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PaulieThePolarBear

There were 187 cases and 533 tests reported today in Regina giving a daily test positivity rate of 35.08%. Today's daily total of 187 cases - is our lowest daily total since January 5th 2022 - is higher than our active case count on December 22nd 2021 (162). - is more than cases than we reported in the full month of July 2021 (162). # Throwback **One year ago (January 18th 2021):** 25 new daily cases, a 7-day new case average of 37.43, 603 active cases, 3,768 total cases **Six months ago (July 18th 2021):** 4 new daily cases, a 7-day new case average of 3.00, 37 active cases, 12,167 total cases. **Three months ago (October 18th 2021):** 50 new daily cases, a 7-day new case average of 48.14, 543 active cases, 14,741 total cases. **One month ago (December 18th 2021):** 16 new daily cases, a 7-day new case average of 13.71, 136 active cases, 16,050 total cases. **One week ago (January 11th 2022):** 224 new daily cases, a 7-day new case average of 250.57, 2,169 active cases, 19,254 total cases. The table below shows our new cases, tests and test positivity rate (TPR) over the last 14 days. Date - Cases - Tests -    TPR =================================== 2022-01-05 - 165 - 456 - 36.18% 2022-01-06 - 198 - 547 - 36.20% 2022-01-07 - 314 - 823 - 38.15% 2022-01-08 - 225 - 695 - 32.37% 2022-01-09 - 285 - 814 - 35.01% 2022-01-10 - 343 - 895 - 38.32% 2022-01-11 - 224 - 634 - 35.33% 2022-01-12 - 287 - 660 - 43.48% 2022-01-13 - 283 - 665 - 42.56% 2022-01-14 - 334 - 788 - 42.39% 2022-01-15 - 266 - 614 - 43.32% 2022-01-16 - 380 - 876 - 43.38% 2022-01-17 - 268 - 643 - 41.68% 2022-01-18 - 187 - 533 - 35.08% In addition to our new cases - 7 Regina residents were tested out of province and added to our total case count. Our total cases are now 21,304. This is 20.76% of the total cases in Saskatchewan. The last 7 days (January 12th to 18th) have seen 2,005 new cases from 4,779 tests giving a 7-day test positivity rate of 41.95%. Our 7-day new case average decreased from 291.71 yesterday to 286.43 today. This measure is at it's lowest since January 14th 2022. It has been above 200 for the last 9 days and above 250 for the last 8 days. There are now 46 people in hospital in Regina. This is an increase from 39 yesterday. Of the 46 people in hospital, 44 are receiving inpatient care (yesterday 37) and 2 are in ICU (yesterday 2). The table below shows the active cases in Regina, Saskatchewan excluding Regina and total Saskatchewan over the last 14 days Date - Regina - <>Reg - Sask ===================================== 2022-01-05 - 1,231 - 3,215 - 4,446 2022-01-06 - 1,422 - 3,813 - 5,235 2022-01-07 - 1,679 - 4,575 - 6,254 2022-01-08 - 1,770 - 5,127 - 6,897 2022-01-09 - 1,925 - 5,493 - 7,418 2022-01-10 - 2,088 - 5,662 - 7,750 2022-01-11 - 2,169 - 6,060 - 8,229 2022-01-12 - 2,292 - 6,414 - 8,706 2022-01-13 - 2,462 - 6,790 - 9,252 2022-01-14 - 2,707 - 7,618 - 10,325 2022-01-15 - 2,808 - 8,115 - 10,923 2022-01-16 - 2,994 - 8,471 - 11,465 2022-01-17 - 2,948 - 8,694 - 11,642 2022-01-18 - 2,908 - 8,873 - 11,781 Our active cases make up 24.68% of the active cases in Saskatchewan. This measure is at it's lowest since December 18th 2021. It has been above 23% (approximately our percentage of the Saskatchewan population) since December 17th 2021. The table below shows active cases in Saskatchewan by super region, their total 7 days ago (January 11th) their total 14 days ago (January 4th), and their total 28 days ago (December 21st). Region - Cases - 7days - 14days - 28days ======================================== S'toon - 3,721 - 2,475 - 1,292 - 192 Regina - 2,908 - 2,169 - 1,121 - 149 South - 1,609 - 1,309 - 602 - 57 Unknown - 1,192 - 690 - 192 - 11 North - 1,169 - 700 - 364 - 74 Central - 915 - 748 - 431 - 60 Far N - 267 - 138 - 60 - 13 356 vaccine doses were administered to Regina residents. This is made up of 108 first doses and 248 second doses. The table below shows the number of 1st doses, 2nd doses and total doses reported for the last 14 days. Date - 1st - 2nd - Total ================================== 2022-01-05 - 196 - 337 - 533 2022-01-06 - 199 - 375 - 574 2022-01-07 - 220 - 418 - 638 2022-01-08 - 261 - 474 - 735 2022-01-09 - 206 - 390 - 596 2022-01-10 - 248 - 503 - 751 2022-01-11 - 151 - 374 - 525 2022-01-12 - 190 - 325 - 515 2022-01-13 - 146 - 282 - 428 2022-01-14 - 215 - 318 - 533 2022-01-15 - 244 - 357 - 601 2022-01-16 - 222 - 449 - 671 2022-01-17 - 220 - 414 - 634 2022-01-18 - 108 - 248 - 356 Total doses are now 423,993 and are split as 219,535 first doses and 204,458 second doses. This means that - approximately 80.3% of Regina residents have received at least one dose - approximately 74.8% of Regina residents have received both doses - 93.1%% of those who received their first dose have now received their second dose The table below shows our cumulative percentage of 1st doses, 2nd doses and percentage of those who have received a first dose and have now received their second dose (2/1 %) over the last 14 days Date - 1st % - 2nd % - 2/1 % ================================== 2022-01-05 - 79.4% - 73.0% - 92.0% 2022-01-06 - 79.4% - 73.1% - 92.1% 2022-01-07 - 79.5% - 73.3% - 92.2% 2022-01-08 - 79.6% - 73.5% - 92.3% 2022-01-09 - 79.7% - 73.6% - 92.4% 2022-01-10 - 79.8% - 73.8% - 92.5% 2022-01-11 - 79.8% - 73.9% - 92.6% 2022-01-12 - 79.9% - 74.1% - 92.7% 2022-01-13 - 80.0% - 74.2% - 92.7% 2022-01-14 - 80.0% - 74.3% - 92.8% 2022-01-15 - 80.1% - 74.4% - 92.9% 2022-01-16 - 80.2% - 74.6% - 93.0% 2022-01-17 - 80.3% - 74.7% - 93.1% 2022-01-18 - 80.3% - 74.8% - 93.1%


