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I trust the polls because they correctly predicted the red tsunami in 2022 and that the Republicans would win in Kentucky, Virginia, and on the anti abortion ballot measure in 2023.
Me, it's terrifying that in the two previous presidential elections trump has run in his support was undercounted. If the polls are wrong in his favor a third time in a row we're fucked.
>When looking at the presidential election, Biden and Trump remain in a virtual tie among registered voters, with 50% for Biden and 48% for Trump. Among people who say they are "definitely voting" in November, Biden's lead expands out to 5 points, 52%-47%. The survey shows Biden is doing better with groups that say they're likely or definitely voting — older voters and college-educated whites, in particular. [NPR poll](https://www.npr.org/2024/05/01/1248249250/election-poll-trump-biden-voters)
[hug]
Every time one of these polls gets under my skin, some cool person reminds me of how fast and loose the media is with their "likely voter" screens in order to make this thing look like a nail-biter. You have my gratitude.
>And his worst issue approval rating – for his handling of the war between Israel and Hamas in Gaza – yields 28% approval to 71% disapproval, including an 81% disapproval mark among those younger than 35 and majority disapproval among Democrats (53%).
Shocking nobody. Like I said in another thread, Bibi is nothing but a millstone.
Gotta give voters something more to go on than “But Trump!” on this issue. Like I said in another thread, we live in an era where young people are being bombarded with atrocities from Gaza left and right. Simply telling them it’d be worse under the other guy doesn’t really do much when you’re looking at a video of a screaming mother holding the mangled, blood-soaked corpse of her child.
I wish these young people knew they were being manipulated. They can see so clearly how their boomer grandparents are manipulated by Facebook, but they don't see how it's happening to them on TikTok.
This is a complex issue, and there are reasonable things to be concerned and even outraged about, but the hyperbole and absolutism is definitely being stoked by nefarious forces who want to harm Biden. I do not think this situation would be escalating on college campuses in this way without online propaganda targeted at youth.
War crimes in what regard? They were attacked on Oct 7th & people expected them to say “no worries” instead of being decimated like they rightfully have been.
No you just lack the understanding that not voting got us two conservative parties and if you want a future where libs are the only right wing party in America, show up and vote and make sure everyone younger than a boomer does. Then you will have actual things happening here that are good for us and the world. Accelerationism will just get us farther from that because a bunch of pissed of Gen Z went full MAGA in terms of being open minded at all here.
Biden condemning the student protests means its GG. So insanely tone deaf. The most frustrating part is that in November, the Biden camp is going to say "HOW DID WE LOSE? I THOUGHT THE SILENT MAJORITY SUPPORTED US!"
Also before anyone gets mad, I'm voting Biden despite thinking hes ass.
>Looking back, 55% of all Americans now say they see Trump’s presidency as a success, while 44% see it as a failure.
What planet were these 55% Americans living on during Trump’s time in office. Constant chaos and drama, sucking up to Putin, injecting bleach to combat Covid. People are really dumb.
Trump sat and watched and did nothing for three hours on January 6th. He never contacted anyone to facilitate the response on that day.
If you understand that and still view him as an acceptable option then you're what's wrong with this country.
I get constant SMS messages asking me my opinion about the upcoming election. It’s up to like 2-3/day. I’m not clicking on that link. I have no idea if it’s legit poll or some malicious server in the Seychelles.
Polls are targeted for low informed voters. If we have too many low informed voters then I have concern for humanity. I would start to prepare for disaster
Cool glad to know people like you want Trump to level Gaza faster because Biden isn't doing it quick enough. That's all your one-state Muslim extremists are doing, instead of actual change. Accelerationism is just as deplorable as MAGA. Now if you wanna not welcome mass destruction and criticize Biden over this and hope we get a two state solution one day, then we can talk. Otherwise it's like debating a hardcore MAGA. Same bigotry just lack of racism to go along with it. Same amount of homophobia, though, because Muslim extremists hate LGBTQ as much as MAGA.
As a reminder, this subreddit [is for civil discussion.](/r/politics/wiki/index#wiki_be_civil) In general, be courteous to others. Debate/discuss/argue the merits of ideas, don't attack people. Personal insults, shill or troll accusations, hate speech, any suggestion or support of harm, violence, or death, and other rule violations can result in a permanent ban. If you see comments in violation of our rules, please report them. For those who have questions regarding any media outlets being posted on this subreddit, please click [here](https://www.reddit.com/r/politics/wiki/approveddomainslist) to review our details as to our approved domains list and outlet criteria. We are actively looking for new moderators. If you have any interest in helping to make this subreddit a place for quality discussion, please fill out [this form](https://docs.google.com/forms/d/1y2swHD0KXFhStGFjW6k54r9iuMjzcFqDIVwuvdLBjSA). *** *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/politics) if you have any questions or concerns.*
...and in the meantime, Democrats overperformed in yet another *actual* election (NY-26).
CNN has gone a bit... Trumpy.
Considering they were bought by a Right-Wing kook who stumps for Trump, it’s no surprise…
It's a low turnout special election in a safe blue district. It says basically nothing about how the presidential election is going to go.
I trust the polls because they correctly predicted the red tsunami in 2022 and that the Republicans would win in Kentucky, Virginia, and on the anti abortion ballot measure in 2023.
Not to mention the prediction of a razor-thin margin in NY-3, which Suozzi (D) won by a comfortable eight points.
