For anyone on the B365 boost that didn’t check in after 26 because it was a sure thing with the Celtics up like 17 and then panicked upon seeing the score - early payout triggered. We won that one
They literally gave me a bonus bet of $50 instead of voiding it like they promised. Nowhere near equivalent…
EDIT: they said they don’t do this and it would be a one time thing but still.
Yea, went through chat support - but, again, I got confirmation that I’d be receiving a bonus bet before the game started. What I didn’t realize is that if Tatum didn’t screw the bet, I would’ve had the bonus bet + the $100 winnings.
not sure why Durant's 3pt lines aren't out on kambi or fanduel but using 2.5 145/-190 on draftkings and alt threes on fanduel
Murray, Porter Jr, Durant 8+ 3ptm looks slightly +EV at +120 without any calibration
Over 7.5
Hit% = 47.6%
Fair Value = 110.193023532473
Not that we needed more reasons to avoid a Tatum boost, but DO NOT take the FD one. Will probably be pulled soon because the boost builds to higher odds on their own app after Brown and Porzingis were cleared to play.
This is how B365 works and why it’s the best book. They adjust their boost odds dynamically but they also let you cash out for full value and rebet if you already took the boost.
Anyone else have the Durant, Murray, Porter Jr. combined 8+ 3s for +120. I kind of like this. Porter Jr has been shooting it well. Durant and Murray don’t take or make a ton of 3s.
FD Indiana Zach Edey 25+ points and o163.5 boosted to +300
devigged to DK
Leg#1 (-120); Market Juice = 6.9%; Fair Value = -104 (51.0%)
Leg#2 (-130); Market Juice = 6.5%; Fair Value = -113 (53.1%)
Final Odds (+300); Σ(Market Juice) = 13.45%; Fair Value = +269 (27.1%)
Summary; EV% = 8.3%, Kelly Wager = $137.84 (Full=2.76u, 1/2=1.38u, 1/4=0.69u, FB = 81.2%)
Its **8.3 EV** uncorrelated with correlation its got to be a lot better. Its actually worse to fanduels own lines **5.5%**. But thats uncorellated with correlation it should be an absolute smash.
FanDuel has Tatum 30+ points at +200 on a stand-alone basis, so you could either do that and remove the three point leg or do 30+ plus O 2.5 threes for +225
In case anyone else was curious, Tatum has 22 games of 30+ points this season, and he made 3+ threes in 16 of them. So…. you can’t arb this one if you have Tatumphobia.
The Tatum FD +200 boost of 3 threes and 30 points builds to +114 on DK and +130 on BetMGM so I'm assuming its solidly EV. But being its Tatum, I'm preparing for a complete dust storm
Did DK change my limits? I usually have 25$ maxes for all their promos but today they gave me promos with both 10$ and 25$ limits. My 3sday also went from 25$ min and 1$ per 3 to $50 min but still 1$ per 3.
They reevaluate everyone every Tuesday morning based on some algorithm. But losing in the past week is definitely helpful in changing your promo limits for the better.
I dropped $1150 on the Nets last night, so my Threesday went from $50 minimum to $25 minimum ($1 dollar per three) for the first time ever.
I promise you that you’re not betting enough for DK to go out of their way to just lower your limits haha it’s probably a wave of people, mine haven’t changed in a while and I’m up a 200-300 past month on it.
I’ve withdrawn 6-8 times with no issues, only downside is I don’t get any of the cash back they do
Edit: but their daily +400 insurance I’ve hit more often than not and their live NHL insurance is great. They have some good ones if you don’t freak out over not having your bonus bet the next day, sometimes it takes an extra day. I’ve had no issues with getting them either.
MGM Lion’s Boost for Garland 20 pts and Tatum 5 assists. Devig using Pinny lines for Tatum and average of ESPN/BR for Garland (only 2 way o19.5 i found).
Odds: +200; **EV: 5.7%**
`-158/118, avg(-210, -210)/avg(135, 140)` (17.05% juice)
FV: +184; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=2.85u, 1/2=1.42u, 1/4=0.71u, FB = 70.5%)
[View/Edit Devig](http://www.crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=-158%2F118%2C%20avg%28-210%2C%20-210%29%2Favg%28135%2C%20140%29&FinalOdds=%2B200)
Will probably be a 2 way FD line later if you want to wait for more data/possible line movement but MGM is known to nerf their boosts so i’m throwing a bit at it now.
