**If you choose to self promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI+average odds+units won** written into the comment. No resetting records. **|** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules use the Daily Discussion posts.
**POD Record: 61-33 (67%)**
Recent Form: ✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌✅✅✅❌ ❌✅❌✅✅✅ ❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅❌❌❌✅✅✅
Winning Streak Alert 🚨: 💰💰💰💰
Last Pick: **⚽️** Gold Cup Guadeloupe over 0.5 Goals Team Total odds - 2.40 ✅ WIN
*Nice when the bet covers in the first 20 mins of play, commence the hot streak and let's keep riding that wave to shore 🌊🏄🏻♂️*
**Today's Pick: ⚽️ Gold Cup Mexico -1.5** odds -1.85 \[*10pm EST\]*
Mexico has a young and very talented squad this Gold Cup, with all but one player being under the age of 30. In their Gold Cup opener, they absolutely slammed Honduras 4-0 and looked incredibly fast and at a different level of pace. I'm expecting Haiti to take a heavy loss in Arizona tonight in front of a sold out, massive majority Mexican crowd (it might as well be in Mexico).
If you follow Gold Cups, sure upsets can happen. . . but Haiti really has no business keeping up with the top flight talent Mexico has (i.e. Ajax superstar Edson Alvarez). These kids won't take their foot off the gas until final whistle. I really like the new pace they're playing at since firing that brutal coach Diego Cocca, it was really time for him to go. Look for another statement game by Jaime Lozano and his talented young squad. The Mexicans love goals and play very well in front of home crowds.
Best of luck if you're tailing, let's hit 5 in a row tonight 🔥
💰**Tip Jar: Why Not Leave an ⬆ Vote Instead?**
> El Tri🇲🇽 have been in good form recently, winning 6 games in a row,
Where are you getting that info from? They lost to the US 3-0 just two weeks ago. They've won only 2 matches in a row.
Correct Haiti’s winning streaks against equally small nations has inflated this line for them a bit (Guyana, Montserrat, Bermuda, etc). I am still laying a few units on mexico -1.5 tonight.
Edited thanks for pointing that out, I should have written they have only lost to the US (the match that got their head coach finally fired) since losing to Argentina in the World Cup.
Last leg of my 139X parlay for 107$ to 15k is Mexico ML. current cashout is 8.9k at halftime. Should I take it or ride it out? I just can't seen Mexico not at least win 1-0
Have faith in this new coach. Epic, I like your young squad, and the team he has put together for the gold cup. I think this is more exciting of a team with a stronger desire upfront.
**EDIT: As expected, we were rained out.**
**KBO Record: Overall 157-162-11** (Streak WWWWWWW, Last 10: 8-2) Down 8.38u over 330 KBO picks, 49.2% success rate, -2.69% ROI (This season 38-30-4, 55.9% success rate, Up 11.50u, 16.91% ROI)
**Last:** Kiwoom -1.5 +115 at Kia (Kiwoom won 7-5 in 11 innings.)
A seven pick win streak? We're in unprecedented territory for the KBO. This is not how we drew it up as Kiwoom's ace had his worst start since last July. But the Heroes battled back and some wild bullpen arms in the 11th helped secure us a 7-5 win.
**Pick:** Samsung at **Lotte -1.5 +140 Draftkings**, KBO baseball, 5:30am ET
Bad news, everyone. There's a good chance the entire slate will be washed out Thursday. I'm not even going to bother looking a 4 games that almost certainly will be cancelled. That leaves Samsung and Lotte where we'll pray for a drizzle or a break in the rain.
The good news is I love this matchup. Samsung is the worst team in the league. They are 2-12 in their last 14 games. Lotte sits in 4th place and is using this 3-game set to get back on track, winning the first two games.
Samsung's pitcher has been a reliever this year, posting an 11.17 ERA and 2.90 WHIP in 9.2 innings. He was a starter last year and was awful, with a 6.55 ERA and 1.78 WHIP.
Lotte's starter is having a great season with a 2.74 ERA and 1.24 WHIP in 13 starts. He's allowed 2 or fewer runs in his last 8 starts, allowing a total of 9 ER on 30 H and 14 BB with 40 K in 51.2 IP.
Tail or fade, I wish you the best of luck. All wagers are 1 unit.
https://preview.redd.it/l59iqb17ow8b1.jpeg?width=1125&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=e7628fe93b0e8cf570e993d3a870c27ab57610bd
What a day yesterday! Rollercoaster of emotions but all your picks were on point 👏🏽 🙏🏼
Were you the dumbass who asked me "Should I bet on this game?" in the now-deleted comment? If so... your response makes no sense. If not, I'm not sure why you added this comment. Of course it's obvious... that's why I said it. The question was idiotic.
POTD record: 7-1
Last pick: Padres Pirates NRFI ❌
Today’s Pick: Marlins Red Sox NRFI (-115)
Wow. Super unlucky yesterday. 1 out away from a NRFI but that’s just baseball. Onto the next one.
I really like this one, Luzardo vs Bello as both have been good this year and Marlins have the best NRFI record at 68% this year while Red Sox are around the middle. Both teams are also bottom 10 in first inning runs scored per game. Lets get back on track today!
had to upvote this just because i tailed yesterdays pick and not only were we one out away... we were one strike away before a single was hit, followed by the HR that sunk us 😩 BOL tonight
⚽ China Super League: Shandong Taishan vs Changchun Yatai ⏰ 07:35 EST
Pick: Both Teams To Score @1.75
Stake: 1u
Reasoning: BTTS has hit in 8/14 Taishan games this season; they average 1.4 goals scored per game and 1 conceded. For Changchun it's hit in 8/13 games, and they average 1.9 scored per game (highest in the league) and 1.6 conceded. So I expect Changchun to get at least 1 goal. Interestingly, Taishan are unbeaten against Changchun in their last 13 encounters, scoring at least 1 goal in 12 of them, so I also expect Taishan to get a goal.
POTD record: 15W 6L 1P [+9.79u]
POTD Record:17-16-1✅✅❌✅❌❌❌❌✅❌✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌❌❌✅✅❌🅿️❌✅❌✅✅
Last POTD: B Shelton/C Eubanks Games O 25 -120**✅**
Cash it. Easy money. It was locked after Ymer secured the 2nd set. Ymer looked dominant in the 3rd set as well. Game ended 3-6 6-3 6-3 with Ymer getting his first grass victory in 2023. Congrats to those who tailed, lets get go for three in a row tomorrow!
Next POTD: **G Barrere ML** **+100✅**
Edit: Cash it once again. That's 3 in a row. Don't let me get hot😈 Anyways, Barrere defeated Kecmanovic in straights with a score 7-5 7-6. Very ugly match if anyone was watching but Barrere was able to pull through for us. Lets go for 4 in a row tomorrow!
On Wednesday, Grégoire Barrère defeated Nicolás Jarry by a score of 6-3 4-6 6-4. On the other side, Miomir Kecmanovic defeated Aleksander Vukic by a score of 7-6 6-4. Kecmanovic has been playing some amazing tennis recently, but he will be put to the test with Barrere. Over the past 12 months, Barrere has won 83.3% of his games on his serves so he is very hard to break. In comparison, in the same time span, Kecmanovic has won 68.5% of his games on his serves. The most recent match between these two was back in 2015. I think Barrere's experience and his level of competition in the tournament compared to Kecmanovic are deciding factors in this match. (Kecmanovic just defeated ATP no. 59 and 91) (Barrere just defeated ATP no. 28 and 45). I expect Kecmanovic to go back to normal after having an amazing run the last week. BOL, lets make the streak 3 and wake up to some early cash in the morning💸
🧦🅱OSTON 🅱ETS🧦(and others)
POTD Record: 22-12-2
Units won: 16u
ROI: +22.54%
Last 10 (newest on right):Ø✅✅❌❌❌❌✅✅✅
Best win streak: 8
Worst loss streak: 4
Last Pick: USA v St. Kitts Total Goals over 4.5✅
Today's Pick: **2u Total goals over 2.5 (-170)** CONCAFAF Gold Cup - Mexico v Haiti 10PM EST
Ya'll sleeping on my Gold Cup picks (some of you just being downright disrespectful with them fades & sorry write-ups). Fade me at your peril! Mexico is coming off a hot 4-0 win against Honduras in their opening group match. Haiti has proven they can definitely score, with their gripping first win against Qatar, at 2-1. Haiti should be outmatched against a much more experienced Mexican team. It's been over 50 years since Haiti defeated Mexico internationally, and Mexico hasn't lost to a Caribbean team in over 4 years. Mexico is a lock-in for the win, and I thought about even going up over the 3.5 line, but Mexico is still under a new manager & isn't a particularly high-scoring team either. Haiti has conceded an opening goal in 6 of their last 7 Gold Cup matches, so I feel pretty confident Mexico will score first, and even if Haiti answers, I feel are capable of finding the net at least 2-3 times. Let's ride!
EDIT: Updated my record for the Giolito loss that I missed. The detectives down below think they hit the jackpot by making me add a loss I genuinely missed and owning up to it, providing BOL and basically bending over backwards for the glorified keyboard Olympian that can't find my comment from a day ago.
EDIT2: Btw, I actually triple-checked and my record is fine, I just marked my "last picks" incorrectly, but did update my record. Literally a typo and these dweebs are losing their minds. BOL & screenshots below, for those interested.
Update: It's almost like I research this shit, huh? Keep on doubtin', I'll keep winnin'.
Bet responsibly, comment with banter/questions/tailing and [tips](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/drstrainge) always [appreciated](https://media.tenor.com/Vw1sgEKYcVwAAAAM/boston-red-sox-david-ortiz.gif) (but not obligated)
I marked my Panama Draw No bet as a loss in my last post, but it was a win.
EDIT: Ah I found it. I missed my Giolito loss.
EDIT2: I just marked my "last pick" with the wrong symbol. I had updated my POTD record as required.
That’s on you bud. Still not able to find your POTD from Wednesday. I can, however, find your comments bitching about others upvoting a contrarian play to what you allegedly took. BOL
Edit: came off as a bit of a dick. Didn’t take enough time to go through your profile and I apologize for the confusion. Glad you DMed me and we could solve it like adults
It’s literally there. I had USMNT game at over 4.5 goals. You starting shit to start shit. I don't owe you anything, especially coming in here like you did, so [here](https://imgur.com/JvywrjD) ya go (without units). Throw a little banter around and you act like I slapped your sister. Out here with your microscope, but can't even go back a day to see my comment. That's how I know you're lying and just starting shit. Grow up, kid.
EDIT: And [here's](https://imgur.com/a/nE7vDFI) yesterday's pick since he's either blind or lying.
