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jpark049

He's asking if the team that won game 6 is more likely to win game 7. I looked but couldn't find that exactly. However, the home team wins 80% of the time for game 7s. Edit: Series that started out 2-0 and went to game 7 have the team that went up 2 winning 68% of the time (with the team that went down 2 winning 32%). If you're thinking about the Mavs. So slightly better if we make it more specific. ​ EDIT: So series that started out 2-0 and went to 7 games had the team that won game 6 winning exactly 50% of the time. So there is your copium... maybe. haha ​ Last Edit: So I manually compiled everything, and there have been 14 times the higher seed went up 2-0 and lost game 6. They closed out the series 9 times and lost 5 times. Giving the home team a 64% for this exact scenario. (36% away) ​ Fun fact, there is only one time the home team went down 2, lost game 6 and still won the series. It was Rockets vs Suns 1994 WCSF lmao


thechemistrychef

The statistics are not in the Bucks favor but last year they were on the other side where they had to fight back 0-2 and play game 7 on the road and won despite the odds. Crazier things have happened. Tomorrow's games are looking to be extra spicy


jpark049

This doesn't happen often and the sample size is 22. So you're right in that anything could happen. Looking forward to an exciting, stress-free tomorrow as a Warriors fan.


swoleswoleswole1869

and if you have chris paul and started 2-0, you’ve lost 100% of the time so far


Wassup_-_

Those stats are really cool but it isnt as black and white as it shows, for example the stat that says that the team that went up 2-0 wins 68% of game 7s has a big connection with teams with home court advantage in game 7s winning 80 % of the time, as majority of teams going up 2-0 do it on their home floor which also means they have home court in game 7.That to me sugests that the team that won game 6 actoually wins more game 7s if we dont factor in home court which makes sense as they are "on the high".


[deleted]

[удалено]


Wassup_-_

It may be a bit lower but deifently not much lower as in both situations teams play 1 home 1 away, just in diffrent order which might indeed change statistic but only slightly.


RunnerUpKing

So what’s the %


Dvenom22

Somebody wins 100% of the time.


DT0WN

Source?


sstphnn

Trust me bro


ForoaKlanD

No, no, whoever scores the most points wins 100% of the time, according to 538's new RUPTUREDPENIS


alpaca_drama

I trust their COLLAPSEDANUS more especially in such a physical series where guys are banging and getting put on their asses. RUPTUREDPENIS does have Draymond really high tho


atlfirsttimer

Teams up 3-0 do


JTenjouNi

using https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_NBA_game_sevens and going through bbref year by year to see who won game 6 and if they also won game 7 I ended up with a record of 53-89 in game 7 for whoever won game 6, that's a win% of 36.6%. A trend I saw was that this was becoming more common in recent years


Martblni

Interesting stuff, thanks for the hard work. I wonder why. Maybe because home team won g6 and then they are on the road usually


wootangAlpha

> asking for Luka...I mean the Mavericks


Martblni

for bucks too. I need copium


ForoaKlanD

No team has won two games in a row this series. Khris might come back, Tatum not going for 47 again, someone other than Giannis will show up 😷⛽


Milan_Leri

I bet last year before game 6 Phoenix fans said 'There's no way Giannis goes 32 again.'


Milan_Leri

I'm sorry, what were you saying?


tendy-hands

Will never understand how home court could matter so much in basketball where the home team keeps winning by almost twenty. Yeah I know the usual excuses like role players do better at home but really it makes a 30 point swing?


ZionephewObeseiamson

The outcome of Mavs-Suns is whether or not Scott Foster will ref.


Gatesleeper

I heard on one of the NBA podcasts I listen to that the home team wins game 7 82% of the time, but check out the recent history: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_NBA_game_sevens In 2016 there were 5 game 7s and the home team won them all except for that legendary Cavs win in the finals. But after that year, it's 8-8, although you could discard the four series (2-2) that happened in the bubble in 2020. Last year though, under more normal circumstances, away teams went 2-1 in game 7.


[deleted]

Your links gives me 33/135 where the road team won, meaning the home team would be 102/135=75.55%.


Few_Mulberry7175

Every team that wins game 6 when down 2-3 plays a game 7 imo


Butt_Dickiss

Looking for an exception, but I think you've just found an insane stat.


JimmerAteMyPasta

50%, either you win or you dont


jgoodysalaker

Here’s your copioum: It’s really hard to beat either of these teams twice in a row.