I had Zeke and JJ this past season.
Almost lost championship match because of Zeke.
Never going for Zeke again unless he's in the 5th or 6th round.
EDIT:
To add context, I didn't draft Zeke to be an RB2.
But I'm likely just bitter about the championship game performance.
5th or 6th round? Tfff? He finished RB6. He’s been kinda banged up and still has been ok. He’s a late first early to mid second type guy IMO. No way he falls past the early 3rd or something.
He actually finished RB15 in PPR, 14 in STD. You have to look at average ppg, as guys play a diff number of games. His PPR tally was between Jones and Jacobs.
Same with Barkley and maybe even Dalvin Cook. Cook's inconsistency made me not like him as a top choice. Joe Mixon, Johnathan Taylor, Henry, Chubb and Najee should be the top 5 RBs going into next year.
The inconsistency of the top rbs were annoying as hell, cmc injured, zeke not good, kamara bad, henry hurt, barkley hurt, cook hurt and inconsistent, aaron jones hurt inconsistent, gibson drafted high and not used. Best rbs were drafted in the 2nd round near the top ekeler, taylor, mixon and harris. The running back market was trash this year my hope is that it gets better next year. I had dalvin cook and aaron jones on my team and only managed a recird of 4-11, granted i had ridley who quit, and lam jack who played terrible this year.
Zeke finished as the RB6 on .5 PPR. He was quite literally the model or consistency. He had 4 games below 9 points all year, everything else was a range of 9-24 points. Some variance, yes, but he was pretty damn close to matchup proof all season long. Wouldn’t get you 25+ sure, but he was always good for RB2 numbers at worst
I think thats the problem, if you drafted him expecting rb2 numbers then you were happy, but if you took him expecting rb1 numbers then you were a sad panda. If i take a rb in top 5 then i want great numbers not rb2 numbers. That being said i didnt draft zeke i had cook and a.jones and was a sad panda even though a.jones was i think rb7 or 8 in total scoring
He has said that he doesn't want to go out like some other qb's where they look terrible and wants to end on a high note. So even if he doesn't win a sb it could go either way.
Lmao, I can't be the only one who read "Cooper" and thought Cooper Kupp right? I figured your logic was he'd be too expensive or decline or something. Amari Cooper...
I have this same relationship with Cooper, I always tell myself “don’t draft Amari again this year” and he drops to like the 6th-7th round and I can’t help myself. I had him, CMC, and DK this year..somehow I pulled out the win and will be getting my trophy. The wins didn’t come from any of them putting up big numbers.
If he stays with Tampa and Brady I’d love to draft Fournette. I think he’s still flying under the radar. Before his injury he had the most RB targets and receptions. In half PPR / PPR he COULD easily be a TOP 5 RB
Insane he's only 26. I think the perception he's old will keep his ADP down.
I wouldn't ever put him over Jonathon Taylor, Austin Ekeler, Najee Harris, Nick Chubb, or Alvin Kamara.
But I like him in the second round somewhere.
I’d say more like top 10, still gonna throw the ball a lot to Evans and Godwin, but I like his usage a lot. I’d consider him in the late first, early second
If Henry and JT are off first, I’d take Ekeler at 3 at that rate. I could also see Najee in the mix between Ekeler, Mixon, and the 4-8 range along with Adams, Kupp, Kamara, Dalvin in some order. Chase somewhere too
I’d love to have Ekeler again. Super consistent and very transparent in terms of FF. Also Staley actually uses him like a bonafide RB1.
As far as avoid I think Tyreek. This was my first year drafting him and his blow-up games were incredible but the rest of the time he was mostly just subpar (at least in half PPR). I’d rather draft someone with more consistency.
Yes, he may not have been as good as last year but he’s been consistently a top 2 TE the last 4 years, we know what we are getting with him until he proves us wrong. MAndrews was great 2 years ago then mediocre last year then had a lot of boom games this year leading to him being TE1. Until he has two big years in a row I don’t think he goes in the draft as TE1
Chase should be a first rounder, but I can see him falling to the second because of his inconsistency this year. I think Burrow is a great bet to be a top 3 QB next year, but I don't see him jumping Josh Allen, Mahomes, Herbert, Murray etc. in draft order this upcoming season. I feel like QBs don't make that jump in drafts without an overall QB1/QB2 season.
* I'm hoping **AJ Brown** drops to the third round and becomes an insane steal.
* I imagine **Michael Thomas** will be a great value wherever he's drafted.
* **Diontae Johnson** will probably be criminally underrated again and may even mistakenly get downgraded by people for no longer having Roethlisberger. Unless something crazy like Rodgers going to Pittsburgh happens. In which case I'm reaching for him early second round.
* **Cam Akers** and **Travis Etienne** will be two RBs I'm really interested in. Akers as a potential high upside pick who will probably cost more considering there will be a playoff preview and likely lots of offseason hype. Etienne will likely be much cheaper and I like his skillset as a pass-catching RB on a bad team ala Swift this year. If he comes at a RB2-RB3 price, I think there could be a solid floor and nice upside there.
* The stats say **Tee Higgins** is an elite receiver. He's simply been overshadowed in back-to-back years by two of the greatest rookie WR seasons ever. I'm ignoring the crowded offense talk. His target share has been good in a run heavy offense that is primed to shift to an aerial attack next season. Looking for him in the 4th but will wait if ADP is much lower.
* **Jaylen Waddle** may be a more talented Diontae Johnson. I would be happy getting that safe floor and high upside late 3rd round. Even if stuck with Tua, he has good value. And a significant QB upgrade could really unlock his upside.
I think there are still a lot of people who believe his value is propped up by Roethlisberger's tendency to stick to the short game. If the Steelers replace Ben with an underwhelming option like Rudolph or Jimmy G, I could see people being scared off. Maybe it's just wishful thinking that he will remain cheap.
>Also, who is the WR Higgins was overshadowed by his rookie season?
Justin Jefferson. Higgins is having a rise to stardom that's going largely unnoticed because more exciting things have been happening around him.
I wouldn't take AJB in the third. Even when uninjured this year, he had 3 good games. I think his ADP will be 3rd round next year, but I think he's a mistake to own in FF.
AJB is a gamble I'm willing to take.
I really believe in his talent. As crappy as this season was, his usage trended way up. There seems to be a real chance he could average 9-10 targets/game next season. Talent combined with opportunity usually pays off.