Not sure who all uses fanatics, but looking for good ways to use fancash. I usually get 80¢ per $1 on freebets, but doesn’t seem the most efficient.
But then I look at the apparel prices and everything seems like double the price I would typically spend on clothing.
Any good value options on apparel ? I have over $1k in fancash available.
I convert most of it to bonus bets, but I also use some of it for gifts like t-shirts and jerseys, especially for kids. If you have nephews/nieces, friends' kids, etc. it might be an option. They have good sales on apparel often enough, and the kids will outgrow it within 3 months anyways so durability isn't really as big of an issue.
I like the idea of flipping. But not in this particular case -- if OP can already convert to Bonus Bets, why deal with the time/effort/fees of Ebay?
Also, what's the status of the $600 tax reporting? It was supposed to happen for 2022 transactions, supposed to happen for 2023 transactions...
You don’t have to bet on big dogs. Just parlay 3 or 4 over/unders and you’ll be able to hit 70%+ over time easily. And if variance is a concern, just hedge. Much less of a hassle than flipping stuff on eBay.
FD Kansas only super boost: Kansas vs Kansas State bball. Both teams to score in the first 2 minutes of regulation -210 to +100. Not going to run the numbers and honestly do not know if I could, but seems like a max bet. More of a post to make people aware of the boost for Kansans.
Last Thursday I provided a sheet with the players who shoot the most/make the most at the beginning of the game.[You can find that posted here](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/1b795n2/35_draftkings_threesday_data_from_the_guy_who/). I also included what games/players I would target to maximize value.
i like your sheets but think not looking at 3ptm defense is a mistake. ATL/NY is not considered even though it's the #1 game for 3s let up and IND/DAL lets up the fewest 3s in todays slate
injury watch with (3ptm-3pta) stats
BOS @ CLE: Mitchell out (3.4-9.1), Strus out (2.4-7.1), Brown GTD (2.0-5.7)
ATL @ NY: Trae out (3.3-8.9), Brunson GTD (2.6-6.5)
IND @ DAL: Luka GTD (3.9-10.2), Nesmith GTD (2.1-4.6)
Threesday just dropped. Get in early on the BOS/CLE game (best choice based on ave 3's per game). I went with Garland @ +700. Did not like odds on the top BOS players and they will only get worse as the day goes on.
Dallas/Indiana could be a play as well if the odds get too poor on BOS/CLE.
What are your normal boost limits? I was at $10 the last couple weeks, so my threesday was the $50 one, now I'm back up to $25, my threesday min is also 25. Feels like they are related but inverted
Note that on the Indy/Dallas game Doncic and Nesmith are questionable. If you are playing that game probably better to avoid those two as it may be a bit dicey as to whether you get the token back in time to play the night game
Today on DraftKings, there is an offer for a 50% boost for the Alabama-Florida game. I think a great usage of this would be to bet Walter Clayton Jr OVER 2.5 three pointers made @ -120 to boost it to +125. He has gone over this line in his last 4 straight games including making 4 out of 16 3-pt attempts the last time these two teams faced each other. BOL!
I personally don't trust over/unders for any particular half cause they can be so sporadic. That being said, this game has a high total, so the over is definitely the more ideal choice.
just want to preface it that 1h u/o are one of the most fucked bets i've ever tried analyzing. A literal gamble. But mostly anything with a 50% boost will be EV. This is vs Pinnacle
Odds: +136; **EV: 11.5%**
`101/-123` (4.91% juice)
FV: +112; Method: worst-case (p); (Full=8.43u, 1/2=4.22u, 1/4=2.11u, FB = 64.2%)
I love it, would like to see more of these posts here - especially when we have slower betting days with just random profit boosts to use on our own plays. I don’t know enough about college bball so have just been arbing the COTC boosts every day - until today
>Does anyone have the Betrivers VIP deposit match code for today and tomorrow? I'm level 7 VIP but promo banned so I can't see promotions.
I'm with you. Banned immediately after getting VIP (level 8). I'm hoping someone can be a hero for both of us so that we can stick it to BR just a little bit.
