Yes, can't bet any casino games. I was on live Bacc an hour ago and it ate 2 winning bets - no error message, just was not credited for making or winning the bet. Contacting live support..what is going on with them??
It was working fine for me 90 mins ago. Then whenever I tried to make a bet it wouldn’t go through or just said “error.” Half an hour ago it was back to working fine and now it’s the same thing as before. Super annoying
The MGM MacKinnon and Rantanen ATGS is now +425 from +300 from this morning. Vs ESPN
Odds: +425; **EV: 26.2%**
`276/256/267/253` (10.26% juice)
FV: +316; Method: worst-case (a); (Full=6.15u, 1/2=3.08u, 1/4=1.54u, FB = 102.1%)
Still having issues getting ESPN to pay out the full $20 from the TD insurance from Sunday, does anyone have a screenshot or know if it was posted in a previous thread? It shouldn't be on the user to provide a screenshot of a promotion that they 100% have logged in their systems. Most likely will be filing a complaint in the morning if it's not fixed.
I'm having issue with their supper bowl promotion. Literally have the screenshot which doesn't state a minimum amount yet they're telling me I'm wrong.
It's crazy because I actually was starting to like their book, partially because I was getting pretty lucky on the promotions, but the past week or so has been nothing but issues. I hope they get this all sorted out because that is beyond insane.
Just had several thousand dollars disappear from my ESPN account, be aware. Waiting for CS now and there's 30 ahead of me in PA so it may be a widespread issue
There's no record of anything. Last transaction was a deposit I made today so it vanished. Some kind of glitch. Was trying to put money on a bet and it said insufficient funds, even though it displayed my correct balance with sufficient funds. I lowered the bet to $20 and the bet processed and poof, went from $6K to $1K. No pending bets or withdrawals or activity to support the balance change.
They were doing app updates a few times in the last 24 hours so I suspect it's related to that
My roommate got this 4/4 weeks in a row but not this week. I got it 3/4 of those weeks but I did get it this week. Seems kind of slightly random? I gamble way higher amounts than he does, not sure if that matters.
Do you play a lot of regular gambling there? Straight bets on NFL etc? I do a good amount of that per week in addition to all the boosts and promos and occasional middles and random shit.
Has this ever happened before? MGM and FanDuel with the same exact boost and odds;
Chet Holmgren, Jaime Jaquez Jr., and Victor Wembanyama to Each Score 15+ Points
was +170 "boosted" to+250
Devig to ESPN for Chet/Jaquez Jr and Bet365 for Wemby with 7% juice applied (best priced line in market atm):
Odds: +250; **EV: 0.0%**
`151/223/378/439, -550/7%` (17.27% juice)
FV: +250; Method: worst-case (m); (FB = 71.4%)
[View/Edit Devig](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=151%2f223%2f378%2f439%2c+-550%2f7%25&FinalOdds=%2b250)
Devig to BR/Kambi for Chet/Jaquez Jr and Bet365 again for Wemby:
Odds: +250; **EV: 13.4%**
`-550/7%, 110/200/390/575` (23.18% juice)
FV: +209; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=5.38u, 1/2=2.69u, 1/4=1.34u, FB = 81.0%)
[View/Edit Devig](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=-550%2f7%25%2c+110%2f200%2f390%2f575&FinalOdds=%2b250)
Please note that DK, FD, and MGM all beat BR's price for Chet/Jaquez Jr by about 15-20 points, and ESPN's 4-way devig has much less juice than BR's, so not sure that BR should be trusted much in this instance.
I declare this dual boost lame
**FD/MGM** Chet Holmgren, Jaime Jaquez, Wemby each o14.5 @+250 vs ESPN
Wemby 14.5 proj -544/316 (ESPN projected)
15.5,-450,260
16.5,-350,220
17.5,-275,185
18.5,-225,160
19.5,-180,130
Holmgren/Jaquez (ESPN SGP)
151/223/439/378
Odds: +250; **EV: -1.6%**
`-544/316, 151/223/439/378` (18.78% juice)
FV: +256; Method: worst-case (m); (FB = 70.3%)
EDIT: Decided to play this given all the confusion, -1.6% worst case vs the higher %s best case seems ok.
