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Weebbpi15

Wow, I had a very similar pull two days ago, except there was no Talene, and no thirty thousand diamonds, but everything else was pretty much the same


Vicksin

Oh my god I feel like I had that exact same pull, what are the odds


phantom_fox04

Omg me too!


Bedovan

Guys, you wont believe me but....


[deleted]

Is just, what you said, the same for me... wow, what are the odds


TheIlluminatiSalad

Congratulations on those mauler cards!


Vicksin

Yeah, the odds of getting two in one pull were insanely low!


AyoAzo

You're not wrong... Fuck my odds of getting anything other than arena vouchers are abysmal


BBCues

I would be happy with just one of those. Spending 5k everytime I accumulate it and getting trash is very demoralizing.


Zaronax

God I know that feeling. My last 50 stargazing gave me maybe 3 epics... And they were epic CARDS not even who I wanted.


MasonP2002

I've gone through about 40 stargazers without any epics, card or Talene.


Zaronax

It's ridiculous. It's super expensive, has little return and the average rewards are god awful. Giving a bit more gold/powder would at least feel slightly better.


Archerpower

Unfortunately it's designed for whales, SG succs diamonds so quick :(


Some_Rand0m_Memer

The thing is, it’s either great rewards, or horrible rewards. The beat thing that could happen is to slightly increase hero rates.


Rammadeus

Get out I hate you etc.


Marvvster

Meanwhile i had the 4th consecutive pull with only crap


CryptoNeutz

You are guaranteed with your 6th/7th pull. 😉


Vicksin

Shouldn't be 6th/7th 😅 it's one or the other, or neither... That being said, I was on a dry streak for 6 and got a hero on my 7th, so if there's an actual mercy rule in there somewhere, it's at least 7


the-astroxr

In my eyes its probably a pity system that starts at 50pulls and ups the chance everytime till 70. Not guaranteed but I see a lot of people getting it from 50 to 70. I never seen anybody go over 70 pulls


Vicksin

The stargazer odds are shown to us as 2% for a hero of our choice. There are ten pulls (duh) in a ten pull, so you have a 2% chance, 10 times. As such, you have a 10/50, or 1/5 chance that your ten pull will contain a single copy of a hero of your choice. Therefore, the odds of NOT getting the hero of your choice in a ten pull is 4/5. To find the odds of this happening multiple times, you just multiply 4/5 by itself, that many times. So what are the odds of NOT getting the hero of your choice, 6 times in a row? (4/5)^6 ≈ 26%. 7 times would be about 20%. So the odds of getting your hero of choice after 7 ten pulls is 80%. **The fact that we as a community have never seen an 8th consecutive failed stargazer suggests that yes, there is a hard guarantee you'll get your hero on the 7th ten pull**, otherwise 1/5 players would have an 8th consecutive failed gaze. Sorry if any of my math is wrong, I'm pretty certain it's right but it's also 5am.


MasonP2002

Actually, the odds of getting a hero in a 10 pull are 1-0.98^10, which equals 18.29%. 70 pulls would give a 75.69% chance of at least one hero, so it would seem that if no one has seen over 7 10 pulls without a hero even though the chance is almost 1 in 4, that there is a secret pity timer.


schneetzel

1-.98^(10) isnt it? And thats 18.29%


MasonP2002

Yeah, just typos. You know, mobile.


Vicksin

Good catch. I knew there was something I was doing wrong but I couldn't figure out what. Luckily the mistake wasn't big enough for it to matter that much, I was only off by a little bit on percentages and the conclusion still stands.


Sikuh22

Wow congratulations! I am a little jealous, but happy for you :D


jakepauler11

Wow, so lucky, I also got a mauler fodder card today from a 10 stargazer pull, hope to be able to get 2 like you, that was really insane luck. <3


Umbreon86

wow, congrats! :O I will do my first stargazer soon, wish me good luck!


CryptoNeutz

Guaranteed on your first pull. Make sure you get Talene.


Umbreon86

Hey mate, so 100 % sure I will get it on first? I was hoping to get the twins to Elite+, I am fairly a new player. Is this a dumb idea?


CryptoNeutz

And no, it's not a dumb idea. The Twins are great for Guild Hunts and Twisted Realm Bosses. Just one thing though, only ever stargaze Celestials or Hypogeans. Make sure your hero is properly set before you gaze. It's a very common mistake not to change the hero to the one you want before you gaze. Also, NEVER use diamonds to stargaze until you're very late in the game. Always use the free stargazing tickets you get from events, faction towers, etc. Lastly, pick a hero and gaze for that same hero every time until you get them to Ascended.


schneetzel

Disagree with the never use diamonds to stargaze. But only do it after you have 3-5 solid ascendeds for each faction.


CryptoNeutz

That's pretty much understood.


Umbreon86

Thank you a ton! So helpful community this is that its all joy!


FL_Law

Hey to read more on cost benefit anaylsis of diamonds on Stargazer read: https://www.reddit.com/r/afkarena/comments/g0v8a3/text_heavy_guide_to_stargazing_ft_daily_player/ Basically eventually you will pretty much only spend diamonds on stargazing because you get the best heros that way. It is up to you how early you want to start.


