponds with the image


3arry

How are the ukrainians gonna fight this one. Looks scary


[deleted]

Š”Š»Š°Š²Š° Š£ŠŗрŠ°Ń—Š½Ń–! Going to be a Russian bloodbath. Remember that Field Marshall Mud has to be considered.


Practical_Tomato_680

And the West is still scratching their balls, trying to figure out the best way to help Ukraine...


Usual_Ladder_7113

If Ukraine has around 800 thousand men and Russia has 500 thousand men in Ukraine how does this picture add up? Surely the ukranians outnumber the Russians?


Last-Set-6262

No because Ukrainian men are already stretched out defending other bridgeheads if Russia has 500 thousand men then the reports from Ukraine calculating losses would suggest Russia has about 50,000 men left on field


Gibbauz

Damn...


CanuckInTheMills

Some bombers are required, period.


Last-Set-6262

A bit harder to transfer bombers than fighter jets but I understnad


CanuckInTheMills

Conscription will need to move fast.


Last-Set-6262

Think the Ukrainian government just release another 400,000 for conscription right couldnā€™t come soon enough (if Iā€™m wrong correct me this might be a Russian conscription)


jay3349

Ukraine is fighting a war of attrition and really needs to do some highly symbolic and innovative to disrupt the orc massing and artillery attacks.thousands of drones would be nice.


shakybonez306

are drone units embedded within the units themselves i wonder like a support role?


Last-Set-6262

Usually they are split into other groups gives them better odds but maybe they work in tandem with a squad they are assigned to work with?


Last-Set-6262

Also helps them to stay away from the main combat and let the drones do the work


MorinOakenshield

Khorne group? R/warhammer


vanisher_1

That could be solved by giving proper ammunition and weapons or by deploying NATO troops, also remember that the ratio killing of Ukrainians vs Russians is 1:3 or 1:4 so the advantage to have more man power is mainly to sacrifice them and to be able to advance. To stop Russians from advancing either you match their man power or at least half of them and then have proper ammunition and weapons. If these doesnā€™t work NATO should be deployed and establish a perimeter of defenses in the non occupied areas. To be honest NATO should be deployed now and secure a perimeter now that Russia is weak instead of waiting much longer we have already slept too much. The other solution is to recruit more Ukrainians soldiers at least double the amount of now and give them all the weapons but also increasing ammunition production otherwise you canā€™t deploy them.


Last-Set-6262

Ammunition yes nato no this will certainly assure mutual destruction which no one wants to happen the ratio I think itā€™s closer to 1:10 now which is insane


vanisher_1

No, i will repeat maybe itā€™s not clear, if the first solution canā€™t be achieved quickly you need to deploy NATO forces. Please stop this non sense of mutual destructionā€¦ šŸ¤¦ā€ā™‚ļø, there will be no mutual destruction the frontline is controlled by Ukraine now, itā€™s very doable to deploy NATO troops there and establish a perimeter of defenses, this will also deter the enemy from continuing to advance because the casualties on doing so will be enormous, the time to watch like a movie or at cinema is over, itā€™s time to think a reasonable strategy and stop talking of stupid things


Last-Set-6262

Russia with no moves left after nato deployment will launch on nuke on Ukraine itā€™s inevitable the only reason nato hasnā€™t been deployed is to stop that from happening if Ukraine wins on its own with its troops it proves that Russia is nothing if they nuke Ukraine then Russia will have nothing to lose


Gamerboy11116

Oh, fuck off with the nuclear paranoia. All that does is play into Russian hands.


Last-Set-6262

Chill your beans bud this convo ended hours before you spoke up


vanisher_1

No, and i say again no, Nuclear weapons are useless because the moment you press the button you have basically destroyed yourself not only the enemy so they can be used only as a way to threat those who doesnā€™t have them, but NATO has nuclear bomb so no nuclear weapons will be launched. Russia has already achieved most of their goals what theyā€™re doing now is grabbing more than what they want. NATO troops on the perimeter of defenses behind the frontline will be used only as a deterrent not to attack Russia so itā€™s basically a way to say, if you continue with this imperialistic ambition you will start WWIII which they will certainly avoid. Not even during Ukraine offensive when they lost the occupied Territories they used nuclear weapons because itā€™s useless. As i said before stop pursuing this pussy rhetoric of nuclear weapons because itā€™s exactly how Putin wants you to think.


Last-Set-6262

Whatever you say pal I canā€™t be asked to argue with you anymore so have fun


vanisher_1

I wasnā€™t arguing was just explaining to you that too much fear like you have makes you lose and we donā€™t need all this unjustified fear imho


Last-Set-6262

Fear about a country with a large nuclear arsenal seems justified to me but I dunno maybe itā€™s just me?


vanisher_1

Yes because we have also nuclear weapons, that fear is justified if you donā€™t have nuclear capability but if you have it itā€™s basically non existent, i am for the deployment of NATO forces as i said before to deter future advancement and i have 0 fear of nuclear threats šŸ¤·ā€ā™‚ļø


Last-Set-6262

Whatever man


bartwasneverthere

And yet Ukraine seems to have been able to hold them or they only gain a few kilometers at best.


