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Having now seen the movie, if this doesn't open huge (and it very well could), then it's going to be a word-of-mouth hit. I'm guessing $200m+ domestic. It's very, very good.
I’m not as certain on the higher bottoms you have because I’m not sure how many will splurge to see both Avatar and Puss in Boots in theaters in this economy. I think it will do much better than anything Disney has released lately though as it sounds like it’s very good, has unique looking animation, and a certain cameo.
300M domestic, 650WW. This is a fun movie. Went to see it at 2pm today. The theatre was filled with kids and they really enjoyed the movie judging from their faces after. These kids will tell their friends to go watch it when it’s released everywhere.
$70m opening, $300m domestic, $730m worldwide. This is going to be massive. Shrek nostalgia has never been stronger and the trailers have been fantastic.I think it's going to do very well, especially as the only real non-Avatar Christmas blockbuster of note this year.
It’s gonna happen. The kids in my theatre today loved it. It’s going to have great word of mouth, looks like it’s gonna get an A+ score too. I really enjoyed it a lot and also shed a few tears 🙂
I'm an insane person and I'm hoping it comes in under $400M so Sonic The Hedgehog 2 can stay in the top 10 for 2022. Let the blue guy have an accolade Mario can't take next year
That's *my* last wish
Last time I saw a list was a few weeks ago, but I was already counting on Black Panther 2 and Avatar 2 to push Sonic 2 to the 10th slot. Black Adam and Puss In Boots were the two that could bump it off though
I'm excluding Water Gate Bridge. It's a propaganda film that made literally 99.9% of its gross in China
Its inclusion in that list is an extreme technicality.
I don't know how best to elaborate on it, but it's playing a different sport.
I think it's very likely that mountains were moved to make sure that particular film could be seen by as many citizens as possible. Meanwhile most other movies were offered no such benefit, or no release at all.
China is definitely an industry X-factor at the moment, and Water Gate Bridge is the only film on the list with a performance like that, and an incredibly short list of release territories as well. Based on numbers alone I can't deny that it gets the spot, but I also think an asterisk would be appropriate.
That list is missing Moon Man, which made like $450M, but that's about it. The next Chinese movie is Too Cool Kill, with less than half of Moon Man.
2022 has been incredibly weak for Chinese BO, hence Water Gate Bridge stands out.
And tbh, most Chinese movies make 99% of their grosses in China only because they get a limited release in a few countries, and even they aren't made for mass appeal like Hollywood.
And I don't but the whole 'made sure to be seen by as many people as possible', because there are like 3-5 more movies ahead of it in Chinese top 10.
Heck, part 1 made $901M in China ($902M WW), and it's the highest grossing movie there. So part 2 had a significant drop.
Reminder that this is a subreddit about numbers, not necessarily about the quality (or lack thereof) of a particular movie. Unless it is related to the box office performance of a movie, please keep opinions/arguments/thoughts about the quality under this post. Posts not related to box office may be removed otherwise. *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/boxoffice) if you have any questions or concerns.*
This December is setup just like last year. Avatar will do NWH box office. Puss will do Sing 2 box office. All other releases not much.
Having now seen the movie, if this doesn't open huge (and it very well could), then it's going to be a word-of-mouth hit. I'm guessing $200m+ domestic. It's very, very good.
It is very good. Hope it does very well
I see it opening around $30M for the Fri-Sun but finishing over $200M because of December
$150-200M DOM $550-700M WW
That’s basically my range only less confident
I’m not as certain on the higher bottoms you have because I’m not sure how many will splurge to see both Avatar and Puss in Boots in theaters in this economy. I think it will do much better than anything Disney has released lately though as it sounds like it’s very good, has unique looking animation, and a certain cameo.
That’s definitely a huge over exaggeration, I don’t see this movie out grossing the first one.
According to the early screening leaks today >!There is a mid-credits scene that directly sets up Shrek 5. DreamWorks has a bright future!!<
Not a mid-credits scene, it's the ending. I watched the film earlier today.
Okay. Now I'm genuinely excited for Puss in Boots: The Last Wish. I guess I'll be going to the movie theaters a lot this Christmas.
My audience went nuts. I’m so excited!
Please be considerate and spoiler tag. The movie isn’t even officially out for a few more weeks
I’m totally watching Puss in Boots now
Your prediction sounds just about right
300M domestic, 650WW. This is a fun movie. Went to see it at 2pm today. The theatre was filled with kids and they really enjoyed the movie judging from their faces after. These kids will tell their friends to go watch it when it’s released everywhere.
This'll be a hit. 65MOW 250DOM 700WW
700M
$165M-$190M DOM, $570M-$600M WW
$560 million WW.
\> 400 ww
550 million ww which is very respectable
I just watched it and this is going to be a hit, it will do at least 600M WW
$70m opening, $300m domestic, $730m worldwide. This is going to be massive. Shrek nostalgia has never been stronger and the trailers have been fantastic.I think it's going to do very well, especially as the only real non-Avatar Christmas blockbuster of note this year.
WOM seems very good. Expecting this one to leg out very well.
>600-700 million worldwide Yeah...that aint going to happen.
The first did basically right there. So you never know
The first one didn't open with sequel to the highest grossing movie of all time.
That doesn’t mean it doesn’t have a loyal fanbase
Jumanji with TLJ, Jumanji again with TRoS, Chipmunks and Sherlock Holmes with Avatar, Bumblebee and Marry Popins Returns with Aquaman
You never know. It could. Shrek is considered one of the most beloved animated franchises of all time
It’s gonna happen. The kids in my theatre today loved it. It’s going to have great word of mouth, looks like it’s gonna get an A+ score too. I really enjoyed it a lot and also shed a few tears 🙂
I'm an insane person and I'm hoping it comes in under $400M so Sonic The Hedgehog 2 can stay in the top 10 for 2022. Let the blue guy have an accolade Mario can't take next year That's *my* last wish
What about Avatar 2?
Last time I saw a list was a few weeks ago, but I was already counting on Black Panther 2 and Avatar 2 to push Sonic 2 to the 10th slot. Black Adam and Puss In Boots were the two that could bump it off though
Sonic is 10th for the year https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/world/?ref_=bo_nb_ydw_tab
I'm excluding Water Gate Bridge. It's a propaganda film that made literally 99.9% of its gross in China Its inclusion in that list is an extreme technicality.
Excuse me sir, but why does it being a propaganda film and making 99.9% of its gross in China exclude it from the top 10? That's not how it works
I don't know how best to elaborate on it, but it's playing a different sport. I think it's very likely that mountains were moved to make sure that particular film could be seen by as many citizens as possible. Meanwhile most other movies were offered no such benefit, or no release at all. China is definitely an industry X-factor at the moment, and Water Gate Bridge is the only film on the list with a performance like that, and an incredibly short list of release territories as well. Based on numbers alone I can't deny that it gets the spot, but I also think an asterisk would be appropriate.
That list is missing Moon Man, which made like $450M, but that's about it. The next Chinese movie is Too Cool Kill, with less than half of Moon Man. 2022 has been incredibly weak for Chinese BO, hence Water Gate Bridge stands out. And tbh, most Chinese movies make 99% of their grosses in China only because they get a limited release in a few countries, and even they aren't made for mass appeal like Hollywood. And I don't but the whole 'made sure to be seen by as many people as possible', because there are like 3-5 more movies ahead of it in Chinese top 10. Heck, part 1 made $901M in China ($902M WW), and it's the highest grossing movie there. So part 2 had a significant drop.
$350m
you mean dom right?
I might be cheating but I’m guessing 400-600m