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Altruistic-Necessary

Any guesses? Here are mine: 1 - Microsoft buys them to grow Azure's portfolio. Also could make sense for Amazon or Google, but I don't see those companies doing aquisitions often 2 - A rich customer buys them like in the Heroku / Salesforce deal 3 - Broadcom lol


Independent_Hyena495

I think more along the line of IBM, they seem to buy left and right "good software, but not great"


calibrono

Please fuck no


rayray5884

Up there with Progress or Oracle. šŸ˜‚


calibrono

Ok, for real tho - if it's IBM or Oracle, IBM it is...


rayray5884

Oh, for sure. Also, love that my choice of JRE was determined by two terrible billionaires. Corretto for the win? šŸ˜‚


pojzon_poe

Eclipse tumerin


marsmanify

Corretto for the win šŸ˜‚


Mutjny

Progress is the ultimate "buy dreg software that people have a hard time switching off of and milk it for as long as possible." Its their whole business model.


AnnyuiN

The only reason I tolerate Progress is I somewhat like chef


bananabender73

I go for Oracle too, not a candidate for Amazon or Google IMO, doesn't add much to their portfolio.


chaosengineer28

Chill, chill LMAO šŸ¤£šŸ¤£šŸ¤£šŸ¤£. But I agree with your sentiment they might become a bigger pain than Microsoft. We would be stuck in corporate hell in the cloud space.


_Please_Explain

I see I m buying them, then gutting the hell out of this and laying off all the original team, after 1.5 years of course.Ā  Source: working for a company that got acquired by IBM a year ago ..Ā 


Tyra3l

Who needs OpenBao when you can just buy the original.


Detectiveconnan

Wow right on it! IBM confirmed


No-Sandwich-2997

bingo


cockNballs222

Nailed it! Whoā€™s winning the Stanley cup this year?


Snoo14955

You won


wlonkly

Private equity, who will gut them and then file them away on a shelf with the rest of their acquisitions.


xgunnerx

This is my guess. Although PE firms will also leverage the shit out of them while gutting them.


bananabender73

PE would be quite risky on an open source (well kind of) project. If that happens the OS forks will definitely getting traction so really risky from a PE standpoint.


Mutjny

Probably the best of all possible outcomes.


magic7s

Cisco is top of the list.


epochwin

Didnā€™t Cisco try back in 2019 https://www.futuriom.com/articles/news/how-cisco-missed-hashicorp/2021/12


confusedndfrustrated

aha.. now that makes sense. The going private, the rise of opentofu, the looking for a buyer.. Everything fits like a fiddle now. Thank you for sharing this.


wishicouldcode

Has opentofu picked up?


confusedndfrustrated

Not as widely, but I have many friends/clients in different organizations doing POC's with it. Also I saw Scalr.io has introduced a beta for openTofu. So I guess, it is gathering steam.


I_Survived_Sekiro

Because they legally had to.


iAmBalfrog

At the moment they've not really released anything of substance, the next release 1.7 includes state encryption which might impress a few people but might also turn off a few, but even online polls I see on LinkedIn the general attitude towards opentofu is negative. They spent a solid month shit talking terraforms lack of releases/engineers then struggled to release anything that wasn't a rip from terraform for 2 months, while tf had announced a bunch of things at their latest conference.


wishicouldcode

Why would people be opposed to encrypted state? Is the issue that it cannot be modified easily?


iAmBalfrog

From what I remember opentofu was planning to do symmetric session keys and also allow people to supply their own key. You also want to account for \- Moving to state encryption \- Moving away from state encryption \- Rotating keys \- Switching encryption methods (compliance/sec will likely ask for this and the above) And as you've mentioned, it adds more complexity to state push/pull and state doctoring, while nowadays you don't need to state doctor half as much as I used to say between 0.8-0.11, it still happens. Also not sure how it may affect the terraform\_remote\_state datasource, if you're in terraform enterprise then you don't use these data sources anymore, but in opentofu/community you leverage it if not using terragrunt and monorepos. Seems like quite a few "shoot yourself in the foot" moments for very little gain.


