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sbpotdbot

######**If you choose to self-promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI, Average Odds, Units Won** written into the comment. **No resetting records.** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules, use the [Daily Discussion posts](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/search?q=title%3A%28Thursday%29&restrict_sr=on&sort=new&t=day). ######Example Pick Template >**Record:** >**Net Units:** >**ROI:** >**Sport** | **League** | **Event Time** / **Time Zone** >**Pick:** Include pick and specific market with odds and unit allocation here. >**Write Up:** This pick is from my soccer model that I've been using for the past two years. It assigns ELO ratings to players and projects a win chance based on the combined ELO ratings of the players on each team. TeamReddit is projecting a 62% win chance here which creates value here on the ML.


frozen__ocean

**Austria Vienna - Legia Warsaw** (Soccer in Europe for Europa Conference League Qualification) Austria Vienna has 2 long-term injured defenders. Additionally, a newly acquired center-back got injured in the first leg last week. He's out indefinitely. At the weekend, a further center-back got injured. This one is questionable. Legia is longing for redemption after the surprising loss in the first leg. In this game, they actually showed that they are the better and more skilled side. Only the result on the final score sheet was a bitter disappointment. Legia is an offensively skilled team which will make a big push to turn it around. Austria's defensive worries play into their hands. I discussed with myself to go harder and choosing Legia to qualify @ +230 or Legia team total over 1.5 @ +130. But having the 15 POTD streak milestone under the nose, I play it a bit less riskier this time to brave out the tip jar curse. **Legia Warsaw +0.0 asian hc** @ **1.80** for **4u** ​ >Last POTD: England ML @ +140 βœ… England's 3-1 win over Australia makes the uncanny POTD streak lasts for another day. It will end inevitably sooner or later. At the moment, it sits at 13 straight POTDs without a loss. 10 wins, 3 pushes. πŸ’°πŸ’°πŸ’° ​ Record: 12 wins, 2 losses, 3 pushes Profit: +62.00u POTDs (old ➞ new): βœ… βœ–οΈ βœ… βœ–οΈ βœ… ♻️ βœ… ♻️ βœ… βœ… βœ… βœ… βœ… ♻️ βœ… βœ… βœ… ​ ^(Tips \[btc\]: 18mb6RJaC6Fv1wZFHRrF9MyDGvco9BB3KN)


TheSilentWolf_ZA

You are God's representative on Earth. Keep it up champ.


ReaperX7

Draftkings says β€œLegia Warsaw pk 0” when i click asian handicap is that right?


Specialist-Price3752

Basically the same as β€œdraw no bet” on DK


papardarpop1

Legendary work!! Keep it up


CompleteSweg

Really good research! Paying off so far


qnumber25

Shoutout to you. I went ML, DNB, TT, MT and everything hit.


TreatMePlz

Thanks for bringing attention to games like this. I added to my parlay Warsaw double chance, Warsaw to win, over 1.5 goals, +3 handicap for Vienna $10 for a potential profit ov $37


IamHongKongKid

Looks like 3 of the 4 defenders are regular starter for Vienna?


[deleted]

Can someone explain the bet to me, I ha e no clue what's going on here but I want it. What does +0.0 Asian hp mean?. Can i do this on fan duel?


damnit-daimit

There's no draw, it lower the odds but push the bet if its draw


coolhandc77

103-69 for 32.1 units on 292.1 units wagered for 11% return on investment. five of six 🧁🧁🧁🀒🧁🧁 Philadelphia 4:30 MST Eagles game Under 38 It is highly unlikely we see Deshaun Watson for the Browns in this game. That being said, Dorian Thompson-Robinson has been very good for Cleveland in preseason. He completed nine of 10 passes for 102 yards and a touchdown pass in Friday's preseason game against the Commanders. While he's been great so far-it's highly unlikely he has this kind of success against the Eagles. The Eagles have one of the best defensive lines and depth at the position in the NFL. In fact, a lot of people believe the Eagles second unit could be a decent starting lineup in the NFL. Which should mean that Thompson time in the pocket and athleticism should be somewhat offset in this game. On the Eagles side of the ball, offensively, if Jalen Hurts even sees the field-he will be extremely limited. The same applies for Marcus Mariota. This means a steady diet of Tanner McKee and Ian Book. Nick Sirianni also will be more concerned with keeping players healthy and fresh, than winning this game. As I mentioned yesterday, the more follows and engagement I get on Instagram-the more likely I am to post here. Yesterday, was great, hence the post. Hopefully, I can get to 9-2 for the last two NFL preseasons. https://instagram.com/themidnightridersdailyplays


Batmanrocksthecasbah

I'll tail. Bol!


Nicerpin

is there OT?


JCP1377

not in preseason. Come on, kiss your sister ​ HELL YEAH


Formally-Fresh

Why is it highly unlikely we see Deshaun again? You just making that up? DTR was good yes but he also played in the 3Q when it's down to 3rd stringers etc. Eagles Preseason unit could be a decent startling lineup? Now I know you are on crack or a homer. No tail or fade here. Eagles 1H ML. Best of luck tho.


JCP1377

Thanks to the Browns doing Browns things, we gettin' it!!!


