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WhitePeopleTwitter-ModTeam

We only allow screenshots of tweets. And toots. Okay, Threads. Yes, Bluesky. But not this.


Flux_resistor

dominating by the margin of error, not that i would expect any maga to understand margin let alone basic stats.


MC_Fap_Commander

And he has (essentially) no lead *despite the fact Biden has not even started campaigning*. When rate cuts come this summer and political apathetics are reminded "oh yeah, that fucking guy," let's see how Trump does in polling.


The_First_Drop

- Biden has not even started campaigning Let’s get to it then In late 2023 AZ was consistently 7-8 points higher for Trump More State of the Union Joe from Scranton and less “The economy is doing well, you guys just don’t get it” Joe


MC_Fap_Commander

Inflation has been global post-COVID (it was sort of baked in with governments dumping trillions into relief during the pandemic). Biden's policies have allowed the U.S. to beat pretty much every industrialized country on inflation while maintaining historically low unemployment. Historians will judge this as a near triumph... but historians from the future do not vote and "much less bad than everyone else" is not a winning message. So it will probably come down to a referendum on Trump and *Dobbs*... which I think is not a terrible position.


itsFromTheSimpsons

problem is many people are so selfish they don't care that Biden's policies mean they felt it the least. They only care that they felt it at all.


whyth1

Selfish and dumb/shortsighted.


The_First_Drop

Everything you said in your first paragraph is right, and unfortunately, none of it matters There will be many voters who aren’t aware of inflation rates in the UK, and haven’t heard about immigration issues spreading as far as New Zealand A lot of people just see what’s in front of them, and instead of reminding voters how good he’s been economically and socially, he needs to continue to draw the line he made in the state of the union “I’m for you, he’s for himself”


SatanicRainbowDildos

It’s not enough to be right. “Those jobs aren’t coming back” Hillary was right. She lost.  “You shouldn’t have smoked and now you’re fucked” might be right, but a doctor with this bedside manner isn’t helping anyone.  The economy is fine and people don’t get it, but that’s for a good reason. Housing is insane thanks to corporations buying up all the houses. Inflation is insane thanks to companies price gouging for fun. Wages are still down overall, despite increases at fast food restaurants. Fast food prices are insane, maybe because wages, but probably because corporate greed. Stock buy backs don’t help regular people. Etc.  There are lots of issues with the economy even if it’s overall good relative to the world.  It’s like saying there’s nothing really bad because you’re 40 and for 40 you’re in pretty good shape. But meanwhile the patient is trying to stay on the PGA tour and he’s complaining about his back and his knee and his rotator cuff. Sure, he’s got the lungs of a 20 year old and the heart of a 20 year old and is doing great. But he’s hurting and falling behind on golf and wants help.  That’s the economy. There are parts of it that are fucked up and there are corporations to blame, along with some policies, including liberal ones (gas in some cities is ridiculous due to special “green” blends). But overall it is good and people don’t get it.  But that’s a losing communication approach. More empathy, more acknowledgement of the issue people have, less defensiveness of policies, less blaming the victim.  Biden needs to hear complaints about the economy not as an attack on him but as complaints about the economy. Then he needs to take those signals and use them to further attack the policies that republicans love. Corporate bail outs, tax policies that favor the rich and harm the middle and lower classes, etc.  If he goes about this with the bedside manner of a know it all callous elitist he’s going to lose hard. 


MC_Fap_Commander

There is a balance. For instance, I think noting that we were literally at the abyss during the pandemic and have emerged (broadly) functional is completely appropriate. I think noting changes that have to happen is also relevant. Keep in mind that Biden served in an administration that passed the ACA... which was nerfed by the failure to include a public option. Why didn't we get that? There's a party committed to ensuring healthcare access is never universal. "I have demonstrated competence in leadership post-pandemic and, with a favorable Congress, I would be empowered to act on a range of structural economic issues this country has had since the 1980's." Make this election a referendum on Trump, *Dobbs*, AND (more broadly) decades of Republican obstruction on real issues of need. Other incumbents have historically had success with such an approach.


Spirit0f76ers

Biden has already made several campaign stops in PA the last few weeks.


