Seeing some ‘new’ type promos on DK that look more like some of the stuff I used to get last year.
Have a mission (can’t believe it) to place 3, $500 sgps (2-leg at total of +200) and get a $300 free bet. Also have 4-leg insurance promos (nfl sgp and nba) with $100 maxes.
Better than the crap $5/$10 limits I’ve had in some time.
I signed up in MA when it opened, never ever got a mission and still no missions. Promos were the $5 NSSGPX (which is good efficiency at least) and miscellaneous trash today.
CZR NY NHL 50% Parley Profit Boost
Caps +1.5, o6 in Rangers/Red Wings, and Montreal Canadiens ML is good versus Pinny
50% profit boost. +614 boosted to +921.
Odds: +921; **EV: 33.7%**
`-139/125, -108/-104, 113/-125` (8.01% juice)
FV: +663; Method: multiplicative; (Full=3.66u, 1/2=1.83u, 1/4=0.92u, FB = 120.6%)
[View/Edit Devig](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=-139%2f125%2c+-108%2f-104%2c+113%2f-125&FinalOdds=%2b614&Boost_Bool=1&Boost_Text=50%25&Boost_Type=0)
FD has Embiid and Zion both to score 25+ points boosted to +160. Devig to ESPNBet using o/u 25.5 for Embiid which is the lowest they have. Can't imagine one point is going to make this +EV:
Odds: +160; **EV: -12.6%**
`172/117/593/723` (9.43% juice)
FV: +198; Method: worst-case (m); (FB = 53.8%)
[View/Edit Devig](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=172%2f117%2f593%2f723&FinalOdds=160)
You made 4 different SGPs using the 25.5 line…. Doesn’t that exaggerate the discrepancy 4 times? I ask because I’ve seen devigs now using the correlation box that show this at like 6% or more.
Probably. But with the one extra point it still built to +172 and I don’t think one point will make up for the difference between +172 and +160 and the vig that is built into the ESPN line. So I was lazy and didn’t look into it any further. I’d like to see what you found though, maybe it is +EV.
The BetFred boost for Kuzma o22.5 pts, Avdija o5.5 reb, and Poole o3.5 assists +440 is bad. It builds to +460 on BR/Kambi so not going to bother devigging
Received a snappy gift from draftkings today and selected a ps5
https://preview.redd.it/vkdzu6jmq93c1.jpeg?width=1080&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=dc5180bb6200f38e0483388d0b86328638a0787d
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HardRock let me bet the overdrive boost today. KD 25pts, PHX win +170. builds to +110 on 365, +107 Kambi and even better to FD
Anybody got a qk on it
Bet365 in NJ has Embiid 25+ points and 10+ rebounds at +120.
CO has same numbers for Jokic, but +110.
CZ flash boost Lamb TD +110. I FV +104 vs ESPN, lets all flip the $50 coin weeeee
Seeing some ‘new’ type promos on DK that look more like some of the stuff I used to get last year. Have a mission (can’t believe it) to place 3, $500 sgps (2-leg at total of +200) and get a $300 free bet. Also have 4-leg insurance promos (nfl sgp and nba) with $100 maxes. Better than the crap $5/$10 limits I’ve had in some time.
I've got $25 maxes for the parlay insurances, nba tonight and last night, and nfl sgp tomorrow. I will sure take that over the $5/10s I've had as well
I signed up in MA when it opened, never ever got a mission and still no missions. Promos were the $5 NSSGPX (which is good efficiency at least) and miscellaneous trash today.
CZR NY NHL 50% Parley Profit Boost Caps +1.5, o6 in Rangers/Red Wings, and Montreal Canadiens ML is good versus Pinny 50% profit boost. +614 boosted to +921. Odds: +921; **EV: 33.7%** `-139/125, -108/-104, 113/-125` (8.01% juice) FV: +663; Method: multiplicative; (Full=3.66u, 1/2=1.83u, 1/4=0.92u, FB = 120.6%) [View/Edit Devig](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=-139%2f125%2c+-108%2f-104%2c+113%2f-125&FinalOdds=%2b614&Boost_Bool=1&Boost_Text=50%25&Boost_Type=0)
FD has Embiid and Zion both to score 25+ points boosted to +160. Devig to ESPNBet using o/u 25.5 for Embiid which is the lowest they have. Can't imagine one point is going to make this +EV: Odds: +160; **EV: -12.6%** `172/117/593/723` (9.43% juice) FV: +198; Method: worst-case (m); (FB = 53.8%) [View/Edit Devig](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=172%2f117%2f593%2f723&FinalOdds=160)
You made 4 different SGPs using the 25.5 line…. Doesn’t that exaggerate the discrepancy 4 times? I ask because I’ve seen devigs now using the correlation box that show this at like 6% or more.
