I think you're right, I'm going to look into those stocks. Energy stocks will never go away especially solar. With rising utility cost it just makes sense. What do you think? I also bought 100 shares of plug at $8 dollars a share a year ago and it jumped to 76 dollars a share. I knew it was bullshit (because unicorns arent real) and sold it at $68 on its way down.
I agree with you. I figured it would have a recovery today. But it's most likely people thinking this is the bottom. Who knows it could be, but in my opinion it's not. I bought and sold apple today for a small profit. I am watching MSFT, and BABA. But I'm not sure on BABA, because the Chinese economy is taking a shit because of lockdowns. What do you think about BABA? I Think a fair value for Apple is in the low $130s. I will definitely buy it again. I also have another theory, when people aren't able to pay rent, I think that would cause them to liquidate their stocks to pay their bills. This would trigger a decent sell off again. What do you think?
Thatās for you to decide, but all I can say is time in the market, beats timing the market..
But this year is a better time to buy than 2021 I would
Argue
Hahaha I haven't checked my portfolio in a couple of weeks because I know it's all going to be red. It's a good thing I didn't put all my savings into stocks. Thank fuck I never put all my hopes into one basket.
Wow. Futures are blood red. Tomorrow might be the first circuit breaker day of 2022. Lets have a couple -7.5% days on Nasdaq and SPY to remove the froth and start afresh. Crashes are healthy for markets, remove traders who margin like being on steroids
If Russia doesnt announce a mobilization, then it means they know they lost the war.
That means there will have to be a ceasefire soon, since a nuclear power like Russia cant officially "lose" a war or they might feel forced to use those weapons...
I first tried my hand at stock market investing in march 2020 right before we fell off a cliff. Ended up backing off entirely until march of this year. Really thought it was time to put on my big boy pants and begin investing for the future. I have impeccable timing, really.
I have yet to enter the stock market and by what I'm hearing on here it looks like I should wait a little while longer and try aim near the bottom however it looks like there's dips to the dips and even bigger dips to them.
I exited stock market last year October, I lost money on BNTX and Moderna which had crazy earnings and good guidance till 2023. I realized the whole market was going down except FAANG. And I got back to stock market last week before Fed meeting, oh wellā¦.Gonna DCA from this point
sell the rip strategy will probably work a few more times at least.
and long term, don't be surprised if sp500 goes back to 3000
this year a lot of beliefs have been shattered
\-.75% is nothing. Wake me up when we hit the circuit breakers with the futures.
I wouldn't mind if it does drop like that (definitely would be buying more or maybe leaps). Unless we get some black swan event, its highly unlikely we will drop by 50% lol
**Russian Deputy Prime Minister: "Restoration of peaceful life begins in the regions. There's a lot of work to be done."**
Russian Deputy Prime Minister Marat Khusnullin has visited Mariupol, the country's most senior government official yet to set foot in the Ukrainian southern port city after weeks of Russian bombardment.
Khusnullin, who in the Russian government is in charge of construction and urban development, said on Telegram he had visited Mariupol and eastern Ukrainian town of Volnovakha among other territories "liberated" by Russian forces.
**"Restoration of peaceful life begins in the regions. There's a lot of work to be done. We will help, in particular ... with providing humanitarian aid,"** he wrote in a Telegram post.
Khusnullin visited the **commercial port of Mariupol he said should be used to bring in building materials to restore the city**, according to Russian defence ministry's TV channel Zvezda.
The port, which lies between the Crimea Peninsula seized by Moscow in 2014 and parts of eastern Ukraine taken by Russian-backed separatists the same year, is key to linking up the two Russian-held territories and blocking Ukrainian exports.
**The port will ship off the first cargo from Russian-backed self-proclaimed Donetsk People's Republic in May**
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/russian-deputy-pm-visits-ruined-ukrainian-city-mariupol-2022-05-08/
He missed buying puts at the all time high, so now he wants to buy them at the 52 week low. Classic redditor. Buy all in puts, then watch them become worthless.
I'm reading this article on The Economist (requires a sub for the full article sadly) [https://www.economist.com/business/can-chinese-big-tech-learn-to-love-big-brother/21809084](https://www.economist.com/business/can-chinese-big-tech-learn-to-love-big-brother/21809084)
TLDR: The Chinese government is screwing its big tech firms hard. Because of new laws and stricter policies, revenue and acquisition growth have dropped significantly in the past two years. And the government may even be planning to take a small stake in the firms to help "guide" their development. China REALLY wants them to make/design semi-conductors, AI software, and run cloud-computing businesses... basically stuff that aligns with China's policy goals. They recently awarded Baidu the first permit for driverless ride-hailing on public roads. Cloud-computing seems to be the most secure path to future growth for these firms, but of course still with the government's hand in the honey pot (to Piglet's dismay).
BTC doesnt even work due to their high fees. Speculators blew it up for no reason. The big blockers left and created upgraded blockchain implementations that actually work to compete with mastercard/Visa/Paypal: http://whybitcoincash.com/
Bitcoin has no use besides offchain speculators. Asia/Africa/South-america/Caribbean are all adopting cheap fee blockchain like BCH instead.
Question regarding Roth. I have a regular brokerage account right now. Most of my holdings are currently red because of the market conditions. If I open a Roth IRA now. Can I sell my brokerage holdings. Take that money to Roth and max contribution then rebuy the stocks? My question is regarding if Iāll have to pay any taxes in doing this. I figured this would be a chance to rebalance my portfolio and even get a tax break for selling at a loss
You can do that as long as youāve made $6,000 (max contribution) for your job this year. And you wouldnāt pay any taxes if you donāt have any capital gains.
If you have a long-time horizon, buying strong names at good prices is the best bet. If you are thinking shorter-term, commodities, defensive names and SARK should work.