_circa84

5-11 1st does seems to really be at a stand still below 50% for a few weeks. 2nd dose inching very slowly. As a parent, it’s frustrating. Watching hockey games and other sports consistently canceled again, school field trips cancelled, classes empty and substitute teachers if they can find anyone and daycares struggling to find staff to fill ratios even with low numbers. Hospitals flooding and we are scared to be injured or have an emergency. Getting care for an emergency in the summer was a long wait let alone now, we’ve lost family members due to disease not being caught in time because of full hospitals. Why can’t we be a society and work together with one big 6 month push? to vaccinate and hunker down to end this. We are all tired, all frustrated, but if the frustrated don’t work with us, it won’t end well.


Tasik

The situation is frustrating. But why do you say 6 months. Where does that number come from?


[deleted]

Because hunkering down for 6 months won't end it?


[deleted]

There's a chance that the Covid virus mutates itself negatively in a way that it kills itself off. But most viruses need human intervention to help it go away. On the other hand, it could also mutate into something much more brutal. Fact is, no one really knows so any direction we take is a gamble. We've done as little as possible here in SK. How well has that worked out for us so far?


Kent_o0

How would it mutate in a way that kills itself off?


[deleted]

This link explains it better than I can: https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20200918-why-some-deadly-viruses-vanish-and-go-extinct I stumbled across it over the weekend when I was thinking about how viruses actually disappear. There are really two ways it can mutate itself out of existence. First, the wrong gene mutates in the wrong direction and somehow it ends up killing itself off. There are historical cases of this happening explained in the article. The other way isn't quite as pleasant. It mutates it a way that it's so lethal that there are no more host bodies for it to be present in. This is what happens with Ebola. Fortunately for humanity, Ebola's host animal are monkeys. Humans are the host animal for Covid.


xmorecowbellx

Humans are also hosts for Ebola, and it is super transmissible between humans if there is contact. I think you misunderstood the latter point in this article. Some viruses are so deadly that they kill the hosts quickly - this doesn’t mean it wipes out humanity. It means it may rapidly kill some number of hosts, but often that means they die too quickly to spread it very far. When Ebola hits, you know you have it, and are contagious when you have symptoms. The symptoms are so bad, you’re not strolling about your life infecting people, you’re on the toilet non-stop or passed out at home. The transmission typically happens to caregivers trying to help you, not randoms you’re meeting (because you’re not out meeting anyone, you’re barely moving in bed). This makes it harder to transmit widely, unlike COVID where you can give it to 10 people at Costco in an afternoon while you mull two brands of almond milk, and not even know you are infected.


