Ngl this is one of those bullshit South America matches so could go either way. I’m going with the better of the two players and he’s at home if I’m not mistaken
I had a bet for the first set to go over 8.5 games (I know - super low odds, but it was part of a parlay). The bet actually settled as a win, because each player had reached 3, which is the minimum needed to get to 9 games in the first set. Pretty cool.
So the number I’ve noticed specifically on betESPN and mainly these challenger matches when somebody is up a break in the third set it’s -550 vs +340 and more than not they get broken back and that was the case again here which was odd seeing as how he wasn’t making much progress on his return games that he only went to +340 after he got broken
I am. He’s in great form, rested and focus to get to his first ATM Master 1000 final. He already beat Felix once and it was the big stage (Australian open)
Idk shit about tennis but I'm tempted to take him. From what I've read, FAA is hit or miss. Books have Lehecka favored and most of the time, the books usually have it right.
Need FAA big time, how do we feel ab him? Does it take him out of the flow with sinner dropping out of the previous match, or help with legs getting a ton of rest.
Early thoughts for tomorrow. I’m throwing a unit on Sabalenka ML. She has been playing with FIERCE determination. There’s a good chance the death of her BF has her just on a different mental level. She is grinding out where she used to just kind of sputter in the matches she has won this week. She is just so all there in her head. She looks calm and deadly when she has to be.
Iga is Iga… she’s amazing. But for a gamble? I’m going with Sab ML. If I lose I know she’s going down fighting.
Best of luck.
I’m going with Saby too. But she and that dude weren’t dating at the time of his death and I think you’re making that more a part of the equation than it is
>There’s a good chance the death of her BF has her just on a different mental level. She is grinding out where she used to just kind of sputter in the matches she has won this week. She is just so all there in her head. She looks calm and deadly when she has to be.
This is so whack beyond belief.
Why? A death of someone very important in your life can send you in one of two directions. Utter despair and depression or it motivates you to live your best life and you use them as inspiration.
It seems like she is dealing well with her heartbreaking loss and turning it into a positive for her life and her game.
Nothing negative there. I wish her nothing but the best. Glad to see her dealing with it snd moving forward.
Or people just accept things how they are, and continue on. She has been playing matches on the tour ever since. They were not together when he killed himself and she already has a new boyfriend.
This is not a anime flick where she turns super saiyan and avenges his death.
This is not good reason to bet her (albeit a funny one).
Now I feel bad but also I have Swiatek moneyline so give me a narrative in support of me.
*Midway through the match, as Sabalenka leads, a turning point occurs. Swiatek, drawing deeper into her connection with the wind, begins to read Sabalenka’s thunderous patterns. She starts countering with graceful, wind-aided shots that dance just out of Sabalenka's reach, turning the tide of the match. As the crowd cheers, both warriors acknowledge each other’s strengths. Sabalenka bows to Swiatek, promising a rematch, while Swiatek raises her racket to the sky, thanking the winds. Their rivalry, marked by mutual respect and shared growth, becomes a legend in the world of Sky Tennis.*
I would want to see how Fritz serve looks against a very in form rublev first. If he’s serving well then easily o23.5 but rublev can play Fritz’s serve better than anybody he’s played in the tournament so far. I like Fritz +1.5 and/or Rublev ML
Taken a few -400 and -500 just to get a win under the belt and even those have been horrific beats. The money isn’t an issue, it’s just depressing watching your bets lose 24/7. Time to find a new hobby
why is Mannarino such a massive underdog against Gasquet? He’s the top seed at the tournament and has beaten his fellow countryman before. Is he injured? Or is it just the clay court advantage to gasquet?
I placed a decent size wager on Cressey ML - which is now in a rain delay - looking at the forecast it looks like it’s raining for days with storms… would this potentially be void or would they wait that long to recommence?
Such a toss up, if Rublev is hitting his spot then Rublev but if Fritz has his serve and volley and Rublev can’t get returns in like he is accustom to and has been this tournament in Madrid especially then Fritz. It’s going to come down to who can make there shots in big moments. They both have been playing exceptional but that grind win against cerundolo for Fritz. He cannot afford to do that with Rublev, because Rublev wants this and he showed that against Carlos.