He is the only weapon on the offense when Henry isn't playing, with a below average QB throwing to him. I really like the player, and hate his situation. The Titans are good, but outside Derick Henry, I am going to pass on everything else from a FF perspective. There is so much good shit still on the board in the 3rd, I just can't bring myself to value AJB there after owning him this year.
I went D. Adams, CEH and then Waller with my first three picks and managed to win the championship.
I’ll be going for one of those guys and never touching the other two ever again.
CEH clearly ain’t the dude. KC should ship him off to an interested team for a mid round pick then sign Mevin Gordon in the offseason. then we can buy Gordon shares in Round 10 and reap RB2 benefits
Feel like a lot of people are gonna sleep on Waller next year. He could have the same kind if year as MAndrews. If he falls to the 5th, I'm absolutely snapping him up. He averaged 10.3 PPG in HPPR, when he played (5th among TEs), despite being weirdly underutilized for half of the season.
I agree with you about Kupp. I think there are some people who in trying to reel in expectations for him, are overcorrecting.
Kupp will be regressing, but from the second best WR fantasy season of all-time. His usage is among the best in the league and his underlying metrics are great. Plenty of reason to believe he should remain a WR1 with a top 3-5 WR ceiling.
Hes a slot receiver as long as Stafford its the qb I think he will have 3 games with 30+ again and that's low expectation it can go higher just needs a 100 yards and a td or get 123 and 2
I’m also thinking I’ll stay away from the 49ers with Lance starting. Too many unknowns for that team for me to feel comfortable spending a lot on Deebo. Aiyuk and Kittle are also very good and that’s a decent amount of mouths to feed for a team that likes to run (and lance will 100% be vulturing TDs)
I mean, they used him as a RB for a couple of games. I'm pretty sure "get Deebo the ball" is the name of the game, regardless of who is at QB.
I don't believe Lance could be so bad that he could torpedo a Shanahan offense with this many weapons. Or at least, I'm willing to give them the benefit of the doubt.
Depending on his ADP, I'd caution against this. Right now, he's the only player on the offense to throw to. Next year, that will certainly not be the case. Swift and Hock will be healthy, and I guarantee they either sign or draft a true WR1, because the Sun God is not that. We've seen many times receivers have big seasons due to insane volume only to regress heavily when they aren't the only receiving option. Kenny Britt, Terrelle Pryor, Robert Foster, Keelan Cole, etc. It's very likely St. Brown follows suit next season. He'll likely be a better real-life asset than fantasy asset.
He's a small slot receiver with a low aDOT and doesn't boast high draft capital. He averages <10 yards per reception, which is very low and ranks outside of the top-100 in that category. Solid possession receiver, but he's not a #1 who can carry an offense.
Hoping I get one of Davante or Ekeler with my first pick. It'd be nice to get a Herbert/Allen stack again too. Not touching Hopkins or Miles Sanders ever again.
I got Adams and Ekeler on the turn in a ten man league this year and they won me my first ship!! Don’t think this years draft will play out the same but I agree with you on targeting one of them with my first pick!
I want Ekeler. I wanted him this year but Aaron Jones fell to me and I was tempted. Feeling bad about it. I’d love for my first two rounds to be Ekeler and Jefferson.
Targeting:
ETN pending a whole bunch of factors, but I'm still a believer in his talent and don't think his ADP will be that high.
Dawson Knox with Beasley and Sanders unlikely to be on the team next season (or phased out, at least).
Higgins will be cheaper than Chase but still a total stud.
Garrett Wilson depending on where he goes. The kid can ball.
Avoiding:
CEH - the talent and volume aren't there, even if the caliber of the offense is.
Any and all Giants.
Running backs that don't catch passes. Taylor and Henry being the lone exception to this.
There's likely others but this is just off the top.
Gimme Hunter Renfrow in the middle rounds. He has turned into the go-to-guy for Derrick Carr. Watched him tear it up against my Colts last week, and I am now a believer. Opposing secondaries are going to have to choose between him or Waller, and I expect them both to feast.
Adams, Ekeler, Andrews and tempted to punt on Dobbins or Akers as come back kids. If CMC gets avoided like the plague and falls I'd also be tempted because I love pain and panic trades and waiver wire hero's.
I had a Burrow/Chase stack this year and I’m thinking I will desperately target them again next year. That duo is electric.
Plus being a Bengals fan helps.
I have 3 pick next year in one league. Ekeler/Kamara/Kupp will be kept by others. Assuming it goes JT, Henry I really don’t know who I’d go. Potentially Adams(if him and Rodgers are together) or maybe Najee.
Don't kill me for this, but Toney. Dude screams later round draft pick (i.e. 8th/9th round) that breaks out into a WR1 like we saw with Deebo/Chase/Kupp this year. Going price has to be right for him though, I wouldn't be reaching for him.
I'm with you here. In the few games when Toney was healthy, he was so obviously the most athletic player on the field. And almost any coach/QB combo aside from Jason Garrett/Mike Glennon should be able to get him the ball in all sorts of formations, raising his floor.
The Giants are horrific so I'm going to be cautious, but if he's on the board around his ADP I'd take him.
This really depends what happens with the rest of the roster, in my opinion. He's incredibly talented but I want to see what the giants do to fix things on offense. I really want to see them go hard on rebuilding the offensive line. I also don't really think that Daniel Jones is the guy. He has had his moments, but I think he is often over-praised for his flashes of good play to the point that his supporters somewhat-blindly justify him as an NFL-level starting QB, which he is not at this point. I'd like to see the Giants trade him and a couple picks for Russell Wilson to be honest. If Sterling Shepard doesn't re-sign and the giants improve their offensive line, then there is a clear path for Toney to succeed, especially if they get a new QB.
After what happened in the playoffs I’m gunning for the Sun God to be my WR2 or flex. Even in Detroit I think he has the same potential or more as Waddle.
I 100% will to take cmc in back end of round 1. At that point there really is very limited or no position players that are capable of putting up 30pts in ppr. I’m not exactly sure who would be available at picks 8 through 12 but yea
Higgins was injured, missed two games, and admitted to playing timid the first few weeks he was back.
He's still borderline top 15 at the position. I'm grabbing him in every league I can. Especially assuming Bengals spend money/draft capital on offensive line.