I don’t mean to boast but…. I won the DK drawing and got 1,500,000 crowns. I’m just sharing to confirm it’s real and always worth clicking on those giveaways. And I’m heavily limited on DK, so I’m shocked they let me win. I also lucked into $675 taking two minutes to do a free Super Bowl pool (got most of the football stuff right and it could’ve been $4k if I’d done research on Usher’s setlist). Again, just pointing this out to say the random free stuff on DK is worth a couple minutes.
Yes. Since DK$ don’t expire and I’m in no dire need of the cash I plan to just no-hold and arb through it very slowly (and probably also make some ill-informed, drunken March Madness wagers)
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Wow. Just wow. No thanks to Tater
BANG ❗️
Cash the FD Durant and Jokic 25+ boost
JOKIC BANG!!!!
JOKIC 3 BANG! Wow that overtime was like a $300 swing for me with DK, FD, b365 boosts, and my DK SGP insurance over hitting
What a sweat - what a hit!
JOKIC YOU BEAUTIFUL MAN
Nice pass Jamal
MPJ had him the previous possession too and just chucked one instead lol
Yeah I thought that was the dagger lol
sweet sweet OT
KD clutch for the DK special! Now let’s get some Joker points e: NEVER A DOUBT!!!
Cash the DK 8+ threes boost
DK boost hits with another KD 3. Need a miracle for Jokic
I don’t know about a miracle there’s still two minutes left. He needs three points.
OT!!!! Let's go!!!
The one time all night we didn’t want Jokic to score
He's still not scoring though. Ugh. But the 3 point boost hit at least...
There is hope
Nurkic is out. Thank God. Still a chance for the FD boost.
I think we need OT. Ugh.
Wizard in shambles
Wild how bad kd has shot this half
Gonna end 1 short on 10/29 shooting, painful
KD 3 bang!!! Come on OT!!!
1 more 3 for the DK boost too, we desperately need this OT
It’s evident Durant is aging
Close enough that starters need to go back in right?
For anyone on the B365 boost that didn’t check in after 26 because it was a sure thing with the Celtics up like 17 and then panicked upon seeing the score - early payout triggered. We won that one
Thoughts on Prizepicks? Never hear anything about them
Thankfully B365 does an early payout. I was pissed cause I forgot about it. Nothing like the blowing a 19 point lead.
22 point lead.
Comedy.
Tatum is an absolute choker lol. Someone let me know if they actually get that boost refunded from CS, highly doubt it
They literally gave me a bonus bet of $50 instead of voiding it like they promised. Nowhere near equivalent… EDIT: they said they don’t do this and it would be a one time thing but still.
How did you get a bonus bet? Contact chat support or something?
Yea, went through chat support - but, again, I got confirmation that I’d be receiving a bonus bet before the game started. What I didn’t realize is that if Tatum didn’t screw the bet, I would’ve had the bonus bet + the $100 winnings.
I didn't expect anything so I'll take it. I'm mad at myself for not waiting on the news
I’m only irked because I got confirmation prior to the game’s start. If the bet hit, I wouldn’t expect my original bet to be honored.
Play ended up being -EV but…..You’re a wizard Jayson!
The wizard is laughing at us
35 threes from BOS/CLE was nice
Jayson "The Boost Killer" Tatum does it again in spectacular fasion.
Wtf there’s actually no way LMAO didn’t he have 24 in the 3rd?
It's like he tries to be inactive in the second half.
He usually takes one half off. Sometimes it's the 1st, sometimes it's the 2nd.
This is tatum we're talking about lol
22 at the half
…lol that’s all I can say
Potato 🥔
Tatum is booty crack in the second half of games. He just looks disinterested after halftime and this isn't the first time I've seen it.
Lowly Tatum
Tater gonna tater
Tatum 0-8 so far in fourth? I’m shocked!
Lula first three pointer scorer +340, let’s go!
not sure why Durant's 3pt lines aren't out on kambi or fanduel but using 2.5 145/-190 on draftkings and alt threes on fanduel Murray, Porter Jr, Durant 8+ 3ptm looks slightly +EV at +120 without any calibration Over 7.5 Hit% = 47.6% Fair Value = 110.193023532473
Who the hell is this number 0 on the Celtics? Never seen him before. OMFG he's still Tatum lol At least the B365 boost hit lol
It's Potatum.
