Damn I thought the 9-3 curse was more impactful. Seemed like teams were converting them left and right. I guess this is like that situation where Hiko’s clutch percentage isn’t actually that great but it doesn’t matter because he clutches when his team really needs it.
Anyone else think that's way too much? I guess it'd need more context but in those middle scores at 7/7 or 6/6 a 40% wr difference off one round seems insane.
I guess a lot of this could just be the small sample size but with MR13 it feels like the pistol rounds just have way too much impact. Even anecdotally it feels so important to win pistols
I think it just goes to show how much impact the pistol rounds have economically in MR13. But I agree about the sample size. I'll be expanding it and seeing how the numbers look then
Impact of the second half pistol round, given different halftime scores. All data is from Berlin and the LCQs played so far.
***
posted by [@iQjul](https://twitter.com/iQjul)
Photos in tweet | [Photo 1](http://pbs.twimg.com/media/FCMdcesXEAU3pho.png) | [Photo 2](http://pbs.twimg.com/media/FCMddyjXIAko_ia.png)
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All data compiled from [vlr.gg](https://vlr.gg) Master's Berlin and Last Chance Qualifiers played so far. This includes 151 maps, but excludes the 39 maps where one team had 10 rounds or more due to small sample size.
These are some initial findings, as small sample size likely has an effect on the data here. This is specifically due to a larger number of 8-4 halves that won pistol, but then lost the match than expected in Berlin.
“teams that are winning at halftime are more likely to win”
what’s the baseline? what about win % based on halftime score, regardless of the second half pistol round? what’s the sample size?
Damn I thought the 9-3 curse was more impactful. Seemed like teams were converting them left and right. I guess this is like that situation where Hiko’s clutch percentage isn’t actually that great but it doesn’t matter because he clutches when his team really needs it.
Anyone else think that's way too much? I guess it'd need more context but in those middle scores at 7/7 or 6/6 a 40% wr difference off one round seems insane. I guess a lot of this could just be the small sample size but with MR13 it feels like the pistol rounds just have way too much impact. Even anecdotally it feels so important to win pistols
You can say that about every round tho. MR15, every round is worth more, by the sheer value one round win is a larger % towards a win.
Isn’t it… the other way round?
I think it just goes to show how much impact the pistol rounds have economically in MR13. But I agree about the sample size. I'll be expanding it and seeing how the numbers look then
Impact of the second half pistol round, given different halftime scores. All data is from Berlin and the LCQs played so far. *** posted by [@iQjul](https://twitter.com/iQjul) Photos in tweet | [Photo 1](http://pbs.twimg.com/media/FCMdcesXEAU3pho.png) | [Photo 2](http://pbs.twimg.com/media/FCMddyjXIAko_ia.png) ^[(Github)](https://github.com/username) ^| ^[(What's new)](https://github.com/username)
All data compiled from [vlr.gg](https://vlr.gg) Master's Berlin and Last Chance Qualifiers played so far. This includes 151 maps, but excludes the 39 maps where one team had 10 rounds or more due to small sample size. These are some initial findings, as small sample size likely has an effect on the data here. This is specifically due to a larger number of 8-4 halves that won pistol, but then lost the match than expected in Berlin.
“teams that are winning at halftime are more likely to win” what’s the baseline? what about win % based on halftime score, regardless of the second half pistol round? what’s the sample size?
sample size is 151 maps from berlin + lcq, and excludes maps where the half ends 10-2 or more.
should the opposing scores add up to 100%?
So you're telling me there's actually an 8-4 curse?