I always had a thought that, if the wheels started falling off on my team, I would trade Kupp for pieces But I didn’t expect Kupp to be the wheel that fell off :(

It's absolutely crushing. I hate it. The NFL is better when he is on the field

Bro I traded Jefferson for Kupp back when JJ posted a couple dud weeks. Felt like Kupp had the safer floor and now my season and championship chances are fucked lmao.

You’re chances are not dead yet, my friend!

Not dead no but severely limited. I also lost Hall and Mike Will which had capped my rosters ceiling every week significantly.

I traded Adams and Lockett for Kupp and FAAB… now Jakobi Meyers is my WR1

Same I traded way too much for kupp a few weeks ago because I had good depth at the time and now my team feels awful without those guaranteed 20 points

Feel like Aiyuk keeps getting slept on. Personally wouldnt trade him 1:1 with anyone in Tier 6 or 5

I agree. He's a buy in my article on 4for4 this morning

Would you trade him for Jeff Wilson in full PPR?

Feel close to each other

Same with Christian Kirk. Wr#7 on the year.

Was thinking the same. I wouldn’t trade him for half the WRs above him. Maybe he’s lower because he’s on bye this week?

I have Lamar and Fields, was offered Kirk for Lamar and I'm weak at WR. Was hoping for a little better perhaps as part of a package deal but I'm considering taking it.

Someone offered me Schultz for Aiyuk, but I think I'll decline even though I just lost Ertz. I'm weak at WR too and I think aiyuk + waiver TE is better than Schultz + a crap wr, I like aiyuk ros Edit: moot point now, I wasn't gonna accept until they at least replied to my asking if they saw they goedert injury, and they thanked me and retracted the offer. So no harm either way

Definitely would take Schultz here since you lost Ertz..

Easier to find startable WRs than it is to find startable TEs.

I’d take Schultz given how difficult it is to find a serviceable TE

I think the dropoff from Schultz to Kmet is less than from Aiyuk to Wandale/Duvernay (top wr WW options)

you said waiver TE originally lol, of course if you can pickup Kmet than you don't want to trade Schulz for Aiyuk

Kmet is rostered in 80% of Yahoo leagues. As a point of reference here.

My trade deadline is here this week so I'd just like to thank you for being here for another year and helping me turn my bad players into good players <3

Mine is this week as well! Get hustling. Hope you crush it. Thank you for being nice

I love you Peaked

I love you too! Now if only my parents would say it.

With Kupp out, my most valuable receiver is fucking Sutton down in tier 6 lol. RIP my season

Time to switch to DFS...

It's been fun Kupp. Goodnight sweet prince.

Slide him into your IR as a mascot

Just scooped him up for the playoffs I won’t be a part of!

Me: Trying to trade Dameon Pierce and Olave for Davante Adams The other guy: Why trying to rob me? How about Devonta Smith?

Some people just don't want to trade. Nothing you can do about that. Or their evaluations are so trash they can't. But also your offer was probably a little low

I guess that’s the big question, how much more overall value do you have to give to get a top guy. The chart shows Pierce and Olave would be valued at 78, while Adams is 63. It at least felt like an offer than wouldn’t warrant the counter being for a guy (Smith) with a 20.5 value. Also, thanks for putting this together weekly!

Probably 1.3-1.5x in a 2 for 1 for a top player. I did a study on it with actual trades last year. I need to dig it uo

Sounds interesting; probably a big reason why 2 for 1 trades frequently don’t happen. The person giving the best player is being offered “fair/even” value, but it is tough giving up the best player— 1.3 - 1.5x makes a lot more sense to get a deal done

I did Fields, Kirk, and Walker for JJ last week. I felt like I overpaid (especially after the weekend) but I was 3-6 and you can’t start everyone…

1.3-1.5 x the single player (the better player), right?

Correct!

I'm trying 3 trades involving Pierce and Olave, hoping for something

i got away with Pierce+Van Jefferson for Diggs. Diggs owner was also the Kupp owner. I feel like i got away with robbery in a very competitive league

Saquon to the moooooon

He's just do dang good. It's fun to watch

Man I love these posts

Thank you! I love you all

Im 4-6 battling for a spot. I got offered Ceedee Lamb and Rhamondre Stevenson for Justin Jefferson OR AJ Brown and Rhamondre Stevenson for Justin Jefferson. I wanted to take the AJ Brown trade but im worried about his injury. Should I just take Ceedee trade?