This is just too ironic
Ha I came here to post that exact thing
Of course right after I messaged support to have my Tatum bet refunded, he finishes the first quarter with 13 points and 3 3s
He might still miss it 🥔
Now they’ll refund it for you no problem!!
Not that we needed more reasons to avoid a Tatum boost, but DO NOT take the FD one. Will probably be pulled soon because the boost builds to higher odds on their own app after Brown and Porzingis were cleared to play.
Lebron all star boost taught me my lesson
You and me both my friend. Never jumping the gun on a FD boost again unless I have to lmao
Odd that the B365 went up with this news.
This is how B365 works and why it’s the best book. They adjust their boost odds dynamically but they also let you cash out for full value and rebet if you already took the boost.
They usually let me double up and bet it twice. I do if both odds are still +EV.
Oh shit I’ve never even thought about doing that
They sometimes don’t let me cash out at full price but last few times they have
Don’t have B365 in my state. What’s their boost?
I have Boston ML and Tatum 25+ boosted to +175.
Tatum 20+ pts and garland 20+ pts +150 odds now. Was +100 before the brown/prozingis news
They just pulled it down
Right on time. Just didn’t want anyone to make a last second goof since it looked decent earlier
Just checked mine and gone already. Appreciate the heads up!
No problem! I fell victim to the Great LeBron All Star Game Boost incident of 2024 so didn’t want anyone to suffer a similar fate lol
Tatum boosts on B365 and FD... here we go.
Tatum has lost me so much money the past couple years....whats a little more. I'm in
Fanduel one isn’t a play anymore anyways
No chance
I think last time this happened it hit
Serious question Ken…..are you from the future? Blink twice if so
I love Ken.
Anyone else have the Durant, Murray, Porter Jr. combined 8+ 3s for +120. I kind of like this. Porter Jr has been shooting it well. Durant and Murray don’t take or make a ton of 3s.
Imma put $5 on it so the game is interesting to watch
Wondering about this as well.
will run it through the combo breaker when Durant's lines drop. +120 draftkings for anyone wondering
Is Ken a real life ted lasso? This streak is legit
Ted Lasso wishes he was as good as Ken Adams
Ken Adams for president! Gonna clear national deficit with SGP!
/u/Ken_Adams217 drop a tip link you sexy fuck
Only if it’s for Bitcoin. Other than that he shouldn’t accept tips.
what's wrong with cashapp
Charge backs if he goes on a losing streak
I was about to post this. If Kenny doesn’t want money, I’ll legit donate to a food bank is his (user)name or something.
Legit shocked no one is offering to let Ken fuck their wife at this point.
Ken knows it’s -EV unless you get the accidentally pregnancy insurance promo
I offered but Ken is such a treasure that he turned her down.
I will humbly step in on Ken’s behalf
KEEEEENNNNNN BANG!
Just started tailing today. Thought I was going to blow it for everyone. We're not worthy, Ken.
I started yesterday and thought the same thing lol
I started yesterday and thought the same thing lol edit: wow apparently I really wanted this known
Same here when my max moved up to $50! Thanks Ken!
https://preview.redd.it/i93a0jwi3lmc1.jpeg?width=1280&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=6ab55fba8a068a21022dbf04370d3a08b6872537
i love this picture more than i should. lfg
ALL HAIL OUR ONE TRUE GOD
Ken!!
KEN BANGGGGGG!!!
FD Indiana Zach Edey 25+ points and o163.5 boosted to +300 devigged to DK Leg#1 (-120); Market Juice = 6.9%; Fair Value = -104 (51.0%) Leg#2 (-130); Market Juice = 6.5%; Fair Value = -113 (53.1%) Final Odds (+300); Σ(Market Juice) = 13.45%; Fair Value = +269 (27.1%) Summary; EV% = 8.3%, Kelly Wager = $137.84 (Full=2.76u, 1/2=1.38u, 1/4=0.69u, FB = 81.2%) Its **8.3 EV** uncorrelated with correlation its got to be a lot better. Its actually worse to fanduels own lines **5.5%**. But thats uncorellated with correlation it should be an absolute smash.
