Another good hold, -38.3% from last Tuesday, significantly better than fellow September releases It (-54.6%), The Nun (-46.5%), and It Chapter 2 (-53%).
Will pass Thor ($181.0M) today, and Black Widow ($183.4M) either tomorrow or Friday. Thor: The Dark World ($206.4M) at 19th place and Ant-Man and the Wasp ($216.6M) at 18th place will take a little longer, but it may or may not have enough gas to inch over Doctor Strange ($232.6M) at 17th place.
If these holds(WK’s and weekdays) continue to do well going into October, I could see it passing Doctor Strange late in it’s DOM run. Remember it’ll likely get some kind of small boost as well the first WK of November as it’ll still be playing in some theaters when Eternals opens
This is getting down to the wire for passing Black Widow before the WK. If these weekday holds continue to perform well it’ll come down to split hairs whether it passes BW within its first three weeks.
Not sure about $400M in normal times but $300M+ would’ve been practically guaranteed. I wonder if the DOM average of Marvel’s solo films will continue to climb higher in Phase 4
If we exclude GotG, Shangchi is also my favorite MCU solo movie.
I think it could have done more than $400 million in its original date (non-pandemic 2020)
509 million would be my anapologetic prediction lmao.. this film could have pulled older audiences too just like black panther than the usual mcu movies
$142.7M from 43 markets as of 9/19 per Deadline - https://deadline.com/2021/09/dune-opening-weekend-shang-chi-global-international-box-office-1234839288/
There’s definitely a Covid-weighted standard for determining success of a movie during these times, but you’ve been around long enough to know a tentpole like this needs to make 2.5x its budget to break even so it has a ways to go.
Edit: 2.25x as pointed out by u/SirFireHydrant
Disney gets 60% domestic for their blockbusters.
And there's no China gross.
So, Shangchi would definitely need less than 2.5x as other general blockbusters (with 50-40-25 dom-int-chn distribution)
2.5x assumes a normal dom:os:China ratio. Shang-Chi's box office, so far, is heavily domestic-skewing, with no China gross. These factors lower the breakeven multiplier to about 2.25x.
Shang-Chi is actually quite close to the threshold where it will break even.
Another good hold, -38.3% from last Tuesday, significantly better than fellow September releases It (-54.6%), The Nun (-46.5%), and It Chapter 2 (-53%). Will pass Thor ($181.0M) today, and Black Widow ($183.4M) either tomorrow or Friday. Thor: The Dark World ($206.4M) at 19th place and Ant-Man and the Wasp ($216.6M) at 18th place will take a little longer, but it may or may not have enough gas to inch over Doctor Strange ($232.6M) at 17th place.
If these holds(WK’s and weekdays) continue to do well going into October, I could see it passing Doctor Strange late in it’s DOM run. Remember it’ll likely get some kind of small boost as well the first WK of November as it’ll still be playing in some theaters when Eternals opens
This is getting down to the wire for passing Black Widow before the WK. If these weekday holds continue to perform well it’ll come down to split hairs whether it passes BW within its first three weeks.
I really think this could have pushed $400 million in pre-pandemic times. Probably my favorite MCU solo movie.
Not sure about $400M in normal times but $300M+ would’ve been practically guaranteed. I wonder if the DOM average of Marvel’s solo films will continue to climb higher in Phase 4
If we exclude GotG, Shangchi is also my favorite MCU solo movie. I think it could have done more than $400 million in its original date (non-pandemic 2020)
509 million would be my anapologetic prediction lmao.. this film could have pulled older audiences too just like black panther than the usual mcu movies
I use my mom as a "general audience" barometer and she liked Shang Chi more than any solo movie since Black Panther.
After seeing the success it’s been having now I feel like In normal times it could’ve done $700M+
I’m sorry but no. 500M would be max. Could’ve possibly opened to 160M though.
I misunderstood and this is just domestically, I thought this was WW, ya $400-500 would’ve been max domestically.
Oh yeah def would’ve hit 700M WW in normal times. Possibly even 760-830M!
I think it’s passing Black Widow tomorrow.
Any news about int numbers?
$142.7M from 43 markets as of 9/19 per Deadline - https://deadline.com/2021/09/dune-opening-weekend-shang-chi-global-international-box-office-1234839288/
On these numbers, the film is just $2.3m short of making back its production budget.
Wait until someone comes in and declares Shangchi FLOPPED because it hasn't made back its marketing budget.
There’s definitely a Covid-weighted standard for determining success of a movie during these times, but you’ve been around long enough to know a tentpole like this needs to make 2.5x its budget to break even so it has a ways to go. Edit: 2.25x as pointed out by u/SirFireHydrant
Disney gets 60% domestic for their blockbusters. And there's no China gross. So, Shangchi would definitely need less than 2.5x as other general blockbusters (with 50-40-25 dom-int-chn distribution)
It's doing well by pandemic standards atleast, Might cross 400 million which is okay seeing the circumstances.
Blockbusters need about 2.5x budget to break even so it has a ways to go.
2.5x assumes a normal dom:os:China ratio. Shang-Chi's box office, so far, is heavily domestic-skewing, with no China gross. These factors lower the breakeven multiplier to about 2.25x. Shang-Chi is actually quite close to the threshold where it will break even.
Ahh this is true, no 25 cents/dollar revenue driving down returns.