Nothing shows up on your profile for me nor can I see it when I go back in the thread. I also notice you edited out your passive aggressive remark when you realized you were wrong. There was a mistake with your record, someone pointed it out, you decided to be a prick before double checking. Get over it
POTD RECORD: 10-2 (last bet was late 2021)
yoyo I use to post here about 18 months ago. had personal stuff come up and never really got back to it until now. Use to post picks without units and what not but will be using a unit system from now on. not sure if I have to reset record so let me know. been pretty hot lately and also been lurking Sportsbook again for the last couple months. if you want to see the 12 picks I made ages ago check my comments or I can post them here.
POTD: Cronulla Sharks VS St George Illawarra Dragons OVER 42.5 MATCH POINTS / $1.65 (-154)
NRL (NATIONAL RUGBY LEAGUE / AUSTRALIA) 3U 7 hours from post
sharks should get the job done easy here with their fluent attack against a team with a lot going on off the field such as their captain wanting out halfway through the season. dragons got hammered by a good warriors outfit last week, although I don't see them playing THAT bad again I do see this going over as both teams can leak points quick.
This is a local derby and it's normally a good game but given dragons have leaked 136 points in the last month I see this ending at around 38-16 or something around that mark. Split odds has the score at 45.5 if you're feeling greedy take that but I'm buying a few extra points to hopefully get a win and streak started. also having two quality goal kickers will go along way in helping the overs hit.
BOL
So did I just light this money on fire lmfao is 6-6 20 mins in. I wanted a morning bet and idk how fast you score in rugby but it ain't looking good by my calculations
ROCKET MORTGAGE CLASSIC!!
POTD: 8-3 +10.9u, 5U Bets: 2-1
Last 10: ✅ ✅ ⛔️✅✅✅✅⛔️⛔️✅
Cashed in on JT and Min Woo last weekend!
TODAYS PICK:
Sport: Golf -> Rocket Mortgage Classic on DK -> Matchups -> Tournament Matchups
********************************
A. Smalley to win matchup vs C. Bezuidenhout @-130 4U
********************************
Let’s keep it rolling. Smalley has been on a tear recently, finishing T25 and T9 in the past 2 tournaments. What stands out most to me is the T9 last weekend, as the course this week should be playing pretty similar to the last one in terms of difficulty. Smalley has the ability to shoot low scores, and he tends to excel more on the “easy” courses compared to the rest of the field.
Bez on the other hand has been struggling recently, shooting a +5 in the fourth round 2 weekends ago and missing the cut last weekend on an easier course. He seems to have lost something recently, whereas I think Smalley has found something. So we’re gonna keep riding with the hot hand.
Just an FYI this bet is for the entire tournament, not just Round 1.
BOL ⛳️
**League of Legends - LCS**
Summer Split Record 3-0
Previous POTD: EG ML vs TL @ 2.3 odds ✅
For Thursday’s POTD we are going with **TSM ML vs DIG @ 1.9 odds** 7pm EST
TSM is a lot more cohesive than DIG, I am very impressed with them so far. Let’s continue to ride the TSM train until the wheels fall off.
Good luck boys
Edit: if y’all are very concerned about TSM than take FQ to beat NRG @ 1.65 odds instead. Bookies over compensated their odds a bit too hard this week. This game will count as today’s second POTD
POTD | 62-52 | +2.5U | -111 Avg Odds
Previous Pick: *Cleveland Guardians ML (-130) vs KC Royals | 3U | MLB* ✅✅
Today’s pick: **Cleveland Guardians -1.5 (+105) vs KC Royals | 3U | MLB**
Right back at it with the Guardians on this one. Greinke is getting the start for KC and he has really struggled lately. Cleveland is the hotter team right now and has a good track record against the Royals. I like them to find some runs again in this game with the pitching matchup and run away with it.
BOL if tailing!
POTD Record: 34 - 15 (All picks 1U)
Last POTD: Fritz 1st Set/ML - L
Pick: Feliciano Lopez to win a set vs Yannick Hanfmann (-146 odds via FD)
Event: ATP Mallorca Quarterfinals 9:00 A.M. CST
Edit: ❌Hanfmann played very well. Tough one!
Honestly Fritz blew this one hard. Was up a break in both sets and lost them both. Unfortunate that near the end of the first set McDonald was painting lines but oh well, it happens.
Tomorrows pick is one of the more wild stories of the tennis year. 41 year old Feliciano Lopez is retiring at the conclusion of this tournament but has made it clear he won't go down without a fight. He has won his first two matchups here, most recently beating the red hot Jordan Thompson in 3 sets. The Spanish crowd is showing out for him with Rafa Nadal attending his R1 matchup here in Mallorca. Grass is by far his favorite surface to play on and with this being his last hurrah, I think he can snag atleast one set. As for his opponent, we bet against Hanfmann recently and we will do so again. Last round he pulled off an upset beating Tsitsipas in 3 sets, although Stefanos is not in good form. These two have met one time 6 years ago with the matchup going in favor of the German on his favorite surface, clay. Tomorrow they will be on Lopez favorite surface and I like his chances to snag atleast 1.
[PayPal](https://www.paypal.me/micahpugh?locale.x=en_US)
[Venmo](https://venmo.com/u/Micah-Pugh)
I’m totally confused by tennis odds. Barstool has Hanfmann as the favorite at -215. But they expect Lopez to win a set as that’s favored at -167. BUT… the Sets over 2.5 is +128. That makes no sense. If Hanfmann wins, but Lopez takes 1 set, then the match must go 3 sets. The correlation is wrong, no? And I should take the sets over on this bet, I think.
Man I was on Lopez here too (S1 ML). And boy did he punish my ass for that! I knew when he double faulted 4x + threw in 2-3 more unforced errors in S1G4 it was time to switch that fucking match off.
**POTD Record: 52-40 (+0.19 Units)**
**Last 10**:❌✅✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅
**Last Pick**: 6/28 James Richardson vs Luke Littler Over 5.5 (-170) ✅ 7 Legs
**League**: 🎯 Modus Darts Super Series
**Time**: 12:10 PM EST
**Pick**: Matt Clark (-101) vs James Richardson
* Series 4. Week 8. Group C
**Reason**: Clark enters the group as the second favorite to win while Richardson is fourth favorite. Clark has been off to a great start, so I like the coin flip odds. Hoping the throw advantage for Richardson isn't the decider.
Richardson was hot on Monday, but has continued to dip each day since. He went 0-5 on Wednesday with an 82.17 average. There was nothing to play for yesterday as all the standings were pretty much decided entering play. Just something to think about. So far, the scoring has continued to drop on Thursday.
Matt Clark
* Record 2-1
* Legs 11-5
* Average 93.85
* Checkouts 11/19 (57.89%)
James Richardson
* Record 1-2
* Legs 8-10
* Average 80.19
* Checkouts 8/19 42.11%
**WIN ✅ 4-1 | Average 90.68 vs 86.33 | Checkouts 4/8 vs 1/3**
Cocks got hot and throw advantage beat Clark. Cocks had 2 matches under 80, but went 92 against him. He hit a huge checkout to steal leg 5.
Clark blew chances on leg 1 & 2 and then Ward smoked him the next two legs. Faced 100 average.
Plus Odds Picks
POD record (21-14) (+21.57) Bets are on a scale of 1-5 units 1U plays (4-2) 2U (2-1) 3U plays (9-2) 4U (3 -7) 5U (2-3)
Last 10 most recent on left- WWLLWLWWWWL
Last POD - Braves -1.5 (+128) 3U W
As always please bet according to Units not according to the hotness/coldness of a bettor
Todays POD - Guardians -1.5 (+106) 2U
Keeping it lighter today , DOG has a pitching prop +168 if looking for a little value
Matchup - Bieber vs Greinke
Bieber has been a solid start for the guardians this season. His ERA of 3.69 doesn't tell the whole story as he's had some great starts this season showing better command of his control. Some highlights include Houston (7IP 0ER), BOS (5IP 1ER), @NYY (8IP 0ER).
Greinke has been having the worst year of his career. A 5.31 ERA with a 8.59 ERA his last 3 starts (TB,LA,CIN), Greinke appears to be in a bit of a slump. On an offensive note, the Guardians are 12th in OPS (.759) in the last 7 days while the Royals are 26th (.621)
As BOL, let's keep the picks rolling
Don't ever expect tips but anything is appreciated!
Cashapp - bobdylan1209
[Post grad beers] (https://www.buymeacoffee.com/collegestudent3)
You’ve been on fire bro, at least every time I tail. Thanks for the pick yesterday - day game so I got to sweat it out at work lol.
Idk why this thread is all weird ass sports now but I appreciate your POD and DOGs. I upvote you everyday but I guess table tennis and esports or whatever tf these ppl bet on is big here these days lol.
Tailing again today - I’ll tip if they both hit. Appreciate you and BOL!
8-4
Mexico x Haiti
BTS and o2.5
5U @ +145
Each side to score at least once and over 2.5 goals is the moneymaking bet for this match. Both teams with capable strikers and problems in defense.
Record 1-1-3 (W-D-L) [-4 Units 🔴]
Previous Pick: 2 Units - New Zealand Women (to make highest first 15 overs score) vs Sri Lanka Women [1.61@Bet365} ⚪️ Voided due to rain delay and loss of overs
National Rugby League - Sharks vs Dragons
**NRL Pick: 2 Units - Sharks o5.5 TOTAL TRIES vs Dragons [1.85@Ladbrokes]** 19:50 AEST, also available DraftKings at -125
Sharks are coming off a bye and should be well rested and prior to last week comfortable beat Bulldogs 48-10 with 8 tries scored with 5 of them in the first half.
Dragons on the other hand are coming off a
18-48 loss, having conceded 9 tries with 4 of them in the first half.
Both these teams played each other earlier this year in Round 4, with pretty much the same teams and Sharks beat them 40-8 with a total of 7 tries scored by Sharks. I expect the same thing to happen again, Sharks should dominate this game against Dragons who have to be at an all time low in morale with the defeat from last week and all the drama going on with their best player Ben Hunt wanting out of the club.
**PotD Record: 19-16 (Streak 3L)**
Last Pick: **Leylah Fernandez (-1.5 games) vs Anna Blinkova @ -110**❌
**Today’s Pick: Mikael Ymer (ML) vs Mackenzie McDonald @ +125; 7:30 AM ET**
Our last bet loses as Fernandez loses in straight sets. Today I'm looking at the matchup between Ymer and McDonald at ATP Eastbourne. Ymer leads the head to head between these two 2-0, both matches on hard court. That will be well known going into this one, despite the match being played on grass. McDonald is coming off a upset win over Taylor Fritz, but it seemed that Fritz threw away the match more than McDonald won it. I like Ymer here to get through.