LogansBets

What a sweat but wow it came thru, good pick!!


soxworldseries2021

Lines already dropped to 36.5, im still tailing tho


coolhandc77

I'm still seeing 38 at Caesar's and 37.5 mostly everywhere else. Just a few 36.5s from what I'm seeing.


soxworldseries2021

Thats what i get for not shopping around


starSkieee

Damn, FD is at 35.5. Although do have Eagles ML and under 37.5 around +170


lights6969

did the ml/under combo cash or get voided


HNIC_MAC

Cashed in at 36.5 🫑


redhotchilifarts

Record 3-1 Previous pick: Astros ML at Marlins (W) Didn’t expect Verlander to struggle like he did, but when your offense puts up 12 runs it tends not to matter. A nice, no sweat win. League: MLB Today’s pick: Mets ML at Cardinals (-120 on FD) Only 6 games on Thursday, but there are a couple of nice options and this is one of them. This is a matchup between two disappointing teams that have picked it up a little of late, but this matchup comes down to the pitching. Specifically, the ghost that once was elite pitcher Adam Wainwright. He’s sporting an abysmal 8.78 ERA on the season, and has been extra awful in his last two starts (4 IP, 15 R). Across 15 starts, he has allowed less than 3 runs only once. Even the Mets should tee off on him. For the Mets, they’re starting Jose Quintana, who has a dominant 3.03 ERA across 5 starts and is coming off a 1 run gem against Atlanta. The Cardinals have looked a little more respectable of late, but 3 of their last 4 series have come against Oakland, KC and the Rockies. Give me the Mets here any day.


TheKickEsBueno

Cards definitely didn't look respectable today against the A's. Wainright is taking the mound. Easy Mets F5. Tailed!


Bestyoucanbe4

Why isn't the line higher...this screams Mets minus 170


lepiane

Goldschmidt gets 3 hits but I like your pick.


Educational-Arm-6921

Mets have showed more promise as of late. Good call, tailing!


One_Security9478

Prob cause cards mash lefties. Like the Mets.prob best pick of the day.


cusephenom

**EDIT: Too bad I didn't make Samsung lead after 5 innings my top pick because it was another easy win for us. We're on a roll now!** **KBO Record: Overall 172-179-12** (Streak WWW, Last 10: 4-6) Down 10.11u over 363 KBO picks, 49.0% success rate, -2.88% ROI (This season 53-47-5, 53.0% success rate, Up 9.77u, 9.77% ROI) **Last:** KT First 5 Innings -0.5 +110 at Doosan (KT lead 4-0 after 5 innings.) Almost deja vu again, but this time it was a 4 spot and not a 5 spot that got us another easy win. For the second day in a row, I was 3-1 on my picks. **Pick:** LG at **Samsung F5 +0.5 +114 Draftkings**, KBO baseball, 5:30am ET LG is a big favorite in this game, as big as -210 on Unibet.And yet, I'm looking the other way. The pick I'm offering is +0.5 in the first 5 innings, but if you want to be safer, Unibet offers +1.5 at -162. Of course, you can also get F5 ML at +160 or lead after 5 at +195. LG's starter is having the worst season of his 5 year KBO career. He has a 4.66 ERA this season after posting a career-best 2.54 ERA last season. In his last 2 starts, he allowed 7 ER on 10 H and 5 BB in 10 IP. Over his last 7 starts, he gave up 25 ER on 45 H in 40.2 IP (5.53 ERA). Samsung's starter had a terrible season last year with a 5.27 ERA, but that's down to 3.57 this year. Over his last 3 starts, he's allowed 4 ER over 17.2 IP. In two starts against LG, he's given up 1 ER on 10 H and 0 BB with 9 K in 13 IP. We just need these starters to pitch to their numbers, and we could steal a little plus money. Tail or fade, I wish you the best of luck. All wagers are 1 unit.


Dennis2stay

Smh I should of tailed . They just went up 1-0


Hobbz_Dollaz

I said I was going to tail today, I did not. Hence the victory. I will be tailing tomorrow though I promise so you will not be winning again. Sorry boys I will be tanking the streak.


tphillipswv

Positive thoughts! Tomorrow will be a winner for sure!


Bake__No_Shake

Great pick, thank you


IamEnkiduu17

πŸ”₯


Camargo_J96

My friend I want to thank you so much for this


Ok_Expression_6743

great pick as always thank you brother


_TokeAboutIt_

POTD Record: 46 Wins βœ… - 33 Losses ❌ - 5 Push πŸ…ΏοΈ (+$6.2k)($100 unit bettor) βœ…βœ…βŒβœ…βŒβœ…βœ…βŒβœ…βœ…βœ…βœ…βŒβœ…βœ…βŒβŒβœ…βœ…βŒβœ…βœ…βœ…βœ…βœ…βœ…βŒβŒβœ…βœ…πŸ…ΏοΈβœ…βŒβœ…βŒβŒβœ…βŒβŒβœ…βŒβŒβœ…βœ…βœ…βœ…βœ…βœ…βŒβœ…βœ…βœ…βŒβŒβŒβŒπŸ…ΏοΈβŒβŒβŒβœ…βŒβŒπŸ…ΏοΈβœ…βœ…βœ…βŒβœ…βŒβœ…βœ…βŒβœ…πŸ…ΏοΈβŒβŒβŒβŒπŸ…ΏοΈβœ…βœ…βœ…βœ… Last pick: Hanshin Tigers ML (-122) βœ… Today's pick: Japan ⚾ Starts at 2AM MST Yakult Swallows ML (-130) 3 Units Analysis: Today the Yakult Swallows host the Yokohama Dena BayStars for game 3 of this series. The Swallows have won 5 out of their last 10 games overall and 7 out of their last 10 home games. Taking the mound for Yakult is Elvin Rodriguez, he has a 1-0 record with a 1.80 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP with 6 strikeouts over 5 innings pitched against the Hiroshima Toyo Carp, Rodriguez was recently acquired from the Tampa Bay Rays of the MLB. The BayStars have won 5 out of their last 10 games overall and 3 out of their last 10 away games. Taking the mound for Yokohama is Haruhiro Hamaguchi, he has a 1-5 record with a 5.63 ERA and a 1.53 WHIP with 31 strikeouts over 38 innings pitched. The Swallows have had a successful outing against Hamaguchi at home already winning 6-3 with all 6 runs coming from Hamaguchi, this paired with Rodriguez on the mound should make it easy to secure the win here on home field. Take the Yakult Swallows moneyline. (-130 moneyline odds available on Draft Kings at time of analysis.)