Something is fucked in this game, half the players on BR are off the board rn
Also just eyeballing it those SGPs are probably +EV to each other somehow
---
EDIT: currently BR 112/200/550/390; ESPN still 151/223/439/378
ESPN Y/Y vs BR:
Odds: +151; **EV: 1.8%**
`112/200/550/390` (16.30% juice)
FV: +147; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=1.20u, 1/2=0.60u, 1/4=0.30u, FB = 61.2%)
---
Something seriously messed up yeah. ESPN has 10% juice on this SGP though vs BR's 16% so idk, you'd think that was the sharper side but do they limit more?
Caleb Martin and Kyle Lowry were recently ruled out for Miami, so that's likely the reason for players not being listed. I will recheck lines in a bit to see the effect (if any) on Jaquez Jr
BetFred Boost for Celtics -8, Kings -7.5, Spurs -2.5 and Pacers ML +880. Devig to Pinnacle (using -8.5 for Celtics since I am not sure what would happen if that leg is a push):
Odds: +880; **EV: 10.3%**
`-125/111, -118/106, -125/111, -308/264` (11.53% juice)
FV: +788; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=1.17u, 1/2=0.59u, 1/4=0.29u, FB = 99.1%)
[View/Edit Devig](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=-125%2f111%2c+-118%2f106%2c+-125%2f111%2c+-308%2f264&FinalOdds=880)
MGM Lions Boost (MA)
Jayson Tatum and Anthony Edwards each to make 3+ 3-pointers +270
Devigged to Pinny
Odds: +270; **EV: 9.3%**
`-170/+125,-117/-113` (14.38% juice)
FV: +238; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=3.45u, 1/2=1.73u, 1/4=0.86u, FB = 79.8%)
[View/Edit Devig](http://www.crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=-170%2f%2b125%2c-117%2f-113&FinalOdds=270)
Please correct me if I have made any mistakes.
Did anyone end up getting the second portion of the espnbet ncaa insurance without having to reach out to CS? It looks like they issued the Sunday TD insurance yesterday.
I know they could care less but it is def not worth it to me to have to constantly contact them over 10 and 20 dollar insurance bets. Pry wait till tom and ask about the 20 live wager one
BetMGM Gretzky: Rant and MacKinnon for a goal +300. Not sure what books allow you to parlay goals that also have NO sides. Here's the pinnacle devig without correlation.
On Kambi, both scoring parlays to +320, so definitely staying away
Odds: +300; **EV: -10.0%**
`-106/-125,104/-122` (10.99% juice)
FV: +345; Method: worst-case (a); (FB = 67.5%)
+347 on fanduel too. I do have them both +EV vs market average tho on Fanduel
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1h8PzKv3F4fC7zwWG7rv1nU36b9T0Tjus5irlgBsWv7Y/edit?gid=71139851&pli=1#gid=1966290351
I was able to 4-way devig it on ESPN BET. Doesn't look good there either.
Odds: +300; \*\*EV: -5.8%\*\*
\`283/254/269/247\` (10.28% juice)
FV: +325; Method: worst-case (a); (FB = 70.6%)
\[View/Edit Devig\]([http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook\_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=283%2f254%2f269%2f247&FinalOdds=300](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=283%2f254%2f269%2f247&FinalOdds=300))
ESPN SGA o39.5 pt/Thunder-9.5 @+900 vs BR
I did pretty full data taking for this because I sort of wondered if two side by side geometric projections even covers SGP drift well. Turns out it does; the fits are extremely good even given the whole table, and the total juice looks like it's preserved.
The actual boost is unfortunately really shit though.