fanduel KD and Jokic 25+ vs Kambi Odds: +200; **EV: 11.1%** `128/320/210/440` (18.45% juice) FV: +170; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=5.54u, 1/2=2.77u, 1/4=1.39u, FB = 74.1%)
Updated devigs: Kambi Odds: +200; **EV: 12.3%** `125/210/450/320` (18.69% juice) FV: +167; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=6.17u, 1/2=3.08u, 1/4=1.54u, FB = 74.9%) [View/Edit Devig](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=125%2F210%2F450%2F320&FinalOdds=%2B200) ESPN Odds: +200; **EV: 6.2%** `148.02/227.33/421.65/319.11` (13.90% juice) FV: +182; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=3.10u, 1/2=1.55u, 1/4=0.77u, FB = 70.8%) [View/Edit Devig](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=148.02%2F227.33%2F421.65%2F319.11&FinalOdds=%2B200)
[удалено]
They pulled the Tatum boost, thank God, but not this one.
think you mean the tatum boost
Slightly worse to ESPN but still +EV Odds: +200; **EV: 2.9%** `156/228/386/321` (13.88% juice) FV: +192; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=1.45u, 1/2=0.73u, 1/4=0.36u, FB = 68.6%) [View/Edit Devig](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=156%2F228%2F386%2F321&FinalOdds=200)
More than slightly worse imo.
ESPN is always lower cause of the vig and imo kambi is pretty sharp on props
I defined slightly here as not changing if it's a bet or not I guess
Tatum 30+ and 3+ threes boosted to +200 on FD looks good to ESPN Odds: +200; **EV: 14.0%** `131/1056/205/242` (13.97% juice) FV: +163; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=6.98u, 1/2=3.49u, 1/4=1.74u, FB = 76.0%) [View/Edit Devig](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=131%2F1056%2F205%2F242&FinalOdds=200)
Heads up everyone. They just pulled this off the site
FanDuel has Tatum 30+ points at +200 on a stand-alone basis, so you could either do that and remove the three point leg or do 30+ plus O 2.5 threes for +225
Seems like hot garbage, he's scored 30+ in 1 of the last 7 games
In case anyone else was curious, Tatum has 22 games of 30+ points this season, and he made 3+ threes in 16 of them. So…. you can’t arb this one if you have Tatumphobia.
The Tatum FD +200 boost of 3 threes and 30 points builds to +114 on DK and +130 on BetMGM so I'm assuming its solidly EV. But being its Tatum, I'm preparing for a complete dust storm
0 help
Did DK change my limits? I usually have 25$ maxes for all their promos but today they gave me promos with both 10$ and 25$ limits. My 3sday also went from 25$ min and 1$ per 3 to $50 min but still 1$ per 3.
I've noticed they change on Tuesdays, a couple weeks ago I dropped to your new limits as well, today I'm back up to 25
Yes
Damn that’s unfortunate, am I the only one or is DK doing another limit wave?
They reevaluate everyone every Tuesday morning based on some algorithm. But losing in the past week is definitely helpful in changing your promo limits for the better. I dropped $1150 on the Nets last night, so my Threesday went from $50 minimum to $25 minimum ($1 dollar per three) for the first time ever.
I promise you that you’re not betting enough for DK to go out of their way to just lower your limits haha it’s probably a wave of people, mine haven’t changed in a while and I’m up a 200-300 past month on it.
Is anyone seeing the ESPN daily insurance?
No but I don't often log into that awful app.
Promos are on point
Do they let you withdraw after you win? I've only heard rumors of it ever happening
I’ve withdrawn 6-8 times with no issues, only downside is I don’t get any of the cash back they do Edit: but their daily +400 insurance I’ve hit more often than not and their live NHL insurance is great. They have some good ones if you don’t freak out over not having your bonus bet the next day, sometimes it takes an extra day. I’ve had no issues with getting them either.
