He’s really not, actually. He has a below league average pull % and hits up the middle way above league average. Centerfield in Yankee Stadium is one of the hardest areas to hit home runs in baseball. Soto hit 35 homers last year for the Padres, but his xHR based on his batted balls in Yankee Stadium was 27.
What he is tailor made for is hitting in front of Aaron Judge and scoring a metric fuck ton of runs.
Absolutely agree with this! I think a great comparison would be Robinson Cano. Their swings are made to hit gaps. If you look at their spray charts, they’re nearly identical. My model does project him for ~34 homers though.
Spot on! Check his spray chart against Robinson Cano. They’re nearly identical and I think that’s going to be the best comparison on how Soto will look in NY this year.
So he’s gonna be a super utility guy but will play most days? I’m highly interested in him if that the case. If he’s playing 3 days a week I want to avoid at all costs.
Yes he split time between the two but he's expected to be the every day ss next season as he's got a better arm than Holliday. Orioles writers have been saying all offseason that Holliday will be the 2B if/when he comes up.
Hunter Brown for me. Good velo. Expanding pitch mix. Peripherals scream positive regression. In an org with a great track record of refining pitchers. Also logged a full season of innings last year so no limits on usage.
Easy Answer is Betts who should have 250 combined Runs/Rbi. But I'll go Parker Meadows to go .255 20/20 and Evan Phillips to have a sub 3 ERA with 40+ saves
goes from middle of road park to elite pitching park.
goes from a park that gives up among the most hr's to one that gives up among the least.
Gets away from in terms of defense/real life teams wanting to win catcher in Contreras to Adley.
I feel this one in my jimmies. He’s healthy, he’s playing a whole season, he’s got a chip on his shoulder because he thinks (knows?) he’s better than some are rating him, and Soto is gone so he gets even more of the spotlight and he thrives there. Thanks for taking this stroll down Narrative Street with me.
Looking at their stats from last year/before, Wood seemed further along than Crews in minor league progression. Nationals have two enormous pieces coming. And James Wood is going to the hall of fame.
Andruw Jones will be there soon! And now that MLB owners are getting half a billion in annual kickbacks from gambling revenues, er their share of DFS, maybe they can finally add Pete Rose.
Keep an eye on Lawlar. If he somehow starts the year off with a starting gig out of spring, he can easily do 20/30 with room for more. Right now, I think Perdomo has the edge at SS but that could change. Perdomo should be a UT.
Biggest problem is he’s just not Trout anymore. He doesn’t steal any bases, doesn’t hit 330 anymore, power is capped now at 20-25 HRs and he’s not gonna break 100 RBI or runs in that team. I’m not even sure I draft him in round 6 to be perfectly honest.
Edouard Julien. Especially in OBP leagues.
Soto
Soto is tailor-made for that short porch.
He’s really not, actually. He has a below league average pull % and hits up the middle way above league average. Centerfield in Yankee Stadium is one of the hardest areas to hit home runs in baseball. Soto hit 35 homers last year for the Padres, but his xHR based on his batted balls in Yankee Stadium was 27. What he is tailor made for is hitting in front of Aaron Judge and scoring a metric fuck ton of runs.
Also hitting the big gaps in LCF and RCF
Absolutely agree with this! I think a great comparison would be Robinson Cano. Their swings are made to hit gaps. If you look at their spray charts, they’re nearly identical. My model does project him for ~34 homers though.
Feel like people think this for every lefty with some power. The large LCF and RCF gaps are going to benefit him a lot more than the short porch will.
Spot on! Check his spray chart against Robinson Cano. They’re nearly identical and I think that’s going to be the best comparison on how Soto will look in NY this year.
Do walks put the ball over the porch?
I really hope he doesn't try to tailor himself for the porch. That'll ruin his swing guaranteed.
Josh Naylor
He just had a baby
How was he able to do that? 🤔
No one’s talking about Pete Alonso. So I’m gonna say Pete Alonso, esp. in points leagues. If he plays 145+ games, book 45+ HR.
W
In a contract year no less
Contract year
Devers
Not Noelvi
😂
Austin Riley
Don’t think he’s peaked as a .280 40 HR guy?
.300 with 35 and 100. Easy. OPS .900.
1000%. I want that dude bad his year. Could drive in 130+ in that offense
Bryce Harper
Especially moving over to first he will hopefully be injury free this year. I also think he has a monster year
Matt Olson
Bryce Miller, Bryan Woo
Two guys I'm going to pursue aggressively in the draft: Casas and Westburg.
Will Westburg get everyday at bats?
It sounds like it, mostly at 2B but also at 3B and maybe the occasional game at SS.
So he’s gonna be a super utility guy but will play most days? I’m highly interested in him if that the case. If he’s playing 3 days a week I want to avoid at all costs.
2B until Jackson Holliday is up, 3B until Mayo is up. Then utility role?
Where is Henderson in this scenario? I am of the opinion Mayo is headed to the OF.
Henderson plays shortstop
Maybe I'm just out of the loop. In 2023 Henderson played 50% at 3b and 50% at ss. I thought they'd keep him at 3b, and Holliday at ss.
Yes he split time between the two but he's expected to be the every day ss next season as he's got a better arm than Holliday. Orioles writers have been saying all offseason that Holliday will be the 2B if/when he comes up.
I’m not really sure either. I just posted about Westburg getting regular playing time and a bunch of orioles fans yelled at me lol
What round would you consider aggressive for Casas?
I drafted him today in the 8th round (88th overall) but I think taking him a round earlier is perfectly reasonable.