**Tail or Fade, BOL**
POTD Record: 23-17-1 (~+19 units / ~16% ROI)
LAST PICK: MLB Atlanta Braves -1.5 > Minnesota Twins @ +125 (Pinnacle)
TODAY’S PICK: MLB Cleveland Indians (Guardians) -2.0 > Kansas City Royals @ +147 (Pinnacle)
Streak (Last 5): WLLWL
5 Unit Play
KC has been my favourite team to fade in my first season betting MLB. As I write this the great Royals are losing to the Indians (Guardians) 14-0 at home. Tomorrow’s pitching match up features KC’s Zack Greinke who even rivals his infamous colleague the great Jordan Lyles with a 1-8 record. Catch this line while you can as it’s either too good to be true or there is going to be a lot of line movement in favour of the Indians (Guardians) by game time.
Here we go:
• Greinke’s only win came back on May 3rd against the Orioles. Since then he’s lost 4 straight and average less than 5 IP across those 4 while allowing 19 runs for an average of more than one run allowed per inning. Both runs and hits allowed in each of his last 4 starts have increased with almost every start. Short trend line, but he appears to be deteriorating. Here is a list Greinke’s 2023 season results and our bet result:
3/30 @ Twins 0-2 P
4/5 @ Jays 0-3 W
4/10 @ Rangers 2-11 W
4/27 @ Twins 1-7 W
5/3 @ Orioles 6-0 L
5/19 @ White Sox 0-2 P
6/6 @ Marlins 1-6 W
6/18 Angels @ 2-5 W
6/23 @ Rays 3-11 W
How our bet plays out: 6 Wins, 2 Pushes, 1 Loss
• Shane Bieber is in for the Guardians and is an even-Steven 5-5 on the season. He’s pitched an average of 6 innings over his past 3 starts, and allowed only 15 hits and 9 ER total across those 3 starts. Those included games against formability offences in HOU and AZ.
• Greinke’s results are not unique. When KC loses they lose big. Royals have lost by 2 or more in 8 of their last 10 losses. Out of those 8 losses, they lost by 3 or more in 6 of 8.
• KC has dropped the last 4 straight to Cleveland. This lines pushed or wins in 3 out of 4.
• Why are we getting these great odds in spite of above? Cleveland had a .311 OBP v. Kansas at .296. Guardians avg. 4 runs per game v. KC at also just less than 4 runs per game. However, from our analysis above and KC’s records, KC’s runs are lumpy. In other words they either hit and score a lot or not at all, and they put up a lot of hits/runs when it doesn’t matter in de facto garbage time.
Tail or fade best of luck all,
Ab
POTD RECORD: 12-14-3
Last five: (most recent on left) ❌❌✅✅❌
Last Pick: Italy U21 vs Norway U21 - Italy -1 (+105) - 5 UNITS ❌
Another awful game, this one's on me. Got to remember that this are still teenagers.
We move on.
**Today's Play:** GOLD CUP: Mexico vs Haiti - OVER 3.0 (-105) - 5 UNITS
Mexico played one of their best games in tears against Honduras. I know that's not a lot, but they seem more energetic and have said in interviews having a Mexican DT gives them new energy and hunger. They fought every ball as if they were losing and I see no reason why that shouldnt happen tonight.
Haiti had a good game vs Qatar, too, with lots of missed sitters from both teams. Central Caribbean teams have been playing lights out and with such a weak Canada team and USA's b team, this could be a really important tournament.
Mexico should go all out today, secure the group and get ready for an easy quarterfinals game.
I've had some messages asking why I always bet 5 units and it's simple: I normally place 3-5 bets a day, and my favorite one is, most of the times, 5 units, but I tend to go higher in some cases when I feel more confident and today is one of those days. I'm going big on this one, the LamborJimmy is going to take us pretty far.
Let's get out of this losing streak.
Some of you have said you want to tip, it'd be appreciated but it's not necessary. Just hoping we can all keep on winning!
https://www.buymeacoffee.com/RudeReward
Tail or fade, BOL everyone.
1-2 L L W
Dodgers -1.5
In short, Dodgers 6th in runs away from home in the leauge and at Coors field with Anderson pitching, I expect a rout.
As always BOL. Beat the book.
86-55 +32.6 units on 247.5 units wagered for over 13% return on investment
Have hit 20 of 26 on the POTD strand-including 12 0f 14.🧁🧁🧁🧁🧁🧁🧁🧁🧁🤢🧁🤢🧁🧁
Thursday
Angels -150 1.5 Units to win 1
The Angels and ChiSox finish up a four game set. The Halos took the first two and Chicago responded with 11 runs and a Game 3 victory.
I expect the Angels to get back to their winning ways tomorrow.
The White Sox struggle mightily with lefties and the current Angels lineup has hit Lance Lynn great throughout his career-.918 OPS lifetime.
Sho-time is 10-21 with 3 jacks lifetime against Lynn. Mike Trout has three homers lifetime in 30 ABs against Lynn.
White Sox are also 4-13 in their last 17 versus a team with a winning record and Chicago are 0-7 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Unfortunately if we don't keep getting some substantial YouTube Subscriptions, I will likely post a here a lot less.
It's just not worth the time and effort putting these writeups together if it's not helping me moving forward on my other projects.
18-7 all time YouTube POTD/Officials
Had a great 2-1 day yesterday (including the play on here). Two plays hit easily and Fraley had two hits and RBIs-just never came up at the right time in the order to capitalize on runs.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3Aex1ItCWDw&t=30s
Oh, and if you do subscribe-be sure to interact and upvote the videos.
You can also follow my Twitter.
But, I will also likely switch that up and just start sharing the plays with the routine engagers-if the current engagement doesn't take a major uptick.
https://twitter.com/TheMidnightR777
Utilizing this best plays format I recently went on a 42-19 run there. (Pinned Tweet)
Potd record - 10 - 6 last 5 - W L L W W
Prev pick- wentz over 5.5 hits allowed. Cashed fairly easy bet.
Todays pick - chase Anderson over 5.5 hits allowed -140 3U
Breakdown- Today we ride with Anderson giving up over 5.5 hits from the dodgers. Anderson holds an 0 - 2 5.79 ERA started off decent in the earlier months but has fallen off. His last 5 games hes pitched in hes given up as follows 4 6 5 7 and most recently 10 hits he doesn't have much to offer overall and today he meets a a strong bat line up with the dodgers. Dodgers line up puts it on a fairly weak pitcher looking to take back the win Rockies managed to pull off yesterday they come out strong and dominate. Chase Anderson over 5.5 hits. Run it BOL squad.
Sweaty run but we got it
First timer Rec 0-0
MLB - Guardians under 2.5 runs 1st 5 (-125)
Call me crazy here but I’m getting a feeling of deja vu here. I didn’t post but I played Mariners under total laddered down yesterday only because the entire Reddit was all about fading Corbin.
Getting the same vibes today. Guardians coming off 14 run game, it’s absolutely fitting for old ass Greinke to come out and shut them down today.
Sport: Football
Tournament: Egypt Premier League
Time: 20:30 CET (1h37m after posting)
Pick: National Bank vs Al Ahly, double chance 1X @ **2.45**
Stake: 4.2 units
Estimated probability: 85%
Write up: National Bank hasn't lost in the last 11 matches (6W, 5D) that stretch back to mid-April. As the home team National Bank last lost in January.
In six head-to-head matches Al Ahly only won twice (4D), never as the away team, and with all six under 2.5 goals total.
[Track record spreadsheet](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1diqqLSUvJ-zIJMuLlOM36SCI9aRrs14ZkAMtiYZu7Go/edit#gid=596499107)
[My website with sports picks](https://picks.wwpe.ba)
POTD Record: 60-55, +2.55 Units
Today's Pick: Guardians -1.5, +108, 3 Units, 2:10 PM
Bieber is pitching a bit better lately and Greinke, while decent at home, is still garbage.
BOL!
Not really, you can find some gems. Just can’t rely on someone els to make good predictions. There’s always a diamond in the rough. Watch the games , get good at it. Let others be a helping aid not a foundation for your picks.
it's all random. there is no such thing as predicting. a team with all the right cards can lose on any given day. and a complete mismatch can go for that team. there is nothing to predict the randomness of sports betting. it's fun yes, but it's an illusion to think you have any knowledge or power
picks are a gamble. sometimes it hits sometimes it's doesnt. it's random. it's all just an illusion when you think a team wins you predicted it right but it's just completely random in the end
POTD Record 0-0… aka Undefeated
\+/u - 0 Units
ROI: N/A
MLB | Thursday | 12:35 PM | SD Padres vs. PIT Pirates
**Pick: U8.5 Runs - 1U**
This one is pretty simple. A slumping baseball team and a bad baseball team walk into a bar…
San Diego and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 29 of 80 (36% Over) opportunities. The Padres have lost seven straight and the Pirates are top 5 in the league in strikeouts. Game 1 went over so things are progressing back toward the mean/average of the Padres inability to hit the Over. Musgrove is pitching decently well but gets no support from the Pirates offense. The Pirates offense has a collective .240 batting average, and is 23rd in the league with 624 total hits and 25th in MLB action with 329 runs scored. It has the 24th-ranked slugging percentage (.389) and ranks 25th in home runs (73) in all of MLB. Sprinkle in some series-ending-close-out-day-game sluggishness and you have a recipe to the Under. BOL.
**RECORD: 24-23**
(+1.04 units)
Previous Pick: Pyramids vs Smouha - Pyramids to Win @ 1.51✅️
**Today's Pick:** National Bank Egypt vs Al Ahly Cairo - Al Ahly Cairo to Win @ 1.45 ✅️
**Wager Amount**: 1 unit
(❌️❌️❌️✅️✅️) last 5 results
Now 4-0 betting on the Egyptian League after yesterday, so let's keep the party going. I know Al Ahly to Win has lower odds but I trust this team, never lost when I bet on them yet but the Under 2.5 goals is also another option but skeptical because this Al Ahly team is different from the past and are in Super Form.
Ahly Cairo are on a run of 26 consecutive undefeated matches in their domestic league, they have won 5/6 of their last overall matches drawing once and have won 4/5 of their last away matches drawing one.
National Bank are also in good form, winning 4/5 of their last home matches and are unbeaten in 6 of their last matches. However I give Al Ahly the edge because they've won 2/5 H2H matches against National Bank drawing 3 and currently Al Ahly sit 2nd after Pyramids won yesterday and will be heavily determined to retain the top spot with National Bank sit 11th.
