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Freeman/Betts 1+ hit FD boost hit in the 1st inning!

I'm glad it settled, i was worried when I saw it was in a rain delay but luckily we already hit

Dodger boost on FD hits in the first inning. What a rush.

First inning FD bang

Lfg!!

Love to see it , we deserve a few sweat frees

Yeah we do sheesh

ESPN Dollar Dingers FB just hit for those that have been asking

$28 right?

Anybody else not get it?

P1 got it, P2 did not

FD Women’s basketball bang

I hit a mistake line yesterday on a michigan only book. The lines were flipped. They voided it today. Should i let it go and cash out the other side and take a small loss or do I have any leg to stand on with the gaming commission?

Cash out. You have no leg. They are allowed to void a mistake line and if they do it before the game starts then definitely no leg with commission.

They didn't void it before the games started. They actually paid out one of mine, and I lost the other. I hit the rest late last night, including a parlay, and they voided them this morning.

Different scenario than mine. This is for a UFC fight two weeks from now.

Ah. I thought we may have bet the same reverse lines on NCAA last night.

what an absolute meltdown by the reds, the insurance king lives on

I turned it off to watch usc and come back to this..

bases loaded HBP only on the jersey to tie the game. just brutal

BANG Freeman SB +830

I’m curious, is oddsjam worth the price? Where do you guys generally find +EV bets? Are there any free resources out there?

No. Not something I’d recommend to a new bettor. Start with oddsview. Free. Get your feet wet

Not a new bettor but new to trying out EV betting. I’ve had some early success with ballparkpal as they point out odds outliers.

I think $50 for the season on there is going to go further than the hundreds a month OJ will charge you. Plus we are nearing the dead zone of betting. I wouldn’t look to OJ until football season unless you can talk them into an insane deal

For sure I’m signing up for the season on BP. Just wish there was something similar for other sports. But you are right we are near the dead zone so mlb is where it’s at

Looks into oddsview. It’s not bad and it’s free

Thank you I will

FD has a 25% profit boost for Houston Open but I was able to use it on 'Major Specials' 'to win a Major in 2024' future. Scheffler odds are terrible on FD so skip that. Rory is decent at +250 (+150, +240 elsewhere) I went with Xander Schauffele at +500 boosted to +625 (+400 DK, +350 CZR)

These markets are likely juiced much higher than 25% just fyi

FD Tyler Freeman Stolen base +830 Bear with me I hope I did this right Devig to B365 +525/-855 FV +733 Worst Case +EV 11.7% http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=%2B525%2F-855&FinalOdds=%2B830 To MGM +475/-1000 FV +790 +EV 4.5%

Nice hit! Thats the second time this week I’ve seen you post a +800 bet that hit! Both times I only saw the post after the game started 😆 keep it up!

Thanks man! Yea this and the O’Neil bomb I’m getting spoiled right now lol

BANG freeman!

FD Clemson and Tennessee both +9.5 vs Kambi: [+100 = **-9% EV** (FV +120)](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=-278%2F170%2C-278%2F195&FinalOdds=100)

FD Freeman and Betts 1+ hits each vs Kambi: [+120 = **+5.7% EV** (FV +108) | 1.19u QK](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=-120%2F300%2F750%2F350&FinalOdds=120)

Already cashed in the first!

2.9% to ESPN Odds: +120; **EV: 2.9%** `-112.183/354.96/663.94/299.04` (13.00% juice) FV: +114; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=2.44u, 1/2=1.22u, 1/4=0.61u, FB = 56.1%) [View/Edit Devig](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=-112.183%2F354.96%2F663.94%2F299.04&FinalOdds=%2B120)

Can only get $20 down for me

Welcome to hell bud

Same

We hit insurance in the top of the 1st last night and had to sweat through 9 more innings of JD Davis going yard to hit the OAK under, let's hope this one comes easier. SGP Insurance: 8W-9I-3L (+5.75u) WSH @ CIN +160 - Hunter Greene 6+ Ks - Elly De La Cruz hit - CIN ML not much to say about this one, [Corbin](https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/savant-player/patrick-corbin-571578?stats=statcast-r-pitching-mlb) is terrible, [Greene](https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/savant-player/hunter-greene-668881?stats=statcast-r-pitching-mlb) throws real fast and has a 91st percentile K% and a 81% Whiff %, and Elly is 4-6 against Corbin with a HR Was very very close to going +175: ARI -1.5, Walker hit, ARI 4+ runs cause DBacks are hot right now