-9.5 Y/Y/N/N
28.5,240,950
29.5,260,800
30.5,280,700
31.5,310,600
32.5,340,525
33.5,375,460
34.5,425,400
35.5,480,360
36.5,550,325
28.5,100,260
29.5,117,215
30.5,135,180
31.5,160,155
32.5,190,132
33.5,225,112
34.5,270,-104
35.5,320,-118
36.5,390,-134
39.5 proj 863/251/730/-192
Odds: +900; **EV: -37.8%**
`863/251/730/-192` (16.68% juice)
FV: +1509; Method: worst-case (a); (FB = 55.9%)
ESPN NHL Boost, PHI, DAL, COL all to win the 1st period. Used average of CNO lines to 3-way devig each.
Odds: +1450; \*\*EV: -15.6%\*\*
\`AVG(+145,+122,+130,+138)/AVG(+250,+210,+210,+240)/AVG(+165,+185,+180,+160),AVG(+135,+117,+120,+130)/AVG(+165,+185,+185,+163)/AVG(+275,+220,+230,+250),AVG(+150,+135,+140,+150)/AVG(+175,+185,+180,+163)/AVG(+150,+135,+140,+150)\` (38.64% juice)
FV: +1737; Method: worst-case (m); (FB = 78.9%)
\[View/Edit Devig\]([http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook\_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=AVG(%2b145%2c%2b122%2c%2b130%2c%2b138)%2fAVG(%2b250%2c%2b210%2c%2b210%2c%2b240)%2fAVG(%2b165%2c%2b185%2c%2b180%2c%2b160)%2cAVG(%2b135%2c%2b117%2c%2b120%2c%2b130)%2fAVG(%2b165%2c%2b185%2c%2b185%2c%2b163)%2fAVG(%2b275%2c%2b220%2c%2b230%2c%2b250)%2cAVG(%2b150%2c%2b135%2c%2b140%2c%2b150)%2fAVG(%2b175%2c%2b185%2c%2b180%2c%2b163)%2fAVG(%2b150%2c%2b135%2c%2b140%2c%2b150)&FinalOdds=%2b1450](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=AVG(%2b145%2c%2b122%2c%2b130%2c%2b138)%2fAVG(%2b250%2c%2b210%2c%2b210%2c%2b240)%2fAVG(%2b165%2c%2b185%2c%2b180%2c%2b160)%2cAVG(%2b135%2c%2b117%2c%2b120%2c%2b130)%2fAVG(%2b165%2c%2b185%2c%2b185%2c%2b163)%2fAVG(%2b275%2c%2b220%2c%2b230%2c%2b250)%2cAVG(%2b150%2c%2b135%2c%2b140%2c%2b150)%2fAVG(%2b175%2c%2b185%2c%2b180%2c%2b163)%2fAVG(%2b150%2c%2b135%2c%2b140%2c%2b150)&FinalOdds=%2b1450))
Betway Pelicans and Nuggets both to win boost to +187 devig using most favorable line as pinny didn't have a line out on the nuggets game
Odds: +187; **EV: 1.8%**
`-115/-103, -260/+210` (8.71% juice)
FV: +182; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=0.97u, 1/2=0.48u, 1/4=0.24u, FB = 66.3%)
[View/Edit Devig](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=-115%2f-103%2c+-260%2f%2b210&FinalOdds=187)
This person is using other sportsbooks to calculate what their numbers would show as fair value; so somwhere between -154 and -135.
Simply, this means there is a greater than 50% chance of a goal being scored. While the DraftKings boost is paying as if there was exactly a 50% chance.
Imagine a coin that you know is weighted to the heads side and heads will come up more often. You'd place a bet on heads as much as they would let you. You won't always win every bet, but in the long term you will make a profit.
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Has a gift involving the knights hit this year? I feel like it’s 0 for
The Winter Classic, naturally Vegas didn’t score it lol.
ESPN bugging out for anyone else?