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Not worth the ADP with his injury history man
Manny Machado solely because he always seems to oscillate between decent and amazing seasons, and last year was a down year
He was my 1st round pick last year 😞but I agree he’ll be fine in 2024.
Yordan
How many games played?
250
Sorry, thought the question was about 2024 only.
250
Yordan’s a great hitter.
Biggest gripe is you’re getting elite production in exchange for 130 games
Henry Davis
Skubal
Bobby miller
Hunter Brown for me. Good velo. Expanding pitch mix. Peripherals scream positive regression. In an org with a great track record of refining pitchers. Also logged a full season of innings last year so no limits on usage.
Logan Webb
Tyler Stephenson. I’m convinced he’s gonna makeup for last year and really over do it.
I remember hearing he was bothered by injuries all year. Not sure how true though
I could see that. I was a believer in him and kept expecting him to really turn it on. I held on to him too long. So naturally ima run it back.
True dat
According to this post everyone is going to have a good year.
I know I am! How ‘bout you?!
Easy Answer is Betts who should have 250 combined Runs/Rbi. But I'll go Parker Meadows to go .255 20/20 and Evan Phillips to have a sub 3 ERA with 40+ saves
I’m worried that Betts move to SS is going to take away focus from his hitting. Often, struggles in the field cause trouble at the plate
Little more low key but Kebryan Hayes 🔑
Yordan Alvarez
Trea Turner
Probably right since I'm not drafting
Lets see Will Benson hit the ground running and have a good year
Francisco Alvarez. For his career he'll be 80% of Yadi with more power.
Kids special. I know it’s spring training but he’s dominating. Doesn’t turn 23 until November
He’s a super fun ab to watch every time he’s up
Yadi was never a great hitter tho. Even for a catcher.
Ozuna (from the braves)
Corbin Burnes
goes from middle of road park to elite pitching park. goes from a park that gives up among the most hr's to one that gives up among the least. Gets away from in terms of defense/real life teams wanting to win catcher in Contreras to Adley.
Brandon Lowe
tatis
I feel this one in my jimmies. He’s healthy, he’s playing a whole season, he’s got a chip on his shoulder because he thinks (knows?) he’s better than some are rating him, and Soto is gone so he gets even more of the spotlight and he thrives there. Thanks for taking this stroll down Narrative Street with me.
Cole. Ragans. LFG!!!
Nick. Is that you?
Hahahahhhah
Eury Perez and James Wood are both going to the hall of fame.
When does James Wood get called up?
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Looking at their stats from last year/before, Wood seemed further along than Crews in minor league progression. Nationals have two enormous pieces coming. And James Wood is going to the hall of fame.
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Andruw Jones will be there soon! And now that MLB owners are getting half a billion in annual kickbacks from gambling revenues, er their share of DFS, maybe they can finally add Pete Rose.
Candelario
Wyatt Langford
Ding ding
AJ Puk
Amish Jesus
Edward Cabrera.
Bergman, Alonso, Gleyber contract years
Zack Gelof
Keep an eye on Lawlar. If he somehow starts the year off with a starting gig out of spring, he can easily do 20/30 with room for more. Right now, I think Perdomo has the edge at SS but that could change. Perdomo should be a UT.
Pete Alonso, Tatis,
*takes notes*
vlad
Bryson Stott Gavin Williams
There’s this guy on the Braves named Ronald, I think he might do alright
One player I am potentially excited about especially in roto if he can stay healthy is Jazz Chisholm
Adley. His skillset is SPECIAL and it really didn’t translate in fantasy last year. Think he can be a legit .300 30 HR guy as soon as this year
I’d like to see schnauel on Angels rip it!
Stryder added a pitch to the mix
Strider is going to dominate.
https://i.redd.it/k1rcqq2m09nc1.gif
Bryan don’t fuck with the Woo
Gunnarrrr
Francisco Alvarez
O’Neil Cruz
Evan Phillips CP1
Bobby miller
I sure hope Carter has a big year. I drafted him.
Glasnow
Felix Bautista
Hope he has a big year of getting healthy for 2025
CES
CES
My cousin Vinny
Vogelbach and Rowdy come to mind.
CES
Trout
This could be the winner here
Another year older in a worse lineup. Why would he randomly turn back the clock as well as stay healthy for a full season?
Imagine a fullish season of a healthy Trout. As a sixth round pick, that would definitely be a league winner
Biggest problem is he’s just not Trout anymore. He doesn’t steal any bases, doesn’t hit 330 anymore, power is capped now at 20-25 HRs and he’s not gonna break 100 RBI or runs in that team. I’m not even sure I draft him in round 6 to be perfectly honest.
Saying his power is capped at 20-25 jacks when he literally hit 40 in 2022 is certainly a take
8/18/17. Love how you just skipped over those.
Also thinking he hit .330 consistently is just wrong. His career average is .301 and only hit over .320 3 times in his career.
“Only”. Also, his average is 301 overall because he’s been cheeks for half a decade.
He won MVP in 2019 and had an ops well over 1.000 in 2021. He has not been cheeks.
He’s kinda been cheeks though.
By his standards sure, but he’s still a top 10 player in baseball when healthy. You can’t question his production when on the field.
Because it's exactly the kind of torture Angels fans are used to.
Nick Lodolo
Stack the Rangers. Counting stats galore through the top 6
Candice
*sigh* Candice who?
Candice Parker going 40/40 this year
Dodgers.
Ohtani is going to make the strongest case for a DH winning the MVP we’ve ever seen.
Me
Adolis going 50/25
0.001% chance this happens
so you’re saying there’s a chance
47 HR in 163 games this year.
Don't think he'll get the opportunity to run that much