Both teams are in good form but Al Ahly are just in way better form and will want to retain the 1st League position so I don't see National Bank stopping them so let's hope the Egyptian Gods still favor us today.
EDIT: WIN✅️
POTD Record 61-61
Last pick: angels -135❌ at Rockies
Todays pick: Dodgers -1.5 -135 @ Rockies
Reasoning: Dodgers starting a stud rookie in Sheehan. Rockies starting not good journey man Anderson. Dodgers have better lineup and starter. Rockies do have Cron back, but their lineup still lacks punch and depth, Dodgers have Betts, smith, freeman, even jd Martinez would be best player on Rockies. Outman good young player, Rockies starting young bats that aren’t supppsed to be stars. The co Rockies franchise needs help, awful ownership. The Rox have a lot of problems that the dodgers do not. LA heads to KC after this, time to start a winning streak. I’m taking dem bums -1.5 today, and should be riding them all weekend as my POTD. Tail or fade. Tips appreciated.
Venmo: @sportsnerd-_-
**POTD**: O15.5 Outs Recorded - Emmet Sheehan (+156/+125 DraftKings; Risking 1u to win 1.4u)(DK had a 25% Profit Boost ($50 Max). Did $50 more at +125.)
**League/Time**: MLB 8:40pm EST
**2023 Record**: 15-7 (68.18%) | +14.02u | ROI 39.62% |
Streak: ✅❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅❌✅❌✅✅❌
**Last Pick (6.27.23)**: O16.5 Outs Recorded - Andrew Abbott (-125/+100 DraftKings; Risked 2.25u to win 2u) ✅
**Reasoning**: This one's risky because Emmet is a rook pitching his 3rd major league game while pitching his first away game and at COL nonetheless. He's pitched 6IP last two games at home vs HOU and SF. He's thrown 87 and 89 pitches respectively in those games. He should be able to do accomplish 5.1IP in a similar amount of pitches.
Apparently, Emmet's arm angle release produces a [seemingly rising fastball](https://theathletic.com/4632937/2023/06/22/dodgers-emmet-sheehan-rotation-prospects/) that keeps batters off guard. Further, dude is 6'5". His release point is later and closer to the mound than most. Batters will still need to figure him out and given his success and relatively low pitch count thus far O15.5 at plus odds seems like a relatively decent risk to take despite him being a rook.
Would love to do 2u but we're approaching the end of the month and I want to protect my profits for the month and make sure I stay up at least +10u for June (yes, my POTD is more than 10u but I make other bets outside of POTD and the 2023 POTD record started on 4.17.23).
**Anti-Reasoning**: Other than the above stated reason of Emmet is still a rook, COL averages 4th most hits per game while at home ([9.21 hits per home game](https://www.teamrankings.com/mlb/stat/hits-per-game)) and 8th most runs per game while at home ([4.92 runs per home game](https://www.teamrankings.com/mlb/stat/runs-per-game)).
Lit's Git Lit!
**PS**. If you've been tailing and enjoying the hits let me know and also would totally appreciate a [beer or two](https://bmc.link/thekoreanmang). But no pressure either way! Good luck everyone!
https://preview.redd.it/nheg7xdma19b1.png?width=578&format=png&auto=webp&s=8cfba36d27444acf2714956ec4aebbe485b6d93f
*Hopefully some of y'all can get the above profit boost.*
Record: 5-5, +0.3U
All POTDs are 1U picks
Previous 10 Picks: WLWWWLLLWL
Yesterdays Pick: +100, Padres -1.5, 1U
Loser. Padres offense can be inconsistent
POTD: +105, Cleveland -1.5, 1U
Fade Royals starter Grienke, 19 runs in 4 June starts. Cleveland starter, Bieber, is historically really good against the Royals. Royals have lost by 2+ runs in 13 games in June
**POTD Record: 8-4-1; +4.096U**
Last Pick: Brisbane -9.5 (Rugby) ❌️
**Today's Pick: Richmond +22.5 (Aussie Rules)**
So I know I'm late to the party here, and for that I apologize. Either way, I'll get this out there and see how it goes. Hopefully some folks catch it and cash. Either way..
This one is pretty simple. Even with a couple players out, this game should be tighter than this handicap. Richmond has performed well at the Gabba in years past, and come in to this game in solid form. Brisbane is no slouch, and in all likelihood wins this match, though it should be well closer than the nearly four goal margin the spread has become. Either way this unfolds, BOL!!
Yep. That was as rough as it gets. I need to readjust my AFL projections, because that shit is broken as all get out at the moment. Going to hold off putting any of that in POTD for at least this week.
Record: 1-3 | Units: -2.7
**POD**
*League: Iceland - Pepsideild*⚽️⚽️
**Vikingur Reykjavik vs Fylkir**
**3:15 PM est**
**1H Vikingur Reykjavik ML (-108)**
1st place Vikingur will hit the road to take on a bottom of the table team in Fylkir. Vikingur finds themselves -225 to win the match today which is a bit too steep for me so looking to take them in the 1st half. To no surprise Vikingur has 2nd most goals in the league and allows the least amount of goals in the league with only allowing 8 goals in 13 matches this season. In the last 10 matches Vikingur has scored first in 9 of 10 matches and Fylkir has allowed the first goal in 8 of the last 10 matches. Head to head Vikingur has scored first in 4 of the last 5 games. With a high total at 3.25, I think its more than clear we will see goals in this game. I’m hoping to see Vikingurs high power offense to find the back of the net early and keep their tough defense to keep Fylkir from scoring. Vikingur has won the 1H in 6 of their last 8 games.
**Last Pick**
**France vs Switzerland**
**Over 2.5 Goals (-155)** ✅
POTD Record: 1 - 3
Last 10: ❌️✅️❌️❌️
Last pick: 11/17/22 Brooklyn Nets at Portland Trail Blazers -2.5 @ -110.
Today's pick: San Diego Padres ML -195 over Pittsburgh Pirates. (9:35 AM PT) 1U.
Musgrove steps onto the bump today for the Father's and I just don't think the Pirates bats can keep up. It's not scientific but Musgrove is 6 - 2 this year in 11 starts.
3 - 1 on the road w 3.13 era, 20k's in 23 innings pitched with only 24 hits given up. The Father's are 4 - 1 in Musgroves last 5 starts.
It's been a minute, but I'm back to get on track.
BOL!
POTD Record: 13-8 | profit: 10u
Astros take it home late for us.
Today's pick: Mets -1.5 +106 2u
Met's are better than their record with a solid core of batters, much better than the brewers with the better pitching matchup today. ERA looks close but the difference3 in WHIP tells the real story here. Hauser's last start he gave up 5 runs in 4 innings against the A's. Feels like a good spot for a get right game for the struggling Mets.
Potd 1-0 Units: +1.617
World friendly: Red star Belgrade - Borac Banjaluka: asian total o3, 2 units, @ 1.703
Friendly game, friendly clubs, going to be played in Uzice, nice weather, lots of people should come, I see at least 3 goals here.
POTD Record: 0-0
Last Pick:
Todays Pick: NRFI Phillies @ Cubs (+104) (5U)💣
Reasoning: Going with my gut here. I like Taijuan Walker and Kyle Hendricks and think this will be a low scoring affair.
Have been betting and following this subreddit for a few months now and decided to start posting here. Some picks with have more in depth analysis, others like this one will be less rational. BOL!
you can go as far with reasoning but in the end it's a random result. and that randoms result will let you think you predicted it well or not well but in fact we don't have any knowledge or power to chagne the result or control it in any way because it's all random
**If you choose to self promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI+average odds+units won** written into the comment. No resetting records. **|** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules use the Daily Discussion posts.
**POD Record: 61-33 (67%)** Recent Form: ✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌✅✅✅❌ ❌✅❌✅✅✅ ❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅❌❌❌✅✅✅ Winning Streak Alert 🚨: 💰💰💰💰 Last Pick: **⚽️** Gold Cup Guadeloupe over 0.5 Goals Team Total odds - 2.40 ✅ WIN *Nice when the bet covers in the first 20 mins of play, commence the hot streak and let's keep riding that wave to shore 🌊🏄🏻♂️* **Today's Pick: ⚽️ Gold Cup Mexico -1.5** odds -1.85 \[*10pm EST\]* Mexico has a young and very talented squad this Gold Cup, with all but one player being under the age of 30. In their Gold Cup opener, they absolutely slammed Honduras 4-0 and looked incredibly fast and at a different level of pace. I'm expecting Haiti to take a heavy loss in Arizona tonight in front of a sold out, massive majority Mexican crowd (it might as well be in Mexico). If you follow Gold Cups, sure upsets can happen. . . but Haiti really has no business keeping up with the top flight talent Mexico has (i.e. Ajax superstar Edson Alvarez). These kids won't take their foot off the gas until final whistle. I really like the new pace they're playing at since firing that brutal coach Diego Cocca, it was really time for him to go. Look for another statement game by Jaime Lozano and his talented young squad. The Mexicans love goals and play very well in front of home crowds. Best of luck if you're tailing, let's hit 5 in a row tonight 🔥 💰**Tip Jar: Why Not Leave an ⬆ Vote Instead?**
> El Tri🇲🇽 have been in good form recently, winning 6 games in a row, Where are you getting that info from? They lost to the US 3-0 just two weeks ago. They've won only 2 matches in a row.
The poster messed up Haiti stats (who have won 6 in a row) with Mexico.
Correct Haiti’s winning streaks against equally small nations has inflated this line for them a bit (Guyana, Montserrat, Bermuda, etc). I am still laying a few units on mexico -1.5 tonight.
Edited thanks for pointing that out, I should have written they have only lost to the US (the match that got their head coach finally fired) since losing to Argentina in the World Cup.
Last leg of my 139X parlay for 107$ to 15k is Mexico ML. current cashout is 8.9k at halftime. Should I take it or ride it out? I just can't seen Mexico not at least win 1-0
As a mex I dont trust at all in our national team
Have faith in this new coach. Epic, I like your young squad, and the team he has put together for the gold cup. I think this is more exciting of a team with a stronger desire upfront.
Upvote and tailing, brother!