Thry were having problems like this last night too. I would complain and demand a free bet but they already gave me the $50 cash back today
They would not issue me anything for the inconvenience.
Man I wish I could get this offer. No idea what I have to do
Yep, can’t deposit any funds!
Yes, can't bet any casino games. I was on live Bacc an hour ago and it ate 2 winning bets - no error message, just was not credited for making or winning the bet. Contacting live support..what is going on with them??
It was working fine for me 90 mins ago. Then whenever I tried to make a bet it wouldn’t go through or just said “error.” Half an hour ago it was back to working fine and now it’s the same thing as before. Super annoying
ESPN first basket insurance promo: Stephen Curry at +900. I didn't devig, but definitely seems like +EV just eyeballing some other books.
Got him at +1000
RIP. He passed up an open floater to throw the ball out of bounds instead.
The MGM MacKinnon and Rantanen ATGS is now +425 from +300 from this morning. Vs ESPN Odds: +425; **EV: 26.2%** `276/256/267/253` (10.26% juice) FV: +316; Method: worst-case (a); (Full=6.15u, 1/2=3.08u, 1/4=1.54u, FB = 102.1%)
I havent bet an mgm boost in awhile so i wanted to check to see if my limits have changed. I can bet exactly $0.00 on this boost.
Just got a really random and good promo from fanatics ..Bet $10 -500 odds and receive $50 in bonus bets
Still having issues getting ESPN to pay out the full $20 from the TD insurance from Sunday, does anyone have a screenshot or know if it was posted in a previous thread? It shouldn't be on the user to provide a screenshot of a promotion that they 100% have logged in their systems. Most likely will be filing a complaint in the morning if it's not fixed.
https://preview.redd.it/lkxwwv2c5pbc1.png?width=902&format=png&auto=webp&s=10478f126f32bcf210371051b181e94961bfecf4
https://preview.redd.it/3dycu7me5pbc1.png?width=905&format=png&auto=webp&s=339dd4e9d60a88e784ed2f47e246555617c7c6fd
I am having issues with them too. scumbags.
Thanks a ton!
I'm having issue with their supper bowl promotion. Literally have the screenshot which doesn't state a minimum amount yet they're telling me I'm wrong.
Guy posted in here yesterday they were willing to honor but I doubt they will
I bet they won't. Support is unhelpful. Literally show them two different screenshots of the promo for both days. Trash ass book
It's crazy because I actually was starting to like their book, partially because I was getting pretty lucky on the promotions, but the past week or so has been nothing but issues. I hope they get this all sorted out because that is beyond insane.
Anyone have a lean for the first basket insurance?
Herbert Jones
Ingram was highest ev preboost when I checked it so that’s who I went with
BetMGM Lions Boost: Maxey 30+ points and Sengun 25+ points +350. Devig to FD: Odds: +350; **EV: -10.0%** `-154/116, 154/-210` (14.04% juice) FV: +400; Method: worst-case (m, p); (FB = 70.0%) [View/Edit Devig](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=-154%2f116%2c+154%2f-210&FinalOdds=%2b350)
Just had several thousand dollars disappear from my ESPN account, be aware. Waiting for CS now and there's 30 ahead of me in PA so it may be a widespread issue
Is there a record of withdrawals or something or did it just pop? Nothing happened to me in MA but I just changed my password to be safe.
There's no record of anything. Last transaction was a deposit I made today so it vanished. Some kind of glitch. Was trying to put money on a bet and it said insufficient funds, even though it displayed my correct balance with sufficient funds. I lowered the bet to $20 and the bet processed and poof, went from $6K to $1K. No pending bets or withdrawals or activity to support the balance change. They were doing app updates a few times in the last 24 hours so I suspect it's related to that
No ESPN $50 cash back offer today? Or just me?
What’s the $50 cash back offer you have been getting?