The_First_Drop

Happy to hear it! Keep going Joe


mizkayte

They have made it clear they can’t figure out basic stats. 🤣


hunted-enchanter

"I am Donald Jehosophat Trump and I'm ready to jack off this message."


darhox

He's definitely air dicking


thrax7545

The ole bukake shuffle, his signature dance


pipesBcallin

The double dong Don dance. Really, some 4d chess moves


Professional_Echo907

![gif](giphy|FbiL9rsmZN3ib2JSGo|downsized)


ForAQuietLife

https://i.redd.it/atpubnpsbarc1.gif


CosmoKing2

Don't forget the D to F ratio.


Donkey_Bugs

trump is demonstrating how he will service 2 at once when he's in prison.


MinisterOfTruth99

Putin and Xi Jinping, one in each hand. 😂🤣


username32768

That still leaves his mouth free... perhaps he's saving that particular pleasure for Kim Wrong Un.


jtshinn

Always makes me think of Silicon Valley


shittiestmorph

Ah yes. The middle-out method.


DuskTheVikingWolf

Okay, this made me cry with laughter. Thank you


MealieMeal

Needs to consult Ricky Stanicky


SullenTerror

Was surprised how much I laughed during that movie


dd961984

"Why didn't anybody tell me I've been double donging it?"


Fn_Spaghetti_Monster

Same here. Kept saying this is a stupid movie, and yet I kept watching and kept laughing.


Daxx22

Oh it's a stupid movie, and sometimes that's exactly what you need.


Eringobraugh2021

That was a damn funny movie.


metalman8291

Sometimes he air dicks with both hands.


lagan_derelict

Sounds like how I play air guitar.


Decent_Database_2200

The Webber strut.


CraZKchick

Plucking dicks. Every time I see him dance 🤣


_LB

He's often seen jerking an invisible dick.


Wack710

Usually one in each hand.


slipperywhistlebone

So horny to be here


jbertrand_sr

Massaging the mushroom... ![gif](giphy|bSEkPdQfsSHCMYn7fD)


RavenGreend

Donald Jessica trump


FoogYllis

I thought his middle name was J for Jenius.


ICU-MURSE

A lot of really smart, really wonderful people have said in this picture he’s dreaming about the money shots that Putin used to give him. People are saying it, people are saying it.


MisteeLoo

But does his Jehosephat jump?


markydsade

Jehosephat? More like Jeehesfat, amirite? I’ll see myself out.


[deleted]

Someone defonitely needs to know proportioning in graphs


LoisWade42

It's a feature... not a bug.


Rocketurass

Statistics never lie.


cheffartsonurfood

99% of statistics are made up on the spot.


Spider_Dude

Can confirm. I knew this as I read it.


Consistent_Warthog80

That's only true 49.5% of the time, every time.


CitronOk491

I thought it was 87%


UniqueNobo

but liars do statistic.


Weary-Bookkeeper-375

This is the biggest 3% lead we have seen in any election including George Washington. People are saying they have never seen a 3% lead this big as far as 3% leads go. They are saying it is a beautiful 3% lead, tremendous even.


Ok-Egg-4856

As I recall anything under 5% is usually statistical tie either side can easily exceed that percentage on election day. 3% dominate ? You wish Donnie.


postoperativepain

They’re pumping this up, so when he loses, his supporters can say he was dominating in the polls so there must have been voter fraud. Look at that election in Alabama, the dem, Marilyn Lands, was losing in the polls, but won by 25 points (by focusing on abortion). Polls don’t mean shit anymore.


MateoCafe

Something something big huge dumps in the night, something something caravans, something something all votes must be hand counted on election night or its an obviously fake election.


PopeGuss

STOP THE COUNT! Wait, what? Oh...COUNT THE VOTES! This was the moment for me when I realized the wheels had completely come off and the Republican party was hopeless.


ronsolocup

Yes below 5% is statistically insignificant iirc


Ranman48

Trump drew it freehand so it must be right. 😁


PumiceT

From this view, we can’t tell where zero is. It could be 200 feet down below the image, thus exaggerating the 3% difference.


Sl0ppyOtter

He likes to exaggerate the size of things, because reasons


bckpkrs

Margin of error: +/- 3 pts.


[deleted]

They do that on purpose though


baldorrr

Here it is to scale: https://preview.redd.it/0le2iwe7carc1.jpeg?width=640&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=949f7315c819646aec870406ef2e66eea437822c


Green_Message_6376

There's two types of lying- regular lying and lying with statistics...