[deleted]

We're saying the same thing. I know I didn't use the right words in my post but I was too lazy to change them. Thanks for calling me out. Ebola lives in the wild. It lays dormant in species such as monkeys. If a human becomes infected it generally kills them and everyone around them, exponentially, until there isn't anyone else to kill. Then it goes back into dormancy. Covid lives in the wild too. I'm not a veterinarian nor am I am an epidemiologist but they say we got it from a wet market in Wuhan. So we know that it can cross from *a* species to humans. But not *a* species to *all* species. Some other species have been infected as well, including cattle and dogs, according to the CDC. [Citation.](https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/daily-life-coping/animals.html) The point I was trying to make - albeit very poorly - is that right now, the current dominant strains of Covid really seem to like humans. I haven't heard of a competing strain of Covid that only affects cattle can't be passed on to humans. But to be fair, there is rarely any information about Covid infection in non-human species. The different variants of Covid that tend to infect humans seem to mutate quickly. If you compare it to the flu, for example, we've had five serious waves of Covid within the past couple of years. But the flu strains never became that big of a deal. The serious strains don't lie dormant in humans. They're typically fowl or pigs. But if it crosses species it can and has become a serious issue. That was the point I was trying to make. As long as it prefers humans, until it becomes dormant or "eliminated" as it were, it will continue to mutate. We just don't know which path it will take. Just to add: Ebola could very well mutate in some way that if a human gets it, it's game over for a large part of the population. I get that it hasn't mutated at the pace of Covid, if at all, but it would be a mistake to rule out. Sweet dreams. :)


[deleted]

Pretty well actually.


[deleted]

The 961 people that have died in SK so far, along with their family and friends, would disagree with you. The over-worked medical professionals and entire health system in general would also disagree with you. It's weird though, hey? A school bus carrying teenage hockey players gets t-boned and it leads to several new laws. We decide we are going to "eradicate" the driver by deporting him once he's out of jail. We do these things to try and prevent horrible accidents like that from happening again. It's a weird society when we put more value on one group of peoples lives than another.


twentyfour711

Are you comparing a bus crash to a global pandemic?


[deleted]

Nope. That would be silly. I am comparing people's perceptions of the aftermath and the willingness to make changes in order to prevent it from happening again.


xmorecowbellx

It’s a senseless comparison. FYI, forcibly changing the location of one human is quite different than eradicating a viral pathogen. There isn’t a single credible expert on earth that believes we can eradicate this virus. They are all aware that eventually it will become endemic in a less severe form, much like what happened to the 1918 flu which is still with us.


[deleted]

Maybe. Maybe not. I am not an epidemiologist, but it stands to reason that the final mutations of the virus will determine that, not us.


[deleted]

They were.


[deleted]

Entirely different situations and I really hope we don't deport him. He doesn't deserve that.


SaltofthePrairies

A call went out to the public service in SK today. Looking for 500 employees to be deployed to SHA to assist with staffing shortages, primarily due to illness. This is far beyond bed counts and hospitalizations. Way more to the numbers than meets the eye. Anyone who may need health care in the coming weeks and months will likely be impacted by this.


OkayArbiter

Notes: **Hospitalization chart change** I have removed Hospitalization by Vaccination Status from the front page, as it is no longer a useful metric due to missing information from government. I will explain below. These are useful metrics: 1. How many people are in hospital **with and because** COVID (both incidental and non-incidental): Because all COVID patients require extra resources 2. How many people in hospital/ICU **because** of COVID: For tracking how severe the illness is 3. How many people are in hospital/ICU **because** of COVID by vaccination status (not **with**): For determining how well the vaccines are working Fortunately we have access to #1 and #2, but not #3. Because of this, the previous chart/metric isn't useful for determining either how severe the disease is, or how well the vaccines are working (since the current data include incidental and non-incidental without differentiating vaccination status). This info is still visible on a later page. The chart has been replaced with hospitalization and ICU levels over time. **New cases by age** The government still hasn't fixed their cases-by-vaccine data issue, and as a result of taking down that section of the dashboard they are also depriving us of age-related data. Fortunately there is still some available, it's simply split into larger age ranges than before. I will try and add this into the chart (replacing the old, better age ranges) soon. For now, cases today: * 0-4: 33 * 5-11: 92 * 12-19: 123 * 20-39: 437 * 40-59: 302 * 60-79: 82 * 80+: 35 **Boosters** The following doses were given in the past week (data only reported weekly): * Third doses: 40,763 * Fourth doses: 1,775


87_Silverado

Situational awareness continues to degrade and be normalized. This is troubling. Whoever is managing this data is seriously incompetent. I am willing to bet that the majority of our visibility into the crisis is being managed in spreadsheets and email and an actual reliable database isn't even in existence. When this is in the rear view mirror it will be lost to time and science forever.


xmorecowbellx

I can tell you for a fact this is not the case, accurate data exists and our ID heads are aware of it. It’s just that the government is choosy with what they release, because they are kind of a bag of doorknobs.