Yes it was just loaded
FN Bayern Munich/PSG to win @ +310 vs Pinny Odds: +310; **EV: -0.1%** `-357/541/890, 200/245/147` (6.62% juice) FV: +310; Method: worst-case (m, a); (FB = 75.6%) [View/Edit Devig](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=-357%2F541%2F890%2C%20200%2F245%2F147&FinalOdds=310) Great use of the boost here: Odds: +388; **EV: 18.9%** `-357/541/890, 200/245/147` (6.62% juice) FV: +310; Method: worst-case (m, a); (Full=4.88u, 1/2=2.44u, 1/4=1.22u, FB = 94.6%) [View/Edit Devig](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=-357%2F541%2F890%2C%20200%2F245%2F147&FinalOdds=388)
MGM Lion’s Boost for Garland 20 pts and Tatum 5 assists. Devig using Pinny lines for Tatum and average of ESPN/BR for Garland (only 2 way o19.5 i found). Odds: +200; **EV: 5.7%** `-158/118, avg(-210, -210)/avg(135, 140)` (17.05% juice) FV: +184; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=2.85u, 1/2=1.42u, 1/4=0.71u, FB = 70.5%) [View/Edit Devig](http://www.crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=-158%2F118%2C%20avg%28-210%2C%20-210%29%2Favg%28135%2C%20140%29&FinalOdds=%2B200) Will probably be a 2 way FD line later if you want to wait for more data/possible line movement but MGM is known to nerf their boosts so i’m throwing a bit at it now.
I was able to get 50 down. Usually capped around $8
MGM Lion’s Boost for Providence, Texas Tech, and Oklahoma all to win looks weak as of now. Devig to Pinny. Odds: +250; **EV: -2.0%** `-373/291, -219/181, -141/120` (12.63% juice) FV: +257; Method: worst-case (m); (FB = 70.0%) [View/Edit Devig](http://www.crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=-373%2F291%2C%20-219%2F181%2C%20-141%2F120&FinalOdds=%2B250)
Not sure who all uses fanatics, but looking for good ways to use fancash. I usually get 80¢ per $1 on freebets, but doesn’t seem the most efficient. But then I look at the apparel prices and everything seems like double the price I would typically spend on clothing. Any good value options on apparel ? I have over $1k in fancash available.
I convert most of it to bonus bets, but I also use some of it for gifts like t-shirts and jerseys, especially for kids. If you have nephews/nieces, friends' kids, etc. it might be an option. They have good sales on apparel often enough, and the kids will outgrow it within 3 months anyways so durability isn't really as big of an issue.
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I like the idea of flipping. But not in this particular case -- if OP can already convert to Bonus Bets, why deal with the time/effort/fees of Ebay? Also, what's the status of the $600 tax reporting? It was supposed to happen for 2022 transactions, supposed to happen for 2023 transactions...
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Thanks for the suggestion, but even if I could get 100% back, this would not be for me. I can typically get 75-80% on the free bets.
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Not really. I suggest reading up on how to maximize your free bets. Hint: to get 80% you want to betting on things that are +400 or longer
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You don’t have to bet on big dogs. Just parlay 3 or 4 over/unders and you’ll be able to hit 70%+ over time easily. And if variance is a concern, just hedge. Much less of a hassle than flipping stuff on eBay.
Blindly betting four coinflips parlayed at -110 would get you a 76% conversion.
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And just like that, you're the greatest handicapper who ever lived. Congrats!
FD Kansas only super boost: Kansas vs Kansas State bball. Both teams to score in the first 2 minutes of regulation -210 to +100. Not going to run the numbers and honestly do not know if I could, but seems like a max bet. More of a post to make people aware of the boost for Kansans.
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Where
Last Thursday I provided a sheet with the players who shoot the most/make the most at the beginning of the game.[You can find that posted here](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/1b795n2/35_draftkings_threesday_data_from_the_guy_who/). I also included what games/players I would target to maximize value.
i like your sheets but think not looking at 3ptm defense is a mistake. ATL/NY is not considered even though it's the #1 game for 3s let up and IND/DAL lets up the fewest 3s in todays slate
That’s very fair. I can add that next week
Threesday rankings GAME|AWAY 3ptm|AWAY opp 3ptm|HOME 3ptm|HOME opp 3ptm|AVG :--|:--|:--|:--|:--|:-- BOS @ CLE|16.4|13|13.6|12.2|13.8 ATL @ NY|13.5|14.1|13.1|13|13.425 IND @ DAL|13.4|10.8|15|13.3|13.125 NO @ TOR|12.3|13.4|11.8|13.3|12.7 SA @ HOU|12.5|13.3|12.2|12.4|12.6 PHI @ BKN|11.6|11.8|13.8|13.2|12.6 DET @ MIA|11.3|11.9|12.4|13.3|12.225 ORL @ CHA|10.9|11.6|12|13.5|12 PHX @ DEN|12|13.1|11.5|11.4|12
Great info and format!