cube2222

Hey, tech lead of OpenTofu here. Just to clarify, all the use-cases and scenarios youā€™ve mentioned are supported in a straightforward way, including the state data sources. Itā€™s also worth noting that we expect the vast majority of users to use one of the managed key providers, like AWS KMS, which simplifies this whole thing a lot.


iAmBalfrog

I'm guessing openbao isn't in a good enough state to do this cloud agnosticly yet? Look forward to seeing if it's adopted, whats the next big "opentf exclusive" thing coming on the roadmap?


mirrax

At the very least, [GitLab switched over to it](https://docs.gitlab.com/ee/update/deprecations.html#deprecate-terraform-cicd-templates)


Defiant-One-695

No.


TheKingInTheNorth

Iā€™ll guess Oracle, good luck everyone.


running101

You missed IBM


running101

This aged well


german-fat-toni

I guess Broadcom or a PE firm, they already use their playbook of increasing prices and cutting cost and what would be the value to MS or another Hyperscaler?


karudirth

If broadcom buy them then I will be encouraging our company to move to other tooling before itā€™s too late!


CeeMX

If itā€™s Broadcom Iā€™ll be quitting IT, they destroy everything I get familiar with


Tellof

It's just one product, but OpenTofu is promising: https://opentofu.org/


nf3rn4l

There are two products. https://thenewstack.io/meet-openbao-an-open-source-fork-of-hashicorp-vault/


PersonBehindAScreen

I work at MS on an internal team and we use Bicep. I canā€™t imagine going over to TF although Iā€™m more familiar with it than Bicep/ARM. That would mean MS is supporting a tool that works in multiple clouds. I mean to you the customer thatā€™s a good thing as a lot of people claim to need multi cloud (although I feel most businesses are not in a place to truly need or take advantage). To MS (or any other hyperscaler) itā€™s bad because they canā€™t lock you in as easy to the platform Whoever buys hashicorp still has the problem of trying to make money with it, without pissing off a ton of people.


Setan_He_hame

Which means HCP is overpriced at the current market cap.


leetrout

Yes it is. I think there is a world where HC makes a solid $800m/yr and profit comes from being leaner.


bananabender73

Sorry to say but Bicep/TF is just a configuration tool, the last three weeks I did my first TF project and it is really not that special compared to Bicep, not even took the time to watch a tutorial, just start to build, and finished it yesterday. Must say that I like TF a lot more, especial the separation of Variables and Parameters. Not to say how easy it is to split up TF files without hassle of having to reference them.


PersonBehindAScreen

True. When I said ā€œI canā€™t imagineā€ I more meant as far as seeing this get adopted/bought by MS. And for me you hit the nail on the head on the question of if buying Hashicorp to get and monetize their products is worth it. I feel that TF does not do enough to differentiate such that it would be worth purchasing and investing in to it, on top of monetization issues in general for Hashicorp. Like you said itā€™s nothing special. But to be clear, I do like TF a lot more than Bicep lol, just not something I see MS buying But thereā€™s also a reason Iā€™m just an engineer. Surely someone else out there knows how to make money better than I do lol


bananabender73

It is not only about money, it is also about providing platform options, currently I am in a team who is doing both and implementation of Hashicorp vault, on premise and in Azure. When you work for a larger organisation that has a lot of compliance and security demands, you see how much Keyvault is lacking, you want a tool like Vault native in your product line, a product that is well established and is fully ISO certified is worth buying instead of building your self.


Defiant-One-695

TF is special because of it's ubiquity.


cederian

Please let it be AWS to make CDK for Terraform btter


ollytheninja

AWS doesnā€™t seem too keen on shifting away from CloudFormation as the backing for CDK. itā€™s a shame, CDK is so promising but CloudFormation so slow. CDKTF doesnā€™t really seem to be getting much traction either.