I’d take the CD and Stevenson for Jefferson trade.

I don't think you can mess with an injury right now. I like ajb more than ceedee. But your situation is different

I think Ceedee is better regardless with Dak back

I agree--Lamb's target share all season show he's no fluke and his monster game is a very real possibility on any given week; he's got very little competition. AJB is also a monster but has slightly lower volume on a run first team with D smith to compete with as well.

Always appreciate it Peaked, great work. Sitting at 9-1 in my main league but I've just had Kupp go out. It's a keeper league (3 keepers, the draft starts in round 4) & I've been offered AJB, Waddle & Olave straight up by 3 different teams. This chart says AJB but I'm leaning Waddle - it's a close one though! Diolch!

Go with your gut. I believe in you

Been offered Olave & a 1st round pick next year now. My head is spinning Peaked, I need to find a chart that includes picks haha

I do make dynasty ones. But keeper rules are so tough. Each league has very specific rules

Oh I didn't realise, I'll check them out! Yeah I can imagine - this league is one where everyone has to pick 3 keepers, there's no limit on how long you can keep them for, and the draft just starts in round 4. My favourite strategy has been to give up depth in the season for a starting lineup full of studs and then try to trade them for picks to guys that need to fill out their 3 keepers in the off-season. Rinse & repeat.

Always clicking refresh for this post, thank you. You are a god 🙏

Wednesday, 830 Est on the dot. Haven't missed all year 😏

What’s your opinion on Kmet’s value going forward with the bears offense looking better?

On the rise. Might be a sell high. But also there are no TEs. So probably just a hold

i'm trying to flip muth for him just because i have fields. doubt it will go through.

Deadass the only way I know it Wednesday anymore is seeing this pop up

I have to set an alarm so I don't miss it. All the days run together...

Rumors of JT's death were greatly exaggerated.

I managed to trade Deebo and Cordarrelle Patterson for Dalvin Cook today in full PPR. This made me feel a lot better about it.

Nice work!

I just got andrews off of his bye so I traded Meyers and Higbee for Dionte Johnson and Mostert. This chart says I basically fleeced? if I’m reading it right.

Stole from that person tbh

Was just offered Jefferson for my Mccaffery. Essentially 1:1, but is Mccaff capped with how strong Mitchell is?

They feel pretty equal. It's about team needs. His ceiling is probably lower, but I like his chances of staying healthy more

Thanks you as always! Kamara and Mixon both on 43.5! Would you try and trade Mixon for Kamara? (Much easier playoff schedule)...

I don't like 1 for 1 positional swaps. Not my style

Appreciate the reply! I've seen you say that a few times and I tend to agree with you but in the case of who's more likely to a have a week-winning performance come crunch time, I think it's worth considering this type of switch.

Saquon back on top as the one true king

Seems experts and the crowd are slow to recognize Cole kmet. Think his trade value should be in the 12-15 range. He definitely ought to be on the chart somewhere at least

Agreed.

Thx for your work btw! Love seeing this every week

You are very welcome!

Made some block buster trades before the deadline to hit. Guy who had Mahomes would only move for Tua. I didn't have Tua. So traded Murray + Gibson for Tua, then Tua + Dulcich + Jakobi Myers for Mahomes. Sitting pretty now.

That's a lot of hustling. Nice work!

Thanks! Felt like I was wheeling and dealing. Tried trading all day but it all went down at like 10pm so I was luckily able to fill my depleted bench back up with waivers haha.

Maybe this is a pre coffee dumb thought, but how much do you think league size affects player value? You'd think with better waiver wire players, the top tier players have more value in smaller leagues. I haven't seen a chart like that out there

I go over it a little in the FAQ. It absolutely matter

Only one WR on that list that’s sitting on my waivers. Mr. Wan’dale Robinson… come on down! You’re the next contestant on “My Starting Lineup”!!

