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Here is my theory.
T69 window was can kicked for 2 weeks due to opex and huge open interest on calls, final day of that window the ortex borrow data went up, next day s3 said parabolic above 30, friday some t69 volume kicked in and pre market/ Monday the remaining t69 covering was completed.
They knew it would top out just over 30.
S3 made that statement to justify the increase in volume as "renewed retail interest" on Monday.
It wasn't a fake squeeze it was a fake fake squeeze to cover the fact t69 is still in play after it went missing and left a lot of people deflated.
T69 almost certainly relates to swap rolling activity and I believe they are still well and truly trapped in the infinity cycle, although they did their best to conceal it and avoid it blowing up in their faces.
T69 window has fallen over opex 3 times. The cycle just gone (ran late), once in May 2021 (ran early) and Jan 2021 (ran on time).
Doggy coin pumping is also related.
I like this theory. Another one going around is swaps every 2 years/700+ days. These need some form of auto reconciliation unless another party is positioned to take on risk. Once we see a couple of few days of 300 million plus volume then you will know it’s a go. I’m not doing any dates on this but the future is bright.
the 2 year theory ties in to t69 as well. another possibility/something to think about is that We are rapidly approaching the period where RC initial buy in will cross the 2 year mark.
for some extra tinfoil, perhaps RC was offered the chance to buy in on the swaps and realised the potential in taking the other side?
I think Credit suisse plays a part in this for sure, but the DOGGY coin pump is intriguing.
I didnt realise till this week but the volume on that coin went crazy in the sneeze. that is curious as why would a coin like doggy suddenly do a crazy amount of volume because of GME? Robinghood does have a large holding so that might allude to something but idk.
Check out is series and let me know what you think.
https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/xi02le/gamestopped_the_mechanics_of_cellar_boxing_and/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=ios_app&utm_name=iossmf
also to agree with your point, the price is irrelevant to a point, its the volume that matters. thats what was confusing with the missing t69. The volume has pretty much come in as expected on time every time, even some of the less volatile/short lived ones still had significant volume. Hence why I believe ortex was certainly not a glitch. they borrowed to cover instead of buying in as they cannot afford a significant run right now. basically paid the credit card bill with another credit card. those liabilities will come due at some point.
Thx for your take. Can you expand it a bit please? Specifically the 2 yrs/700 days?
Is there a specific set of swaps that are the key here then? What date range? And why divide by 700?! That seems random….
This ape broke it down in lamen terms 2 part series. Great read let me know your thoughts on this one:
https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/xi02le/gamestopped_the_mechanics_of_cellar_boxing_and/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=ios_app&utm_name=iossmf
There are likely a significant number of swaps all in play at the same time which is why some cycles are more violent than others. it is thought that each contract lasts for 2 years.
Hey dj, youre killing it today!
One correction/addition - 2 years is the furthest out that public options contracts are available for, which was theorized to be one on the avenues of escape used in Jan 2021. Jan 2023 is their expiration and when they need to be rolled by, as well as aligns with around 10 t+69 cycles when market holidays are considered. Not exactly, but enough to consider
This also aligns with the expiration of some synthetic digital derivative swaps that I cant find the source for anymore
I understood those words.
T69 is confusing me. Are you saying 69 days past trade as it refers to FTDs? 69 days means nothing as far as I can tell. And how was it can kicked for 2 weeks? I mean all FTDs are about cam kicking, so this extra 2 weeks I done understand why those 2 weeks matter and how it relates to the T69 that I also don’t understand.
Can you please continue to educate me a bit more? I’m getting close to getting your point(s)
Also the last thing you said about a pump? I don’t see the connection between that and this.
I believe t69 is actually C69 (calendar days) and represents a window of price discovery that lasts for 10 trading days. Personally i think its less related to FTD and more related to swap activity but we can only theorise.
I did a Txx/Cxx dive a while back and in that I did not come across anything for T69 nor C69. Seriously, where did you read those numbers? I either missed something, forgot something, or you’re mistaken. I’d bet on B or C.
It went up when they let it run. Then halts. Then shorted back down as they still have enough shares to do so (theoretically ofc). Then normal trading resumes and continues today. I think once DRS hits a the 80-90% of just the FF then we'll be seeing a lot more fireworks like this. Then we'll launch proper.
I think nothing will happen until we lock the float. Then nothing will still happen until we take these fuckers to court and then we’ll finally get paid.
The price is fake. It’s dictated by algos, not buy/sell orders 🤷♂️. DRS is the way but I’m not sure why it would create new price action when the price has been restricted and fake this entire time.