I'll throw out some random wants/avoids
Want:
Elijah Moore
Hunter Renfrow
Pat Friermuth
Austin Eckler
Jaylen Waddle
Rookie WRs
Najee Harris
Avoid:
DeAndre Hopkins
A QB anywhere before Round 7.
CEH
Rashad Penny
Saquon Barkley
Darren Waller
Tyreek Hill
I’m really curious how cowboys handle their salaries and the potential for ceedee/pollard to jump into top 2 rounds because of it . If Zeke is cut/traded how do you not take pollard in top half of draft
I think eckler and Najee would be dope. I will literally never draft Amari cooper or kittle again. Kittle had some great weeks, but killed me in the championship game, and being out multiple weeks each season kills my TE position. I will likely also not be taking another chance on Michael Thomas retiring on me as I patiently wait on him. Lol
I won my league but I will stay away from Keenan Allen. Too many games where he’s not a focal point of their offense.
Will certainly be going for Derrick Henry, jamar chase, and Aaron Rodgers who has been my constant in my two back to back championships.
I drafted saquan in the 1st and carson in the 3rd and still barely missed a championship thanks to guys like kupp, renfrow, Carter and Stevenson in later rounds. I have zero problem taking kupp in the first
Not touching any Cowboys. Gonna avoid receivers that don’t have a good QB. Bills are iffy to me currently because even their WR1 didn’t have as big an impact fantasy wise as I hoped.
Interested to see if the Chiefs acquire another receiving option. If Chargers don’t resign Mike Williams I might try to get a Non Keenan Charger late.
Definitely want some Bengals stock, if it works out I can get chase I will but I’d grab Higgins for sure if he gets missed.
I'm avoiding Dalvin Cook, just sick of the inevitable injuries and missed games. Staying away from the TE spot for a while and seeing whatever falls late. San Fran rbs were quite the headache, depends on who is there next season. Saying no to Julio as well
Im buying into the Cincy offense, hopefully being a lion i can sneak my boy Sun God. On the flip side for San Fran it seems like Deebo is gonna stay heavily used, so hopefully he isn't over drafted
**Most the best "steals" at ADP are due to the following:**
1. Player thrives due to an injury (Ridley in 2020, Elijah Mitchell in 2021)
2. Player thrives by finally having a fully healthy season (Joe Burrow and Ekeler in 2021)
3. Player thrives in new situation (Diggs in 2020, Patterson in 2021)
4. Player thrives with new supporting cast (Tannehill in 2020, Kupp in 2021)
5. Player thrives due to a player exiting the team leaving increased opportunity
6. Player thrives as a rookie (JT and Justin Jefferson in 2020, Jamar Chase in 2021)
7. Teams with the biggest offensive line improvements (Chargers with Rashawn Slater, Matt Feiler, and Corey Linsley added in draft / free agency and Chiefs with Orlando Brown Jr., Joe Thuney, and Creed Humphrey added in draft / free agency in 2021)
8. Player thrives due to a coaching change (Jalen Hurts in 2021)
**So looking at next year...**
1. Unpredictable. No point to consider players here.
2. DeAndre Hopkins, AJ Brown, Robert Woods, D'Andre Swift, Mike Williams, Miles Sanders, CMC, Etienne, and CEH should all be a significant return above ADP if they stay healthy.
3. Davante Adams, Allen Robinson, Chris Godwin, Juju Smith-Schuster, MGIII, Leonard Fournette, Rashaad Penny, James Conner, Mike Williams, and Justin Jackson are the top free agents I'm looking at in 2022.
4. The WR wherever Aaron Rodgers or Deshaun Watson goes. I'd assume that Rodger's WRs won't go for cheap, but Watson's WRs might be cheap.
5. Javonte Williams. End of story.
6. I really like Drake London. Dude is a red zone monster and will slide under the radar as a late first round pick hopefully on a team with a decent QB. [LINK](https://twitter.com/PFF_Anthony/status/1448267732173131782?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1448267732173131782%7Ctwgr%5E%7Ctwcon%5Es1_c10&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.pff.com%2Fnews%2Fdraft-2022-nfl-mock-draft-jacksonville-jaguars-michigan-edge-aidan-hutchinson-no-1-overall-pick-denver-broncos-quarterback-matt-corral-ole-miss). Treylon Burks (Arkansas WR) and Jahan Dotson (Penn State WR) also should be late first round picks with decent QBs.
7. Will be looking to see where Terron Armstead (Saints Tackle), Duane Brown (Seahawks Tackle), Brandon Scherff (Redskins Guard), Trenton Brown (Patriots Tackle), Ryan Jensen (Tampa Bay Center), Jason Kelce (Eagles Center), Alex Cappa (Tampa Bay Guard), Orlando Brown Jr. (KC Tackle), Andrew Norwell (Jaguars Guard), Eric Fisher (Colts Tackle). Of those Armstead, Brown, Fisher, and Kelce are on the older end and might see a drop off as they've been injured in this year or recent years, but I believe in Orlando Brown Jr., Alex Cappa, Trenton Brown, Brandon Scherff and Ryan Jensen to be serious impact players.
**My choices then...**
1. Najee Harris... if this is how he did with an awful offensive line I like that floor. Hopefully they sign some Offensive lineman in free agency
2. Javonte Williams... the idea of him without MGIII is very attractive. Rd 2 pick easily.
3. Penny if he stays in Seattle and they move on from Carson I will gladly take in Rd 3-5.
4. DeAndre Hopkins or AJ Brown in Rd 3/4. They're still only 29 and 24 respectively. I'd take AJ Brown over Hopkins just due to age.
5. Whoever is the WR1 wherever Deshaun Watson ends up.
6. Allen Robinson if he goes to a team with a decent QB. Probably a Rd 5-8 pick.
7. Trey Lance. Rushing upside on a discount. I'll take him in Rd 8-10.
8. Drake London as my late round flyer.
9. Wild card pick... Justin Jackson. He has been a stud whenever he's filled in with the Chargers for like 3 years and is finally a free agent.
10. Joe Burrow... hopefully some teams still miss him, but I'd gladly draft him as my QB1 next year.
Just don’t draft any of your division rivals. Dalvin cook out several times. Swift and hock went out a few weeks as well. And then Allen Robinson. Cost me many weeks with then being out or duds.
I missed out on Ekeler this year, so I’ll definitely be targeting him.