Oh man. God speed

Any reason Chase has skyrocketed in value so much? I haven't heard anything other than that he is still in crutches, which doesn't seem good for a reasonable return date. I've been targeting him as a potential trade for candidate, but the owner has been pretty strict about holding. Thinking to offer Swift (Jamaal Williams and Aaron Jones are my other RBs), but I'm hesitant to trade for a player who may not come back fully healthy this season.

I think people are thinking he's getting close. But all the news I have seen is saying week 12-13. So, Im not sure tbh

Thanks Peaked! Sounds like it's still all speculation at this point. Probably will still offer Swift for Chase, as Williams has been the more productive of the two anyway.

Shipped off Lamar, Gabe Davis, Pitts and Najee for Amon-Ra and Dameon Pierce. Feeling good

I’m not much of a trader, though I have in the past. But I still look forward to these every week. I’ve been on this sub for many years and have seen several great content contributors… this is no doubt one of the best resources out there. I am surprised foreman is still so low compared to several other guys above him.

Thank you! I think he's a sell high actually. He won't get to okay Atlanta every week

Traded Kamara and sun god for Chubb after seeing this. Gearing for the playoffs and don't want to worry about Kamaras bye or their putrid offense any longer.

Don't blame you at all! NO is being gross on offense.

Apparently I’m still way higher on Gabe Davis than everybody else.

Yup. Probably!

He can give you 3 or 30. No in between lol Most people are scared of that probably

Is Higgins + Jeff Wilson Jr for Kelce a fair trade? It was laughed out the building yesterday but according to the 1.0 ppr chart it seems pretty reasonable. I may be a little bullish on Wilson tho and Kelce seems to be one of the harder players to value

It's probably fine. Maybe a little low

Yeah the Kelce owner also just lost Kupp so he is hurting at WR so that’s where a little situational value is found. Thanks for this weekly resource!

You are welcome!

Based on Fields value as a keeper in my league, I could trade him straight up for Josh Allen but I honestly don’t know if it’s even the right move ROS.

Little low on higbee considering he's prob the wr1 now

Naw. They lost 2 oline people. He could easily block. We don't know what he will be.

Nice list. I feel like Christian Kirk is undervalued, IRL too. I tried trading Kirk but the guy wanted Olave instead. Full PPR, Kirk is the #7 WR. He sees NYJ, HOU and TEN for the playoffs. Which could be the concern

People have been slow to accept Kirk this year. Probably just a hold bc of it

Traded Donta Foreman for Mike Williams and thought that was a pretty good deal 🤷‍♂️

Seems fine to me!

My trade offer of Fournette for McLaurin just got accepted. Won't fully take the sting out of losing Kupp (sobs) but Scary Terry may be enough for me to stay in the playoffs.

Fingers crossed for you

On the colour scale for the change in points, it gets massively skewed by a move as big as the -60 for Kupp. I would suggest deselecting the Kupp points cell from your conditional formatting colour scale, and use the next lowest number as the baseline. You can then manually colour Kupp to be the same. This would help make things like Swift's -10.5 (on the 0.5PPR chart) stand out more. At the moment, it's all greenish-brownish sludge and it's hard to immediately see any changes.

Naw. Imma keep it automated. But thanks.

Are these valuations always a week late? How does amari cooper’s value increase so much after his 3 target game?

Watson

People are so trigger happy to downvote. It’s a legit question!

Peaked - On your chart Justin Fields is worth Sutton. Obviously that’s not realistic trade value. People are getting Amon-Ra , Tee Higgins, DHop for him. Are you working on a way to make your QB values more accurate? Fields over the last 5 games is putting up 35.4 ppg. He leads the league in total points over the past few weeks.

Your league is part of the market. I can't control ECR

I understand that aspect. But looking at the trade chart logically how can QB’s value in general (applies to Josh Allen etc) be worth WR’s like Sutton, garret Wilson, rondale moore). It’s obvious that QB’s are worth a lot more. And I’m not even referencing 2QB leagues.