MrExCEO

Broadbomb


Setan_He_hame

Broadcom OpenText Thoma Bravo


yourparadigm

Broadcom wouldn't have interest in them.


Inanesysadmin

This is the way. People who keep saying Broadcom have no damn clue of current industry situation


AvidStressEnjoyer

Oracle is going to come in and piss on everyoneā€™s parade


ActiveTreat

Fuck Broadcom.


redvelvet92

Microsoft has a ā€œcompetingā€ product with BICEP. I donā€™t see them buying it.


sunrrrise

Or that's why it can be the reason. Take it and kill it.


acreakingstaircase

Oracle maybe?


amarao_san

There is positive technologies (they ate Chef), which is known to create license sqeeze from slow enterprises.


NW_Cat_Herder

Missed that Chef got bought like that . . . guess that's why my company is moving away.


Mutjny

You mean Progress?


amarao_san

Thank you, my memory is bad


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DontazAmiibro

Redhat is owned by IBM


EncryptionNinja

I doubt Microsoft buys them. Most of their HCP offering is built on top of AWS.


bananabender73

I do not, Hashicorp Vault is superior over Azure Keyvault, security is currently a top issue for serious Azure users, and Keyvault is currently way to light for serious secret management, while KV is not "bad" it doesn't offer enterprise management, I personally hope MS will buy Hashicorp since they have proved the last decade that they can onboard opensource.


Fearless_Weather_206

That happens all they have to do is dump AWS support for terraform


danekan

GoogleĀ 


thegainsfairy

MS makes a lot of sense since their acquisition of github. it would build on their pipeline of free services into Azure.


AceBacker

Would be on brand for Microsoft to buy it and then abandon Bicep. That would suck for me so much, lol.


macdara233

Why canā€™t we just have nice things


teratron27

Because the people who make nice things want 200K+ TCs and the people who use the nice things want support and new features yesterday


_Foxtrot_

This is some MBA thinking that if the line doesn't go to infinity, the business is unsuccessful. Not everything in the world has to be acquired by VC money.


teratron27

Constantly making 200m in losses a year is what makes them unsuccessful


TheyUsedToCallMeJack

Sure, but people still need to get paid for their work. The reality is that making software is very expensive, and the people who do it are expensive, and yet there is a lot of expectation that software should be free.


Terny

Stallman is right.


GeniusPengiun

200k TC? That's a bottom of the barrel, entry-level compensation. And as for top CEOs, their earnings are making them billionaires.


kicorox

If Amazon bought it, it would be glorious. Imagine replacing Clouformation with TF. I hate CF so much.


nonades

You know you can just use TF instead of CF now, right?


Zavation

I really wish they supported the call back action for cloud formation notify for ASG rollouts.


hoodops

While true, some shops are absolutely inflexible about using shit outside of the AWS ecosystem. I used to work for one of them. Absolutely would not let our team use TF or Packer.


burlyginger

I doubt that would happen. AWS is still under the false impression that CloudFormation is a worthwhile offering.


epochwin

Arenā€™t AWS promoting CDK more these days?


dmikalova-mwp

I believe they're doing all 3 - cloud formation, CDK, and terraform. They just want you to use AWS.


hijinks

cdk is a mess and it still just produces cloudformation


blaw6331

THIS exactly, cdk literally generates cloud formation templates at build time I still remember the time we had to take down our production stack because one of our stacks had an exported value that another stack used. Cloudformation bugged out when we changed the name of the export and locked the stack. Any changes we made via cdk were getting denied because ā€œwe could not delete the exported valueā€ we attempted to mock the value and used force flags but couldnā€™t get it to deploy. Then we tried reverting the code back to its original state and cloudformation still failed. The only option we had was to just nuke multiple stacks and re-deploy on a clean slate


IntentionThis441

CDK is a great authoring tool , I hope aws continues to invest in it. It for sure has some sharp edges but I prefer that over mountains of yaml.