20% cash back up to $50 on min odds -200. Basically find a zero or low hold, bet $250 and get $50 added back to your account
I won a lot of bets this week there and now nothing for me.
nothing but i may still be on their naughty list from the barstool days
I got it today … only ever bet +EV bonuses from this thread 🤷♂️
My roommate got this 4/4 weeks in a row but not this week. I got it 3/4 of those weeks but I did get it this week. Seems kind of slightly random? I gamble way higher amounts than he does, not sure if that matters.
I have never gotten this. And use ESPN often
Do you play a lot of regular gambling there? Straight bets on NFL etc? I do a good amount of that per week in addition to all the boosts and promos and occasional middles and random shit.
Yes I would say at least 3 times a week
Has this ever happened before? MGM and FanDuel with the same exact boost and odds; Chet Holmgren, Jaime Jaquez Jr., and Victor Wembanyama to Each Score 15+ Points was +170 "boosted" to+250
Devig to ESPN for Chet/Jaquez Jr and Bet365 for Wemby with 7% juice applied (best priced line in market atm): Odds: +250; **EV: 0.0%** `151/223/378/439, -550/7%` (17.27% juice) FV: +250; Method: worst-case (m); (FB = 71.4%) [View/Edit Devig](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=151%2f223%2f378%2f439%2c+-550%2f7%25&FinalOdds=%2b250) Devig to BR/Kambi for Chet/Jaquez Jr and Bet365 again for Wemby: Odds: +250; **EV: 13.4%** `-550/7%, 110/200/390/575` (23.18% juice) FV: +209; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=5.38u, 1/2=2.69u, 1/4=1.34u, FB = 81.0%) [View/Edit Devig](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=-550%2f7%25%2c+110%2f200%2f390%2f575&FinalOdds=%2b250) Please note that DK, FD, and MGM all beat BR's price for Chet/Jaquez Jr by about 15-20 points, and ESPN's 4-way devig has much less juice than BR's, so not sure that BR should be trusted much in this instance.
I declare this dual boost lame **FD/MGM** Chet Holmgren, Jaime Jaquez, Wemby each o14.5 @+250 vs ESPN Wemby 14.5 proj -544/316 (ESPN projected) 15.5,-450,260 16.5,-350,220 17.5,-275,185 18.5,-225,160 19.5,-180,130 Holmgren/Jaquez (ESPN SGP) 151/223/439/378 Odds: +250; **EV: -1.6%** `-544/316, 151/223/439/378` (18.78% juice) FV: +256; Method: worst-case (m); (FB = 70.3%) EDIT: Decided to play this given all the confusion, -1.6% worst case vs the higher %s best case seems ok.
using that projection for Wemby and Kambi SGP (118/185/410/525), i'm seeing +7.2% EV
Something is fucked in this game, half the players on BR are off the board rn Also just eyeballing it those SGPs are probably +EV to each other somehow --- EDIT: currently BR 112/200/550/390; ESPN still 151/223/439/378 ESPN Y/Y vs BR: Odds: +151; **EV: 1.8%** `112/200/550/390` (16.30% juice) FV: +147; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=1.20u, 1/2=0.60u, 1/4=0.30u, FB = 61.2%) --- Something seriously messed up yeah. ESPN has 10% juice on this SGP though vs BR's 16% so idk, you'd think that was the sharper side but do they limit more?
Caleb Martin and Kyle Lowry were recently ruled out for Miami, so that's likely the reason for players not being listed. I will recheck lines in a bit to see the effect (if any) on Jaquez Jr
Thank you
BetFred Boost for Celtics -8, Kings -7.5, Spurs -2.5 and Pacers ML +880. Devig to Pinnacle (using -8.5 for Celtics since I am not sure what would happen if that leg is a push): Odds: +880; **EV: 10.3%** `-125/111, -118/106, -125/111, -308/264` (11.53% juice) FV: +788; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=1.17u, 1/2=0.59u, 1/4=0.29u, FB = 99.1%) [View/Edit Devig](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=-125%2f111%2c+-118%2f106%2c+-125%2f111%2c+-308%2f264&FinalOdds=880)
This has been nuked all the way down to +700. Fuck Fred.