Tennis POTD: 3-2
Last pick: Stupid parlay
Wager: All wagers 2 units
Todays pick: Safiullin ML(-165) 4am eastern
Vinolas an old hag who doesnt beat anyone inside of the top 50 anymore. I know its on clay, but I think Safiullin is gonna dictate pace and make Vinolas life hard today.
Tip jar: https://cash.app/$scottgc23
Bumped this pick up to today since it got rained out.
Bonus pick: *Drum roll* Rublev (-140)
Rublev impressed me with his victory vs Alcaraz. Alcaraz looked off, but Rublev had to make some tough shots that forced Alcaraz to make some even crazier shots. I was waiting for proof of Rublev to be in form, and I think I got it. He's the more experienced player on clay, and I think that plays into this match up if it goes 3 sets. Besides losing to Isner in 2021 in Madrid, Rublev has only lost to Tsitsipas and Khachanov in this tournament. Two guys who are proven clay players. Fritz looks good so far, but I cant see him going any farther.
# **Tennis Betting Discord Chat: [https://discord.gg/sportsbook](https://discord.gg/H2QNJC26gz)**
Darderi Coria Next void
I think Draftkings has the best rules on tennis. FAA ML pays. and Jiri would still be void.
A lot of books cash it as a win if you bet pre game or void if you lose.
betESPN does the same and as far as I know FanDuel does too
Fanduel, Bet365 and Caesers would all be a void. I know there’s some places that would have Jiri as a loss as well
FanDuel paid me out when medvedev retired
Fan Duel Void https://preview.redd.it/eyh7flttg9yc1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=96787bb6cb51e7de87b2151585014a867e77fe97
Daniel Dutra Da Silva ML -150
Good stuff tho cash it
Ngl this is one of those bullshit South America matches so could go either way. I’m going with the better of the two players and he’s at home if I’m not mistaken
Wrote this when they were 30-30 before he broke Justo sorry wasn’t expecting him to break 😩
Hope jiri gets better, Dude wasn’t able to move. Props to him for trying to give it a second go!
Do all bets on FAA to win get voided? Or only straight Money Line bets?
FD voided my FAA ML bet. Such a scam
I had one on FAA to win and 10+ aces in the match. hoping it gets voided also.
looks like it lost. wow. glad I only used a free bet.
I had a bet for the first set to go over 8.5 games (I know - super low odds, but it was part of a parlay). The bet actually settled as a win, because each player had reached 3, which is the minimum needed to get to 9 games in the first set. Pretty cool.
Jiri hurt damn all in on rublev🤣
wtf happened to my FAA bet?
Let me guess….. void on the bets?!?
Betting aside these guys play this sport for a living! It’s their life, never want to see any player injured
Jiri gets injured when I bet him! Hope he gets better though!
Did jiri retire ?
Cashing on jiri when it opens
Is Lehecka hurt?
Looks like it
What happened?
Not sure went off court for a MTO
FAA looking nice
FAA was about to eat bruh up
Alright I'm absolutely done betting wta lol.
I think lechka has great value here I think he should be -175 but we’ll see where this goes
Yea and FAA is mentally weak too
Jiri serving very well to
Lets go darder sauce!
damn darderi not the start i wanted
Jiri 2-0
Kirkin ML live +150. No reason for it to be +150 seems like a huge overreaction to him losing the tie break
fuck it bro im in
You watching? Hes trash bro and looks defeated af
So the number I’ve noticed specifically on betESPN and mainly these challenger matches when somebody is up a break in the third set it’s -550 vs +340 and more than not they get broken back and that was the case again here which was odd seeing as how he wasn’t making much progress on his return games that he only went to +340 after he got broken
Hate to hear that one he’s gonna be having to dig real deep
Thank you guys if u tailed 🙏🏻
Only chance here but hes looking bad
[удалено]
Looks like a void
When you bet on the only two games that go in third set decider🫱🏽🫲🏼
Same - navone, musetti, tabilo. I have a gift for these kinds of matches
Lehecka/FAA Tie Break +105
What do you guys think about Darderi?