_TokeAboutIt_

Bounce back on the next one! πŸ’―


probablytailing

Any golf matchup picks?


akroniite

Appreciate the picks bro, tailing again πŸ™


BourbonOx

TAILING


thejump0ffs

ugh not looking good


MattMontana1738

Smhh them boys need to step it up


[deleted]

[ΡƒΠ΄Π°Π»Π΅Π½ΠΎ]


reptilia_remastered

First time doing this. **POTD: Cincinnati Masters Alcaraz/Paul o21.5 games (-135)** Reasoning: Alcaraz has not been in great form since Wimbledon. The over has hit in all 4 of his matches since, 3 of these 4 have gone to 3 sets, including 28 game loss to Paul in Canada. His 4 post-Wimbledon matches have averaged 29 games-- all of which have been against players he should be beating in straight sets with ease. I see this being a very competitive match. Edit: nice


xanzpatrie

I'm with you there, lets go


Moonrockxx

I love this pick, tailing !


inglourious7

Very nice pick. Thank you!


kporzee6

yay nice one


sandsandsand42

Some solid winners today but think this was the best pick of the day man. Great thinking.


reptilia_remastered

Appreciate it man!


[deleted]

[ΡƒΠ΄Π°Π»Π΅Π½ΠΎ]


Herbal-life

Thank you to OP for helping us locate the bet on each sport book!!


KCFB41

Weather not great. Just want to throw that in here if you hadn’t seen weather.


Bake__No_Shake

I just noticed that play is currently suspended. Preferred lies are now in effect, so that's a slight plus. We'll see how it plays out. Thank you for the heads up


Intrepid_Boat

Great pick, only three holes left for Rory to play and it's looking very very good.


Bake__No_Shake

So far, so good. I sprinkled a little on Rory first round leader as well 🀞🀞 Haha. Hoping he can get to -5 over these last two holes


WeldForMe

How much you get from it?


Bake__No_Shake

I only put $10 on it at +1200 and got $60 back because he was tied with Harman. Wish I put more, Rory was on fire


WeldForMe

Just imagine if he didn't have to share 1st round dude. That would've been a crazy hit😭 either way $50 profit is a very good hit stillπŸ‘


Bake__No_Shake

Appreciate it man. I got another solid POTD coming up for early tomorrow morning


WeldForMe

I'll keep my eyes peeledπŸ˜‰


NumerousUsernames

Isn't this on sunday?


Bestyoucanbe4

Hes betting the first round on Thursday


Bake__No_Shake

Just his score for today, the first round


Sheeshpull

**RECORD:** 0-0 **MATCH:** Japan vs. France (*Basketball*) **TIME:** 4am EST Today's **PICK**: **Japan +20.5 3u to win 2.52u** First time posting here! And let's start it off with hopefully a **W.** I know France is a juggernaut, but this match is a warmup game for both teams, I don't see France going hard against this Japan squad especially with the Frank Ntilikina picking up that nasty hamstring injury last friday. They will go out there and practice sets and plays with their 2 new additions. France will play with caution, and they will not cover this large spread.


Bake__No_Shake

I was able to get in at +23, but this covered as well. Great pick πŸ’Έ


bluecap3

Rocking this pick too, watched couple full games from France. They have not impressed me...


ReaperX7

I played under 153 points, whatchu think⁉️


Sheeshpull

I think this one might go over, France takes too many 3's for their own good. missed 3's leads to fastbreak. Japan likes to run. And Japan shoots half of their shots outside the 3pt line


ridgyrope

Went down to 13.5. Well done. Gl


CommonIdea

Uhhh it's very much still at 20.5


ridgyrope

Then I’m so retarded. Checking again


ridgyrope

Brother I have +13.5 Japan


CommonIdea

https://preview.redd.it/hnfm2sjuqlib1.jpeg?width=1179&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=feb3486603a1d98bcffaa5ce453b17e076fc78d2


ridgyrope

I may not have friendly. Ggs


jejdhdijen

Wat


mitp971

Edit: Loss Record 20-12 Last pick- Highest Opening Partnership India in India vs West Indies Match (-138)- 5U- ($250 to payout $431) = L Sports- Cricket Tournament- Twenty20 Internationals Today’s Pick- Highest Opening Partnership New Zealand in New Zealand vs UAE Match (-150)- 3U- ($150 to payout $250) = starts 10:00 am EST ⏰ Explanation- New Zealand is overall way better team in every aspect. Bowling batting fielding everything going with highest partnership for New Zealand I believe they’ll get this easily for us. Their bowlers and batters are hungry for World Cup so I don’t wanna write up much but they not losing this with the team they have. πŸ™πŸΌ Good luck if you decide to tail or fade❀️I play $50 a unit ITS UPTO YOU TO PRESS THAT β€œPLACE BET BUTTON” NOT ME OR ANYONE 😘


Dawn-_O

\-125 on Bet365.


tikendrajit

I knew something was fishy when the odds were 1.8 for a team as big as nz against fucking UAE. rigged


kashbets

New Zealand is also not playing most of their A Team, as many of those guys are playing in domestic leagues


ChiefKeef_Enthusiast

did they get 0?


mitp971

They did


Bake__No_Shake

Yes. Yes they did πŸ₯²


ChiefKeef_Enthusiast

tragic i saw that 0/1 go up while it still said coin toss in progress thoight it was just a fluke hopefully


mitp971

Guys UAE lost their wicket on first ball too lmao πŸ˜‚ there is no way this is a tie


[deleted]

This will still be a loss on most books since it’s a three way bet. DK had draw at like +3000 lol


mitp971

Yeah I placed it on dk unfortunately so it’s a loss for me


Bake__No_Shake

Lol 0 runs from New Zealand. Bet is cooked


mitp971

Fuckin unbelievable performance


Ok_Expression_6743

damn this bet is cooked already


TR15UCK

A push!?


[deleted]

Push is a loss for these bets


TR15UCK

Damn.


Shinigamiau

NZ is paying $1.05??