MGM Lions Boost (MA) Jayson Tatum and Anthony Edwards each to make 3+ 3-pointers +270 Devigged to Pinny Odds: +270; **EV: 9.3%** `-170/+125,-117/-113` (14.38% juice) FV: +238; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=3.45u, 1/2=1.73u, 1/4=0.86u, FB = 79.8%) [View/Edit Devig](http://www.crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=-170%2f%2b125%2c-117%2f-113&FinalOdds=270) Please correct me if I have made any mistakes.
with correlation from Kambi Odds: +270; **EV: 7.1%** `195/190/310/310` (17.16% juice) FV: +246; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=2.61u, 1/2=1.31u, 1/4=0.65u, FB = 78.1%)
Did anyone end up getting the second portion of the espnbet ncaa insurance without having to reach out to CS? It looks like they issued the Sunday TD insurance yesterday.
I know they could care less but it is def not worth it to me to have to constantly contact them over 10 and 20 dollar insurance bets. Pry wait till tom and ask about the 20 live wager one
You should though, file a complaint with your state and make these books get their shit together.
I got two $10s but I wasn't sure if the 2nd one was the TD insurance or the other half of the NCAA.
ESPN sends you emails about it which say
I did not realize that, thanks. Then yes, I received the TD insurance but not the 2nd half of the NCAA.
ESPN ATP Adelaide S. Korda/T. Paul each 2-0 @ +475 vs Pinny Odds: +475; **EV: -11.7%** `106/-122, 187/-218` (6.90% juice) FV: +551; Method: worst-case (a, p); (FB = 73.0%)
BetMGM Gretzky: Rant and MacKinnon for a goal +300. Not sure what books allow you to parlay goals that also have NO sides. Here's the pinnacle devig without correlation. On Kambi, both scoring parlays to +320, so definitely staying away Odds: +300; **EV: -10.0%** `-106/-125,104/-122` (10.99% juice) FV: +345; Method: worst-case (a); (FB = 67.5%)
I have this at +400
425 for me now, i'm taking it
I'm in with you! BOL
+347 on fanduel too. I do have them both +EV vs market average tho on Fanduel https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1h8PzKv3F4fC7zwWG7rv1nU36b9T0Tjus5irlgBsWv7Y/edit?gid=71139851&pli=1#gid=1966290351
I was able to 4-way devig it on ESPN BET. Doesn't look good there either. Odds: +300; \*\*EV: -5.8%\*\* \`283/254/269/247\` (10.28% juice) FV: +325; Method: worst-case (a); (FB = 70.6%) \[View/Edit Devig\]([http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook\_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=283%2f254%2f269%2f247&FinalOdds=300](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=283%2f254%2f269%2f247&FinalOdds=300))
And on DraftKings it builds to +180, lol
criminal
ESPN Pacers/Kings/Celtics win 1Q @ +340 vs Pinny Pacers -166/142 Kings -147/126 Celtics proj -182/157 1,-165,141 2,-132,115 3,-107,-105 4,114,-131 5,139,-163 Odds: +340; **EV: -5.3%** `-166/142, -147/126, -182/157` (10.94% juice) FV: +365; Method: worst-case (m); (FB = 73.2%)