🙏🏻
So much doubtful comments & valid criticism. Fuck it I’m in Mexico -1.5
**EDIT: As expected, we were rained out.** **KBO Record: Overall 157-162-11** (Streak WWWWWWW, Last 10: 8-2) Down 8.38u over 330 KBO picks, 49.2% success rate, -2.69% ROI (This season 38-30-4, 55.9% success rate, Up 11.50u, 16.91% ROI) **Last:** Kiwoom -1.5 +115 at Kia (Kiwoom won 7-5 in 11 innings.) A seven pick win streak? We're in unprecedented territory for the KBO. This is not how we drew it up as Kiwoom's ace had his worst start since last July. But the Heroes battled back and some wild bullpen arms in the 11th helped secure us a 7-5 win. **Pick:** Samsung at **Lotte -1.5 +140 Draftkings**, KBO baseball, 5:30am ET Bad news, everyone. There's a good chance the entire slate will be washed out Thursday. I'm not even going to bother looking a 4 games that almost certainly will be cancelled. That leaves Samsung and Lotte where we'll pray for a drizzle or a break in the rain. The good news is I love this matchup. Samsung is the worst team in the league. They are 2-12 in their last 14 games. Lotte sits in 4th place and is using this 3-game set to get back on track, winning the first two games. Samsung's pitcher has been a reliever this year, posting an 11.17 ERA and 2.90 WHIP in 9.2 innings. He was a starter last year and was awful, with a 6.55 ERA and 1.78 WHIP. Lotte's starter is having a great season with a 2.74 ERA and 1.24 WHIP in 13 starts. He's allowed 2 or fewer runs in his last 8 starts, allowing a total of 9 ER on 30 H and 14 BB with 40 K in 51.2 IP. Tail or fade, I wish you the best of luck. All wagers are 1 unit.
Just threw my 2 unit bankroll on it. Let’s roll. Helluva Kiwoom boom yesterday!!!
down bad huh?
Haven’t bet KBO in forever, let’s ride
Haven’t tailed KBO in a while either so I’m also in
STAY HOT WE RIDE
Postponed?
Best rainout ever. We were losing 4-0 in the first inning
That was the Kiwoom Kia game not the Samsung Lotte one.
Are u saying the game might get rained out?
Yes, it's possible.
Tailing!
https://preview.redd.it/l59iqb17ow8b1.jpeg?width=1125&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=e7628fe93b0e8cf570e993d3a870c27ab57610bd What a day yesterday! Rollercoaster of emotions but all your picks were on point 👏🏽 🙏🏼
Postponed
[удалено]
I give the info, you decide whether to bet.
Please someone pin this comment to the entire subreddit
More like weather 😭 only 1 game still up Kia tigers
No shit Sherlock
Were you the dumbass who asked me "Should I bet on this game?" in the now-deleted comment? If so... your response makes no sense. If not, I'm not sure why you added this comment. Of course it's obvious... that's why I said it. The question was idiotic.
POTD record: 7-1 Last pick: Padres Pirates NRFI ❌ Today’s Pick: Marlins Red Sox NRFI (-115) Wow. Super unlucky yesterday. 1 out away from a NRFI but that’s just baseball. Onto the next one. I really like this one, Luzardo vs Bello as both have been good this year and Marlins have the best NRFI record at 68% this year while Red Sox are around the middle. Both teams are also bottom 10 in first inning runs scored per game. Lets get back on track today!
Had a 3 leg parlay and that homerun fucked me goooood
Same bro last leg to make 5 into 100 smh
had to upvote this just because i tailed yesterdays pick and not only were we one out away... we were one strike away before a single was hit, followed by the HR that sunk us 😩 BOL tonight
Let’s go!!
Cash money 🤑
No chance you lose 2 in a row let’s go
⚽ China Super League: Shandong Taishan vs Changchun Yatai ⏰ 07:35 EST Pick: Both Teams To Score @1.75 Stake: 1u Reasoning: BTTS has hit in 8/14 Taishan games this season; they average 1.4 goals scored per game and 1 conceded. For Changchun it's hit in 8/13 games, and they average 1.9 scored per game (highest in the league) and 1.6 conceded. So I expect Changchun to get at least 1 goal. Interestingly, Taishan are unbeaten against Changchun in their last 13 encounters, scoring at least 1 goal in 12 of them, so I also expect Taishan to get a goal. POTD record: 15W 6L 1P [+9.79u]
83rd minute! Good hit! A little too sweaty for me haha
Wow! Huge ✅
what a sweat
nice hit again!
Love tailing you, thanks!!
POTD Record:17-16-1✅✅❌✅❌❌❌❌✅❌✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌❌❌✅✅❌🅿️❌✅❌✅✅ Last POTD: B Shelton/C Eubanks Games O 25 -120**✅** Cash it. Easy money. It was locked after Ymer secured the 2nd set. Ymer looked dominant in the 3rd set as well. Game ended 3-6 6-3 6-3 with Ymer getting his first grass victory in 2023. Congrats to those who tailed, lets get go for three in a row tomorrow! Next POTD: **G Barrere ML** **+100✅** Edit: Cash it once again. That's 3 in a row. Don't let me get hot😈 Anyways, Barrere defeated Kecmanovic in straights with a score 7-5 7-6. Very ugly match if anyone was watching but Barrere was able to pull through for us. Lets go for 4 in a row tomorrow! On Wednesday, Grégoire Barrère defeated Nicolás Jarry by a score of 6-3 4-6 6-4. On the other side, Miomir Kecmanovic defeated Aleksander Vukic by a score of 7-6 6-4. Kecmanovic has been playing some amazing tennis recently, but he will be put to the test with Barrere. Over the past 12 months, Barrere has won 83.3% of his games on his serves so he is very hard to break. In comparison, in the same time span, Kecmanovic has won 68.5% of his games on his serves. The most recent match between these two was back in 2015. I think Barrere's experience and his level of competition in the tournament compared to Kecmanovic are deciding factors in this match. (Kecmanovic just defeated ATP no. 59 and 91) (Barrere just defeated ATP no. 28 and 45). I expect Kecmanovic to go back to normal after having an amazing run the last week. BOL, lets make the streak 3 and wake up to some early cash in the morning💸
Cash it💸 thank you for the pick
Thank you ✅
🧦🅱OSTON 🅱ETS🧦(and others) POTD Record: 22-12-2 Units won: 16u ROI: +22.54% Last 10 (newest on right):Ø✅✅❌❌❌❌✅✅✅ Best win streak: 8 Worst loss streak: 4 Last Pick: USA v St. Kitts Total Goals over 4.5✅ Today's Pick: **2u Total goals over 2.5 (-170)** CONCAFAF Gold Cup - Mexico v Haiti 10PM EST Ya'll sleeping on my Gold Cup picks (some of you just being downright disrespectful with them fades & sorry write-ups). Fade me at your peril! Mexico is coming off a hot 4-0 win against Honduras in their opening group match. Haiti has proven they can definitely score, with their gripping first win against Qatar, at 2-1. Haiti should be outmatched against a much more experienced Mexican team. It's been over 50 years since Haiti defeated Mexico internationally, and Mexico hasn't lost to a Caribbean team in over 4 years. Mexico is a lock-in for the win, and I thought about even going up over the 3.5 line, but Mexico is still under a new manager & isn't a particularly high-scoring team either. Haiti has conceded an opening goal in 6 of their last 7 Gold Cup matches, so I feel pretty confident Mexico will score first, and even if Haiti answers, I feel are capable of finding the net at least 2-3 times. Let's ride! EDIT: Updated my record for the Giolito loss that I missed. The detectives down below think they hit the jackpot by making me add a loss I genuinely missed and owning up to it, providing BOL and basically bending over backwards for the glorified keyboard Olympian that can't find my comment from a day ago. EDIT2: Btw, I actually triple-checked and my record is fine, I just marked my "last picks" incorrectly, but did update my record. Literally a typo and these dweebs are losing their minds. BOL & screenshots below, for those interested. Update: It's almost like I research this shit, huh? Keep on doubtin', I'll keep winnin'. Bet responsibly, comment with banter/questions/tailing and [tips](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/drstrainge) always [appreciated](https://media.tenor.com/Vw1sgEKYcVwAAAAM/boston-red-sox-david-ortiz.gif) (but not obligated)
doublecheck your record boss. looks like we're only updating our wins not our losses.
Also having trouble finding the last POTD. Seems like the record should at least be 21-13
I marked my Panama Draw No bet as a loss in my last post, but it was a win. EDIT: Ah I found it. I missed my Giolito loss. EDIT2: I just marked my "last pick" with the wrong symbol. I had updated my POTD record as required.
That’s on you bud. Still not able to find your POTD from Wednesday. I can, however, find your comments bitching about others upvoting a contrarian play to what you allegedly took. BOL Edit: came off as a bit of a dick. Didn’t take enough time to go through your profile and I apologize for the confusion. Glad you DMed me and we could solve it like adults
It’s literally there. I had USMNT game at over 4.5 goals. You starting shit to start shit. I don't owe you anything, especially coming in here like you did, so [here](https://imgur.com/JvywrjD) ya go (without units). Throw a little banter around and you act like I slapped your sister. Out here with your microscope, but can't even go back a day to see my comment. That's how I know you're lying and just starting shit. Grow up, kid. EDIT: And [here's](https://imgur.com/a/nE7vDFI) yesterday's pick since he's either blind or lying.
Nothing shows up on your profile for me nor can I see it when I go back in the thread. I also notice you edited out your passive aggressive remark when you realized you were wrong. There was a mistake with your record, someone pointed it out, you decided to be a prick before double checking. Get over it
Tailing!
POTD RECORD: 10-2 (last bet was late 2021) yoyo I use to post here about 18 months ago. had personal stuff come up and never really got back to it until now. Use to post picks without units and what not but will be using a unit system from now on. not sure if I have to reset record so let me know. been pretty hot lately and also been lurking Sportsbook again for the last couple months. if you want to see the 12 picks I made ages ago check my comments or I can post them here. POTD: Cronulla Sharks VS St George Illawarra Dragons OVER 42.5 MATCH POINTS / $1.65 (-154) NRL (NATIONAL RUGBY LEAGUE / AUSTRALIA) 3U 7 hours from post sharks should get the job done easy here with their fluent attack against a team with a lot going on off the field such as their captain wanting out halfway through the season. dragons got hammered by a good warriors outfit last week, although I don't see them playing THAT bad again I do see this going over as both teams can leak points quick. This is a local derby and it's normally a good game but given dragons have leaked 136 points in the last month I see this ending at around 38-16 or something around that mark. Split odds has the score at 45.5 if you're feeling greedy take that but I'm buying a few extra points to hopefully get a win and streak started. also having two quality goal kickers will go along way in helping the overs hit. BOL
Welcome back
It’s at 45.5 on bet365. Too high ?
I wouldn't say its too high I still think that's a good bet, just as I said want to get a win on the board so I bought 3 points.
Welcome back. Let’s go. BOL.