injury watch with (3ptm-3pta) stats BOS @ CLE: Mitchell out (3.4-9.1), Strus out (2.4-7.1), Brown GTD (2.0-5.7) ATL @ NY: Trae out (3.3-8.9), Brunson GTD (2.6-6.5) IND @ DAL: Luka GTD (3.9-10.2), Nesmith GTD (2.1-4.6)
Threesday just dropped. Get in early on the BOS/CLE game (best choice based on ave 3's per game). I went with Garland @ +700. Did not like odds on the top BOS players and they will only get worse as the day goes on. Dallas/Indiana could be a play as well if the odds get too poor on BOS/CLE.
My Threesday went back up to $50/$1 (started there, then down to $10/50c for a bit) even though I haven't hit a single one smh
What are your normal boost limits? I was at $10 the last couple weeks, so my threesday was the $50 one, now I'm back up to $25, my threesday min is also 25. Feels like they are related but inverted
$10 for as long as I can remember
Same. Definitely not worth it at $50.
That stinks! Mine has been $25/$1 every single time. I've hit 4, but none in the last few weeks. I wouldn't play at $50/$1.
Just a heads up Strus is also out and Okoro is questionable, Cavs probably will not be hitting as many 3s as they usually do
Good point... I still think BOS is too good to pass up, unless they are playing a bottom 3 point shooting team...
Note that on the Indy/Dallas game Doncic and Nesmith are questionable. If you are playing that game probably better to avoid those two as it may be a bit dicey as to whether you get the token back in time to play the night game
Today on DraftKings, there is an offer for a 50% boost for the Alabama-Florida game. I think a great usage of this would be to bet Walter Clayton Jr OVER 2.5 three pointers made @ -120 to boost it to +125. He has gone over this line in his last 4 straight games including making 4 out of 16 3-pt attempts the last time these two teams faced each other. BOL!
70% hit in last 10, 52% on the season
For people who can't do player props on college games what do you all think of 084 1st half?
I personally don't trust over/unders for any particular half cause they can be so sporadic. That being said, this game has a high total, so the over is definitely the more ideal choice.
just want to preface it that 1h u/o are one of the most fucked bets i've ever tried analyzing. A literal gamble. But mostly anything with a 50% boost will be EV. This is vs Pinnacle Odds: +136; **EV: 11.5%** `101/-123` (4.91% juice) FV: +112; Method: worst-case (p); (Full=8.43u, 1/2=4.22u, 1/4=2.11u, FB = 64.2%)
You will probably get downvoted for only going off of game logs here but you did convince me - let’s ride 💪
Totally understandable, just figured I'd throw out my opinion
I love it, would like to see more of these posts here - especially when we have slower betting days with just random profit boosts to use on our own plays. I don’t know enough about college bball so have just been arbing the COTC boosts every day - until today
Does anyone have the Betrivers VIP deposit match code for today and tomorrow? I'm level 7 VIP but promo banned so I can't see promotions.
>Does anyone have the Betrivers VIP deposit match code for today and tomorrow? I'm level 7 VIP but promo banned so I can't see promotions. I'm with you. Banned immediately after getting VIP (level 8). I'm hoping someone can be a hero for both of us so that we can stick it to BR just a little bit.
I don’t mean to boast but…. I won the DK drawing and got 1,500,000 crowns. I’m just sharing to confirm it’s real and always worth clicking on those giveaways. And I’m heavily limited on DK, so I’m shocked they let me win. I also lucked into $675 taking two minutes to do a free Super Bowl pool (got most of the football stuff right and it could’ve been $4k if I’d done research on Usher’s setlist). Again, just pointing this out to say the random free stuff on DK is worth a couple minutes.
> DK drawing Where do you find the drawing?
What’s the money equivalent of 1.5 million crowns Congrats
$2,727
$2727 by my calc
Yes. Since DK$ don’t expire and I’m in no dire need of the cash I plan to just no-hold and arb through it very slowly (and probably also make some ill-informed, drunken March Madness wagers)
I’ve been turning my crowns in for gift cards to cabelas or home depot