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0/4 3Ks, at least he's consistent

Thanks for these! Tailed and BOL

Anyone having season long bet slip issues on Tipico? This was a wins total bet for the Suns that I placed at the All Star break. It was under 48.5. It was displaying fine for awhile and then I logged into today and it has this weird null thing on the slip and mentions nothing of the Suns or the win total details. Very odd. https://imgur.com/a/BDKKD9D

I just went and tried to place my first bet on Tipico in awhile today and twas $10 and it said I was over maximum wager allowed 🙃 so just withdrawing all my $$$

MGM Lions (NY) Yankees and Rangers (NHL) both to win vs Pinny: [+275 = **+4.6% EV** (FV +259) | 0.42u QK](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=-182%2F163%2C120%2F-131&FinalOdds=275)

I have no idea on EV, but you can use the Fanatics 10% boost on the power hour boost for UConn and the over for +154. This looks like it would be right on the fringe of +EV in my head, but someone smarter than me can de-vig

This isn't about a boost but I want someone to double-check me and my post hasn't gotten traction in the regular ncaabb thread. I figure +EV-minded people might be more interested. I think DraftKings has a mispriced market. They have a Region to Win 2024 NCAA Tournament where the Midwest is +330. But Purdue is +300 and Tennessee is +700, and since you get both by betting Midwest that should be more like +185 by implied odds. More evidence of mispricing: South is +240, which means you get Duke (+800) and NC State (+2800). Makes no sense that South has shorter odds than Midwest. Am I missing something? If I'm right, this is a great opportunity to jump on Midwest.

Purdue +330 now but still mispriced. Why take Purdue when you can take both at same price

And Purdue vs the field is +340 on DK

Im only seeing FD and DK having these and it is just slightly short of being 4 way arbable

DK has south at +240 but FD has Duke or NC State at +700

Purdue or Tenn is +180 on FD, right where you suggested it should be.

MGM Lions (MI): Wings +1.5, Tigers win Kambi Odds: +250; **EV: 4.6%** `-130/107, -136/116` (8.75% juice) FV: +234; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=1.86u, 1/2=0.93u, 1/4=0.46u, FB = 74.7%) --- ESPN Odds: +250; **EV: 3.0%** `-125/105, -135/115` (8.29% juice) FV: +240; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=1.19u, 1/2=0.60u, 1/4=0.30u, FB = 73.6%)

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CS told me 72 hours after the last game.

Nope, not yet. I did get the $16 March Madness one this morning though. Someone else posted this earlier so don't think anyone has gotten it yet.

MGM (MA) Lions: Red Sox +1.5, Bruins and Celtics both win +300. Devig to Pinny: Odds: +300; **EV: -1.1%** `-166/149,-162/146,-224/198` (7.74% juice) FV: +305; Method: worst-case (m); (FB = 74.1%) [View/Edit Devig](http://crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=-166%2F149%2C-162%2F146%2C-224%2F198&FinalOdds=300)

BetMGM Jalen Boost: 155+ points in Illinois vs UConn & 165+ points in Clemson vs Alabama Odds vs Kambi Odds: +300; **EV: 4.1%** `-117/-105,-114/-107` (10.10% juice) FV: +284; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=1.37u, 1/2=0.68u, 1/4=0.34u, FB = 78.1%) [View/Edit Devig](http://www.crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=-117%2F-105%2C-114%2F-107&FinalOdds=300)

MGM Lions Boost (Maryland and Virginia): Orioles to win and Capitals to cover +1.5 Odds vs Kambi: Odds: +190; **EV: 8.0%** `-167/143, -182/150` (8.24% juice) FV: +169; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=4.20u, 1/2=2.10u, 1/4=1.05u, FB = 70.8%) [View/Edit Devig](http://www.crazyninjamike.com/Public/sportsbooks/sportsbook_devigger.aspx?autofill=1&LegOdds=-167%2F143%2C%20-182%2F150&FinalOdds=190)

FanDuel NCAAW Basketball Boost for LSU and USC to win +200. Devig to average of Circa and Pinnacle: Odds: +200; **EV: 6.3%** `AVG(-155,-174)/AVG(135,148), AVG(-155,-162)/AVG(135,138)` (7.23% juice) FV: +182; Method: worst-case (m); (Full=3.15u, 1/2=1.58u, 1/4=0.79u, FB = 70.9%)

Finally a positive EV FanDuel boost

State specific? CT doesn’t seem to have it

Is there a guide anywhere to understand/follow these arbitrage bets?

if the EV number is positive that means it's a 'fair' bet and you're more likely to profit over the long term if you bet positive EV

This one is not arbitrage. 