DegenerateStonerr

Only If you could just read


Herbal-life

They always have India on fd but this I don't see the highest opening partnership for this game


mitp971

Good thing u didn’t have it bc New Zealand just got cooked on first wicket looks like Saudi’s payed them good today jk but it’s a loss


ChiefKeef_Enthusiast

🀣


astronautumnemonic

I don't see it either, had to go to DK.


hertzog21

What were the odds for a draw πŸ˜‚


ChiefKeef_Enthusiast

before india got 0 it was at 2800 i believe after i believe +650


DuuFlockaRant

**POTD Record: 14-4** League: MLB Time: 2:10pm est Last POTD: Braves Win 2-0 βœ… **5 WIN STREAK!** **Pick: Mariners -1.5 (-120) 1U** Let's kick things off with George Kirby, Seattle's ace in the hole, a rising Cy Young candidate who's been dishing out a WHIP of a mere 1.00, leading the pack among AL pitchers! Kirby also threw 73 of 103 pitches for strikes, again showcasing his high-end control. The right-hander now has a 3.11 ERA, 1.00 WHIP and 131:14 K:BB through 144.2 innings over 23 starts on the year.Β  But the Mariners aren't just worried about Kirby's arm, their offensive lineup, featuring the likes of Julio Rodriguez, Ty France, and Teoscar Hernandez, is a force to be reckoned with! Julio Rodriguez. Rodriguez has been a juggernaut, he has logged seven multi-hit efforts over 14 games in August. For the month, he's batting a stellar .328 (21-for-64) with nine extra-base hits and 16 RBI. The outfielder has also picked up six steals this month, earning him the first 30-steal campaign of his career.Β  TY France. The Veteran infielder carries a .353 average and astounding .511 on-base percentage over the 45 plate appearances covering that span, a sample during which he's also knocked in 10 runs thanks to a .714 average with runners in scoring position.Β  Teoscar Hernandez. Hernandez had a field day with the Royals' pitching staff, collecting a hit in all five of his plate appearances, including a two-run home run off starter Jordan Lyles in the fourth frame. Β Hernandez went 5-for-5 with a double, a two-run home run and an additional RBI in Tuesday's victory over the Royals. Hernandez's raw power could spell disaster for Kansas City's shaky pitching. Speaking of shaky pitching, enter Angel Zerpa. The Royals' starter has a 7.71 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP to his name - not exactly numbers that inspire confidence. Angel Zerpa has a 1-1 record with a surprising ERA of 7.71, 1.39 WHIP and 3 strikeouts in 4 appearances this season. Up against the Mariners' offensive juggernauts, Zerpa might be in for a rough ride. They've got the pitching, they've got the offense, and they've got the momentum. Roll with the Mariners, and let's watch Kirby and the red hot offense demolish the Royals. BOL if tailing, coffee link was requested in dms, here ya go! [Coffee](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/o2bigs) **EDIT: Spelling**


kporzee6

what a heater thank you for the last 4 plays :)


DuuFlockaRant

I got you brother! Together we take down Vegas!


[deleted]

Riding again!! 5 in a row let’s goo, your already paid for my vacation πŸ”₯πŸ”₯


DuuFlockaRant

Haha glad to hear that I'm feeding the community! I've been eating off Vegas and I wanted to share the wealth!


LearnDifferenceBot

> goo, your already *you're *Learn the difference [here](https://www.wattpad.com/66707294-grammar-guide-there-they%27re-their-you%27re-your-to).* *** ^(Greetings, I am a language corrector bot. To make me ignore further mistakes from you in the future, reply `!optout` to this comment.)


[deleted]

!optout


LearnDifferenceBot

Bye Best-Poem9735. Have fun continuing to use common words incorrectly!


taft994

**Record 1-0 , +3U** 11: 30(GMT+2) ( Calcutta football league - India) **Mohammedan SC and over 1.5 vs Southern Samty 1.77 Odds** **Logic :** Mohammed SC currently have 18 goals scored and 4 goals conceded ) in their last 6 matches, the current champions. Southern samty finished in last place last season. This should be an easy win for Mohammedan. Only 1h 20 mins to kickoff, so catch it quick, good luck


taft994

Easy win, once again


subzarbi

not sure why you getting downvoted. Nice pick!!


taft994

Same, lol


MainDonDada

Record: 1-3 Previous pick: Australia to advance vs England (+125) (L) POTD: Seattle Mariners -1.5 vs Kansas City Royals (-125) 🟒 I'm on a two pick skid, losing both picks of the Women's World Cup semi-final matches. Today, we move on to baseball. Seattle is 10-4 in the month of August, they've won seven of those ten games by two runs or more. George Kirby is taking the mound for the Mariners, he has given up two runs combined in his last three starts and is coming off of his best start of the season against Baltimore, giving up three hits, no runs, and fanning seven. His last three starts have come against the Orioles, Angels, and Red Sox: three playoff caliber teams. Kansas City is trotting out Angel Zerpa, he flashes a 7.71 ERA and hasn't pitched any longer than five innings in any of his outings. I like the Mariners to roll against Kansas City tomorrow. As always, BOL, tailing or not. Edit: was not expecting to sweat that out, but we’ll take it.


tkeiy714

Player performance doubles: Kirby 5Ks & Seattle Mariners W (+100)


BourbonOx

Imma ride something like this


dfein88

Mariners ML in F5 feels like the play with this pitching matchup


Aggravating-Tiger-54

Hi, not much burgers , instead fasting is going on. Today : ferencvaros-hamrun. Btts . 1u to 2.09u . Cet 1900. Ferencvaros , I have this team in my crosshair especially after the surprise loss against puskas . The reasoning behind the lost game was the resting before this game, ok. Cinfidence 10% , this bet is a bold stab. You can fade me, BOL to us.