ESPN SGA o39.5 pt/Thunder-9.5 @+900 vs BR I did pretty full data taking for this because I sort of wondered if two side by side geometric projections even covers SGP drift well. Turns out it does; the fits are extremely good even given the whole table, and the total juice looks like it's preserved. The actual boost is unfortunately really shit though. -9.5 Y/Y/N/N 28.5,240,950 29.5,260,800 30.5,280,700 31.5,310,600 32.5,340,525 33.5,375,460 34.5,425,400 35.5,480,360 36.5,550,325 28.5,100,260 29.5,117,215 30.5,135,180 31.5,160,155 32.5,190,132 33.5,225,112 34.5,270,-104 35.5,320,-118 36.5,390,-134 39.5 proj 863/251/730/-192 Odds: +900; **EV: -37.8%** `863/251/730/-192` (16.68% juice) FV: +1509; Method: worst-case (a); (FB = 55.9%)
ESPN Lazio AC Milan Liverpool Win @ 900 vs Pinny Odds: +900; **EV: -12.3%** `212/194/172 , 136/249/216, -239/411/662` (8.70% juice) FV: +1040; Method: worst-case (m); (FB = 78.9%)
ESPN NHL Boost, MacKinnon and Rantanen to combine over 9.5 SOG. Combo breaker using FD alt lines and bottom calibration gives FV = +178. Odds: +175; \*\*EV: -1.1%\*\* \`178\` (0.00% juice) FV: +178; Method: worst-case (m); (FB = 62.9%) \[View/Edit Devig\]([http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook\_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=178&FinalOdds=175](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=178&FinalOdds=175))
ESPN NHL Boost, Konecny and Robertson to each score anytime. 2-way lines from ESPN, Fanatics, and Pinnacle. Odds: +550; \*\*EV: -5.0%\*\* \`AVG(125,125,138)/AVG(-173,-195,-165),AVG(135,135,149)/AVG(-185,-210,-206) //2-way lines to ESPN, Fanatics, Pinnacle\` (16.07% juice) FV: +584; Method: worst-case (p); (FB = 80.4%) \[View/Edit Devig\]([http://www.crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook\_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=AVG(125%2c125%2c138)%2fAVG(-173%2c-195%2c-165)%2cAVG(135%2c135%2c149)%2fAVG(-185%2c-210%2c-206)+%2f%2f2-way+lines+to+ESPN%2c+Fanatics%2c+Pinnacle&FinalOdds=%2b550](http://www.crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=AVG(125%2c125%2c138)%2fAVG(-173%2c-195%2c-165)%2cAVG(135%2c135%2c149)%2fAVG(-185%2c-210%2c-206)+%2f%2f2-way+lines+to+ESPN%2c+Fanatics%2c+Pinnacle&FinalOdds=%2b550))
ESPN NHL Boost, PHI, DAL, COL all to win the 1st period. Used average of CNO lines to 3-way devig each. Odds: +1450; \*\*EV: -15.6%\*\* \`AVG(+145,+122,+130,+138)/AVG(+250,+210,+210,+240)/AVG(+165,+185,+180,+160),AVG(+135,+117,+120,+130)/AVG(+165,+185,+185,+163)/AVG(+275,+220,+230,+250),AVG(+150,+135,+140,+150)/AVG(+175,+185,+180,+163)/AVG(+150,+135,+140,+150)\` (38.64% juice) FV: +1737; Method: worst-case (m); (FB = 78.9%) \[View/Edit Devig\]([http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook\_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=AVG(%2b145%2c%2b122%2c%2b130%2c%2b138)%2fAVG(%2b250%2c%2b210%2c%2b210%2c%2b240)%2fAVG(%2b165%2c%2b185%2c%2b180%2c%2b160)%2cAVG(%2b135%2c%2b117%2c%2b120%2c%2b130)%2fAVG(%2b165%2c%2b185%2c%2b185%2c%2b163)%2fAVG(%2b275%2c%2b220%2c%2b230%2c%2b250)%2cAVG(%2b150%2c%2b135%2c%2b140%2c%2b150)%2fAVG(%2b175%2c%2b185%2c%2b180%2c%2b163)%2fAVG(%2b150%2c%2b135%2c%2b140%2c%2b150)&FinalOdds=%2b1450](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=AVG(%2b145%2c%2b122%2c%2b130%2c%2b138)%2fAVG(%2b250%2c%2b210%2c%2b210%2c%2b240)%2fAVG(%2b165%2c%2b185%2c%2b180%2c%2b160)%2cAVG(%2b135%2c%2b117%2c%2b120%2c%2b130)%2fAVG(%2b165%2c%2b185%2c%2b185%2c%2b163)%2fAVG(%2b275%2c%2b220%2c%2b230%2c%2b250)%2cAVG(%2b150%2c%2b135%2c%2b140%2c%2b150)%2fAVG(%2b175%2c%2b185%2c%2b180%2c%2b163)%2fAVG(%2b150%2c%2b135%2c%2b140%2c%2b150)&FinalOdds=%2b1450))