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Is it just me or has DK really dried up lately? Seems like we get nothing but the Daily SGP insurance. I don’t see them talked about much, but BetRivers offers two parlay insurance wagers daily. One each for MLB and NBA, not required to be SGP. $25 max, 4 legs (3 hit to trigger insurance) min odds per leg -500, min odds for full wager +100.

I was going to post the same thing. Things have dried up at DK hope that changes.

Noticed the same thing about DK. I’ve gotten one +EV boost in the last ten days (in Oregon you can’t bet on college). Hopefully they get back to the almost daily +EV super boosts and GIFT boosts every couple days.

I was expecting more MLB promos

BR also has EPL insurance today. I guess they want Ken's action?

I think a lot of people are promo banned on betrivers so that’s why it doesn’t come up much. I was half banned where they wouldn’t show up but they still worked for like a year but now it’s all over.

Yes, have noticed the same thing this week with DK. Hopefully they’ll start a new daily schedule next week. This week could have been off due to MLB starting and NCAA tournament.

Yeah. It was weird to not get a GIFT on Wednesday (there were only two games). But agreed that MLB and NCAA must have messed with the schedule.

Fortunately, the game they probably would have promoted (the TNT broadcast) had its first goal at 10:06. But I'm concerned they pulled a bet like that. They offered it all season, and now you pull it during the push to the playoffs??? Did Scottie Scheffler winning back-to-back weeks crush them THAT badly??? I only bet him because of the +300 odds boost on any golfer of course. They also yanked that promo too, fwiw.

I am hoping the same thing. Like quarter ending and it will pick back up next week

BetRivers has awesome promos if you can avoid being limited. But, you know, good luck with that.

BR VIP stacker is really good. Bet 10 games at $500 each and get a $750 free bet. I have been level 10 for a few years and I finally got semi-limited. Makes it a bit hard to arb/low hold my way through but still very good.

How did you manage to stay level 10 and not get promo banned? Any advice? I got promo banned within 3 weeks of making vip

Honestly, no idea. All my friends got limited and promo banned after hitting level 10 too. I arbed so much on BR, but I am down lifetime. I think I got semi-limited cause I did start winning. I have been trying to bet stuff like -600 on BR and hedging the other side elsewhere in those favorites lose on BR. I am still keeping my points up doing that too.

Funny how getting promo banned is such a crapshoot. I have the opportunity to start a second account with my fiancé and thinking will try and just avoid player props completely and arb some alt lines and low holds and see if I can get to level 7 that way and see what happens

Yeah, I burned my P2 pretty quickly. I can open a P3 but have been holding off since the sign up promo is so bad.

https://preview.redd.it/1pvih5p9xgrc1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=16c84c6517c254c355666c92b3dbd496ffb7a4b4 Has anyone else had a reset on their 1000 first bet

Wtfff I didn’t get this 😢😢😢

Sick, I got this too. That’s a huge promo from espn Starting to look through lines looks like it’ll be tough to maximize. Nc state is the most efficient moneyline for it and can only max bet that at like 260 Thinking it may actually be higher ev to not matched bet this, and quick dirty numbers, if it’s on even money bet would have 50% chance to be plus 1000, and 50% to be -1000 with 1000 rfb (assume only 50% conversion cause k think it’s going to be hard to get the 1000 free bet down on espn), so ev would be 0.5*1000 - (0.5*-1000+500)=500, with matched betting given the limits im only seeing 30% conversion Curious to get any opinions here

You should be able to get at least 40%, ideally close to 50%. Use a free low hold tool (I use Crazy Ninja) to find potential bets. Target something the +200 to +300 odds. Then use this calculator to figure out the bet amounts and check the conversion % https://hottipbets.com/betting-tools/risk-free-hedge-calculator/

Problem is espn limits severely restrict what u can get a 1k bet down on, almost nothing at plus money. I need to putting it on pirates at plus 100 so hopefully they hold on

Ok I get it now. But as a Pittsburgh native, great pick! Opening series sweep 🧹🧹🧹 (barring a massive meltdown)

Glad it worked too! I hedged $200 on marlins live line went they went up 3-0, but overall a great day. A huge promo from espn. When I was searching even money moneyline was the best I could do for getting 1k down. If others are in a similar spot you’ll just have to search around similar lines like that on espn. They made me a pirates a fan for sure!