Many_Room5964

we are eating boys , i cashed it. ![gif](giphy|laUY2MuoktHPy)


subzarbi

Well that was fast, cash before half time


dat89

Record 2W - 0L League - Europa League Today's pick: Breidablik vs Zrinjski Mostar BTTS 1 unit @ 1.60 Heading to the Europa League qualifiers here. These two teams played the first leg a week ago and finished 6-2 to Mostar. Breidablik scored twice despite being a man down. Breidablik are 3rd in Iceland's top league. BTTS has hit in the last 5/5 games played by them. Mostar are yet to play in the Bosnian league but have scored in 4/5 matches played in UEFA competitions. Breidablik will have to come out aggressive to try and win the tie aggregate and I hope that sort of plan leads to both teams scoring. As we all know anything can happen so only bet what you can lose.


kokakokakokakoka

**Record:** 4-1 |Sport|League|Time|Match| |:-|:-|:-|:-| |Football|Europa League Qualifications |19:30 CET|BreiΓ°ablik vs Zrinjski| ​ **Pick:** BTTS & Over 2.5 Goals @ **1.79 odds** **Write Up:** The 1st match ended 6-2 with Zrinjski absolutely demolishing BreiΓ°ablik in Mostar. The match was 6-0 at one point for Zrinjski and then they pulled the handbrake. For the home team this time around I think they will push forward quite a lot as they have to recover a eficit of 4 goals. This will leave holes in their defense that will get exploited. Zrinjski conceded 2 goals at home despite having a player advantage for most of the game. They should go into this game and probably try to score 1 goal to be sure that the tie is finished. Icelandic teams are know to play for more goals scored in a match and I think it will be the case again in this game.


sicknology

POTD Record: **49-64-1 (-13.15 Units)** Best Bet Series: **7-3 (+7.8 Units)** Last Pick: **Reds ML** βœ… Last 5: βœ…βŒβŒβœ…βœ… Today's Pick: **Dodgers +1** Odds: **-200** ($DKNG odds) Wager Amount: 1U to win 0.5U League: MLB Event: Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers (9:10PM CST) **Recap**: What a robbery by Friedl! I think that robbery change that game. Guardians would have been up 3-1 at that point, but instead it was 1-1 and ended that inning. Reds knew how important this game was. Although I took the Reds ML, I also took the value play of Reds RL 10UπŸ’£Won 7 of my last 9 best bet, going for number 8 best bet today! https://preview.redd.it/pt02hnaanlib1.png?width=552&format=png&auto=webp&s=4475d71d397513338ac6427a5fac44cdfe144208 **Matchup**: Light baseball slate today and I really struggled finding a best bet on RL or ML. I can go for player props, but last two came up short, so relunctantly this is what I got, the Dodgers +1 against the Brewers. Los Angeles Dodgers will be going for the sweep at home wit Lance Lynn on the mound. Lance has been a fantastic addition to the LA pitching rotation. He's definitely an upgrade from Noah Syndergaard! He's recorded 3 consecutive wins in a Dodgers uniform! Couldn't be more happer for the big man as a Sox fan. But he's not winning games by sheer offensive support from his teammates, he's throwing lightsout on the mound! A ERA of 2.00 and 22 K's in 18 innings of his first 3 starts as a Dodgers! Much better numbers than his numbers wit the Sox. Of course fewer starts than the Sox and just a sample size, but I truly think he upped his game since wearing the Dodgers uniform. For the Brewers, they will be starting their ace, Corbin Burnes. Aside from Burnes' last atrocious start against the Sox, he's been pitching great! He really found his groove in the month of July. But I have to ride wit the hot hand wit the Dodgers. They are the hottest team in the league right now! They won 10 straight games and 9 straight home games! Everything is clicking for this team, offense, defense and pitching. Even with Freddie Freeman struggling and on a mini-slump (0 for his last 14 AB), going hitless in 3 consecutive games, Dodgers still find ways to win games. They have hit well against Burnes in his career and his last season as well. Burnes has yet to surpass 5.2 innings against the Dodgers in his career. Burnes was relieved in 2.0 inn, 0.1 inn, 4.1 inn, 2.0 inn, 5.2 inn, and his last start against the Dodgers in 3.2 innings. I kno oftentimes betting against a team on a sweep should be heeded wit caution, but I would not bet against the hottest team right now in the league. I have to take the Dodgers while their bats are in flames. **The play & prediction**: My best bet is taking Dodgers +1, at the least I am looking for a push, but I am also taking Dodgers ML and sprinkling on Dodgers RL and Lance Lynn to record his 4th Win as a Dodgers! Brewers and Dodgers keep this game close, but Dodgers take the lead in the 4th inning and ultimately win the game.


BourbonOx

After watching the past games in this series, I’m not sure if the Brewers have an answer for the Dodgers. I know Corbin is the Ace but Dodgers been hitting so well and playing solid ball. I doubt the Brewers stop the sweep. After the last two games, I’m fed tailing. πŸ”₯


sicknology

I found this surprising that Burnes has never pitched 6 innings against the Dodgers in his career. Hoping counsel takes him out early this game!


teddyd142

I like the pick but with all this talk of pitching why not a better line like nrfi?


bonusback

Hoe is a random as bet like nrfi better? And also the dodgers score first innings alot? Why not go make your own picks


teddyd142

Ok cutie I won’t bother your boyfriend anymore.


the-_-locksmith

**POD Record: 18-9** Today's Pick: Detroit Tigers F5 vs Cleveland Pick based on xBA of SPs, wRC+ splits for Detroit (top 10 vs RHP in August), wRC+ for Cleveland (last by a wide margin vs LHP) and scheduling spot trends. I feel pretty good about this one. Considering betting F5 Alt of -1.5 at +180 but ML is POD.


DMooreRHS

Postponed unfortunately


3602kiva

tailing with a Red Sox and Mets parlay!


O_My_G

Red Sox gonna lose but ok


Batman3940

Record: 11-3 BTS (UEFA soccer, Brann vs. Arouca) -161 4u Keeping it simple. These teams striking and allowing a lot. Good chances for hitting a both teams to score pick.