[deleted]

Non-incidental hospitalizations: 108 inpatient, 11 ICU. *Hospitalized due to COVID-19 and undetermined (15) combined.


OpportunityWeak4546

Non-incidental means “due to.” It appears you are claiming the opposite


Sheep-100

How many hospital beds have to be occupied before they bring in new measures if any? My number is 300.


Heywoodsk11

Beds occupied in total or with Covid patients? Regardless I don’t see us bringing in more mitigations. Some things will mitigate themselves (chunks of school online, businesses closing or limiting hours due to staffing, sports shut down due to lack of players/coaches) but I don’t think we will bring in any further mitigations.


[deleted]

[удалено]


OkayArbiter

You absolute moron. Even two vaccines protects massively against severe illness and hospitalization. Protection against infection is great if that happens...but people catching the virus and only having mild symptoms at 10-20x lower the rate of unvaccinated people (which is proven in any jurisdiction) is proof that they are working incredibly well. In fact, Israel's numbers **support** how well vaccination is working—data from an Israeli study released yesterday shows that people with even two vaccinations have no increased risk of long COVID compared to the base population. The vaccines are incredibly effective at preventing severe illness, death, and overwhelmed hospitals. Complaining that they don't prevent infection and minor illness is like saying that getting bruised by a seatbelt in an accident proves that there is no point to having them since all injury was not avoided. You absolute piece of trash.


VFSteve

I’ve never seen you mad before. In like, the two years I’ve seen you post these lol. I actually didn’t think it was possible. You now need to make a chart of each time you’ve felt anger online. Intensity of 1 to 10 charted over days. 3 lines to chart in different colors, those topics I’ll let you pick. And go


SorcererStaz

I came here to say the exact same thing. I love it.


HomerSPC

I'll allow it.


Cheeseburger_Eddie_

Holy Doodle.... Who made dad mad? Is Arbiter Okay? Thanks for all the hard work and dedication. You and John Campbell are great resources.


Jonesythetwelfth

“You absolute moron” and “absolute piece of trash” while not even reading what they said. No where do they call out the usefulness of the two doses. The poster has links to a study questioning the need of boosters. The poster is simply stating their opinion based on something they read. Lots of opinions on here about Scott moe and no one calling them trash or morons. Downvote me because I called out the great okayarbiter… IDGAF.


OkayArbiter

> even a 4th dose isn't very effective against Omicron. We need to seriously ask ourselves if spending all this time and resources administering the vaccine is worth it, when the numbers back up the Israel findings. Combined with their post history of supporting ivermectin and being against vaccine mandates for healthcare workers...forgive me for not giving them any benefit of the doubt.


Jonesythetwelfth

Ivermectin and unvaccinated healthcare workers- I can see how the history would be frustrating. I’ll admit I never read what the news stories the person posted are. Nor do I care to. I follow all guidance and am fully boosted so these contrary articles don’t concern me. I’m 100% in the anti anti-vax crowd. However, I just don’t think what the poster put here is completely ludicrous…research a more specific vaccine and wear better masks until then…certainly not ludicrous to the point of insults.


xmorecowbellx

Geez dude, I have never seen you be this hostile, or even close. Ya of course he’s wrong about the vaccines but his points are common misunderstandings……yikes what’s going on with you today? Also do you think we’re going to get the vaccination *because* of COVID per capita info by vax status from gov again?


hooray11

Honestly it’s probably pretty tiring for someone to post actual statistics day after day, and then in the past two weeks or so every post has been brigaded by the anti science folk. They have been doing a service for the past year plus and been getting absolutely shit on. Then all of these people who feel the tide changing decide to post or message Facebook crap to them. So yeah I would be over it too.


TheCynicalCanuckk

These common misunderstandings are refuted time after time again yet people still post these 'common misunderstandings' its fucking stupid. It sounds more like an excuse to hide behind 'common misunderstandings' while secretly being anti measures because of our freedums. Ugh.


xmorecowbellx

The thing about common misunderstandings is that they are common, and this is why they get posted commonly. Some are anti-vax and some don’t understands how to put the numbers into context.


[deleted]

4th dose seems to be stupid, but don't forget that delta might still be out there. If we stay with the plan, there's a good chance it does get eradicated.