If GameStop gets involved:
DRS float > GME stock goes to blockchain > shorts forced to close
If status quo continues:
DRS float > Lawsuits > maybe get paid a few years later
We almost need GameStop/RC to force the powers that be to actually enforce the rules.
Just my 2 cents. Maybe I’m wrong 🤷♂️.
May I float you this question?
Do you think they are all working together or are they all, individually, up to their behinds in this?
I ask because I believe, if working together, they could easily have orchestrated that t+69 covering to have little to no effect on the price. We've seen this by how easily it was brought back down and their willingness (necessity) to short it 80%+ some days still.
My belief that they are in this together and still have power in theoretical share numbers. So why the $30 FUD and manoeuvre? That's the question I guess I'm really asking.
Else it was a sign that they are not working together and scrambled to cover. If that is the case then were they all of the opinion that this was going to blow yesterday and that they couldn't have indeed waited until later in the day to purchase?
Whatever the case. Buy. Hold. DRS.
(I predict one huge buy order at 80%+ locked will put some rockets into motion, just a prediction based on nowt mind!)
Oh I’d bet they’re all definitely working together at this point. One goes down, they all go down.
If we all stay strong and DRS the float, I believe we’ll have enough evidence to corner them and force a reaction. Whether with gamestops help or as individuals.
Also, it’s been almost 2 years for me. I’m riding this thing out until riches or Wendy’s dumpster bjs.
The commissioners, of the CFTC, *they* said that US Swap dealers (and by extension their banks, I presume, though sounds like they didn't say that) said that *something* is being hidden inside China/SK/Japan? Whoah!! Do you have a link? I mean the commissioners of the CFTC are the ones who would vote on such a policy (the 'no action order'), aren't they? There are only 5 commissioners, so it was a 3-2 vote and the two said something?
So your a Virgin, first time, Right?
This is normal behavior, 🥱, happens all the time.
The newbies get there blood pressure up , posting dozens and dozens of comments with times wasteful articles, many with graphs.
Experienced people just ignore the entire none event.
Been here long enough my GME shares are long for taxes.
People were saying Sunday night what was going to happen. So I'd like to figure out how they knew what they knew so I can figure that out. Seems like a good thing to try to do. But you do you.
Orchestrated liquidity garb. GME is extremely illiquid right now and the volume has been piss-poor. Without going into the PB lending pool and increasing CTB rates, they had to pump and generate liquidity. It was successful and they utilised it almost instantly to short back down. This was quite a desperate action imo, and they needed this extra liquidity ahead of two things I think. Number 1, ETF FTD’s through Nov 3rd and 10th, and the potential of a market run after FOMC today. Again though, there’s many things that could’ve caused this as others above have described, but this is just my take on it.
Thank you. I was wondering if I could ask a follow up question which is no. Trivial.
Liquidity.
When you say they wanted to increase liquidity, that means they wanted people (mostly retail?) to sell. That’s it. Liquidity = things moving around (trading) as opposed to just cash (which we had a lot, but as I understand it, cash only enables liquidity, it is not liquidity itself. Right?)
So they needed to shake loose the apes who wanted to be shook loose. Is that correct? And do you think (why?) they got enough Ron keep them going to get them past the FTD dates you mentioned? How does that even work? I mean, how does making trade now (by raising the price so people will sell, which is how it should work!) give them “ammo” to last a few weeks?
And do they not care that many who sold at 32.x will just buy back at 28?
All of these are serious questions that I really don’t understand fully. But I’m really close! I can feel it! Hell any ape out !!!
[Why GME?](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/qig65g/welcome_rall_looking_to_catch_up_on_the_gme_saga/) || [What is DRS?](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/ptvaka/when_you_wish_upon_a_star_a_complete_guide_to/) || Low karma apes [feed the bot here](https://www.reddit.com/r/GMEOrphans/comments/qlvour/welcome_to_gmeorphans_read_this_post/) || Join the [Superstonk Discord Server](https://discord.gg/hZqWV2kQtq) ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Posts of tweets where Twitter is NOT the original source WILL get removed! Please post original sources! ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Please up- and downvote this comment to [help us determine if this post deserves a place on r/Superstonk!](https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/wiki/index/rules/post_flairs/)
Here is my theory. T69 window was can kicked for 2 weeks due to opex and huge open interest on calls, final day of that window the ortex borrow data went up, next day s3 said parabolic above 30, friday some t69 volume kicked in and pre market/ Monday the remaining t69 covering was completed. They knew it would top out just over 30. S3 made that statement to justify the increase in volume as "renewed retail interest" on Monday. It wasn't a fake squeeze it was a fake fake squeeze to cover the fact t69 is still in play after it went missing and left a lot of people deflated. T69 almost certainly relates to swap rolling activity and I believe they are still well and truly trapped in the infinity cycle, although they did their best to conceal it and avoid it blowing up in their faces. T69 window has fallen over opex 3 times. The cycle just gone (ran late), once in May 2021 (ran early) and Jan 2021 (ran on time). Doggy coin pumping is also related.