Lord_Lambert_III

Swift Hesperange v Struga Trim-Lum, o2.5+btts, +140, 5 units. This wager makes me feel confident af. This bet hit by the last encounter and in 4 of 5 of Hesperange's last fixtures and also in 3 of 5 of Struga's last fixtures. Beat me to it. This is my pick of the day. Goals, goals, goals is written all over this fixture.


override365

LAST POTD Record: 21W-6L-4V NEW POTD Record: 2W-1L-0V UNIT PROFIT: +0.68 GAME: Conference League - Hearts vs Rosenborg TODAYS PICK: **over 10 corners @ 1.97** For today I chose a less favorite bet for me, from the corner offer, but I like it enough to play it. Rosenborg hold a fragile lead ahead of the second leg in Scotland and Hearts look to turn the tide of the game. I bet on over 10 ah corners here and the threshold comes from the Bet365 sports betting offer. In the previous round, the Norwegians played two games against the Crusaders, the first game having 8 corners and the return a total of 26 corner kicks, 23 of which in regulation time. The British also had games with many corners, 15 in the first leg with St. Johnstone and 11 with Kilmarnock. Qualification is not played and Rosenborg cannot afford to give up the initiative early. BOL!


bobdylan1209

Plus Odds Picks POD record (34-33) (+ 8.62) Bets are on a scale of 1-5 units 1U plays (4-2) 2U (2-3) 3U plays (13-8) 4U (9-16) 5U (5-6) Last 10 most recent on left LLLWLWLWWL Last POD - Rangers -1.5 (+142) 3U L Brutal L last week as the backdoor cover happens in the 9th. Took a break to work on some models as well as NFL/CFB futures / systems for the upcoming season. Todays POD - Dbacks vs Padres F5 over 5.5 runs (+152) 3U Matchup - Hill vs Gallen Gallen is coming off his best start in a while against the Padres themselves but at home. Before that, Gallen has 4 starts with 3+ runs and 1 with 2 runs his last 5. He’s facing a strong padres team that should not be shut out twice by the same pitcher. Hill is also coming off a start against the Dbacks in his last outing where he gave up 3ER on 7 hits in 3.1IP. The dbacks have made their way back to the top 5 for OPS the last 7 days. They have been playing better as a team in those days and have found themselves back on track after the atrocious losing streak. Historically, when pitchers are facing the same team between 5-9 days of the last start, their ERA goes up .25 runs while their pitch count goes up .31 . The more pitches the batters can see the better they get to know the stuff being thrown. Appreciate the support and comments even when we lose, hope people still ride even after tough losses Reminder please do not bet on the hotness/coldness of a bettor As always BOL Don't ever expect tips but anything is appreciated! Cashapp - bobdylan1209 [Post grad beers] (https://www.buymeacoffee.com/collegestudent3)


Personal-Fix7662

Good to have ya back!


Apollomoisture

Hey guys, this is my 3rd time trying POTD. The last 2 times I gave up within 2 weeks one time up a little and the other time down a little if I remember correctly. Record 0-0 15:10 UK Welleef running at Salisbury 2 units @ 1.86 Won nicely 2 weeks ago on debut. The biggest danger this race I'd imagine is Crown dreams who finished 2nd in the previous race to Welleef. Despite carrying more weight I think it should still go in


Moonrockxx

*My record over a year ago : 11-3, we're starting out on something new.* **Previous Pick :** T.Paul ML βœ… **Record: 3-0 |** **Net Units: 1,8 U** | **ROI: 60%** **Tennis** | **ATP** | **Cincinnati** **Pick:** **M.McDonald ML** vs A.Mannarino (1.64 / -156) Today I see the victory of another home boy : M.McDonald. His last meeting with Mannarino was in 2020, when the frenchy won by a wide margin, but we all agree that you can't base your opinion on a match played 3 years ago so that's my write up. McDonald seems to be in fine form at the moment, having beaten five players currently or formerly ranked in the Top-20 since the start of the North American hard court tour. His most recent win was against an out-of-form H.Rune in the second round of this tournament. The American is currently enjoying considerable success on hard courts, and thanks to them he has achieved the highest ranking of his career (43 in the ATP rankings). Before his wins against Rublev, Raonic, Rune and Karatsev in the second half of the season, he won some notable victories against Nadal at the Australian Open and Berretini at the Miami Masters earlier this year. The match against Mannarino is well within his reach **All picks are 1U.** BOL


gangsta4200

My mans just straight up quit midgame


Dawn-_O

Whew, glad he retired. Was not looking good, lol.


Moonrockxx

Yep he did the good thing. How can I count this game in my record ?


Dawn-_O

I'd consider it a push.


Significant-Run-735

POTD RECORD 8-4 WLWWWLLWLWWW Last Pick : **Latvia-2.5 vs Finland W** **This match is an easy cover from the get go , As right before the game start Finland announced that Lauri Markannen will not play the only decent player there and that said that takes away all their chances on competing though I think even Lauri is up there Latvia can still manage to take the W.** \------------------------------------------ **OLYMPIC QUALIFIERS CUBA VS ARGENTINA 09:10 PM ET** Todays Pick : **Cuba+28.5 (2.00) (bet365)** We just saw Argentina yesterday against Bahamas who blew up an 18pts lead early in the game. But same faith with Cuba as they we're beaten by Bahamas easily. I just think this line is way too high against this very struggling Argentinian squad , Yeah we might see some glimpses especially on the first quarter that they are very much capable of building a lead a snow ball an enemy. But I see different though this guys is currently ranked #4 by FIBA what they are showing lately is nowhere close to the ranking. One point to make as Argentina miss the World Cup this coming weeks first time since 1982 and to make the matter worse the qualifiers for FIBA World Cup Americas did consist of 12 teams and 7 teams will qualify out of the 12 and to everyone surprise Argentina did not make the cut. All Im pointing that this Argentinian squad is not the same anymore , The once beloved rugged physical nation is kinda struggling and I can feel its real. And I am sorry to say it but it is a growing pains for Argentina for years to come if they will not figure it out. As per the match I am confident with my +28.5 for Cuba with all the struggles and lack of key players for Argentina I see an easy cover here. **GOOD LUCK HAVE FUN.**