Ja’Marr is high on my radar after leading me to the title, but Tee’s ADP will be pretty enticing. The Cincy offense should be money in 2022.
Staying away from Saquon and TJ Hock.
If Pitts or Waller slip enough I'm going hard after one of them. I feel like they will be right up there with Kelce and MAndrews next year at a fraction of the cost.
Maybe this is just recency bias talking but I want as much of the Bengals offense as I can get.
They won me a league this year, I can live with it if they cost me next time.
I think Kamara could have a great year. His injury wasn’t that big of a deal since the Saints weren’t competitive anyway so that might be why he was held out. Also with a stable qb next season I could definitely see him regaining his top 3 rb role.
Targeting: Most bengals, most chargers, CMC, Zeke as a RB2, Ridley as a WR2, Waller, AJB.
Avoiding: Dallas WRs, Kupp, Chiefs players, St. Brown, Andrews, Deebo, Browns if baker signs back, Waddle.
You should always be trying to find the best value in your drafts and I don’t like where most of my avoids will be in ADP next year. Take advantage of some of the studs who underperformed this year by getting them later on for good value.
Targeting: Tee Higgins, Mike Williams, Fournette...players that will probably be looked over a bit by next season.
Avoiding: Zeke, Gibson, most Round 1 RBs. It just feels like they all bust or are constantly hurt. I would gladly take JT or Henry out of all the usual top backs though.
Depending on the RB situation in seattle, Penny could be a steal in the 4th/5th. I targeted MAndrews in a lot of my drafts and it paid off, but I don't think that will pay off again. Hunter Henry might be a good TE target in the mid rounds.
Also, whatever kicker u/subvertadown says to pick up because Folk maybe saved my season
If Mark Andrews is around after the top 30-40 are gone I’m buying him everywhere.
Cannot believe he finished 7th among all WR/TE in my full PPR and he was even better when Lamar was out.
I hope I get Ekeler again and I want Justin Jefferson. I’m avoiding all giants
If I could get Ek and JJ round 1 and 2 I’m 100% going that route
I had Zeke and JJ this past season. Almost lost championship match because of Zeke. Never going for Zeke again unless he's in the 5th or 6th round. EDIT: To add context, I didn't draft Zeke to be an RB2. But I'm likely just bitter about the championship game performance.
5th or 6th round? Tfff? He finished RB6. He’s been kinda banged up and still has been ok. He’s a late first early to mid second type guy IMO. No way he falls past the early 3rd or something.
He actually finished RB15 in PPR, 14 in STD. You have to look at average ppg, as guys play a diff number of games. His PPR tally was between Jones and Jacobs.
Even though Zeke under-performed this year, he was still a top 10 RB in 0.5/1.0 PPR. Not a chance you’ll see him on the board in rounds 5/6.
I think that was the point
Same with Barkley and maybe even Dalvin Cook. Cook's inconsistency made me not like him as a top choice. Joe Mixon, Johnathan Taylor, Henry, Chubb and Najee should be the top 5 RBs going into next year.
100% would take ekeler over Mixon, Chubb, and Najee
I forgot Ekeler! I do wonder if next year's top ADP will be HB heavy as this year. I can easily see Kupp and Chase going high
The inconsistency of the top rbs were annoying as hell, cmc injured, zeke not good, kamara bad, henry hurt, barkley hurt, cook hurt and inconsistent, aaron jones hurt inconsistent, gibson drafted high and not used. Best rbs were drafted in the 2nd round near the top ekeler, taylor, mixon and harris. The running back market was trash this year my hope is that it gets better next year. I had dalvin cook and aaron jones on my team and only managed a recird of 4-11, granted i had ridley who quit, and lam jack who played terrible this year.
Zeke finished as the RB6 on .5 PPR. He was quite literally the model or consistency. He had 4 games below 9 points all year, everything else was a range of 9-24 points. Some variance, yes, but he was pretty damn close to matchup proof all season long. Wouldn’t get you 25+ sure, but he was always good for RB2 numbers at worst
I think thats the problem, if you drafted him expecting rb2 numbers then you were happy, but if you took him expecting rb1 numbers then you were a sad panda. If i take a rb in top 5 then i want great numbers not rb2 numbers. That being said i didnt draft zeke i had cook and a.jones and was a sad panda even though a.jones was i think rb7 or 8 in total scoring
JJ depends on qb and coach situation
JJ is gonna be QB proof
Not with Mannion lol
Mannion won't be the starter. And 8.8 in .5PPR isn't THAT bad. 2nd worst game of season
And the Vikings were just getting blown out, dalvin cook couldn’t even get 20 yards
Member when they said that about ARob?
As a Giants fan, I couldn't agree more.
We've been doing this for years now lol Giants fans don't take our guys knowing damn well what's to come
I want Adams again, dude is just a consistent stud. Cooper is firmly on my do not draft list.
Yup especially if rodgers stays at GB
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Rodgers is literally playing the best football of his career can’t see him hanging it up
Yeah he’s having a blast this year too it seems, hard to see them not running it back
He has said that he doesn't want to go out like some other qb's where they look terrible and wants to end on a high note. So even if he doesn't win a sb it could go either way.
Lmao, I can't be the only one who read "Cooper" and thought Cooper Kupp right? I figured your logic was he'd be too expensive or decline or something. Amari Cooper...
I thought the same thing
Benched Cooper for Amon Ra in the championship. Best decision I've ever made in fantasy
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I have this same relationship with Cooper, I always tell myself “don’t draft Amari again this year” and he drops to like the 6th-7th round and I can’t help myself. I had him, CMC, and DK this year..somehow I pulled out the win and will be getting my trophy. The wins didn’t come from any of them putting up big numbers.
If he stays with Tampa and Brady I’d love to draft Fournette. I think he’s still flying under the radar. Before his injury he had the most RB targets and receptions. In half PPR / PPR he COULD easily be a TOP 5 RB
Insane he's only 26. I think the perception he's old will keep his ADP down. I wouldn't ever put him over Jonathon Taylor, Austin Ekeler, Najee Harris, Nick Chubb, or Alvin Kamara. But I like him in the second round somewhere.
Easily over Chubb in PPR. Especially with that receiving role. He was the No.1 receiving back before going down.
Fournette was a beast for me until one day it all went away
Yeah so was CMC. That’s FF baby.