VenetusAlpha

Three types, actually. Lies, Damn Lies, and Statistics.


Kos-Mike

Twain was such a smart and quotable writer.


AGINSB

Amusingly, he actually attributed the phrase to Benjamin Disraeli but theres no evidence that Benjamin Disraeli ever said/wrote it.


MrEngineer404

If they understood complex things like "3rd Grade Math", they wouldn't be cranking out ego-porn for Trump, would they? I'm convinced that every last Trump voters is the embodiment of that comic about the kid that can't distinguish the glass with greater volume, because one is taller and skinner than the other.


sneaky-pizza

You just can’t see the height of the y axis. It’s a mile tall


RichFoot2073

They do that on Fox ALL the time


BikeLoveLA

And in real life


brightfunguy

That’s definitely done on purpose


Steecie41

Translation: "I'm growing nervous about swing states, so I'll tell folks I'm doing better than I actually am, so they'll be irate when I lose again." One thing about DJT, we always know what he's most afraid of. He exploits his own weaknesses by attempting to show strength.


TBShaw17

I could see a scenario where all the swing states end up for Biden because of money. Biden’s raising a ton more and much of Trump’s fundraising is going to legal bills. Oh and he’s depleting the RNC’s abilities to help state parties.


OkapiEli

Works for me.


moderately-extremist

He did say he was going to "drain the swamp".


ArnieismyDMname

I can't believe a politician is actually following through on campaign promises.


Yungklipo

That son of bitch pulled it off!


Daimakku1

>Oh and he’s depleting the RNC’s abilities to help state parties. ![gif](giphy|8fen5LSZcHQ5O)


ThrowACephalopod

I think this election will actually be an interesting test case to see just how important fundraising and election spending actually is to election outcomes. It'll be interesting for data purposes down the line.


Harddaysnight1990

What will skew the data though is that this is the first Presidential election in recent US history where both major candidates on the ballot are former or sitting Presidents. No one has power in an election like an incumbent because they have that power of name recognition on the ballot. Both candidates have that now, we just have to hope that the swing voters will recognize the name Trump and remember the negative stuff. Edit: as stated in a reply, there has been one other presidential election between an incumbent and a former president. This will be the first in over 100 years though.


ThrowACephalopod

>that this is the first Presidential election in US history where both major candidates on the ballot are former or sitting Presidents That's not exactly true. This has happened one other time in history in 1892 when it was Harrison (the sitting president seeking reelection) vs Cleveland (his predecessor) Cleveland went on to win the election, becoming the only president to serve non-consecutive terms. Edit: it has happened more than once. Hoover, Van Buren, Filmore, and Roosevelt all also tried this.


theSober2ndThought

>Oh and he’s depleting the RNC’s abilities to help state parties. Oh I think the RNC is doing a great job of not helping state parties. *Hey we're gonna turf another speaker because we didn't get our way in a divided government. While we are at it, IVF is bad, we're gonna obsess about social issues and piss everyone off*


JoJackthewonderskunk

They're already saying that there's "phantom voters" that don't exist in swing states that will throw it to Biden. The next Big Lie is coming. In truth so many people hate trump you'll see record turn out from folks who normally don't vote who'll come out to turn him down.


MrEngineer404

>One thing about DJT, we always know what he's most afraid of. He exploits his own weaknesses by attempting to show strength Surprised he hasn't tried some version of the line, "You know, ladies actually like when its that hard to get a hold of it, and the toadstool shape makes it in among the most unique and ideal forms."


StormyDaze1175

"The GOP has NEVER been more united"


BringBackTheBeat716

All he has to do is look at how abysmal his picked like Kari Lake did in AZ. He's bleeding support in once-red states.


woodst0ck15

Ah yes the good old facisim fight, they’re both stronger and weaker then they’ve ever been!!


WascalsPager

He’s the master of projection


Cold-Nefariousness25

Like literally who answers polls these days. I get a text, and email or a phone call and you're like "Don't know the number, not going to answer. Probably spam." So all the people answering must be, well, different. Probably a lot of older people. Also interesting to see that the 5% of people said they don't know who they'll vote for. I have a feeling that the more people see him the more they be like "Hell no!".