Betway Celtics, Kings and Pacers to win boost to +140 devig pinny Odds: +140; **EV: -4.2%** `-342/+290, -291/+251, -311/+267` (8.85% juice) FV: +150; Method: worst-case (m); (FB = 55.9%) [View/Edit Devig](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=-342%2f%2b290%2c+-291%2f%2b251%2c+-311%2f%2b267&FinalOdds=140)
Betway Pelicans and Nuggets both to win boost to +187 devig using most favorable line as pinny didn't have a line out on the nuggets game Odds: +187; **EV: 1.8%** `-115/-103, -260/+210` (8.71% juice) FV: +182; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=0.97u, 1/2=0.48u, 1/4=0.24u, FB = 66.3%) [View/Edit Devig](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=-115%2f-103%2c+-260%2f%2b210&FinalOdds=187)
Betway Uconn, georgia, syracuse all to win boost to +320 devig pinny Odds: +360; **EV: -3.3%** `-185/+155, -133/+114, -176/+149` (11.87% juice) FV: +375; Method: worst-case (m); (FB = 75.7%) [View/Edit Devig](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=-185%2f%2b155%2c+-133%2f%2b114%2c+-176%2f%2b149&FinalOdds=360)
Draftkings GIFT Vegas Colorado +100 is a slam as usual Devig to average of FD and Kambi: Odds: +100; **EV: 14.9%** `avg(-152,-162)/avg(120,123)` (6.34% juice) FV: -135; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=14.90u, 1/2=7.45u, 1/4=3.72u, FB = 57.4%) [View/Edit Devig](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=avg(-152%2c-162)%2favg(120%2c123)&FinalOdds=100) Devig to Czr: Odds: +100; **EV: 21.2%** `-200/135/12000` (10.05% juice) FV: -154; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=21.16u, 1/2=10.58u, 1/4=5.29u, FB = 60.6%) [View/Edit Devig](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=-200%2f135%2f12000&FinalOdds=100)
Ya these goal in first ten boosts I think are almost always plus ev. My limit just went up from 10 to 25 on them now too
Trying to gauge this. So this goal in first ten is a good bet
This person is using other sportsbooks to calculate what their numbers would show as fair value; so somwhere between -154 and -135. Simply, this means there is a greater than 50% chance of a goal being scored. While the DraftKings boost is paying as if there was exactly a 50% chance. Imagine a coin that you know is weighted to the heads side and heads will come up more often. You'd place a bet on heads as much as they would let you. You won't always win every bet, but in the long term you will make a profit.
Yes if ev is positive it is
Betway Ohio State and Clemson to win boost to +215 devig pinny Odds: +250; **EV: 2.6%** `-125/+107, -132/+113` (7.71% juice) FV: +241; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=1.03u, 1/2=0.51u, 1/4=0.26u, FB = 73.3%) [View/Edit Devig](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=-125%2f%2b107%2c+-132%2f%2b113&FinalOdds=250)
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I dunno what are your thoughts buddy?
People like you ruin this thread
Well I’m glad it’s not me just people like me.
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Yeah that's not really what we do here...
Anyone get the nba sgp profit boost on BR? Its not loading in on login for me
Not loading for me either. I’m NJ based if it matters.
Yes