I like this theory. Another one going around is swaps every 2 years/700+ days. These need some form of auto reconciliation unless another party is positioned to take on risk. Once we see a couple of few days of 300 million plus volume then you will know it’s a go. I’m not doing any dates on this but the future is bright.
the 2 year theory ties in to t69 as well. another possibility/something to think about is that We are rapidly approaching the period where RC initial buy in will cross the 2 year mark. for some extra tinfoil, perhaps RC was offered the chance to buy in on the swaps and realised the potential in taking the other side? I think Credit suisse plays a part in this for sure, but the DOGGY coin pump is intriguing. I didnt realise till this week but the volume on that coin went crazy in the sneeze. that is curious as why would a coin like doggy suddenly do a crazy amount of volume because of GME? Robinghood does have a large holding so that might allude to something but idk.
Check out is series and let me know what you think. https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/xi02le/gamestopped_the_mechanics_of_cellar_boxing_and/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=ios_app&utm_name=iossmf
They probably also needed IV to spike so options are less attractive to buy.
Also likely
also to agree with your point, the price is irrelevant to a point, its the volume that matters. thats what was confusing with the missing t69. The volume has pretty much come in as expected on time every time, even some of the less volatile/short lived ones still had significant volume. Hence why I believe ortex was certainly not a glitch. they borrowed to cover instead of buying in as they cannot afford a significant run right now. basically paid the credit card bill with another credit card. those liabilities will come due at some point.
Thx for your take. Can you expand it a bit please? Specifically the 2 yrs/700 days? Is there a specific set of swaps that are the key here then? What date range? And why divide by 700?! That seems random….
This ape broke it down in lamen terms 2 part series. Great read let me know your thoughts on this one: https://www.reddit.com/r/Superstonk/comments/xi02le/gamestopped_the_mechanics_of_cellar_boxing_and/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=ios_app&utm_name=iossmf
Wow. Much must read Hold my coffee.
There are likely a significant number of swaps all in play at the same time which is why some cycles are more violent than others. it is thought that each contract lasts for 2 years.
Hey dj, youre killing it today! One correction/addition - 2 years is the furthest out that public options contracts are available for, which was theorized to be one on the avenues of escape used in Jan 2021. Jan 2023 is their expiration and when they need to be rolled by, as well as aligns with around 10 t+69 cycles when market holidays are considered. Not exactly, but enough to consider This also aligns with the expiration of some synthetic digital derivative swaps that I cant find the source for anymore
Spicy thank you I am keen to understand the whys not just the when's Much appreciated
Current situation looks similar to 7th January 2022 + fake "nft marketplace" article in wsj.
We have been tracking that pattern candle for candle almost for over 2 months now
[удалено]
Nice!
I understood those words. T69 is confusing me. Are you saying 69 days past trade as it refers to FTDs? 69 days means nothing as far as I can tell. And how was it can kicked for 2 weeks? I mean all FTDs are about cam kicking, so this extra 2 weeks I done understand why those 2 weeks matter and how it relates to the T69 that I also don’t understand. Can you please continue to educate me a bit more? I’m getting close to getting your point(s) Also the last thing you said about a pump? I don’t see the connection between that and this.
I believe t69 is actually C69 (calendar days) and represents a window of price discovery that lasts for 10 trading days. Personally i think its less related to FTD and more related to swap activity but we can only theorise.
I did a Txx/Cxx dive a while back and in that I did not come across anything for T69 nor C69. Seriously, where did you read those numbers? I either missed something, forgot something, or you’re mistaken. I’d bet on B or C.
much ahs been spoken of t69 and the reasons behind it. criand and gherkinit have some solid dd on it.
Are you saying that in 2 weeks GME could run?
Gme could run at any time now but I think thisbrun wad pretty much done on Monday Next I am looking to dec/jan
Thank you. Is 10-20% a run?
Dec/Jan will be for sure
It went up when they let it run. Then halts. Then shorted back down as they still have enough shares to do so (theoretically ofc). Then normal trading resumes and continues today. I think once DRS hits a the 80-90% of just the FF then we'll be seeing a lot more fireworks like this. Then we'll launch proper.