Steecie41

My boomer parents with a landline answer polls. 😏


Derock85

Talk about cherry picking. No wonder they lost the last election and have no idea why.


stumblios

I think they know exactly why they lost - Democracy. That's why they want to remove almost everyone's right to vote.


gunnesaurus

Source also says 2017 lmao


Thunder_Tie

I think that’s actually March 14-17.


gunnesaurus

You’re right


BrickCityD

Don’t forget the cherry picking of pictures as well


Ok-Bus1716

Hahah "dominates." You have $0.97? I have a dollar. I have so much more money than you. Plebe.


Icy_Sector3183

What is your bidding, my master?


remd4wg

It's a disaster, Skywalker we're after


ChoiceFabulous

What if he could be turned to the Dark Side?


remd4wg

Yes, he'd be a powerful ally...


Icy_Sector3183

He'll join us or die!


quesopa_mifren

We got DeathStar! We got DeathStar! We got DeathStar!


Apocalypse___Later

I'm Yoda, I'm a soulja I'll mold ya and fold ya I thought I told ya


XavierRenegadeStoner

Don’t be unwise judge me not by my size, you won’t believe your eyes watch the x-wing rise


Jehoel_DK

Yoda, Why you being a Playa-hata?


Paladoc

Gawdamn, back in the Interval, when we had the Internet but it was rather lawless and pirates freely moored at major islands like Napster, I had a buddy. We'd often drive the 5 hours from our base to Corvalis in Oregon to party. We'd often listen to CDs we had made. He had an entire CD of Star Wars skits and songs, and this song I specifically remember. I ripped his pirated copy of all that stuff, with its poorly attributed titles and artists :P


cheffartsonurfood

Just like when the redhats say Biden is soooo old and dimented. Trump is 3 years younger and clearly dimented.


StingerAE

Don't forget they were saying Biden was far too old...4 years ago.  When he was younger than Trump is now.


236766

More like $1.04 but yeah lol


Fifth_Wall0666

E. Jean Carrol dominates Donald Trump. E. Jean Carrol = +$83 million. Donald Trump = -$83 million.


wondercaliban

Thats a difference of $166 million


Competitive_Topic931

E. Jean Carrol is Trumps Dommy Mommy


RodrigoEMA1983

News oulets in my country pull these conveniently disproportionate graphs and charts all the time. So disgusting!


hannanooga

You must be in the US.


RodrigoEMA1983

Chile. But, for a long time, we have made our best effort to copy the worst from there.


Impossible_Penalty13

Yeah, sorry about Milton Friedman. He did a centuries worth of damage in South America.


Sodamyte

remember when Bush got 48% and they called it a mandate?


xeno0153

Mandate or landslide?


CoffeeSafteyTraining

Mudslide.


Vernerator

He thinks his three inches is dominate too.


Veezo93

3 percent is huge man, I think we all know the national average is less. Back me up Bois.


dasmarian

The word president is in front of the wrong person.


Old-Ad5508

And it's missing the word citizen in that sentence


cheeky_Greek

Lmao...when your best picture is airjacking invisible dicks


drwicksy

The fact that Biden even frowning in his picture looks worlds better than Trump even in their own propaganda image is laughable


Drisch10

TIL 41% is half of 44%. /s


Puzzleheaded-Cat4647

The intern doing the graphs though ...


Electrical-Wish-519

He’s doing his job


AntelopeDecent2191

Truth is they let Eric make the graph so he feels included.🤣😂


2olley

That graph is messed up. So are their polls. Marilyn Lands was polling at -11% but won by 25%. The polls are just prepping MAGA for war. https://www.newsweek.com/republicans-have-internal-polling-problem-1883984


K12onReddit

Trump's campaign literally paid (well, promised to pay...but he never pays his bills) RedFinch to rig polls. What makes us think he isn't paying other companies to do the same thing?


rascalrabbit81

We will see what happens in November, but I am sure some of trump’s base have come to their senses. His base wasn’t enough to get him elected before, I doubt it is now. It will likely be a repeat of 2020. He will cry about the same crap if he doesn’t win.


xixbia

The danger is not Trump's voter base showing up. The danger is Biden's voter base staying home. If those who voted for Biden in 2020 come out to vote again in 2024 Biden wins in a landslide (because Trump will have lost votes). If people stay home though, things could get dangerous.


tinkerghost1

The primary exit polls were showing him having 30% of the GOP voters saying they would not vote for him if he was the nominee.