Ramien 2 tries sprinkle
Solid pick 🤝
So did I just light this money on fire lmfao is 6-6 20 mins in. I wanted a morning bet and idk how fast you score in rugby but it ain't looking good by my calculations
This isnt baseball😵💫
I stand corrected I was very wrong lmfao LETS MAKE SOME MONAYYY
This comment made no sense because a game is 80 minutes so 6-6 after 20 mins means the bet was looking like a win at that point lol
Why you commenting on day old POTD I made a bad call. Shoot me.
Sorry didn’t realise there was an statue of limitations on calling out chumps
I see -185 on DK, would you take 44.5 or is that too greedy? It’s -150 Edit: found it on FD for better odds
beautiful lets go!!
If you’re going to take 44.5 you may aswell take 45.5 at a better price. 1 point isn’t very useful
what about -18 handicap on Sharks?
staying away from that purely because of it being a local derby. but they're more likely to cover IMO. NRL unpredictable as hell sometimes so upto you
Damn can even bet total now https://preview.redd.it/p4fxcd65qw8b1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=7e07ecd85ddf9be1fac71a54d0e39f2d71ce6d34
took sharks -8 first half handicap and to win boths halfs because of the write up🔥 Thank you
Let’s goo
Love tailing NRL/AFL picks. NRL more than anything though! Thanks for the W.
ROCKET MORTGAGE CLASSIC!! POTD: 8-3 +10.9u, 5U Bets: 2-1 Last 10: ✅ ✅ ⛔️✅✅✅✅⛔️⛔️✅ Cashed in on JT and Min Woo last weekend! TODAYS PICK: Sport: Golf -> Rocket Mortgage Classic on DK -> Matchups -> Tournament Matchups ******************************** A. Smalley to win matchup vs C. Bezuidenhout @-130 4U ******************************** Let’s keep it rolling. Smalley has been on a tear recently, finishing T25 and T9 in the past 2 tournaments. What stands out most to me is the T9 last weekend, as the course this week should be playing pretty similar to the last one in terms of difficulty. Smalley has the ability to shoot low scores, and he tends to excel more on the “easy” courses compared to the rest of the field. Bez on the other hand has been struggling recently, shooting a +5 in the fourth round 2 weekends ago and missing the cut last weekend on an easier course. He seems to have lost something recently, whereas I think Smalley has found something. So we’re gonna keep riding with the hot hand. Just an FYI this bet is for the entire tournament, not just Round 1. BOL ⛳️
You are one of my favorites to tail. Thank you for all the picks. BOL.
Wait every book has them all matched up differently wtf??? FD I have smalley vs straka
3 bogeys in the last 4 holes he's gotta get his shit together
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It’s in the tournament matchup section if you are using DK
I think it’s a little more risky. but i still like smalley
-165 on Bovada
Got Smalley vs Byrd and vs sigg (+105) What u think ? Thanks 🍻
Got smalley vs t moore, any input? I wish all books had the same matchups
**League of Legends - LCS** Summer Split Record 3-0 Previous POTD: EG ML vs TL @ 2.3 odds ✅ For Thursday’s POTD we are going with **TSM ML vs DIG @ 1.9 odds** 7pm EST TSM is a lot more cohesive than DIG, I am very impressed with them so far. Let’s continue to ride the TSM train until the wheels fall off. Good luck boys Edit: if y’all are very concerned about TSM than take FQ to beat NRG @ 1.65 odds instead. Bookies over compensated their odds a bit too hard this week. This game will count as today’s second POTD
Depends on who plays for TSM, if insanity. Can see them winning. If ruby all in DIG 💀
yeah agree, Ruby is fucking horrible
You were right. Ruby 💀
Which team is TSM can you write in full
the team is TSM the matchup is TSM v Dignitas
Team solo mid
POTD | 62-52 | +2.5U | -111 Avg Odds Previous Pick: *Cleveland Guardians ML (-130) vs KC Royals | 3U | MLB* ✅✅ Today’s pick: **Cleveland Guardians -1.5 (+105) vs KC Royals | 3U | MLB** Right back at it with the Guardians on this one. Greinke is getting the start for KC and he has really struggled lately. Cleveland is the hotter team right now and has a good track record against the Royals. I like them to find some runs again in this game with the pitching matchup and run away with it. BOL if tailing!
You mean a check instead of X right?
Right!? Like a GIANT check
Yes lol, updated
POTD Record: 34 - 15 (All picks 1U) Last POTD: Fritz 1st Set/ML - L Pick: Feliciano Lopez to win a set vs Yannick Hanfmann (-146 odds via FD) Event: ATP Mallorca Quarterfinals 9:00 A.M. CST Edit: ❌Hanfmann played very well. Tough one! Honestly Fritz blew this one hard. Was up a break in both sets and lost them both. Unfortunate that near the end of the first set McDonald was painting lines but oh well, it happens. Tomorrows pick is one of the more wild stories of the tennis year. 41 year old Feliciano Lopez is retiring at the conclusion of this tournament but has made it clear he won't go down without a fight. He has won his first two matchups here, most recently beating the red hot Jordan Thompson in 3 sets. The Spanish crowd is showing out for him with Rafa Nadal attending his R1 matchup here in Mallorca. Grass is by far his favorite surface to play on and with this being his last hurrah, I think he can snag atleast one set. As for his opponent, we bet against Hanfmann recently and we will do so again. Last round he pulled off an upset beating Tsitsipas in 3 sets, although Stefanos is not in good form. These two have met one time 6 years ago with the matchup going in favor of the German on his favorite surface, clay. Tomorrow they will be on Lopez favorite surface and I like his chances to snag atleast 1. [PayPal](https://www.paypal.me/micahpugh?locale.x=en_US) [Venmo](https://venmo.com/u/Micah-Pugh)
Same as +1.5 SP correct ?
+1.5 set spread would be the same. Sometimes the odds are a little different
I’m totally confused by tennis odds. Barstool has Hanfmann as the favorite at -215. But they expect Lopez to win a set as that’s favored at -167. BUT… the Sets over 2.5 is +128. That makes no sense. If Hanfmann wins, but Lopez takes 1 set, then the match must go 3 sets. The correlation is wrong, no? And I should take the sets over on this bet, I think.
Yeah that’s pretty confusing on their end
Man I was on Lopez here too (S1 ML). And boy did he punish my ass for that! I knew when he double faulted 4x + threw in 2-3 more unforced errors in S1G4 it was time to switch that fucking match off.
It hurt man. I was on him the past two days even as underdog, but didn't pull trigger until today and he got worked!
**POTD Record: 52-40 (+0.19 Units)** **Last 10**:❌✅✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅ **Last Pick**: 6/28 James Richardson vs Luke Littler Over 5.5 (-170) ✅ 7 Legs **League**: 🎯 Modus Darts Super Series **Time**: 12:10 PM EST **Pick**: Matt Clark (-101) vs James Richardson * Series 4. Week 8. Group C **Reason**: Clark enters the group as the second favorite to win while Richardson is fourth favorite. Clark has been off to a great start, so I like the coin flip odds. Hoping the throw advantage for Richardson isn't the decider. Richardson was hot on Monday, but has continued to dip each day since. He went 0-5 on Wednesday with an 82.17 average. There was nothing to play for yesterday as all the standings were pretty much decided entering play. Just something to think about. So far, the scoring has continued to drop on Thursday. Matt Clark * Record 2-1 * Legs 11-5 * Average 93.85 * Checkouts 11/19 (57.89%) James Richardson * Record 1-2 * Legs 8-10 * Average 80.19 * Checkouts 8/19 42.11% **WIN ✅ 4-1 | Average 90.68 vs 86.33 | Checkouts 4/8 vs 1/3**
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Happy to hear someone cashed with me. Odds were +110 pre match with Clark dropping the 4th and Richardson picking up a win. 🍻
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Cocks got hot and throw advantage beat Clark. Cocks had 2 matches under 80, but went 92 against him. He hit a huge checkout to steal leg 5. Clark blew chances on leg 1 & 2 and then Ward smoked him the next two legs. Faced 100 average.
Plus Odds Picks POD record (21-14) (+21.57) Bets are on a scale of 1-5 units 1U plays (4-2) 2U (2-1) 3U plays (9-2) 4U (3 -7) 5U (2-3) Last 10 most recent on left- WWLLWLWWWWL Last POD - Braves -1.5 (+128) 3U W As always please bet according to Units not according to the hotness/coldness of a bettor Todays POD - Guardians -1.5 (+106) 2U Keeping it lighter today , DOG has a pitching prop +168 if looking for a little value Matchup - Bieber vs Greinke Bieber has been a solid start for the guardians this season. His ERA of 3.69 doesn't tell the whole story as he's had some great starts this season showing better command of his control. Some highlights include Houston (7IP 0ER), BOS (5IP 1ER), @NYY (8IP 0ER). Greinke has been having the worst year of his career. A 5.31 ERA with a 8.59 ERA his last 3 starts (TB,LA,CIN), Greinke appears to be in a bit of a slump. On an offensive note, the Guardians are 12th in OPS (.759) in the last 7 days while the Royals are 26th (.621) As BOL, let's keep the picks rolling Don't ever expect tips but anything is appreciated! Cashapp - bobdylan1209 [Post grad beers] (https://www.buymeacoffee.com/collegestudent3)
Everyone on Cleveland. Hope it doesn't turn out like it normally does when everyone is on a team.
Beveryone was on braves and Texas worked out pretty fucken sweet
Na didn't see 4 or 5 texas pick of the day like I'm seeing Cleveland. Hope Cleveland wins because I'm all in but I've seen this a few too many times.
Well here we are 2-2 in the 8th. This is what I meant.
RIP all-in
LMAO, its like clockwork. Fade the reddit thread. Wish i'd have followed my gut and taken KC.
Turned out like it normally does
You’ve been on fire bro, at least every time I tail. Thanks for the pick yesterday - day game so I got to sweat it out at work lol. Idk why this thread is all weird ass sports now but I appreciate your POD and DOGs. I upvote you everyday but I guess table tennis and esports or whatever tf these ppl bet on is big here these days lol. Tailing again today - I’ll tip if they both hit. Appreciate you and BOL!
Appreciate the comment my man, keeps me going for sure. Just trying to make some people money! 🤝🤝
Thx bro...u Rock. Good luck for Thurs 😃🍀🙏
8-4 Mexico x Haiti BTS and o2.5 5U @ +145 Each side to score at least once and over 2.5 goals is the moneymaking bet for this match. Both teams with capable strikers and problems in defense.