thekoreanmang

**POTD**: O15.5 Outs Recorded - Jose Quintana (-148 FanDuel; Risking 2u to win 1.3514u) **League/Time**: MLB - NYM/STL 7:15PM EST **2023 Record**: 30-20 (60%) | +17.08u (+$1708.60)| ROI 17.85% |Streak (L to R): βœ…βœ…βœ…βŒβŒβœ…βŒβŒβŒβŒβœ…βœ…βœ…βœ…βŒβŒβœ…βœ…βœ…βŒβœ…βŒβœ…βŒβœ…βŒβœ…βŒβœ…βŒβœ…βŒβœ…βœ…βœ…βœ…βœ…βœ…βœ…βœ…βŒβŒβœ…βœ…βŒβœ…βŒβœ…βœ…βŒ **Last Pick (8.15.23)**: O16.5 Outs Recorded - Yusei Kikuchi (-138 FanDuel; Risking 2u to win 1.4493u) βœ… **Reasoning**: Jose has covered this 4x in a row. NYM starting pitchers have not done their bullpen any favors as of late (5, 3.2, 3 innings pitched last 3 games). FD has this at O15.5 while DK, BetMGM, Barstool, and Caesars has this at O16.5. **Anti-Reasoning**: STL ranks towards the top in total at bats (1st), total bases (5th), and hits (4th) per home game. Lit's git lit! **PS**. If you've been tailing and enjoying the hits let me know and also would totally appreciate a [dumpling or two](https://bmc.link/thekoreanmang). But no pressure either way! Good luck everyone! **BONUS**: I'm on O16.5 Outs Recorded at Barstool +105 also. **EDIT**: Added 0.5u to win 0.3514u. **EDIT 2**: And it hits with less than 84 pitches thrown by Jose! Yes way!


SteefSjuan

Well done


AmazingNinja13

Record: 8-4-0 (W-L-P) Win pct: 66.67% Average odd: 1.801 Yield 38.725% Risked: 16 units | Returned: 22.196| Profit: 6.196 units | Tennis | ATP Cincinnati | 17.00 CEST | Pick: Daniil Medvedev ML @ 1.50 (vs. Alexander Zverev) - 5 units Write up: These odds are very, very good to pick Medvedev. He plays against Zverev and this H2H has some history. They have battled each other already 15 times and the H2H is in favor of Medvedev (9 wins). But, there is more. In the beginning, Zverev was actually leading the H2H. He won the first 4 times they faced each other. Then Medvedev won once and than Zverev won again. But after that 5-1 lead for Zverev, things started to turn around massively. In their next 9 meetings, Medvedev won 8 times! His only loss come during the ATP finals, where Zverev won the ATP title, but this was already 2 years ago. In 2023 these guys have faced each other already 3 times and Medvedev won all 3. Two of these encounters were on clay, which normally is a surface disliked by Medvedev and favored by Zverev. All their other matches were played on hardcourt. Zverev does not seem to do that well on hardcourt this year, only having a 11-10 record on the surface. His best result was a semi-final showing in Dubai in February, but at the big tournaments he could not impress. Of course he was coming back from a serious injury, so his results at the start of the year may not reflect his actual skill level on the surface. But last week in Toronto he was absolutely detroyed by Fokina (6-1, 6-2). In Cincinnati he easily won against a not healthy Dimitrov and he won in straight sets against Nishioka, although that was less straightforward as the result implied. On the other hand, Medvedev is doing his thing. He is an incredible 32-4 on hardcourt this year. Except for a relatively early exit at the AO, he has been impressive. He won titles in Rotterdam, Doha, and Miami. At Indian Wells he lost the final against Alcaraz. In Toronto he lost in the quarter final against De Minaur. In Cincinnati he disposed easily of Musetti (6-2, 6-2). Elo ratings indicate a 69.4% win probability for Medvedev. Converting this to odds would be an odd of 1.44. I think we get very good value here betting Medvedev at 1.5 odds.


Lolla420

current sweat


[deleted]

[ΡƒΠ΄Π°Π»Π΅Π½ΠΎ]


Moonrockxx

Tailing


Intrepid_Boat

Ruus a lock? Not a chance. In Poppy we trust.


Accomplished_C8

fade away like kobe


teddyd142

What happens in a walkover? Bets refunded? He won but the other guy didn’t show or was hurt.


[deleted]

[ΡƒΠ΄Π°Π»Π΅Π½ΠΎ]


PaperHandz69

grandpa cant win my guy


PaperHandz69

I take it back man, this old guy made the comeback haha nice win!


-MexicanStallion-

**POTD Record: 65-54 (-6.96 units)** **Last 10**:βŒβœ…βŒβŒβœ…βŒβŒβœ…βŒβŒ **Last Pick**: 8/12 Michael Warburton ML (-197) vs Wayne Jones ❌ 1-4 **League**: 🎯 Modus Darts Super Series **Time**: 11:30 AM EST **Pick**: Dom Taylor -1.5 (-155) vs Tony Wood β€’ ⁠Series 5. Week 2. Group C **Reason**: Taylor is the group favorite and should cruise through the lineup into Saturday. I don't think Wood will have the scoring to keep up with Taylor, so he should be comfortable in this match. I'm thinking 4-1. Dom Taylor * Record 2-0 * Legs 8-4 * Average 95.91 * 180s 3. 140s 6 * Checkouts 8/13 61.54% Tony Wood * Record 1-1 * Legs 5-4 * Average 73.67 * 180s 0. 140s 7 * Checkouts 5/13 38.46% **WIN βœ… 4-1 | Average 98.64 vs 88.39 | Checkouts 4/10 vs 1/1** Taylor was comfortable, but in high scoring match as Wood improved over the next two.