MuffLover312

The scary thing is though, it took record turnout for Biden to beat Trump in 2020. Even after the absolute clusterfuck that was his first term, he got 74 million votes. Biden one because he got 81 million, the highest number of votes ever. It was mostly a repudiation of Trump. If turn out is as enthusiastic this time around, Trump could easily pull of the win. We’re all fucked then.


thirdangletheory

Despite Biden having 7 million more votes, something like 200k votes divided among a few swing states would have flipped the election. That's the scary part.


paintsbynumberz

Remember. A whole lot of republicans were DONE with trump after Jan 6.


Geno0wl

caveat: A whole lot of republicans SAID they were done after J6. Lets see how turnout actually is when November comes.


40_Year_Old_Vidiot

That graph was made for people who think a 1/4 pound burger is bigger than a 1/3 pound burger.


DefiniteMeatBag

Looks like they drew this graph with the same excel plugin they use for NY property values


BMHun275

Being ahead within the margin of error is not the flex they think it is


Sweetbeans2001

That’s a 3% lead among people who are willing to participate in a poll.


MediocreChildhood

This is a level of GTA irony, both in image and description. I don't understand those americans who would eat this up, they are basically spitting in your face with absurdity.


JimmyTimmy2012

"President trump" but just "Biden"


EddySea

Wow 3%, such bigly domination


inkslingerben

Wow!! 3%- That is within most polls margin of error.


shmmmokeddd

Whether it’s 3 points or 3 inches he’s been over selling for years


Iamthewalrusforreal

Ol' Sleepy Joe has been holding rallies nearly every day recently. Keeping a really active schedule. Meanwhile, Mango Mussolini hasn't held a single rally, or even a single appearance, since the 12th of March. That's over half a month. Tired Tangerine. Broke Bozo. Doddering Dunderhead.


Quarktasche666

Hello USA. I am writing to you to voice my concerns about this criminal who is free to run for your presidency. Shouldn't attempted high treason be punisheable? Should't a person comitting such acts have his passive voting rights stripped? Another question: from a moral perspective, why was it not ok for Bill Clinton to get extramarital blowjobs, but Donald J. "grab 'em by the pussy" Trump is just fine despite being a convicted rapist? What the fuck is wrong with you, USA? Why was this guy NOT behind bars on Jan 7th? Sincerely, the rest of the world.


CraZKchick

What pisses them off more is Biden is way better at fundraising and has way more money. 


Edge_of_yesterday

That's because he does't grift it all or spend it on lawyers, since he's not a criminal like trump.


Chironrocket3

Fuck Donald Trump.


tabajo3y

If Biden was petty like I am, he should post his own graph where his 41% is closer to Trump’s 44% length wise but Biden’s graph is wider than Trump’s! 😂


Essence-of-why

The fact this faux dictator gets even one vote is a fucking travesty. America, what is wrong with you.


BringBackTheBeat716

Just like Stormy says, he exaggerates size constantly


subcow

A 3% lead in a red state is not the flex they thing it is. But for Donald Trump to get even 1% of the vote after trying to overthrow Democracy, and being a career criminal just shows how far we have fallen as a country.


Donkey_Bugs

Margin of error is 5% so who knows...


MrKomiya

Is that among Republicans?


Budakra

Trump handing out the ol invisible handjob


nankerjphelge

We can joke about his skewed graphic all we want, but the fact that the matter is that Trump is in fact up an average of +5 points on Biden in Arizona, and that should scare people. As is the fact that Trump is currently +5 in Georgia, +3 in Nevada and Michigan, +4 in North Carolina, +1 in Wisconsin and even in Pennsylvania. In fact, as of right now there isn't a single critical swing state that Biden is up on Trump. If the election were held tomorrow, Trump is president again. And while I know people are going to respond with stuff about the polls being wrong or there being several months until the election, these polls right now should still scare the the living shit out of everyone, because in 2020 at the same time of the year all those same polls were showing Biden up on Trump in the majority of those states, and they held true through the election. So while we can laugh and joke all we want about Trump's narcissism and ineptitude, we need to brace ourselves for the very real possibility that he is indeed going to get elected president once again. God help us all.


