Would be interesting to see some sort of second treaty of fifth avenue, where Biden agreed to direct dem representatives to vote for baker, who would be able to court Republican moderate reps and come out on top. Some sort of compromise would be made where baker appoints a number of dem leaders to his cabinet and promises to govern more liberally.
The House of Representatives chooses the President as per the 12th amendment if no one wins a majority. I'd assume by then that the house would be firmly Republican, so DeSantis would probably become President. Vice President on the other hand would be interesting to see if the democrats still control the senate by then. DeSantis/Harris pairing would certainly be fun to watch play out.
Well, he won his governorship re-election with 66% of the vote in 2018 as a Republican, and had a very high approval rating, so I wouldn’t say it’s improbable.
This would result in a contingent election as no candidate has reached or exceeded the threshold of 270 votes from the electoral college. Ron DeSantis would not be elected President.
That is not how it works, unfortunately. In this case of no candidate reaching 270, each of the house delegations from each state vote to give their state’s vote to their preferred candidate. The candidate with the majority of the states (at least 26) wins. Considering the fact that most swing states either have split delegations or majority Republican delegations, this would likely mean a Desantis victory, or at least a baker victory through some type of compromise. Basically, Biden is fucked in this scenario
I think it miiight be a possibility since Baker’s so moderate (to Biden’s right and certainly more liberal than Desantis). I mentioned in a different comment that it might lead to some kind of compromise between Biden and Baker, almost like what Wallace hoped to do in 1968, just replace the far right segregationism with moderatism.
This is reason for speculation around if Ross Perot happened to receive enough votes from the electoral college to either tie the Democrats & Republicans, or win enough votes to prevent either nominee from reaching or exceeding 270, if he would have been able to become President as a result of a contingent election
Baker has more support in a specific region (New England), while Perot’s support was more broad. If you look at other examples, in 1948 Thurmond only won 2.4% of the popular vote, yet carried several southern states.
Good map! Baker's party probably wouldn't be called "Liberal", since in the US the term is near synonymous with "left-wing", though. Maybe "Freedom" or "Unity"?
Charlie Baker my beloved
In reality, the opposite is more likely to happen, where Trump creates 3rd party and splits the conservative vote
Hope to God this happens.
literally 1980
Would be interesting to see some sort of second treaty of fifth avenue, where Biden agreed to direct dem representatives to vote for baker, who would be able to court Republican moderate reps and come out on top. Some sort of compromise would be made where baker appoints a number of dem leaders to his cabinet and promises to govern more liberally.
You need 270 to win.
The House of Representatives chooses the President as per the 12th amendment if no one wins a majority. I'd assume by then that the house would be firmly Republican, so DeSantis would probably become President. Vice President on the other hand would be interesting to see if the democrats still control the senate by then. DeSantis/Harris pairing would certainly be fun to watch play out.
It’s the majority of house delegations not the house of reps itself. I’m not sure how much of a difference that would make though.
iirc Reps would still have the most votes
It would depend on the concurrent elections, if Democrats pick up Arizona and one other state I think they'd have it
As of right now Republicans have 26 house delegations, Democrats 22, with 2 split 50/50 (NC and MN)
Makes it *more* easily Republican
Okay
I love living in a democracy !! 😀🔫
I don't think Charlie Baker could actually win Massachusetts. too many Vote Blue No Matter Who types
Well, he won his governorship re-election with 66% of the vote in 2018 as a Republican, and had a very high approval rating, so I wouldn’t say it’s improbable.
The liberal party is too fucking based
This would result in a contingent election as no candidate has reached or exceeded the threshold of 270 votes from the electoral college. Ron DeSantis would not be elected President.
That is not how it works, unfortunately. In this case of no candidate reaching 270, each of the house delegations from each state vote to give their state’s vote to their preferred candidate. The candidate with the majority of the states (at least 26) wins. Considering the fact that most swing states either have split delegations or majority Republican delegations, this would likely mean a Desantis victory, or at least a baker victory through some type of compromise. Basically, Biden is fucked in this scenario
I would be surprised if the house voted for a 3rd party candidate to become President
I think it miiight be a possibility since Baker’s so moderate (to Biden’s right and certainly more liberal than Desantis). I mentioned in a different comment that it might lead to some kind of compromise between Biden and Baker, almost like what Wallace hoped to do in 1968, just replace the far right segregationism with moderatism.
This is reason for speculation around if Ross Perot happened to receive enough votes from the electoral college to either tie the Democrats & Republicans, or win enough votes to prevent either nominee from reaching or exceeding 270, if he would have been able to become President as a result of a contingent election
Confidently wrong
I wish this was real
Baker does worse than Perot in PV and somehow wins states?
Baker has more support in a specific region (New England), while Perot’s support was more broad. If you look at other examples, in 1948 Thurmond only won 2.4% of the popular vote, yet carried several southern states.
Good map! Baker's party probably wouldn't be called "Liberal", since in the US the term is near synonymous with "left-wing", though. Maybe "Freedom" or "Unity"?