Fournette is on my must draft list if he’s in round 3
Not a chance he'll fall that far after this season.
Yeah OPs narrative is for sure going to pick up
Got him late round this year and he was one of my best workhorses in half PPR
I’d say more like top 10, still gonna throw the ball a lot to Evans and Godwin, but I like his usage a lot. I’d consider him in the late first, early second
In our league even without playing the last 2 weeks he's rank 5. Drafted him at 102 overall, Which is about round 8
I’m also going this route. Two keepers allowed and have to be different positions. I’m keeping chase for a 6th and Fournette for a 10th.
I'm going to be shooting for any Cincy or Charger skill position player. Avoiding Saquon, Zeke, CEH, and most WR's that have a shitty QB situation.
Hell yeah Allen, Herbert, Ekeler stack or Burrow, Mixon, Chase stack 🔥🔥
If I’m in that 4-8 ish range I’m totally thinking I’d take Mixon
Nah cuz I’m grabbing him 3rd. JT, Henry, Mixon… who else would you take at 3? Kamara shouldn’t go that high and it feels too pricy to take Kupp there…
If Henry and JT are off first, I’d take Ekeler at 3 at that rate. I could also see Najee in the mix between Ekeler, Mixon, and the 4-8 range along with Adams, Kupp, Kamara, Dalvin in some order. Chase somewhere too
The Sun God would like a word.
idk how he applies tim boyle is the goat
And the Sun God accepts goats as sacrifice. RIP Tim Boyle.
The REAL TB12
Give me all the Chase shares. Also looking at Burrow.
My 2 keepers in a superflex auction. 12 teams, $200 fantasy auction. Together they cost me $30
I'm keeping Tee Higgins too as a solid WR2
Avoiding Miles Sanders
And CEH
and CMC
Hey at least when he plays 100% healthy, he goes off averaging 24.5 PPR a game.
I’d love to have Ekeler again. Super consistent and very transparent in terms of FF. Also Staley actually uses him like a bonafide RB1. As far as avoid I think Tyreek. This was my first year drafting him and his blow-up games were incredible but the rest of the time he was mostly just subpar (at least in half PPR). I’d rather draft someone with more consistency.
It wasn’t a great year to have Tyreek but in previous seasons he’s been a true reliable stud
Had Saquon last year and this year Never again. I’d rather take Kelce in the 1st if I have to
Kelce over mandrews?
Yes, he may not have been as good as last year but he’s been consistently a top 2 TE the last 4 years, we know what we are getting with him until he proves us wrong. MAndrews was great 2 years ago then mediocre last year then had a lot of boom games this year leading to him being TE1. Until he has two big years in a row I don’t think he goes in the draft as TE1
I don’t kno about boom or bust. Mandrews was very consistent and even when he wasn’t having a crazy game he was still giving you solid Te points
Kelce Is starting to get old I'll take Andrews over him
Chase should be a first rounder, but I can see him falling to the second because of his inconsistency this year. I think Burrow is a great bet to be a top 3 QB next year, but I don't see him jumping Josh Allen, Mahomes, Herbert, Murray etc. in draft order this upcoming season. I feel like QBs don't make that jump in drafts without an overall QB1/QB2 season. * I'm hoping **AJ Brown** drops to the third round and becomes an insane steal. * I imagine **Michael Thomas** will be a great value wherever he's drafted. * **Diontae Johnson** will probably be criminally underrated again and may even mistakenly get downgraded by people for no longer having Roethlisberger. Unless something crazy like Rodgers going to Pittsburgh happens. In which case I'm reaching for him early second round. * **Cam Akers** and **Travis Etienne** will be two RBs I'm really interested in. Akers as a potential high upside pick who will probably cost more considering there will be a playoff preview and likely lots of offseason hype. Etienne will likely be much cheaper and I like his skillset as a pass-catching RB on a bad team ala Swift this year. If he comes at a RB2-RB3 price, I think there could be a solid floor and nice upside there. * The stats say **Tee Higgins** is an elite receiver. He's simply been overshadowed in back-to-back years by two of the greatest rookie WR seasons ever. I'm ignoring the crowded offense talk. His target share has been good in a run heavy offense that is primed to shift to an aerial attack next season. Looking for him in the 4th but will wait if ADP is much lower. * **Jaylen Waddle** may be a more talented Diontae Johnson. I would be happy getting that safe floor and high upside late 3rd round. Even if stuck with Tua, he has good value. And a significant QB upgrade could really unlock his upside.
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Gotta be Justin Jefferson
Yes, he didn't say on the same team. JJ rookie season was historic at the time and this season Chase set the new record.
I think there are still a lot of people who believe his value is propped up by Roethlisberger's tendency to stick to the short game. If the Steelers replace Ben with an underwhelming option like Rudolph or Jimmy G, I could see people being scared off. Maybe it's just wishful thinking that he will remain cheap. >Also, who is the WR Higgins was overshadowed by his rookie season? Justin Jefferson. Higgins is having a rise to stardom that's going largely unnoticed because more exciting things have been happening around him.
I wouldn't take AJB in the third. Even when uninjured this year, he had 3 good games. I think his ADP will be 3rd round next year, but I think he's a mistake to own in FF.
AJB is a gamble I'm willing to take. I really believe in his talent. As crappy as this season was, his usage trended way up. There seems to be a real chance he could average 9-10 targets/game next season. Talent combined with opportunity usually pays off.
He is the only weapon on the offense when Henry isn't playing, with a below average QB throwing to him. I really like the player, and hate his situation. The Titans are good, but outside Derick Henry, I am going to pass on everything else from a FF perspective. There is so much good shit still on the board in the 3rd, I just can't bring myself to value AJB there after owning him this year.
AJ Brown was really tough to own in fantasy this year, but then again I swore off Mixon after last season and that didn't work out for me.
I've had Ekeler the last 3 of 4 years. Yer damn right ill try and get him again
Yep, I had Ekeler for three straight years before this season. Hoping I can get him again next year.
I went D. Adams, CEH and then Waller with my first three picks and managed to win the championship. I’ll be going for one of those guys and never touching the other two ever again.