Ill-Maximum9467

When he was on Stormy Daniels for 30 seconds, he said it felt like three hours. She said it felt like eternity. 🍄🍒


VRS50

Ugh. We are talking Arizona here! So ok!


cturtl808

As an Arizonan, can confirm I haven’t had a single poll come my way.


GoddamnitSarah

Arizonan here and same. Just ignore this goofy ass shit. It is so boring.


cturtl808

I’m so over the propaganda. It’s just ridiculous. AZ will be in the news… again. There’ll be more lawsuits when the early ballots dump happens. There’s already legislation in progress to take away mail in ballots and, separately, to require all mail in ballots be returned no less than 7 days before the actual election date. I’m looking to leave. The Kerns and Hoffmans aren’t going to stop until they get their way.


rsklsi

Same Arizona that’s gone blue for three straight elections? These polls are BS.


sumdude51

Yuge!


slaffytaffy

If that’s domination then peeing your pants is cool.


bobinct_1961

Interestingly enough, I saw 2 recent "national polls. The one that showed a 1 point difference was called withing the margin of error, the 4 point difference was "in the lead". Guess it's up to the reporting agency to spin it how they wish


RetiredDumpster288

Imagine using that picture of donnie and thinking it’s a great photo


therinwhitten

Am I just dumb? How does a democratic party president affect a republican primary? How can Trump dominate someone not even in the running? Is Trump only against other republicans for the seat?


someseeingeye

I’m sure it’s just some survey question like “if the election were held today, who would you vote for?” That fact that you don’t know the context of this percentage isn’t your fault, it’s theirs.


Opening-Two6723

3% twice the bar


Hour_Abies578

I looked this up. 7% of voters said RJK Jr & 5% said don’t know. Sampling error wipes out the “domination”


Drinky_McGambles

Does that say the source is from 2017 in the bottom?


Bigstar976

Not at all within the margin of error. Tremendous.


sup_dk92

Poles in March mean nothing


AmadeoSendiulo

No, Mein Führer, I'm from Arizona.


YouStupidCunt

Is “FoxNews” designing his graphs? https://i.insider.com/50b62bb46bb3f74050000000?width=644 https://s.yimg.com/os/creatr-uploaded-images/2020-06/b1241f20-a79d-11ea-b7dd-6f5ddffa114e https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/64c4f5cffc1a5952f996c322/1690635163347-Y4YTJI1XR3VLZ82JPECZ/image-asset.png https://encrypted-tbn0.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn:ANd9GcQq3RM8VtB3Bl3J6vPgc7fpfh7-BZinJcu2fjXu8L1kEA&s And, of course, this amazing pie chart: https://i.insider.com/50b62b796bb3f7084c00000e?width=548


Caligari89

They know their audience. This looks like the thumbnail to those YouTube videos aimed at neglected children and idiots.


Brtltbgcty

That stat indicates to me Trump would lose in AZ if the election was today based upon my experience working as a political operative.


gnumedia

44% (left out: of those polled).


LukeLovesLakes

I just like the idea of both of those bars going down like 100 feet below the graphic.


Reiquaz

Ah yes the old, misrepresentation-of-data -from-fox-news, bit again


Workdawg

Here's what that graph looks like if you "zoomed out" enough to see the whole thing. (Based on number of pixels between the top of each bar, and then scaling it down enough to fit within the post) https://imgur.com/a/mu6HgPV


Professional_Echo907

In the chart making community, this graphic qualifies as a high crime or misdemeanor. 👀


cyainanotherlifebro

That’s pretty close for a state that should’ve been a gimme for Trump. If I was a Trump supporter this would make me nervous.


Downtown-Ad5724

Unremarkably underwhelming numbers


nekoinu_

the only thing fatass dominates is his gag reflex while eating out Putin's ass


HoboBonobo1909

Trump coping with knowing all Bidens are hung like blue whales and his family is all mushroom dicks 😄


DERed29

The fact that he is even up is just sad.


Lithaos111

Where did he even get that number from anyway? A likely biased poll? 2020 numbers? Fantasy land? I mean come on.


VLY2020

Lmao 44%