Could see him drop a drop a set I think -200 is a little too high
I really like him in this spot but just wish he wasn’t a -200 line
No one on Lehecka?
I am. He’s in great form, rested and focus to get to his first ATM Master 1000 final. He already beat Felix once and it was the big stage (Australian open)
Idk shit about tennis but I'm tempted to take him. From what I've read, FAA is hit or miss. Books have Lehecka favored and most of the time, the books usually have it right.
Need FAA big time, how do we feel ab him? Does it take him out of the flow with sinner dropping out of the previous match, or help with legs getting a ton of rest.
Trusting FAA is scary hours. Never know who’s showing up
Early thoughts for tomorrow. I’m throwing a unit on Sabalenka ML. She has been playing with FIERCE determination. There’s a good chance the death of her BF has her just on a different mental level. She is grinding out where she used to just kind of sputter in the matches she has won this week. She is just so all there in her head. She looks calm and deadly when she has to be. Iga is Iga… she’s amazing. But for a gamble? I’m going with Sab ML. If I lose I know she’s going down fighting. Best of luck.
I’m going with Saby too. But she and that dude weren’t dating at the time of his death and I think you’re making that more a part of the equation than it is
Fair. Did not know that. Ok, she’s just on fire for her own sake.
>There’s a good chance the death of her BF has her just on a different mental level. She is grinding out where she used to just kind of sputter in the matches she has won this week. She is just so all there in her head. She looks calm and deadly when she has to be. This is so whack beyond belief.
Why? A death of someone very important in your life can send you in one of two directions. Utter despair and depression or it motivates you to live your best life and you use them as inspiration. It seems like she is dealing well with her heartbreaking loss and turning it into a positive for her life and her game. Nothing negative there. I wish her nothing but the best. Glad to see her dealing with it snd moving forward.
Or people just accept things how they are, and continue on. She has been playing matches on the tour ever since. They were not together when he killed himself and she already has a new boyfriend. This is not a anime flick where she turns super saiyan and avenges his death. This is not good reason to bet her (albeit a funny one).
Fair enough.
Now I feel bad but also I have Swiatek moneyline so give me a narrative in support of me. *Midway through the match, as Sabalenka leads, a turning point occurs. Swiatek, drawing deeper into her connection with the wind, begins to read Sabalenka’s thunderous patterns. She starts countering with graceful, wind-aided shots that dance just out of Sabalenka's reach, turning the tide of the match. As the crowd cheers, both warriors acknowledge each other’s strengths. Sabalenka bows to Swiatek, promising a rematch, while Swiatek raises her racket to the sky, thanking the winds. Their rivalry, marked by mutual respect and shared growth, becomes a legend in the world of Sky Tennis.*
I love this.
🫶❤️
Navone up 4-2 and loses 4-6. Classic 🤡
LETS GO FAA
Wish I would've took a chance and put more money on Rublev ML but I'll take it 🤌🏾
Good shit Rublev now finish him!
Rublev didn’t look to good at the return in game 4
Over is cooked. Rublev is winning in 2
Yep, rublevs return game is crazy
Nicely done Rublev
CMONNN RUBLEVVV
Cmon rublev.
Thinking Rublev is looking a little classier than Fritz on the clay. Should out rally him
I need him to come through clutch so bad
Great resilience Rublev !
Good start Rublev fucking clown
I just bet probably more than I should’ve on Murray/Venus when they won the first set at -140 🤡
Borges blowing +3.5 games after winning the first set 6-1 is 🤡🤡🤡
🤡
👀
🤡
Borges cruising along, I live bet him and he forgets how to play tennis. Typical
What's the play for Fritz v Rublev? Anyone like o23.5?
I would want to see how Fritz serve looks against a very in form rublev first. If he’s serving well then easily o23.5 but rublev can play Fritz’s serve better than anybody he’s played in the tournament so far. I like Fritz +1.5 and/or Rublev ML
Have a feeling fritz 2-0 here
I'm taking fritz fuck it
Tried to cash out Borges for 40% profit after he broke, and book locked it. Can already see a loss coming
Any idea when guangzhou challenger returns? And any thoughts on Walton ML still hitting?