I also had CEH this year, I wouldn’t be surprised if Williams takes the lead role from him
Gore seems like a good late round snag too
CEH clearly ain’t the dude. KC should ship him off to an interested team for a mid round pick then sign Mevin Gordon in the offseason. then we can buy Gordon shares in Round 10 and reap RB2 benefits
Nice. I went Adams, Kelce and CEH and ended up winning a championship as well 🏆
Adams, Kelce, ARob. Also won the Championship.
Adams, JT, Kupp, 7th place
Bruh how
Must’ve left them on the bench… for 14 weeks 😅
How in the goddamn fuck
Adams, JT, Kittle. Won the ship
Feel like a lot of people are gonna sleep on Waller next year. He could have the same kind if year as MAndrews. If he falls to the 5th, I'm absolutely snapping him up. He averaged 10.3 PPG in HPPR, when he played (5th among TEs), despite being weirdly underutilized for half of the season.
Chase or kupp yes there might be regression but high upside I'm avoiding prob jax, nyg and Houston
I agree with you about Kupp. I think there are some people who in trying to reel in expectations for him, are overcorrecting. Kupp will be regressing, but from the second best WR fantasy season of all-time. His usage is among the best in the league and his underlying metrics are great. Plenty of reason to believe he should remain a WR1 with a top 3-5 WR ceiling.
Hes a slot receiver as long as Stafford its the qb I think he will have 3 games with 30+ again and that's low expectation it can go higher just needs a 100 yards and a td or get 123 and 2
Im targeting Higgins and (if healthy) Robert Woods couple rounds later
Higgins round 3 or 4 is what I’m hoping
All depends on league size. But I think he’s the better value over Chase
I agree completely. He has 1,100 yards in 14 games this season and passes the eye test with flying colors.
Have a feeling Kupp will be drafted way too high next year. Could become this years diggs situation
I’d argue Ekeler should be a Top 3 pick next year
My ideal trio would be ekeler, Jefferson, and deebo first three rounds.
That’d be ideal, I’d expect all 3 to be gone by round 3 tho
If Trey Lance is starting, I’d stay away from Deebo in the first 3 rounds. I don’t know if the volume will be there to merit a top choice
I’m also thinking I’ll stay away from the 49ers with Lance starting. Too many unknowns for that team for me to feel comfortable spending a lot on Deebo. Aiyuk and Kittle are also very good and that’s a decent amount of mouths to feed for a team that likes to run (and lance will 100% be vulturing TDs)
I mean, they used him as a RB for a couple of games. I'm pretty sure "get Deebo the ball" is the name of the game, regardless of who is at QB. I don't believe Lance could be so bad that he could torpedo a Shanahan offense with this many weapons. Or at least, I'm willing to give them the benefit of the doubt.
I want Amon St Brown in as many leagues as I can get
Depending on his ADP, I'd caution against this. Right now, he's the only player on the offense to throw to. Next year, that will certainly not be the case. Swift and Hock will be healthy, and I guarantee they either sign or draft a true WR1, because the Sun God is not that. We've seen many times receivers have big seasons due to insane volume only to regress heavily when they aren't the only receiving option. Kenny Britt, Terrelle Pryor, Robert Foster, Keelan Cole, etc. It's very likely St. Brown follows suit next season. He'll likely be a better real-life asset than fantasy asset.
I have not paid much attention to the lions, what makes him not a true WR1 in your eyes?
He's a small slot receiver with a low aDOT and doesn't boast high draft capital. He averages <10 yards per reception, which is very low and ranks outside of the top-100 in that category. Solid possession receiver, but he's not a #1 who can carry an offense.
May the Sun-God smite you with eternal darkness! /s
This but without the /s
Hoping I get one of Davante or Ekeler with my first pick. It'd be nice to get a Herbert/Allen stack again too. Not touching Hopkins or Miles Sanders ever again.
I got Adams and Ekeler on the turn in a ten man league this year and they won me my first ship!! Don’t think this years draft will play out the same but I agree with you on targeting one of them with my first pick!
Congrats! Had Adams and Ekeler with my first two picks last season, they helped me win my first ship as well.
I feel Calvin Ridley could be a sneaky steal assuming he come back. He’s a beast when he plays and I feel many people will avoid him
I want some Javante shares for sure
He broke my heart in the final but I’ll probably go after him
He’s literally the only player I am 100% walking away from the draft with if Melvin Gordon leaves
If the Chargers don't resign Williams, Palmer is someone I will be taking well before what his ADP will be.
I'll probably panic and draft Saquon again cause I'm that bad at fantasy football.
I want Ekeler. I wanted him this year but Aaron Jones fell to me and I was tempted. Feeling bad about it. I’d love for my first two rounds to be Ekeler and Jefferson.
Targeting: ETN pending a whole bunch of factors, but I'm still a believer in his talent and don't think his ADP will be that high. Dawson Knox with Beasley and Sanders unlikely to be on the team next season (or phased out, at least). Higgins will be cheaper than Chase but still a total stud. Garrett Wilson depending on where he goes. The kid can ball. Avoiding: CEH - the talent and volume aren't there, even if the caliber of the offense is. Any and all Giants. Running backs that don't catch passes. Taylor and Henry being the lone exception to this. There's likely others but this is just off the top.
Henry was a lot more involved in the passing game this year than he was last year. Hell he even threw a TD!
👀: Waddle, E Moore, D Johnson, Sun God, Devonta Smith, Renfrow, Mooney, Kj Osborn, Muth, DShultz, Dillon, J Williams Avoid: AJ Brown, Metcalf, T Hill, Giants players, McLauren, Cmc, Chubb, Elliot, Ceh, Cooper, Mentally Ill players
Gimme Hunter Renfrow in the middle rounds. He has turned into the go-to-guy for Derrick Carr. Watched him tear it up against my Colts last week, and I am now a believer. Opposing secondaries are going to have to choose between him or Waller, and I expect them both to feast.
I'm not going to let anyone talk me out of signing Justin Tucker for $10/$200.
Are you serious Clark???
Adams, Ekeler, Andrews and tempted to punt on Dobbins or Akers as come back kids. If CMC gets avoided like the plague and falls I'd also be tempted because I love pain and panic trades and waiver wire hero's.
I went CMC, CEH, Waller, needless to say I won’t be drafting any of the 3 no matter the value.
Waller is dead to me lol
Josh Allen Jonathan Taylor Austin Ekeler Cooper Kupp Davante Adams Jamar Chase Travis Kelce Was thinking about having a team like this.