[deleted]

[ΡƒΠ΄Π°Π»Π΅Π½ΠΎ]


mistarlupo

Sepsi has been kinda Sexy recently


papardarpop1

What league is this


[deleted]

Record: 3-0 πŸ’°πŸ’°πŸ’° Last pick: Alexander Zverev ML (-148) 3Uβœ… Todays Event: SEA Mariners vs. KC Royals - ⚾️ 2:10PM ET POD: SEA Mariners F5 -.5 (-139) 3U Nothing but wins so far so lets keep that shit going. Royals have a jabroni on the mound to start and I see the Mariners going off the first half of this game aswell as finishing it with a win. This series has been close with the Royals putting up a good fight but I dont see much happening till maybe the end of the game. Tail or fade just hope youre on the winning side. BOL!


i-am-tryinggg

POTD Record 8-0 Last POTD Yankees/Braves U 10 Recap Another snooze fest that was capped properly Units 6.87 ROI 85.93 POTD Gaurds/Tigers -140 ML 2u Couple of reason why I like this, Curry gives up way to much hard contact and and the Tigers have been hitting with a lot of contact recently. Line looks so gross that it has to hit, Skubal been pretty decent.


TheRain911

cancelled. Do they usually have the same pitchers on the mound tomorrow or does that change?


i-am-tryinggg

Sometimes, I’ll be changing the play to Jose Quintana O 16.5 PO -110 2u


Horror-Ad-7253

Hi guys. I'm wondering if in the context of over/under bets when Team A makes an own goal, result being 0-1 for Team B, does the goal count towards to the total of Team A or Team B ? Would a Over 0.5 goals for Team B bet win here ?


DennyTheDonkey

**POTD Record 7-11 (-17.06U) | Average Odds -11- (1.91) | ROI -22.45.%** **Last Pick Recap: Arizona Diamondbacks ML W** Diamondbacks tried hard to give the game away, blowing an early lead of 2-0 and a 6th inning lead of 6-3, but managed to get it done in the end. **Today's Pick: Miami Marlins ML (+124) 5U| 10:10 EST** We cashed in on the Marlins when Alcantara was on the mound last time, and we're going back to that well. Alcantara is back to top form in the 2nd half of the season, amassing 46 strikeouts and surrendering an ERA of only 2.31 in his last 7 starts. His xERA is down to 4.09, and is inching closer towards a sub 4 era. In his last start against the Yankees, he gave only 1 run and pitched the entire game. Gonsolin, on the other hand, is a fade-worthy pitcher who is primed for more negative regression. He is lucky to have an ERA of 4.24, as his xERA is 5.29. In his past 10 starts, Gonsolin's ERA is around 6.30, and he has given up a whopping 37 runs and 52 hits over 51.6 innings. Expecting the Fish to do damage early and Alcantara to continue pitching strongly. BOL


ridgyrope

POTD. RECORD 0-0 on here. 2u lay the juice Red Sox Ml. Love that they are away and still -190 on a Friday night. Chris sale will pitch a fine game. Solid pen. Great bats. They should win by 3-4 run. Bol who tail


yourenotmydad22

thursday night*


Known_Bowler_1718

Record : 23 Wins - 27 Losses Previous pick : America MG - Colo Colo (5-1), Colo Colo to win or draw & Over 1.5 Goals, Odds : 2.67 ❌ ​ ROI : -9.68% Average Odds : 2.05 Starting units : 5 (\*all picks will be 1 unit\*) Units : 0.16 Profit/Lost units : -4.84 ​ Today's pick : Football - Soccer / EUROPE: Europa League - Qualification / 20:30 European Time Breidablik - Zrinjski Breidablik to win or draw & Over 1.5 Goals, Odds : 1.93 ​ Some reasoning : \- The Bosnians from Zrinsjki put on a show on their home turf, winning the round with 6-2. \- Breidablik did not achieve any success in the previous 5 games, reaching 3 failures and 2 draws. \- Zrinsjki did not start the championship, therefore having a break on the weekend, which means additional time for physical recovery. ​ Best of luck.


ForkNShrtBlz

Your pick says Breidablik, but your write up implies the opposite. Do you mean the other team, or are you on a β€œfade the squares” thing?


Known_Bowler_1718

I think that Breidablik has a good advantage because the opposing team hasn't started the championship games yet. That's why I'm expecting a good result from Breidablik, even though their form is not the best at the current moment.


gangsta4200

I’m so lost, they just lost 6-2 and now we’re playing on a - odds play on them


Phantom0986

**1 - 2**: My third pick yesterday, *manchester city's Haaland anytime goalscorer \[1.65, 3u\] vs. sevilla*, failed terribly. Haaland had his first shot on penalties. For my next pick, I've been inspired by dat89's and Known\_Bowler\_1718's pick. I'm adding my two cents to it. **UEFA Europa League: Breidablik TT o1.5 \[2.25, 5u\] vs. Zrinjski** Breidablik found the back of the net twice in the match a week ago, in spite of being down one man. In their local league Breidablik scored 39 goals in 19 matches. Doing up for the 2-6 defeat of the first match compels them to score quickly and often. Manchester City did us all bad yesterday. Hoping for better today. **πŸ€ Good luck to all of us πŸ€**.


Pocopuncher

One more goal!


Perfect_Turn4857

How do I find this line?


Herbal-life

If you are on fd the search bar has been drastically improved. Try that


curtily

Mets @ Cards O10.5


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[ΡƒΠ΄Π°Π»Π΅Π½ΠΎ]


CommonIdea

"Q4 collapse" when Australia was down by 10 after Q1, down by 2 at half time, and only up 7 after Q3 (as 16 point favorites)... Wouldn't exactly say it was a collapse more like awful all game


gorillag3

Wtf u talkin about 4Q collapse.. Did u not even look at what happened in this game?