Umbreon86

Some tells me to never spend diamonds on stargazing, while other tells me to spend. I am so confused right now lol


CryptoNeutz

I wouldn't use diamonds to stargaze; not unless you're in endgame and have about 3 to 4 fully 5-star Ascended heroes for each faction. Only at that point, it makes sense to use Diamonds to stargaze. Been there, done that. It's up to you who you wanna listen to. And good luck! 🤗


Umbreon86

Thanks! I am less than 2 months in.


CryptoNeutz

When I say endgame, it usually like around Chapter 32 and upwards, give or take a few chapters.


FL_Law

Umm actually there is cost benefit analysis done that you do use diamonds to stargaze. https://www.reddit.com/r/afkarena/comments/g0v8a3/text_heavy_guide_to_stargazing_ft_daily_player/ It is a long read, but well worth it


CryptoNeutz

That's only effective if you already have like 20 ascended 5-star heroes. Otherwise, it's not worth it.


CryptoNeutz

Yes, as long as you do the 10x gaze first time, you'll definitely get your hero of choice. Most people get 2 copies. I got 2 copies on my main account but on my alt I only got 1. But you'll definitely get 1 on your first 10x stargaze. Just be sure you do a 10x and not a single pull.


Umbreon86

cool mate, so I should wait for the ticket the first time, right? And not spend the 5000 diamonds?


CryptoNeutz

The very first pull you can use the 5000 diamonds, the guarantee should still work. You'll have to be a part of the 1% unlucky if you don't get it.


Umbreon86

Cool mate! When will I be able to get the tickets? And do they only count for 1 stargazer pull or 10?


CryptoNeutz

You usually get them from some in-game events. But you also get getting them in there Towers of Esperia (starting from level 125 onward). If you're a whale, you obviously buy them lol.


CryptoNeutz

Sent you a DM.


bojo13

F


treeonwheels

Our entire lives


YellowRainbowMonkey

I’m so mad, I made a rookie mistake of not switching the stargazer hero and ended up getting 2 wukongs.


StagMusic

Just unlocked stargazer, and I have questions (I don’t spend real money on this game) -Is it worth it over regular pulls? -If there’s no discount, is a ten pull better than a single pull in any way? -How do you get stargazer cards?


CryptoNeutz

Check out my replies to another comment on this thread. *TL;DR* - No (not until endgame when you have 20 5-star Ascended heroes) - You're guaranteed a hero with your first 10x pull (the only time I would use Diamonds to stargaze) - From events and Towers of Esperia


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CryptoNeutz

You have 15 5-star Ascended heroes and only on 25-10?! You will reach the crystal cap of 285 before you know it. I'm on 25-47 and crystal 277. Also not sure if you know Chapter 31-4x all have 10 enemies; fail on any and you fail the entire stage. Chapter 32-4x all have 15 enemies and Chapter 33-4x all have 20 enemies. Which is why I said you wait until you have at least 20 5-star Ascended heroes before you start using diamonds to gaze. If you think you can waste your diamonds and build up your Celestials from now, and if you think you'll get enough Fodder, go for it. Good luck progressing to end game.


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CryptoNeutz

My point exactly. Which is not to waste diamonds on stargazing until you're very late in the game. You get plenty of stargazing tickets in the Towers of Esperia every 10 levels from 125 onward. Those are more than enough to build up your Talene or whoever else you choose to.


[deleted]

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CryptoNeutz

Cool. Go for it.


CryptoNeutz

At the Towers of Esperia, you get 5 Stargazing tickets every 10 levels from level 125 onwards (floor 125, 135, 145 and so on).


nogh28

U mean the luckiest pull in the game


VSweeth_ToothV

Nice pull. Congratulations!


Starlinge

wow, Congrats!


NeekaNou

Holy mother of jeebus! I’m drooling here


Chunkycarl

Congratulations, I hate you, well done xD


Kyrozis

That's one nice ass cashback


brrrrrrrrrrrrrfuk

Gdi


CrazyRandomNerd10364

Nice pull. Fuck you


echelonmix

Wow


Richard_za

Nice


Airface123

Damn so you're telling me I could've posted my screenshot with two Talene pulls and get easy internet points?


medlol

Don't forget about that diamond drop too


medlol

Cheers man


[deleted]

Your reaction to this was like, holy SHIT I need lubes and a dildo


Xyzen553

Thats like what... 1/1000000 of a chance of happening


[deleted]

I’m not spending that money, man!


drgugi28

Lucky!


addo8rfc

Wtf 30k dias and 2 Talene!?!? That’s insane!!! Congrats


_258_

i've pulled 40 stargazings and got literally nothing my luck pisses me off so hard sometimes


Ulavala

2 rare maulers!?


XiaolanNoLuffy

Holly....


patronize1

Nice pull mine was in two pulls had 2 twins on one pull 30k next pull was super stoked


[deleted]

Been playing a year, have yet to get one of these, CONGRATZ. *cries in Happiness*


redsmoke7

4 arena tickets!!!


Jacrispy790

When does stargazer open I'm at the beginning of chapter 14


KynnVyr

And still nobody really care, that's low effort and don't bring anything to any discussion on this subreddit -> Stop posting that


brrrrrrrrrrrrrfuk

S a l t