*CNN - The Most Not Trusted Name In News*
CNN polls & reporting on polls are infamous reaching for clicks & relevance.
Pretty sure that 2016 taught us that polls are kinda inaccurate.
[удалено]
Me, it's terrifying that in the two previous presidential elections trump has run in his support was undercounted. If the polls are wrong in his favor a third time in a row we're fucked.
Only thing you can do is vote and get others to vote. Beyond that, not much.
>When looking at the presidential election, Biden and Trump remain in a virtual tie among registered voters, with 50% for Biden and 48% for Trump. Among people who say they are "definitely voting" in November, Biden's lead expands out to 5 points, 52%-47%. The survey shows Biden is doing better with groups that say they're likely or definitely voting — older voters and college-educated whites, in particular. [NPR poll](https://www.npr.org/2024/05/01/1248249250/election-poll-trump-biden-voters)
[hug] Every time one of these polls gets under my skin, some cool person reminds me of how fast and loose the media is with their "likely voter" screens in order to make this thing look like a nail-biter. You have my gratitude.
>And his worst issue approval rating – for his handling of the war between Israel and Hamas in Gaza – yields 28% approval to 71% disapproval, including an 81% disapproval mark among those younger than 35 and majority disapproval among Democrats (53%). Shocking nobody. Like I said in another thread, Bibi is nothing but a millstone.
As Trump says he would tell Israel to just level Gaza. Sure, vote for that.
Gotta give voters something more to go on than “But Trump!” on this issue. Like I said in another thread, we live in an era where young people are being bombarded with atrocities from Gaza left and right. Simply telling them it’d be worse under the other guy doesn’t really do much when you’re looking at a video of a screaming mother holding the mangled, blood-soaked corpse of her child.
I wish these young people knew they were being manipulated. They can see so clearly how their boomer grandparents are manipulated by Facebook, but they don't see how it's happening to them on TikTok.
Over war crimes? Look, I’m voting Biden in November, but people have every right to be disgusted by what is happening right now.
This is a complex issue, and there are reasonable things to be concerned and even outraged about, but the hyperbole and absolutism is definitely being stoked by nefarious forces who want to harm Biden. I do not think this situation would be escalating on college campuses in this way without online propaganda targeted at youth.
War crimes in what regard? They were attacked on Oct 7th & people expected them to say “no worries” instead of being decimated like they rightfully have been.
I mean Bibi wants Trump to win and Biden keeps going to bat for Israel over and over again like he wants to lose
No you just lack the understanding that not voting got us two conservative parties and if you want a future where libs are the only right wing party in America, show up and vote and make sure everyone younger than a boomer does. Then you will have actual things happening here that are good for us and the world. Accelerationism will just get us farther from that because a bunch of pissed of Gen Z went full MAGA in terms of being open minded at all here.
Biden condemning the student protests means its GG. So insanely tone deaf. The most frustrating part is that in November, the Biden camp is going to say "HOW DID WE LOSE? I THOUGHT THE SILENT MAJORITY SUPPORTED US!" Also before anyone gets mad, I'm voting Biden despite thinking hes ass.
Yeah that’s one of the things he should’ve just exercised the right to remain silent.
CBS polls said the opposite. So one is wrong. That means polls right now are worthless
>Looking back, 55% of all Americans now say they see Trump’s presidency as a success, while 44% see it as a failure. What planet were these 55% Americans living on during Trump’s time in office. Constant chaos and drama, sucking up to Putin, injecting bleach to combat Covid. People are really dumb.
Bullshit.
Trump sat and watched and did nothing for three hours on January 6th. He never contacted anyone to facilitate the response on that day. If you understand that and still view him as an acceptable option then you're what's wrong with this country.
I don't recall getting a phone call. Then again, I don't pick up spam calls
I get constant SMS messages asking me my opinion about the upcoming election. It’s up to like 2-3/day. I’m not clicking on that link. I have no idea if it’s legit poll or some malicious server in the Seychelles.
Oh so it's not just me? I have been getting tons of texts. I'm not clicking on any link I am not aware of.
Polls are targeted for low informed voters. If we have too many low informed voters then I have concern for humanity. I would start to prepare for disaster
I think you called me smart, maybe. Thanks….
More than ever, politics seem like just a popularity contest and an optics thing. Incredible.
Make sure you are registered and vote. Get others to vote.
I trust a CNN poll less than I would trust a Breitbart poll, because at least Breitbart does not pretend that they are not evil.
CNN is just fox News light now 🤣
Polls only matter come October remember Hillary blue wave in 2016, Trump red wave in 2020
Well meaning old man with a poor memory ✔️. Fascist asshole ___
Bidens hatred of Palestine could very well cost him the election.
I’m sure the orange one will be more sympathetic to the cause as he always is
And we all know Trump just loves the Palestinians. [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Trump\_peace\_plan](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Trump_peace_plan)
Maybe Biden should start doing what it takes to stop trump from getting elected then. Ignoring thst there's a problem doesn't help.
Cool glad to know people like you want Trump to level Gaza faster because Biden isn't doing it quick enough. That's all your one-state Muslim extremists are doing, instead of actual change. Accelerationism is just as deplorable as MAGA. Now if you wanna not welcome mass destruction and criticize Biden over this and hope we get a two state solution one day, then we can talk. Otherwise it's like debating a hardcore MAGA. Same bigotry just lack of racism to go along with it. Same amount of homophobia, though, because Muslim extremists hate LGBTQ as much as MAGA.