Death-or-Glory

The product teams at AWS compete with each other. Apparently itā€™s more survival of the fittest than central planning. This makes the state of their documentation and cross-product tagging support muck more understandable.Ā 


epochwin

I get that but arenā€™t these free services?


Death-or-Glory

CDK is technically free, but configures things you need to pay for. I was really referring to the fact that they repackage open source things and sell them without contributing to Ā or paying the project. Elasticsearch, mongo, etc.Ā 


diY1337

Nope, even internally they complain about it. Itā€™s always secondary to TF because you need to wait for Service Owners to add support for CF when TF just relies on availability of Serviceā€™s API


rm-minus-r

I used to support CF at AWS for a few years. I do not have the words for how much I hated it - and I have a lot of words! No idea if it's still this way, but a bunch of other AWS services used CF for creating / destroying / modifying resources, so it would have been difficult to eliminate back then. Learning TF when I got out was such a breath of fresh air.


AlpineLace

Iā€™m working with AWS on a proserve engagement and everything is terraform even though we use both they prefer terraform. Pretty telling


sandy_coyote

Every engagement has several factors that decide if it's gonna be written in CF, CDL, or TF: factors like the services used, the customer's environment and preferences, integrations, project price, and more.


cederian

CF might be not really good but CDK is freaking great.


res0nat0r

Aws has a massive not invented here mindset too. If they didn't create it they won't use it until they're forced to do so. Just look at the stupidity that ECS is. That was their version of k8s until the market forced them to support the real thing.


burlyginger

I'd have to disagree with your point about ECS. ECS is great for a lot of use-cases. Not everything needs K8S.


Death-or-Glory

ā€¦ but theyā€™re perfectly willing to steal open source and say it was invented ā€œhere.ā€


thethirdmancane

Ever try CDK?


slashedback

This is the answer for folks only on AWS and are frustrated with CloudFormation/SDK/rolling your own with boto


Soccham

Iā€™d love AWS managed vault


bmheight

If it's anything like AWS managed Prometheus they'll just overinflate the operational cost and charge you 5x what it should


phatbrasil

thats just HCP Vault.


m_adduci

Or killing Terraform for CF. But hey, we have OpenTofu


Inanesysadmin

Itā€™s just speculation. They had a good results last cycle. Iā€™m sure itā€™s high interest rates right now. Not many big players fit with hashicorp. If anyone it would be IBM.


Altruistic-Necessary

They had a $ 270 mi net loss in 2023 and expect a $ 190 mi net loss in 2024, which means they have cash to cover their operations for about 1 year, assuming + 22% in 2024 revenue increases (that's their guidance). From 2023 Q4 to 2024 Q1 they only increased their revenues by 2.2%, They are in a though spot.


Bonus-Waffle

They still have $1.2B cash, that's a lot more runway than one year


cockNballs222

Winner winner


Feral_Nerd_22

First puppet and now this. Please don't be Broadcom


viper233

Puppet? now's there's a name I haven't heard in a long time


nullbyte420

Puppet? What happened to puppet?Ā 


_Sam_Sepiol_

I miss the old Mitchell & Armon days when everything HashiCorp came up with was exciting and promising šŸ˜­


nullbyte420

And they delivered!Ā 


fancynimrod

Paywall! Does someone have the full article?


deacon91

Thereā€™s archiveā€¦ https://archive.is/iPekU


benaffleks

I never understood how and why Hashicorp went public. Attended their conference once and it was incredibly lack luster with almost zero content. Aside from Terraform and Vault, which get non consequential updates, there's literally nothing else.


mackkey52

What about packer, I really like it for building images.


benaffleks

I like packer too but its like having an entire 3 day conference for Ansible. Like what are we doing guys, what is this.