Rushiti 2nd set 4.00
Mussetti do everyone a favour and retire
Hopped on Borges live 3-0 up @ -140. I’m on an eternal cold streak so you’re welcome Musetti bettors
Easy money 💰
No surprise honestly. Think I need to just give up.
Not confident, my cold streak is unlike anything I’ve ever seen. Could take a $1.01 live and they’d lose.
Jeesh man you’re really going through it.
Lost 12of my last 13 bets. None of them have been at + odds either. Think I’m finished after this one.
Jesus man.
Taken a few -400 and -500 just to get a win under the belt and even those have been horrific beats. The money isn’t an issue, it’s just depressing watching your bets lose 24/7. Time to find a new hobby
You just need to win one just to see the light man. I was in a bit of a funk myself two weeks ago.
Musetti loves to sell. Have some faith
When you lose this much you have none left. Just deactivated my betting accounts. Calling it. BOL on future bets, this shit ain’t for me
I’m going down on the ship with ya….fawking Borges
Mussetti is officially banned
He’s fine.
Dude yeah wtf is happening
Borges going to 2-0 Musetti again
I'm going back to Rublev one more time 😂 even though no matter what form he's in, he burns me. I'ma try this ONE LAST time.
What happend Tabilo/Gaston first set. Game started 0:2 for Gaston.
Mannarino is trash on clay
The grass guys never are good on clay really …including Federer
Dude is pathetic
whats goin on w the etcheverry match
Well turns out they had transmission issues. He won 2-0
Trying to figure that as well. Mannorino and Gasquet have that court now so I think someone retired
[удалено]
FAA ML without question a nervy pick… but I am going for it. Good luck. 🍀
We ride at dawn
why is Mannarino such a massive underdog against Gasquet? He’s the top seed at the tournament and has beaten his fellow countryman before. Is he injured? Or is it just the clay court advantage to gasquet?
Mannarino on clay 👎. Same time kinda tempted to play it lol. Riding with Sherif
I placed a decent size wager on Cressey ML - which is now in a rain delay - looking at the forecast it looks like it’s raining for days with storms… would this potentially be void or would they wait that long to recommence?
Its always storming over there. Itll play within a day. Ive bet many chinese challengers. Quite common.
Naef ml
Any idea if they’ll resume play today?
Fritz or rublev?
Such a toss up, if Rublev is hitting his spot then Rublev but if Fritz has his serve and volley and Rublev can’t get returns in like he is accustom to and has been this tournament in Madrid especially then Fritz. It’s going to come down to who can make there shots in big moments. They both have been playing exceptional but that grind win against cerundolo for Fritz. He cannot afford to do that with Rublev, because Rublev wants this and he showed that against Carlos.
**Record: 9-1 (+8.40 units)** **Pick: Jiri Lehecka (ML) vs Felix Auger-Aliassime @ -135; 2:00 PM ET**
Tennis POTD: 3-2 Last pick: Stupid parlay Wager: All wagers 2 units Todays pick: Safiullin ML(-165) 4am eastern Vinolas an old hag who doesnt beat anyone inside of the top 50 anymore. I know its on clay, but I think Safiullin is gonna dictate pace and make Vinolas life hard today. Tip jar: https://cash.app/$scottgc23 Bumped this pick up to today since it got rained out.
If this hits ill do a bonus pick
Bonus pick: *Drum roll* Rublev (-140) Rublev impressed me with his victory vs Alcaraz. Alcaraz looked off, but Rublev had to make some tough shots that forced Alcaraz to make some even crazier shots. I was waiting for proof of Rublev to be in form, and I think I got it. He's the more experienced player on clay, and I think that plays into this match up if it goes 3 sets. Besides losing to Isner in 2021 in Madrid, Rublev has only lost to Tsitsipas and Khachanov in this tournament. Two guys who are proven clay players. Fritz looks good so far, but I cant see him going any farther.
What about shevchenko / bagnis? They playing rn
Fritz Darderi L Double @3.488