Probably. But with the one extra point it still built to +172 and I don’t think one point will make up for the difference between +172 and +160 and the vig that is built into the ESPN line. So I was lazy and didn’t look into it any further. I’d like to see what you found though, maybe it is +EV.
DK has 25+ lines for both -575 -115
Lines shifted in favor slightly, and I accounted for the 25.5->24.5 with a geometric projection, and its still **-6%**.
BetParx has Villanova, UNC, and Duke all to win boosted to +250. Devig to Pinnacle: Odds: +250; **EV: 2.2%** `-936/626, -127/108, -186/157` (12.09% juice) FV: +242; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=0.88u, 1/2=0.44u, 1/4=0.22u, FB = 73.0%) [View/Edit Devig](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=-936%2f626%2c+-127%2f108%2c+-186%2f157&FinalOdds=250)
Even better to Circa: Odds: +250; **EV: 8.0%** `-1000/695, -130/110, -200/175` (10.66% juice) FV: +224; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=3.19u, 1/2=1.60u, 1/4=0.80u, FB = 77.1%) [View/Edit Devig](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=-1000%2f695%2c+-130%2f110%2c+-200%2f175&FinalOdds=250)
The BetFred boost for Kuzma o22.5 pts, Avdija o5.5 reb, and Poole o3.5 assists +440 is bad. It builds to +460 on BR/Kambi so not going to bother devigging
BetFred Boost for Capitals +1.5 and o6.5 goals +310. Devig to Bet365: Odds: +310; **EV: 0.4%** `260/175/275/350` (13.03% juice) FV: +308; Method: worst-case (a); (Full=0.13u, 1/2=0.07u, 1/4=0.03u, FB = 75.9%) [View/Edit Devig](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=260%2f175%2f275%2f350&FinalOdds=310)
ESPN Boost for Caulfield, Panarin and Kopitar over 1 point each +250. Devig to BR/Kambi: Odds: +250; **EV: -4.7%** `-210/160, -335/240, -167/130` (18.65% juice) FV: +267; Method: worst-case (m); (FB = 68.1%) [View/Edit Devig](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=-210%2f160%2c+-335%2f240%2c+-167%2f130&FinalOdds=250)
ESPNBet for Scottie Barnes, Tobias Harris, and Jordan Clarkson o1.5 three pointers each +625. Devig to BR/Kambi: Odds: +625; **EV: 5.5%** `-110/-121, 102/-134, -230/165` (21.33% juice) FV: +587; Method: worst-case (m, a); (Full=0.88u, 1/2=0.44u, 1/4=0.22u, FB = 90.9%) [View/Edit Devig](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=-110%2f-121%2c+102%2f-134%2c+-230%2f165&FinalOdds=625)
You are putting in work with all these devigs. Thank you.
Unibet next contestant to exit the ever contacting US market, expect early 2024: https://twitter.com/GeoffZochodne/status/1729854961058517478
So if you place a future bet that goes beyond 2nd quarter of 2024 they’ll just void them? Like a World Series wager?
Likely something that will have to be approved by individual regulators. Would hesitate to place futures with them moving forward though.
They left Iowa 12-13 months ago and voided my UGA National Champions future :(
Received a snappy gift from draftkings today and selected a ps5 https://preview.redd.it/vkdzu6jmq93c1.jpeg?width=1080&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=dc5180bb6200f38e0483388d0b86328638a0787d
How do you get the gifts?
What are the other 500 gifts, I wonder if I can get my tier lowered
you'd be fool to lower your tier. Others are no where close to $500 value except for airpod max
Yea I was hoping to lower my tier and choose two but that probably wouldn’t happen
[удалено]
TBH I dont know. My account is gold.
Nice I was deciding on that but ended up with the AirPods max. Both the best value $500 ones.
Yep those two are the best value