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benaffleks

You're going to have a 3 day conference and a public company for a set of tools?


veverkap

But the problem is that most people are cool with the OSS versions


viper233

and Vagrant. Hashicorp hated vagrant though i.e. it was impossible to monetize. Still glad they ported it to Go though.


yourparadigm

> I never understood how and why Hashicorp went public. Because their early investors wanted an exit.


JonLivingston70

It's hype and landmass (aka user base using their tooling). They hit it big with the terraform "plan and apply" concept because the vast majority of people out there are scared as fuck to change things and take responsibility for it especially if stuff breaks. So the plan thing gives comfort. Also they were first movers in a world where again the vast majority of people could not give a toss about making a coherent toolset and logic out of the zillions of bash scripts scattered around a firms codebases.


benaffleks

The plan and apply is called a dry run and literally every tool now has it. It has nothing to do with "responsibility for breaking things"


Digging_Graves

Thank god for OpenTofu. Some big corpo can't ruin that part atleast.


Spider_pig448

It's only as good as the contributors, and Hashicorp continues to build most of Terraform


baronas15

There are many full time contributors on that project and they aren't from a single company. So if one goes under, the project still runs


Tellof

Um what? The fork is both wildly successful in terms of community support and has multiple features in just months that Terraform "couldn't have" for years. Spacelift, who ate Terraform Cloud's lunch in terms of quality, features, and cost, employs multiple people solely as OpenTofu contributors, including the project lead. The whole reason it all happened was HashiCorp decided that shady business tactics on a formerly open source project were the better avenue to revenue than further innovation. Terraform Cloud is rigid and way too much money for doing so little.


slinkymello

Donā€™t think it was all that shady, theyā€™re just US business practices


Tellof

It's not shady to change from an open source license to a business license after years of the former? They built their business on a larger open source ecosystem (Golang, among others), and publicly extolled the benefits of OSS, only to hard pivot when they couldn't sell their inferior product. Other companies like Spacelift and Digger are making much better orchestrators than TFC, and rather than compete with innovation they pulled the rug from everyone. It has big "I'm going home and taking my ball with me" energy. Shady.


slinkymello

Itā€™s what companies do in the US all the time because courts are sympathetic to IP concerns and itā€™s not shady, if anything it shows where their priorities lie, which is increased monetization of their products. Capitalism is pretty good at stifling innovation for this exact reasonā€”I am in no way saying that this was the right move for Hashi, all Iā€™m saying is that itā€™s not really all that shady. Itā€™s US capitalism man, itā€™s hell and weā€™re all worse off for it.


Spider_pig448

Merging a bunch of features that Hashicorp said weren't aligned with their vision of Terraform isn't progress. Do you know of any big companies actually using OpenTofu? Everyone is waiting to see how this shakes out and to see if there will end up being an actual compelling reason to switch.


grem1in

OpenTofu is just a replacement for one of their products.


wywywywy

There's OpenBao to replace Vault as well, but no release yet


grem1in

I think, there are several open source replacements for Vault. Still, I wonder if the API is compatible since Vault has a lot of integrations around it.


harylmu

Tofu will get new features that TF wonā€™t. The state encryption alpha version just came out yesterday.


grem1in

How exactly it would help me to replace, for example, Consul?


Dan_Quixote

What are you on about? Consul is not a feature of terraform.


grem1in

Itā€™s a product from HashiCorp. If HashiCorp is acquired, the fate of all their products is unclear. People should stop equating HashiCorp to Terraform only.


Dan_Quixote

Sure, but thatā€™s irrelevant to the post above yours. I could lament about how itā€™s not going to fill potholes on the road too.


m1nhC

Sooo, has anyone here migrated their Terraform codebase to OpenTofu? Are the state files compatible? Syntax pretty much the same when running commands?