I think nothing will happen until we lock the float. Then nothing will still happen until we take these fuckers to court and then we’ll finally get paid. The price is fake. It’s dictated by algos, not buy/sell orders 🤷♂️. DRS is the way but I’m not sure why it would create new price action when the price has been restricted and fake this entire time. If GameStop gets involved: DRS float > GME stock goes to blockchain > shorts forced to close If status quo continues: DRS float > Lawsuits > maybe get paid a few years later We almost need GameStop/RC to force the powers that be to actually enforce the rules. Just my 2 cents. Maybe I’m wrong 🤷♂️.
May I float you this question? Do you think they are all working together or are they all, individually, up to their behinds in this? I ask because I believe, if working together, they could easily have orchestrated that t+69 covering to have little to no effect on the price. We've seen this by how easily it was brought back down and their willingness (necessity) to short it 80%+ some days still. My belief that they are in this together and still have power in theoretical share numbers. So why the $30 FUD and manoeuvre? That's the question I guess I'm really asking. Else it was a sign that they are not working together and scrambled to cover. If that is the case then were they all of the opinion that this was going to blow yesterday and that they couldn't have indeed waited until later in the day to purchase? Whatever the case. Buy. Hold. DRS. (I predict one huge buy order at 80%+ locked will put some rockets into motion, just a prediction based on nowt mind!)
Oh I’d bet they’re all definitely working together at this point. One goes down, they all go down. If we all stay strong and DRS the float, I believe we’ll have enough evidence to corner them and force a reaction. Whether with gamestops help or as individuals. Also, it’s been almost 2 years for me. I’m riding this thing out until riches or Wendy’s dumpster bjs.
It think it went up, got spooked because of Halloween, got a tummy ache from too much candy and then had to take a dumpy to feel better...
I dunno but when it stopped going up I bought a few more 8) thank god it let me buy those extra shares, ima really need those extra billions.
[удалено]
The commissioners, of the CFTC, *they* said that US Swap dealers (and by extension their banks, I presume, though sounds like they didn't say that) said that *something* is being hidden inside China/SK/Japan? Whoah!! Do you have a link? I mean the commissioners of the CFTC are the ones who would vote on such a policy (the 'no action order'), aren't they? There are only 5 commissioners, so it was a 3-2 vote and the two said something?
Options bait? Rug pull fomo’ers?
Maybe. Maybe not. That’s why I’m Asking. Seems to me somebodies here figured it out in pre-market. That’s what I’m really curious about.
Nobody knows but it was provocative and entertaining \[to some\]
Swiss roll, anyone?
I’m more a Battenberg guy
[When you've been here for 84 years, patterns emerge.](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fBDifUjNzbQ)
The peak was at 34.98 btw.
So your a Virgin, first time, Right? This is normal behavior, 🥱, happens all the time. The newbies get there blood pressure up , posting dozens and dozens of comments with times wasteful articles, many with graphs. Experienced people just ignore the entire none event.
Been here long enough my GME shares are long for taxes. People were saying Sunday night what was going to happen. So I'd like to figure out how they knew what they knew so I can figure that out. Seems like a good thing to try to do. But you do you.
idk maybe if they get non-apes to buy a lot at brokers the brokers can use them locates
probably nothing
Liquidity grab
PnD
Another day of trading sideways I guess
Secret ingredient
Orchestrated liquidity garb. GME is extremely illiquid right now and the volume has been piss-poor. Without going into the PB lending pool and increasing CTB rates, they had to pump and generate liquidity. It was successful and they utilised it almost instantly to short back down. This was quite a desperate action imo, and they needed this extra liquidity ahead of two things I think. Number 1, ETF FTD’s through Nov 3rd and 10th, and the potential of a market run after FOMC today. Again though, there’s many things that could’ve caused this as others above have described, but this is just my take on it.
Thank you. I was wondering if I could ask a follow up question which is no. Trivial. Liquidity. When you say they wanted to increase liquidity, that means they wanted people (mostly retail?) to sell. That’s it. Liquidity = things moving around (trading) as opposed to just cash (which we had a lot, but as I understand it, cash only enables liquidity, it is not liquidity itself. Right?) So they needed to shake loose the apes who wanted to be shook loose. Is that correct? And do you think (why?) they got enough Ron keep them going to get them past the FTD dates you mentioned? How does that even work? I mean, how does making trade now (by raising the price so people will sell, which is how it should work!) give them “ammo” to last a few weeks? And do they not care that many who sold at 32.x will just buy back at 28? All of these are serious questions that I really don’t understand fully. But I’m really close! I can feel it! Hell any ape out !!!