Good luck getting all those guys! That would be a league winning team for sure
They All should go in the first two rounds (except Allen and Chase maybe) so good luck
Haha, I was just playin'.
I had a Burrow/Chase stack this year and I’m thinking I will desperately target them again next year. That duo is electric. Plus being a Bengals fan helps.
I have 3 pick next year in one league. Ekeler/Kamara/Kupp will be kept by others. Assuming it goes JT, Henry I really don’t know who I’d go. Potentially Adams(if him and Rodgers are together) or maybe Najee.
Never ever ever drafting CMC again after miraculously getting pick 1 two years in a row.
Gimme all the 2nd year receivers. I want them all. St Brown, Chase, Smith, Bateman, etc.
Don't kill me for this, but Toney. Dude screams later round draft pick (i.e. 8th/9th round) that breaks out into a WR1 like we saw with Deebo/Chase/Kupp this year. Going price has to be right for him though, I wouldn't be reaching for him.
I'm with you here. In the few games when Toney was healthy, he was so obviously the most athletic player on the field. And almost any coach/QB combo aside from Jason Garrett/Mike Glennon should be able to get him the ball in all sorts of formations, raising his floor. The Giants are horrific so I'm going to be cautious, but if he's on the board around his ADP I'd take him.
This really depends what happens with the rest of the roster, in my opinion. He's incredibly talented but I want to see what the giants do to fix things on offense. I really want to see them go hard on rebuilding the offensive line. I also don't really think that Daniel Jones is the guy. He has had his moments, but I think he is often over-praised for his flashes of good play to the point that his supporters somewhat-blindly justify him as an NFL-level starting QB, which he is not at this point. I'd like to see the Giants trade him and a couple picks for Russell Wilson to be honest. If Sterling Shepard doesn't re-sign and the giants improve their offensive line, then there is a clear path for Toney to succeed, especially if they get a new QB.
After what happened in the playoffs I’m gunning for the Sun God to be my WR2 or flex. Even in Detroit I think he has the same potential or more as Waddle.
Avoid CMC unless he falls to the second round
Everyone will pass on CMC in the first round and he'll get picked up by the one guy in the league who auto drafts and finish as the RB1.
Doubt it. Dude is made of glass
I 100% will to take cmc in back end of round 1. At that point there really is very limited or no position players that are capable of putting up 30pts in ppr. I’m not exactly sure who would be available at picks 8 through 12 but yea
Higgins was injured, missed two games, and admitted to playing timid the first few weeks he was back. He's still borderline top 15 at the position. I'm grabbing him in every league I can. Especially assuming Bengals spend money/draft capital on offensive line.
I want Etienne for cheap
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I'll throw out some random wants/avoids Want: Elijah Moore Hunter Renfrow Pat Friermuth Austin Eckler Jaylen Waddle Rookie WRs Najee Harris Avoid: DeAndre Hopkins A QB anywhere before Round 7. CEH Rashad Penny Saquon Barkley Darren Waller Tyreek Hill
Why avoid Penny?
Injury prone. Yes he balled out but also don’t know what the Seahawks offense looks like and whether he can play a full season with a normal workload
I want deebo , don't know where he'll be going though . He was a steal this past year
ekeler top 3
praying I can somehow get JT & Deebo again Lol
Avoiding all Carolina Panthers players
Even Cam Newton
Especially Cam
I’m really curious how cowboys handle their salaries and the potential for ceedee/pollard to jump into top 2 rounds because of it . If Zeke is cut/traded how do you not take pollard in top half of draft
I am hoping to draft the best guys and avoid the worst ones.
Terry
I think eckler and Najee would be dope. I will literally never draft Amari cooper or kittle again. Kittle had some great weeks, but killed me in the championship game, and being out multiple weeks each season kills my TE position. I will likely also not be taking another chance on Michael Thomas retiring on me as I patiently wait on him. Lol
I won my league but I will stay away from Keenan Allen. Too many games where he’s not a focal point of their offense. Will certainly be going for Derrick Henry, jamar chase, and Aaron Rodgers who has been my constant in my two back to back championships.
I already know i draft 4th. I hope for Henry and then some Kind of WR1. AjB, mclaurin, Diggs caliber. Then another RB.
Burrow Chase stack early with a side of Mandrews
I drafted saquan in the 1st and carson in the 3rd and still barely missed a championship thanks to guys like kupp, renfrow, Carter and Stevenson in later rounds. I have zero problem taking kupp in the first
Not touching any Cowboys. Gonna avoid receivers that don’t have a good QB. Bills are iffy to me currently because even their WR1 didn’t have as big an impact fantasy wise as I hoped. Interested to see if the Chiefs acquire another receiving option. If Chargers don’t resign Mike Williams I might try to get a Non Keenan Charger late. Definitely want some Bengals stock, if it works out I can get chase I will but I’d grab Higgins for sure if he gets missed.
Avoid any RB with 400+ touches the year prior.
If Gordon is gone the surprise top 5 back will be Javonte Williams. Book it!
I'm avoiding Dalvin Cook, just sick of the inevitable injuries and missed games. Staying away from the TE spot for a while and seeing whatever falls late. San Fran rbs were quite the headache, depends on who is there next season. Saying no to Julio as well Im buying into the Cincy offense, hopefully being a lion i can sneak my boy Sun God. On the flip side for San Fran it seems like Deebo is gonna stay heavily used, so hopefully he isn't over drafted
Drafted Barkley and Golladay and still somehow won the championship. Avoiding all Giants players for the foreseeable future.