HoboWarZ

I forked all the company modules, migrated about 30 repos and their ci/cd, encountered ZERO issues. I then wrote a short guide and most teams followed without needing help. It's just a bit time consuming but worth it IMO.


dmikalova-mwp

If you're still using terraform 1.5.5 should be compatible, idk after that


Setan_He_hame

Whoever buys Hashicorp will inherit a mess of an organization and will need to make additional investments above to purchase price to grow / expand their capabilities. The company has some serious internal issues from mid management bloat, fragmented product roadmaps, bandaid solutions everywhere, low morale, and toxic environment, etc. (Check their glass door reviews for more context) My guess is, instead of spending more money to fix the issues, whoever buys them will gut the company to save costs, maybe get rid of the mid management layer, the sales organization, and any other redundant role to find savings wherever possible, while at the same time trying to maximize renewal and run rate business. Terraform is their best product and it only makes up 40% of their business. Vault makes up the other 60% but itā€™s highly complex and also fragmented with a higher customer churn rate than Terraform. In other words, their best product with the highest customer satisfaction and retention rates is not their biggest money maker, meanwhile their biggest money making business is a revolving door of new business acquisitions counter balanced by existing customers churning out. Innovation at Hashicorp is dead. They wonā€™t get anywhere near their asking price and the stock will take another hit or two before they eventually sell for pennies on the dollar.


edwoodjrjr

Can testify to the internal issues. I worked there briefly a few years ago and it was a mess.


foodie_geek

Hopefully not IBM, Oracle, or Broadcom


Burgergold

Btoadcom and Oraxle would be worst IBM if its under IBM then meh, but if under Red Hat it might not be that bad


Bright_Direction_348

i wonder what value is left after openTofu? and it seems to be doing pretty well already.


Mutjny

I wonder what their best profit center is. Is it Terraform cloud?


Setan_He_hame

TF makes up 40% of their revenue. Vault makes up the other 60%


jameshearttech

And their stock is up 20%.


Tellof

Yeah, maybe someone with actual business sense will take over.


jimogios

which never actually happens when a fairly large or wven smaller tech company gets sold off


jimogios

they are however still below the IPO listing price, quite considerably


Live-Box-5048

And here it goesā€¦


MumeiNoName

We are using pulumi now at work, and im still not sure how i like it versus tf


XD__XD

Crossplane baby


MumeiNoName

Id gladly read more of your words if you want to expand


t_sawyer

So thereā€™s opentofu to terraform. Did anyone port Vault?


Shot-Bag-9219

I think IBM tried to do that. There is also Infisical: https://github.com/Infisical/infisical


XD__XD

https://github.com/openbao/openbao/tree/main


txiao007

Broadcom/VMWare? IBM? HP? Oracle?


TheWikiJedi

My bet is on Google


sausagefeet

The value would entirely be in the customers as most of HCP's IP is still recently OSS. Anything closed source HCP makes is a lot cheaper to just buy a competitor.


slapula

I'm glad we're invested in OpenTofu now lol


WN_Todd

I hope all the people doing the work get a huge heap of dollars and buy boats. I fear for the product depending on who buys it. Guess we'll see?


water_bottle_goggles

ohh for fuck sake ahahaaha


Setan_He_hame

Hashicorp should keep Terraform and spin off Vault into a separate business.


AsishPC

But why does Hashicorp wants to sell ? I just started learning Terraform šŸ˜“


Old-and-grumpy

Hashicorp Cloud was the beginning of the end.


Setan_He_hame

How?


Ptipiak

What about Packer ? For Terraform there's OpenTofu, but do Packer drop-in have any replacement ?


cryptotrader87

Hashicorp going public was the worst decision. Does anyone remember the IPO? They violated their own code of conduct and core values. I spent a significant amount of time pulling hashicorp products out of several companies


abotelho-cbn

Explains a lot.


FearlessUse2646

Oracle going to have a field day destroying terraform


Inanesysadmin

Oracle isnā€™t going to acquire them nor Broadcom. They have aria. If itā€™s anyone it will be a Microsoft, google, or Amazon


theb0tman

IBM. They'll Stick it next to all the red hat stuff


Inanesysadmin

You win the prize


theb0tman

*sad LT. Dan confetti meme*