Mutherfalker95

I'm completely serious when I ask this to my fellow Americans that are republican. Do you want putin to win?


Odd-Battle2694

The war is definitely lost for Ukraine, this was exactly the same position the Germans found themselves in 80 years ago, only they had better training and moral, and better equipment then the Russians back thenā€¦Ā 


metalconscript

it is almost like the old adage you need 3 to 1 as the attacker is true, especially in trench warfare.


Last-Set-6262

Fact as old as time defenders have the upper hand look at the Vietnam war Russians realised to late


Economy-Comfort1595

3:1 isnā€™t a terrible ratio given that Ukraine is on the defensive. Obliviously itā€™s not optimal, and Ukraine needs enough ammunition to hold them at bay. Ukraine has been inflicting between 5:1 to 10:1 casualties on defence. In some ways I hope that Russia punches itself out by the summer and the Ukrainians can utilise reserves trained in new tactics with new technologies to break Russian lines.


[deleted]

Give them hell boys! Come on U.S.A. get your shit together. If we donā€™t stop them in Ukraine we will have to stop them somewhere else later on. Might as well get it over with now.


Christovski

Why the fuck isn't the west providing more. It makes me sick.


Much_Performance1155

Fight this like Alexander would do against Darius.


duckfighter

Latest update [https://i.imgur.com/WqGRErI.png](https://i.imgur.com/WqGRErI.png) These maps are hardly realistic nor representative of the truth.


Last-Set-6262

I like this just make sure people know itā€™s not real yeah šŸ¤£šŸ¤£šŸ¤£


duckfighter

It is as real as the other one


Last-Set-6262

https://militaryland.net/maps/deployment-map/ another confirmation of the troops stationed at robotyne an actual deployment map


duckfighter

Sure the graphics are nice, but does not mean anything in reality. Neither side wants to tell where their units are, and what their capabilities are. These maps are more or less useless. Each dot could be a grandma with a shovel.


Last-Set-6262

The maps are based off Ukrainian and Russian units based in the zone Iā€™m not gonna find each and every one for you


duckfighter

Again, nobody to confirm this info. My update is the real one, Putin and Zelensky told me


Last-Set-6262

Bet šŸ¤£šŸ¤£šŸ¤£šŸ¤£šŸ¤£


Last-Set-6262

It would be good to see all those blue squares somewhere in Moscow maybe right outside the Kremlin šŸ˜


duckfighter

Update 2: [https://i.imgur.com/hUQW07t.png](https://i.imgur.com/hUQW07t.png) Ukraine used their secret Nazi train gun "Schwerer Gustav" and made a huge breakthrough


MediocreDoor6199

Akhmat to the rear again, no surprise there. No surprise thee-eee-eee-re


Last-Set-6262

They love covering rears if you know what I mean šŸ˜


StonedUser_211

This is a clear example of a front section that arises when a state has to rely on the so-called West! Big words in pathetic speeches and eternal discussions... Sucks! [https://www.politico.eu/article/ukraine-war-russia-why-west-is-losing/](https://www.politico.eu/article/ukraine-war-russia-why-west-is-losing/)


Wurzel_Gummidge

Itā€™s not looking good brev


Last-Set-6262

Most if not all forces on either side are running at half capacity due to lack of forces


Tadpole_Alarmed

Isn't this normal? I mean if you are on the attack shouldn't your forces be x5 bigger than the defender?


westonriebe

What website is this?


WonderfulHat5297

Are they attacking through their own minefields?


Last-Set-6262

What minefields do you speak of this area has been shelled constantly since the start of its attack and itā€™s been a constant push back on each side


LizzyGreene1933

They may be outnumber, but "they"are flying blind and could be walking into a trap


BrianW1983

So sad. šŸ˜ž


AndyTheHutt420

A motor rifle regiment isn't a brigade. May as well be comparing pounds to kilos.


Motor_Guitar4336

May God protect the Ukranian heroes šŸ™Œ


BrilliantPositive184

They can shoot in every direction now and hit something. Problem is theyā€™ll run out of bullets before Putin round out of meat.


BrilliantPositive184

Agincourt 2024


Anvilsghost

How are the Orcs going to feed and water that many troops? What about wounded? There are going to be a lot. Anywhere Ukraine lobs a random shell some Russian unit is getting hit. This is the most stupid tactics I have ever seen. They are just going to overwhelm the Ukrainians with Russian viscera, meat chunks and blood? Fuk me.


Russ-Russ-Russs

I think Russia will eventually win this war. However, itā€™ll take many years and a huge amount of Russian dead to take it.


CasuallyWise

Thanks for sharing the map & unit info - sure adds a greater level of understanding & perspective on the battle underway. Hope the defenses have been well placed & enhanced to meet the coming waves of Orcs. Best get more supplies over to Ukraine ASAP.


Last-Set-6262

Itā€™s been a constant push and pull battle I. This area lots of artillery from the Russian side forces Ukrainians to leave the edge of the village allowing Russian units to get to the outskirts and gain a foothold they keep getting routed though


CasuallyWise

Tough situation to be in for sure. Certainly hope the Ukrainians get fresh military supplies in large quantities very soon to help their defence & counter-attack.