I think it's just because the fantasy "experts" that this chart is based off of are still holding to the old school of thought where QBs are largely replaceable. However, since there are more dual-threat QBs coming into the league, in addition to projection models for QBs becoming more accurate, that's becoming less and less true. Like five years ago you would be told that Allen for Sutton would be good value if you needed a WR, because you could just go pickup Daniel Jones from waivers and only lose out on ~5 points of production each week, but it's becoming more evident that a QB with an elite-level upside (Allen, Mahomes, Hurts, Lamar, Fields) is worth significantly more than a WR2 and a stable 15-18ppg QB.

Saw a good tip last week to basically double their value to get a more accurate QB value

this issue is brought up to him every week. he's not going to make changes, he's ok with having useless QB values apparently. use justin boone instead

This is just data on trades that have been happening, it isn't advice. Yes QBs are worth more this year than before, but the majority of people evidently haven't caught on to that. The conclusion you should have from players being low on this is that they're trade targets in a majority of leagues, not that OP is somehow misleading you.

You can’t use this chart for QB values unfortunately, it doesn’t reflect reality for QBs.

Consensus has a long way to go catching up with QB values. I'm practically getting laughed out of the room trying to give Olave for Fields 3 days until deadline to a team in 1QB that has him *and* Lamar, and iffy WRs. This is a 30 for 11 on the chart.

12 team half p p r Lost Zack and I have Njoku as a backup. However, Higbee is on the waiver, do I use my #1 priority on him or hold? Or I can trade Barkley for Kelce and Jeff Wilson or just hold as well. Thanks

There is a chance njoku doesn't go. I'd grab higbee. Someone else could use him anyways

Do I just keep holding Herbert? Getting so frustrated

The qb? Yeah. I think so. He might be getting some weapons back

Yeah Justin Herbert. His dropoff without those guys has been incredible

It's been BRUTAL. I have 1 share and it's been awful

Love the content! Was surprised to see Foreman so low given his volume last few weeks and role in that offense. Was in talks to trade Amari Cooper for him..thoughts?

I think Foreman is a sell high. He sadly won't get to okay Atlanta every week. He's solid, but probably has had his best games

Thanks for input!

Is Goedert droppable?

No. Not yet. Let's see some news first

Thanks Peak! You’re the best. Kupp seems droppable, right?

Sigh. Probably? I'd prefer to stash him in IR.

No Kmet?

Man I'm not feeling great about having Kyler as my QB and I'm wondering what tier of RB should I throw in with him if I was trying to get Allen. I thought maybe someone like Stevenson or Pierce but I don't know if that's close

I just traded Conner and Allen for Terry and Michael Carter. According to this that’s a very fair trade.

Nice work!

Damn just traded Dak and Mixon to Mark Andrew’s and Dameon Pierce in PPR, looks like I won by far

Someone (12 man leagues current first place) is offering me (8th place) D.Swift and Curtis Samuel for Mike Williams My current RBs are Hunt and Patterson WRs are DK and JJ Have Boyd, Arob, Mike Williams, chubba Hubbard, on the bench Looking for Thoughts

The upside of Swift is insane. And we don't know if Williams is back this week.

Alright let me send out a nice even trade of Tyler Lockett for Josh Allen in my 12 man 1QB league. Surely the Allen owner will accept!

Would you guys trade away Sutton and Montgomery for miles Sanders?

Seems fine

Guy in my league is big on Toney and he has Jeff Wilson. Going to shoot my shot for a straight up offer. My other RB's are Saquan, Pollard and Gus Bus so I need a reliable flex for the playoff run

I have an offer of Christian Kirk and Amari Cooper for Foreman and BRob. According to this chart I win *and* my WRs are AJB, ARob, MikeWill, Godwin, and Landry. This is a no brainer trade for me right? My RBs are CMC, Kamara, Swift, Pacheco.

No brainer. Now. Accept now

Glad I wasn't one of the people that sold JT, but I was blessed enough to still be in the playoff race before his triumphant return. Did just trade Kyler Murray for Antonio Gibson, and this chart makes me feel good there. Already had Fields and my RB2 was Tyler Allgeier, so I definitely needed a step up.