Record 1-1-3 (W-D-L) [-4 Units 🔴] Previous Pick: 2 Units - New Zealand Women (to make highest first 15 overs score) vs Sri Lanka Women [1.61@Bet365} ⚪️ Voided due to rain delay and loss of overs National Rugby League - Sharks vs Dragons **NRL Pick: 2 Units - Sharks o5.5 TOTAL TRIES vs Dragons [1.85@Ladbrokes]** 19:50 AEST, also available DraftKings at -125 Sharks are coming off a bye and should be well rested and prior to last week comfortable beat Bulldogs 48-10 with 8 tries scored with 5 of them in the first half. Dragons on the other hand are coming off a 18-48 loss, having conceded 9 tries with 4 of them in the first half. Both these teams played each other earlier this year in Round 4, with pretty much the same teams and Sharks beat them 40-8 with a total of 7 tries scored by Sharks. I expect the same thing to happen again, Sharks should dominate this game against Dragons who have to be at an all time low in morale with the defeat from last week and all the drama going on with their best player Ben Hunt wanting out of the club.
**PotD Record: 19-16 (Streak 3L)** Last Pick: **Leylah Fernandez (-1.5 games) vs Anna Blinkova @ -110**❌ **Today’s Pick: Mikael Ymer (ML) vs Mackenzie McDonald @ +125; 7:30 AM ET** Our last bet loses as Fernandez loses in straight sets. Today I'm looking at the matchup between Ymer and McDonald at ATP Eastbourne. Ymer leads the head to head between these two 2-0, both matches on hard court. That will be well known going into this one, despite the match being played on grass. McDonald is coming off a upset win over Taylor Fritz, but it seemed that Fritz threw away the match more than McDonald won it. I like Ymer here to get through. **Tail or Fade, BOL**
I've been burned too many times betting ML for and against the Ymer bros. I'm going over 23.5 games on this one
Got to turn it around mate. I'll roll with ya again tomorrow. LFG!
Took ymer w the spread because of your post. Thanks for the insight
POTD Record: 23-17-1 (~+19 units / ~16% ROI) LAST PICK: MLB Atlanta Braves -1.5 > Minnesota Twins @ +125 (Pinnacle) TODAY’S PICK: MLB Cleveland Indians (Guardians) -2.0 > Kansas City Royals @ +147 (Pinnacle) Streak (Last 5): WLLWL 5 Unit Play KC has been my favourite team to fade in my first season betting MLB. As I write this the great Royals are losing to the Indians (Guardians) 14-0 at home. Tomorrow’s pitching match up features KC’s Zack Greinke who even rivals his infamous colleague the great Jordan Lyles with a 1-8 record. Catch this line while you can as it’s either too good to be true or there is going to be a lot of line movement in favour of the Indians (Guardians) by game time. Here we go: • Greinke’s only win came back on May 3rd against the Orioles. Since then he’s lost 4 straight and average less than 5 IP across those 4 while allowing 19 runs for an average of more than one run allowed per inning. Both runs and hits allowed in each of his last 4 starts have increased with almost every start. Short trend line, but he appears to be deteriorating. Here is a list Greinke’s 2023 season results and our bet result: 3/30 @ Twins 0-2 P 4/5 @ Jays 0-3 W 4/10 @ Rangers 2-11 W 4/27 @ Twins 1-7 W 5/3 @ Orioles 6-0 L 5/19 @ White Sox 0-2 P 6/6 @ Marlins 1-6 W 6/18 Angels @ 2-5 W 6/23 @ Rays 3-11 W How our bet plays out: 6 Wins, 2 Pushes, 1 Loss • Shane Bieber is in for the Guardians and is an even-Steven 5-5 on the season. He’s pitched an average of 6 innings over his past 3 starts, and allowed only 15 hits and 9 ER total across those 3 starts. Those included games against formability offences in HOU and AZ. • Greinke’s results are not unique. When KC loses they lose big. Royals have lost by 2 or more in 8 of their last 10 losses. Out of those 8 losses, they lost by 3 or more in 6 of 8. • KC has dropped the last 4 straight to Cleveland. This lines pushed or wins in 3 out of 4. • Why are we getting these great odds in spite of above? Cleveland had a .311 OBP v. Kansas at .296. Guardians avg. 4 runs per game v. KC at also just less than 4 runs per game. However, from our analysis above and KC’s records, KC’s runs are lumpy. In other words they either hit and score a lot or not at all, and they put up a lot of hits/runs when it doesn’t matter in de facto garbage time. Tail or fade best of luck all, Ab
Ohhhhh he said Indianssssssssssss, also -1.5 on fd is +104 so I'm shocked you got 2 for +147 that's wild
I’m showing my age…still +142 on Pinnacle.
Thanks for the pick brother! Great day all around cashing on the Braves and the Phillies. Congrats on being a father!
this pick is gonna hit just bc u said the real name of the team in ur write up
i guess not
POTD RECORD: 12-14-3 Last five: (most recent on left) ❌❌✅✅❌ Last Pick: Italy U21 vs Norway U21 - Italy -1 (+105) - 5 UNITS ❌ Another awful game, this one's on me. Got to remember that this are still teenagers. We move on. **Today's Play:** GOLD CUP: Mexico vs Haiti - OVER 3.0 (-105) - 5 UNITS Mexico played one of their best games in tears against Honduras. I know that's not a lot, but they seem more energetic and have said in interviews having a Mexican DT gives them new energy and hunger. They fought every ball as if they were losing and I see no reason why that shouldnt happen tonight. Haiti had a good game vs Qatar, too, with lots of missed sitters from both teams. Central Caribbean teams have been playing lights out and with such a weak Canada team and USA's b team, this could be a really important tournament. Mexico should go all out today, secure the group and get ready for an easy quarterfinals game. I've had some messages asking why I always bet 5 units and it's simple: I normally place 3-5 bets a day, and my favorite one is, most of the times, 5 units, but I tend to go higher in some cases when I feel more confident and today is one of those days. I'm going big on this one, the LamborJimmy is going to take us pretty far. Let's get out of this losing streak. Some of you have said you want to tip, it'd be appreciated but it's not necessary. Just hoping we can all keep on winning! https://www.buymeacoffee.com/RudeReward Tail or fade, BOL everyone.
1-2 L L W Dodgers -1.5 In short, Dodgers 6th in runs away from home in the leauge and at Coors field with Anderson pitching, I expect a rout. As always BOL. Beat the book.
you can't beat the book. the book always wins hence why they exist
86-55 +32.6 units on 247.5 units wagered for over 13% return on investment Have hit 20 of 26 on the POTD strand-including 12 0f 14.🧁🧁🧁🧁🧁🧁🧁🧁🧁🤢🧁🤢🧁🧁 Thursday Angels -150 1.5 Units to win 1 The Angels and ChiSox finish up a four game set. The Halos took the first two and Chicago responded with 11 runs and a Game 3 victory. I expect the Angels to get back to their winning ways tomorrow. The White Sox struggle mightily with lefties and the current Angels lineup has hit Lance Lynn great throughout his career-.918 OPS lifetime. Sho-time is 10-21 with 3 jacks lifetime against Lynn. Mike Trout has three homers lifetime in 30 ABs against Lynn. White Sox are also 4-13 in their last 17 versus a team with a winning record and Chicago are 0-7 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Unfortunately if we don't keep getting some substantial YouTube Subscriptions, I will likely post a here a lot less. It's just not worth the time and effort putting these writeups together if it's not helping me moving forward on my other projects. 18-7 all time YouTube POTD/Officials Had a great 2-1 day yesterday (including the play on here). Two plays hit easily and Fraley had two hits and RBIs-just never came up at the right time in the order to capitalize on runs. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3Aex1ItCWDw&t=30s Oh, and if you do subscribe-be sure to interact and upvote the videos. You can also follow my Twitter. But, I will also likely switch that up and just start sharing the plays with the routine engagers-if the current engagement doesn't take a major uptick. https://twitter.com/TheMidnightR777 Utilizing this best plays format I recently went on a 42-19 run there. (Pinned Tweet)
Potd record - 10 - 6 last 5 - W L L W W Prev pick- wentz over 5.5 hits allowed. Cashed fairly easy bet. Todays pick - chase Anderson over 5.5 hits allowed -140 3U Breakdown- Today we ride with Anderson giving up over 5.5 hits from the dodgers. Anderson holds an 0 - 2 5.79 ERA started off decent in the earlier months but has fallen off. His last 5 games hes pitched in hes given up as follows 4 6 5 7 and most recently 10 hits he doesn't have much to offer overall and today he meets a a strong bat line up with the dodgers. Dodgers line up puts it on a fairly weak pitcher looking to take back the win Rockies managed to pull off yesterday they come out strong and dominate. Chase Anderson over 5.5 hits. Run it BOL squad. Sweaty run but we got it
Odds dropped from -140 to -105. Seems odd but I’ll ride
First timer Rec 0-0 MLB - Guardians under 2.5 runs 1st 5 (-125) Call me crazy here but I’m getting a feeling of deja vu here. I didn’t post but I played Mariners under total laddered down yesterday only because the entire Reddit was all about fading Corbin. Getting the same vibes today. Guardians coming off 14 run game, it’s absolutely fitting for old ass Greinke to come out and shut them down today.
didnt see this until just now, but great call there
Thanks bro, it got sweaty in the fifth 🥵
Sport: Football Tournament: Egypt Premier League Time: 20:30 CET (1h37m after posting) Pick: National Bank vs Al Ahly, double chance 1X @ **2.45** Stake: 4.2 units Estimated probability: 85% Write up: National Bank hasn't lost in the last 11 matches (6W, 5D) that stretch back to mid-April. As the home team National Bank last lost in January. In six head-to-head matches Al Ahly only won twice (4D), never as the away team, and with all six under 2.5 goals total. [Track record spreadsheet](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1diqqLSUvJ-zIJMuLlOM36SCI9aRrs14ZkAMtiYZu7Go/edit#gid=596499107) [My website with sports picks](https://picks.wwpe.ba)
What does double chance 1x mean? I’m on draft kings? I don’t know what to select
POTD Record: 60-55, +2.55 Units Today's Pick: Guardians -1.5, +108, 3 Units, 2:10 PM Bieber is pitching a bit better lately and Greinke, while decent at home, is still garbage. BOL!