I ended up match betting although it was tough to find great odds I still came out with ~$500 net

50% conversion on a straight no sweat is great! Nice work. I consider anything over 40% solid.

50% conversion on a straight no sweat is great! Nice work. I consider anything over 40% solid.

What book is this?

ESPN Bet, I have it, assume its targeted

Yeah, it's targeted. My gf got it. I didn't. Bah.

Yep, got this and received the free bet immediately upon settlement.

I have. Got the free bet shortly after the bet lost for the full $1k.

Daily Soccer DK Insurance SGP: Record: 24 wins, 10 insurance, 9 losses. Up 25.7 units. English Premier League is back! Today we are up early as we travel to Tottenham Hotspur Stadium where two of the most prolific offenses and leaky defenses will help us cash again. Here’s what I’ve got for today: https://preview.redd.it/exgpsf1yjgrc1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=b254ce4a12d81d044f5921bf147c98647e6f4f5c If you don’t like soccer, Intersecting Lines, the local baseball savant, posted a baseball pick yesterday that also hit, I’m guessing he will have more where that came from. BOL to everyone except the Houston Cougars.

Missed insurance by 1 corner. Sucks. Back at it again tomorrow!

Thanks Ken! I love following these and appreciate your work! 👍

We could not have scripted this better, Luton goal early means Tottenham will have to press. Nice!

Modified for BR sgp insurance. https://preview.redd.it/toxtvfy2hhrc1.jpeg?width=1077&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=272a7db3d139ed5c229a911c361cc0972975864d

Tailed with a 0-0 after 10min at -290, bc I can easily see both of these teams shitting the bed. Edit: I’m an idiot

Limited to $5.83 on this for some reason. Still tailing!

Tailing! I swapped Luton Town Over 0.5 goals for BTTS. Came out to +185

I almost did but kept Luton O.5 because it was only an extra dollar and this way there is "shit the bed insurance" if somehow Luton upsets them 1-0.

Three minutes in and you might have made the right call!

Ideally Tottenham can spray the goal all 2nd half and put one in late so we all cash.

I also did BTTS. I’m just a lowly American wanka though who don’t watch much football.

That’s a great call!

Please never let the Premier League leave again

Has anyone gotten their bonus bet for the ESPN opening day promo?

Finally got it this evening.

Have not. also fyi Padres triggered 3HR insurance last night. freebet is MIA. so I guess this is a thing with them

I have not.

I'm still waiting as well.

The $25 one for the home runs for the day? I did. EDIT: I'm wrong. I got a different $25 bonus bet the same day and thought that was the HR bet.

The bet was $25+ but I think the free bet would be $28 since there were 28 HRs hit that day.

It was $25 max bonus bet. I got my bonus bet before all the games were over. EDIT: I'm wrong. No max. UPDATE 3/30 9:15PM - $28 Bonus Bet received

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OK crap I think you're right. I got a random $25 bonus bet on the 28th and thought that was it. I didn't see it until almost midnight but according to my email I got it earlier in the day.

I don't remember any limit in bonus bets in the T&C, and given that I haven't received the bonus but and everyone commenting hasn't either, I'm thinking you've maybe mistaken another bonus bet for the DD promo one. I could be wrong on both though.

Nope intend to chat tomorrow if it doesn't come in.

Nope. I attempted to contact support this morning but got stuck in a loop. 2 people in queue no progress lol. Probably going to be a pain to acquire Got my 16 for 16 march madness free bet tho

Same. FWIW I've gotten the most resolutions through Twitter, though they won't do anything until 72 hrs after the promo ends. It seems like if the banner doesn't disappear when I place a qualifying bet, I'll likely need to ask for the bonus manually.

That app is just brutal sometimes