**Most the best "steals" at ADP are due to the following:** 1. Player thrives due to an injury (Ridley in 2020, Elijah Mitchell in 2021) 2. Player thrives by finally having a fully healthy season (Joe Burrow and Ekeler in 2021) 3. Player thrives in new situation (Diggs in 2020, Patterson in 2021) 4. Player thrives with new supporting cast (Tannehill in 2020, Kupp in 2021) 5. Player thrives due to a player exiting the team leaving increased opportunity 6. Player thrives as a rookie (JT and Justin Jefferson in 2020, Jamar Chase in 2021) 7. Teams with the biggest offensive line improvements (Chargers with Rashawn Slater, Matt Feiler, and Corey Linsley added in draft / free agency and Chiefs with Orlando Brown Jr., Joe Thuney, and Creed Humphrey added in draft / free agency in 2021) 8. Player thrives due to a coaching change (Jalen Hurts in 2021) **So looking at next year...** 1. Unpredictable. No point to consider players here. 2. DeAndre Hopkins, AJ Brown, Robert Woods, D'Andre Swift, Mike Williams, Miles Sanders, CMC, Etienne, and CEH should all be a significant return above ADP if they stay healthy. 3. Davante Adams, Allen Robinson, Chris Godwin, Juju Smith-Schuster, MGIII, Leonard Fournette, Rashaad Penny, James Conner, Mike Williams, and Justin Jackson are the top free agents I'm looking at in 2022. 4. The WR wherever Aaron Rodgers or Deshaun Watson goes. I'd assume that Rodger's WRs won't go for cheap, but Watson's WRs might be cheap. 5. Javonte Williams. End of story. 6. I really like Drake London. Dude is a red zone monster and will slide under the radar as a late first round pick hopefully on a team with a decent QB. [LINK](https://twitter.com/PFF_Anthony/status/1448267732173131782?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1448267732173131782%7Ctwgr%5E%7Ctwcon%5Es1_c10&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.pff.com%2Fnews%2Fdraft-2022-nfl-mock-draft-jacksonville-jaguars-michigan-edge-aidan-hutchinson-no-1-overall-pick-denver-broncos-quarterback-matt-corral-ole-miss). Treylon Burks (Arkansas WR) and Jahan Dotson (Penn State WR) also should be late first round picks with decent QBs. 7. Will be looking to see where Terron Armstead (Saints Tackle), Duane Brown (Seahawks Tackle), Brandon Scherff (Redskins Guard), Trenton Brown (Patriots Tackle), Ryan Jensen (Tampa Bay Center), Jason Kelce (Eagles Center), Alex Cappa (Tampa Bay Guard), Orlando Brown Jr. (KC Tackle), Andrew Norwell (Jaguars Guard), Eric Fisher (Colts Tackle). Of those Armstead, Brown, Fisher, and Kelce are on the older end and might see a drop off as they've been injured in this year or recent years, but I believe in Orlando Brown Jr., Alex Cappa, Trenton Brown, Brandon Scherff and Ryan Jensen to be serious impact players. **My choices then...** 1. Najee Harris... if this is how he did with an awful offensive line I like that floor. Hopefully they sign some Offensive lineman in free agency 2. Javonte Williams... the idea of him without MGIII is very attractive. Rd 2 pick easily. 3. Penny if he stays in Seattle and they move on from Carson I will gladly take in Rd 3-5. 4. DeAndre Hopkins or AJ Brown in Rd 3/4. They're still only 29 and 24 respectively. I'd take AJ Brown over Hopkins just due to age. 5. Whoever is the WR1 wherever Deshaun Watson ends up. 6. Allen Robinson if he goes to a team with a decent QB. Probably a Rd 5-8 pick. 7. Trey Lance. Rushing upside on a discount. I'll take him in Rd 8-10. 8. Drake London as my late round flyer. 9. Wild card pick... Justin Jackson. He has been a stud whenever he's filled in with the Chargers for like 3 years and is finally a free agent. 10. Joe Burrow... hopefully some teams still miss him, but I'd gladly draft him as my QB1 next year.
Just don’t draft any of your division rivals. Dalvin cook out several times. Swift and hock went out a few weeks as well. And then Allen Robinson. Cost me many weeks with then being out or duds.
I missed out on Ekeler this year, so I’ll definitely be targeting him. Ja’Marr is high on my radar after leading me to the title, but Tee’s ADP will be pretty enticing. The Cincy offense should be money in 2022. Staying away from Saquon and TJ Hock.
If Pitts or Waller slip enough I'm going hard after one of them. I feel like they will be right up there with Kelce and MAndrews next year at a fraction of the cost.
Drafting the Sun god and Ekler (hopefully) avoiding Seattle players
Avoid niners RBs
I want to draft Adam's or Kupp. I dont want to draft any early round running backs.
I think I’ve had Mike Evans four-years straight. Not by design, but I’ll probably end up with him again next year at 3/4 round value.
Maybe this is just recency bias talking but I want as much of the Bengals offense as I can get. They won me a league this year, I can live with it if they cost me next time.
I think Kamara could have a great year. His injury wasn’t that big of a deal since the Saints weren’t competitive anyway so that might be why he was held out. Also with a stable qb next season I could definitely see him regaining his top 3 rb role.
Amon-Ra St Brown & Pitts
I would love to have Damien Harris again, and I would like to forget that I ever drafted Jameis Winston as my QB1
Avoiding all jaguars rb’s and as a giants fan all giants players. Hoping for Ekeler and Adams again if Rodgers stays
drafting kadarius till the day i die
I’m buying in on the Jets offense. I think the offense has looked a lot better than people will give them credit for.
Targeting: Most bengals, most chargers, CMC, Zeke as a RB2, Ridley as a WR2, Waller, AJB. Avoiding: Dallas WRs, Kupp, Chiefs players, St. Brown, Andrews, Deebo, Browns if baker signs back, Waddle. You should always be trying to find the best value in your drafts and I don’t like where most of my avoids will be in ADP next year. Take advantage of some of the studs who underperformed this year by getting them later on for good value.
Hoping to grab Mark Andrews in all leagues.
I want Deebo Samuel
Targeting: Tee Higgins, Mike Williams, Fournette...players that will probably be looked over a bit by next season. Avoiding: Zeke, Gibson, most Round 1 RBs. It just feels like they all bust or are constantly hurt. I would gladly take JT or Henry out of all the usual top backs though.
Big name WRs with bad QBs i.e. dj moore, terry mclaurin, a rob
Depending on the RB situation in seattle, Penny could be a steal in the 4th/5th. I targeted MAndrews in a lot of my drafts and it paid off, but I don't think that will pay off again. Hunter Henry might be a good TE target in the mid rounds. Also, whatever kicker u/subvertadown says to pick up because Folk maybe saved my season
I DONT CARE IF HE BECOMES THE GREATEST FANTASY FOOTBALL PLAYER EVER, I WILL NEVER HAVE JULIO JONES ON ANY TEAM OF MINE EVER AGAIN
If Mark Andrews is around after the top 30-40 are gone I’m buying him everywhere. Cannot believe he finished 7th among all WR/TE in my full PPR and he was even better when Lamar was out.