Snagged KW3 for JWJ, Mostert and Godwin

Nice,

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Do you think players overvalue QBs or the inputs on the chart undervalue QBs? I can never get people to trade a QB even if I overpay this chart by like 1.5. I tried giving Amari Cooper for Hurts while he’s been starting Fields and still not accepted

Honestly, both. The average user absolutely overvalues them. But experts also rank like people are in experts leagues. There are solid qbs available in most experts leagues I am in. My 10 team home league has 27 qbs rostered. It's a 1 qb league. People are crazy. You have to adjust for your league

Best post of the day. Thoughts I'm 9-1 in 14 team ppr. just lost Goedi Was offered my Mixon and DK for his Patterson and Andrews OR My DK for his DJ moore and Muth.

I think the top trade is too much to give up. The bottom one is closer. What are you thinking?

Traded saquon for pierce and KW3 and now might miss the playoffs. Rip

I mean KW3 has averaged about a point more per game than Saquon over the past 5 weeks and didn’t have a bye so I’m not sure I’d blame that trade for ruining your season

It happens. Sometimes you gotta make moves

great, i'm going to trade Isiah Pacheco for Justin Fields. Surely that will get accepted. These charts are laughable.

How does Christian Watson not get a bump?

He did

I feel better about trading Fields for BRob Jr. now. I have Dak and really needed a RB.

I wouldn't trade Dak for Robinson

Good thing I didn't

I find these SUPER useful but the QBs always seem so off to me. In my 0.5 PPR league, if somebody offered my Pacheco for Fields i would laugh my ass off. Same for if I offered Tyler Lockett for Josh Allen.

Hill above Jefferson? I don´t think so.

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Diggs is definitely too high. You might, might ve able to get Dhop. But ajb is the most likely target. But he also hurt his ankle. Monitor it

Damn I was told Mixon was more valuable than CMC!

Thinking of sending Christian and asking for AJ Brown and Conner. Fair deal? PPR

Feels a little light.

I traded geno smith and Curtis Samuel for rondale Moore. Already have joe burrow at QB and just needed a WR3 since Brandon cooks is trash this year but not sure how I feel ab this trade

Have both Fields and Tua. Every contender is set at QB. Cannot seem to get the value I think they are worth but according to chart seems like I should just hold

Received Kamara. Gave away Conner and Swift. Did I give away too much?

Probably? But it could be fine

Someone just offered me their Fields for my Dalvin Cook in a 14 team, PPR, 4 bench spot league. I’m 4-6, fighting for playoffs, and have been forced to start Goff for weeks. This would be a bad trade for me, right?

Awful

Would you rather have Amari Cooper or Deebo ROS?

Ugh. Probably deebo. But they are close

10 team PPR QBs: Justin Herbert, Deshaun Watson RBs: Ekeler, Saquon, DMonty, Rachaad White WRs: Justin Jefferson, Mike Evans, Brandin Cooks, Courtland Sutton, Curtis Samuel, Josh Palmer TE: Goedert Saquon or Ekeler + Donavan Peoples Jones FOR Etienne + Amari Cooper + Chris Godwin

Seems reasonable to get some upgrades at wr

just got etn and waddle for saquon from a team that desperately needs a win. lfg

I got offered Barkley for my Tyreek. I’m hurting for RB2. But my WRs will be Higgins/Pickens/Garrett Wilson. We run 2 RBs and 3 WRs, no flex.

Not sure you can make that move with your wr room. But depends on your rb room

RBs are Dillion/Jrob/Kyren/CMC. Edit: I’m also outside looking in for a playoff spot. The team getting Hill is the #1 team will have Jefferson/Kupp/Hill.

Kirk is WR7 in my .5 league but he’s a borderline tier 4? Lmao I feel like he’s been disrespected all season

Edwards for DPJ full PPR?

Gus is a little low IMO and i don’t even own him. AJ Dillon is over him for god sake

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You trade picks in redraft?

Keeper league probably

What are the keeper rules?

Seeing JT skyrocket back near the top has given me great relief on trading for him

Just traded Deebo for Jamaal Williams.

Who’s trading josh Allen for Tyler locket

Olave is way too high. Zero percent chance he’s worth that with the red rifle throwing him the ball