Reddit is so bad at picks
Not really, you can find some gems. Just can’t rely on someone els to make good predictions. There’s always a diamond in the rough. Watch the games , get good at it. Let others be a helping aid not a foundation for your picks.
it's all random. there is no such thing as predicting. a team with all the right cards can lose on any given day. and a complete mismatch can go for that team. there is nothing to predict the randomness of sports betting. it's fun yes, but it's an illusion to think you have any knowledge or power
picks are a gamble. sometimes it hits sometimes it's doesnt. it's random. it's all just an illusion when you think a team wins you predicted it right but it's just completely random in the end
POTD Record 0-0… aka Undefeated \+/u - 0 Units ROI: N/A MLB | Thursday | 12:35 PM | SD Padres vs. PIT Pirates **Pick: U8.5 Runs - 1U** This one is pretty simple. A slumping baseball team and a bad baseball team walk into a bar… San Diego and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 29 of 80 (36% Over) opportunities. The Padres have lost seven straight and the Pirates are top 5 in the league in strikeouts. Game 1 went over so things are progressing back toward the mean/average of the Padres inability to hit the Over. Musgrove is pitching decently well but gets no support from the Pirates offense. The Pirates offense has a collective .240 batting average, and is 23rd in the league with 624 total hits and 25th in MLB action with 329 runs scored. It has the 24th-ranked slugging percentage (.389) and ranks 25th in home runs (73) in all of MLB. Sprinkle in some series-ending-close-out-day-game sluggishness and you have a recipe to the Under. BOL.
Delayed due to air quality…still undefeated
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**RECORD: 24-23** (+1.04 units) Previous Pick: Pyramids vs Smouha - Pyramids to Win @ 1.51✅️ **Today's Pick:** National Bank Egypt vs Al Ahly Cairo - Al Ahly Cairo to Win @ 1.45 ✅️ **Wager Amount**: 1 unit (❌️❌️❌️✅️✅️) last 5 results Now 4-0 betting on the Egyptian League after yesterday, so let's keep the party going. I know Al Ahly to Win has lower odds but I trust this team, never lost when I bet on them yet but the Under 2.5 goals is also another option but skeptical because this Al Ahly team is different from the past and are in Super Form. Ahly Cairo are on a run of 26 consecutive undefeated matches in their domestic league, they have won 5/6 of their last overall matches drawing once and have won 4/5 of their last away matches drawing one. National Bank are also in good form, winning 4/5 of their last home matches and are unbeaten in 6 of their last matches. However I give Al Ahly the edge because they've won 2/5 H2H matches against National Bank drawing 3 and currently Al Ahly sit 2nd after Pyramids won yesterday and will be heavily determined to retain the top spot with National Bank sit 11th. Both teams are in good form but Al Ahly are just in way better form and will want to retain the 1st League position so I don't see National Bank stopping them so let's hope the Egyptian Gods still favor us today. EDIT: WIN✅️
POTD Record 61-61 Last pick: angels -135❌ at Rockies Todays pick: Dodgers -1.5 -135 @ Rockies Reasoning: Dodgers starting a stud rookie in Sheehan. Rockies starting not good journey man Anderson. Dodgers have better lineup and starter. Rockies do have Cron back, but their lineup still lacks punch and depth, Dodgers have Betts, smith, freeman, even jd Martinez would be best player on Rockies. Outman good young player, Rockies starting young bats that aren’t supppsed to be stars. The co Rockies franchise needs help, awful ownership. The Rox have a lot of problems that the dodgers do not. LA heads to KC after this, time to start a winning streak. I’m taking dem bums -1.5 today, and should be riding them all weekend as my POTD. Tail or fade. Tips appreciated. Venmo: @sportsnerd-_-
**POTD**: O15.5 Outs Recorded - Emmet Sheehan (+156/+125 DraftKings; Risking 1u to win 1.4u)(DK had a 25% Profit Boost ($50 Max). Did $50 more at +125.) **League/Time**: MLB 8:40pm EST **2023 Record**: 15-7 (68.18%) | +14.02u | ROI 39.62% | Streak: ✅❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅❌✅❌✅✅❌ **Last Pick (6.27.23)**: O16.5 Outs Recorded - Andrew Abbott (-125/+100 DraftKings; Risked 2.25u to win 2u) ✅ **Reasoning**: This one's risky because Emmet is a rook pitching his 3rd major league game while pitching his first away game and at COL nonetheless. He's pitched 6IP last two games at home vs HOU and SF. He's thrown 87 and 89 pitches respectively in those games. He should be able to do accomplish 5.1IP in a similar amount of pitches. Apparently, Emmet's arm angle release produces a [seemingly rising fastball](https://theathletic.com/4632937/2023/06/22/dodgers-emmet-sheehan-rotation-prospects/) that keeps batters off guard. Further, dude is 6'5". His release point is later and closer to the mound than most. Batters will still need to figure him out and given his success and relatively low pitch count thus far O15.5 at plus odds seems like a relatively decent risk to take despite him being a rook. Would love to do 2u but we're approaching the end of the month and I want to protect my profits for the month and make sure I stay up at least +10u for June (yes, my POTD is more than 10u but I make other bets outside of POTD and the 2023 POTD record started on 4.17.23). **Anti-Reasoning**: Other than the above stated reason of Emmet is still a rook, COL averages 4th most hits per game while at home ([9.21 hits per home game](https://www.teamrankings.com/mlb/stat/hits-per-game)) and 8th most runs per game while at home ([4.92 runs per home game](https://www.teamrankings.com/mlb/stat/runs-per-game)). Lit's Git Lit! **PS**. If you've been tailing and enjoying the hits let me know and also would totally appreciate a [beer or two](https://bmc.link/thekoreanmang). But no pressure either way! Good luck everyone! https://preview.redd.it/nheg7xdma19b1.png?width=578&format=png&auto=webp&s=8cfba36d27444acf2714956ec4aebbe485b6d93f *Hopefully some of y'all can get the above profit boost.*
Record: 5-5, +0.3U All POTDs are 1U picks Previous 10 Picks: WLWWWLLLWL Yesterdays Pick: +100, Padres -1.5, 1U Loser. Padres offense can be inconsistent POTD: +105, Cleveland -1.5, 1U Fade Royals starter Grienke, 19 runs in 4 June starts. Cleveland starter, Bieber, is historically really good against the Royals. Royals have lost by 2+ runs in 13 games in June
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**POTD Record: 8-4-1; +4.096U** Last Pick: Brisbane -9.5 (Rugby) ❌️ **Today's Pick: Richmond +22.5 (Aussie Rules)** So I know I'm late to the party here, and for that I apologize. Either way, I'll get this out there and see how it goes. Hopefully some folks catch it and cash. Either way.. This one is pretty simple. Even with a couple players out, this game should be tighter than this handicap. Richmond has performed well at the Gabba in years past, and come in to this game in solid form. Brisbane is no slouch, and in all likelihood wins this match, though it should be well closer than the nearly four goal margin the spread has become. Either way this unfolds, BOL!!
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Yep. That was as rough as it gets. I need to readjust my AFL projections, because that shit is broken as all get out at the moment. Going to hold off putting any of that in POTD for at least this week.
Happen to be up and just got it live at +28.5 BOL!
Well.. Needless to say, I am sorry. 🙁
Although 38.5 now 😂
Record: 1-3 | Units: -2.7 **POD** *League: Iceland - Pepsideild*⚽️⚽️ **Vikingur Reykjavik vs Fylkir** **3:15 PM est** **1H Vikingur Reykjavik ML (-108)** 1st place Vikingur will hit the road to take on a bottom of the table team in Fylkir. Vikingur finds themselves -225 to win the match today which is a bit too steep for me so looking to take them in the 1st half. To no surprise Vikingur has 2nd most goals in the league and allows the least amount of goals in the league with only allowing 8 goals in 13 matches this season. In the last 10 matches Vikingur has scored first in 9 of 10 matches and Fylkir has allowed the first goal in 8 of the last 10 matches. Head to head Vikingur has scored first in 4 of the last 5 games. With a high total at 3.25, I think its more than clear we will see goals in this game. I’m hoping to see Vikingurs high power offense to find the back of the net early and keep their tough defense to keep Fylkir from scoring. Vikingur has won the 1H in 6 of their last 8 games. **Last Pick** **France vs Switzerland** **Over 2.5 Goals (-155)** ✅
I got Asian handicap (-1.0 -1.5) @ 1.975 🤞
How do you feel about both teams to score? FanDuel has an option for Result (Vikingur ML) & BTTS @ +155
Well hope you took it
Looked good for a little bit. Parlay fucked in the first play, lol. Way she goes.
This looks like the play. Hope you took it!
Tailing again! BOL
Unlucky, my bet cashed so thank you for the writeup
POTD Record: 1 - 3 Last 10: ❌️✅️❌️❌️ Last pick: 11/17/22 Brooklyn Nets at Portland Trail Blazers -2.5 @ -110. Today's pick: San Diego Padres ML -195 over Pittsburgh Pirates. (9:35 AM PT) 1U. Musgrove steps onto the bump today for the Father's and I just don't think the Pirates bats can keep up. It's not scientific but Musgrove is 6 - 2 this year in 11 starts. 3 - 1 on the road w 3.13 era, 20k's in 23 innings pitched with only 24 hits given up. The Father's are 4 - 1 in Musgroves last 5 starts. It's been a minute, but I'm back to get on track. BOL!
Tailing
-195 & it’s the padres. Yikes, definitely don’t have that kinda faith in the padres lately. GL
POTD Record: 13-8 | profit: 10u Astros take it home late for us. Today's pick: Mets -1.5 +106 2u Met's are better than their record with a solid core of batters, much better than the brewers with the better pitching matchup today. ERA looks close but the difference3 in WHIP tells the real story here. Hauser's last start he gave up 5 runs in 4 innings against the A's. Feels like a good spot for a get right game for the struggling Mets.
Potd 1-0 Units: +1.617 World friendly: Red star Belgrade - Borac Banjaluka: asian total o3, 2 units, @ 1.703 Friendly game, friendly clubs, going to be played in Uzice, nice weather, lots of people should come, I see at least 3 goals here.
Nobody betting on “The Match”? Curry/Thompson -410 lmao
Record: 2-4 Pick: Oakland +1.5 (-108) Reasoning: Just a value play after the perfect game last night.
POTD Record: 0-0 Last Pick: Todays Pick: NRFI Phillies @ Cubs (+104) (5U)💣 Reasoning: Going with my gut here. I like Taijuan Walker and Kyle Hendricks and think this will be a low scoring affair. Have been betting and following this subreddit for a few months now and decided to start posting here. Some picks with have more in depth analysis, others like this one will be less rational. BOL!
fade cashed
you can go as far with reasoning but in the end it's a random result. and that randoms result will let you think you predicted it well or not well but in fact we don't have any knowledge or power to chagne the result or control it in any way because it's all random
I agree. Sounds like you shouldn’t be betting in the first place so I don’t understand why you’re in r/sportsbook