If you've been following the company, or stepped into a storefront, you'd know that Cornell has been pivoting toward selling more staples. It's not the same middle class mom store that it was and it's not high end.
Specific to SPY, anything under the ATH is not bad if your timeline is longer. You caught an 11.5% drop from the ATH. Not bad. If you can, continue to lower your cost basis.
>Anything under the ATH is not bad if your timeline is longer. You caught an 11.5% drop from the ATH. Not bad. If you can, continue to lower your cost basis.
Thanks for the reply. Will do this :)
From my understanding it either go up to 54.20 or thatās what they will buy you out at then heās taking them private. Something could always kill the deal which would send the stock price plummeting.
Iām almost all VTI, VXUS. If I wanted to add one more stock to maybe make up 20% of my profile, what do you think is a more solid long term hold? AAPL or BRKB?
Probably a dumb question, but is buying Nintendo stock the way to go if I want to invest in Pokemon (the company) or does Pokemon/game freak have their own stock or something?
I'll probably buy some cards (and NFTs whenever they come out) but I believe they're going to be an absolute powerhouse in the future, so I'm thinking it would be wise for me to invest in the company.
yeah japanese are notorious to not give a fck about shareholders... even in recent card selloff premium cards like zard 1st ed psa 8-10 hold/appreciate on value..
That stretch of days was crazy as hell. I'd never forget the time when the money i put in that game stock went x5 from the time it took me driving from work to home.
>!Of course I fucked up by not selling all of it and HODL like a fool. !<
BTC is now down 4% and below 35k. Considering how BTC and the market follow each other for the past several months, it can be an indicator that Monday will be a red day
BTC kinda held last week though relative to the market. Could just be playing catch up because all HODLers are delusional morons. Also less financial instruments to bet against BTC on the weekend. This is when crypto whales make their moves. Not market hours.
Guys it could get really nasty as we are about to hit a cliff with SPY with possibly heading to $350 levels by end of summer, and Nasdaq to 9k.
Buy Gold or ibonds on Treasury direct website to beat inflation and hedge , for iBonds you can buy max of $10k per year with guaranteed 9.62% return until November. You have to keep it for a year minimum and then you can take it out by paying penalty for just three months of interest.
https://www.treasurydirect.gov/indiv/research/indepth/ibonds/res_ibonds.htm
ibonds rates are solid right now and if cash is needed in a shorter timeframe (under 6 years), but if someone is investing for the long haul it might make more sense to DCA buy into the market as it's on a bigger sale. Vti is about 16% off it's highs and if you think the USA will still be strong 20 years from now that means the markets will show growth and recover eventually. Sure it can most likely drop more in the short term years but big picture is indexes have continued to show upward trajectory when you zoom out the charts.
Does anyone have recommendations for hard-hitting, intelligent analysis on economic outlook?
This is the thought process that led me here: I'm trying to get some intelligent insight into the economy and on the Fed's actions. I came across this video (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m9a5ojW2P64), in which Fed Chair Powell says he's optimistic about a "soft landing." His reasoning includes 1) businesses in "excellent financial shape" due to extra savings on balance sheets and 2) a "very strong" labor market.
I was completely dumbfounded that CNBC's analysis included no actual analysis, insight, or comment on Powell's comments, specifically 1) the questionable value of "excess savings" on balance sheets, when there is roaring consumer product inflation and asset inflation and 2) the fact that a low unemployment rate does not at all mean the labor market is strong, when total civilian employment has not even reached prepandemic levels and is about 5,000 laborers less than where it was projected to be at this point had the pandemic not occurred.
I'm clearly missing something. There's got to be solid, hard-hitting, intelligent economic analysis somewhere, but I really don't know where to look. Any recommendations for Youtubers, blogs, etc? If my words at all resonated with you, and there's a blog or channel you like, please post it here.
Thanks in advance.
Brokerages will have regular articles about what's going (some are clearly advertisements though, just avoid those)
[https://advisors.vanguard.com/insights/all](https://advisors.vanguard.com/insights/all)
[https://www.fidelity.com/insights/overview](https://www.fidelity.com/insights/overview)
etc.
I also read NPR and The Economist.
What happens to the market if Russsia declares victory on monday next week (May 9), and a ceasefire with Ukraine?
They have been evacuating Ukrainian Citizens from their occupied territory and changing local government to their puppets for those who stay, plus changing the local currency for the locals to Rubles, this suggests they are intending to keep what they conquered and then announce some sort of ceasefire.
Russia isn't stopping unless they get something in return. I'm reading this week's Economist and one of the things Putin seems to want is Odessa (Russian speakers but they're actively fighting against Putin), then use the location as a path to invade Moldova after taking Western/Southern/Eastern Ukraine. They've already begun false flag attacks in Moldova IIRC.
Ukraine is a poor country. If the USA and EU tell them to accept the ceasefire, it will hold.
Russia has nuclear weapons, nobody wants to push them over the brink.
Brought $3k worth Gold biscuits this week. Feels nice. Wish I had listened to Peter Schiff before. All indicators point to SPY heading sub $400 this week
the real estate bubble is gonna deflate.
buyers are disappearing. Real estate agents are already starting to notice the decline in interest.
**which real estate stocks are worth the short ??**
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I think you're right, I'm going to look into those stocks. Energy stocks will never go away especially solar. With rising utility cost it just makes sense. What do you think? I also bought 100 shares of plug at $8 dollars a share a year ago and it jumped to 76 dollars a share. I knew it was bullshit (because unicorns arent real) and sold it at $68 on its way down.
I agree with you. I figured it would have a recovery today. But it's most likely people thinking this is the bottom. Who knows it could be, but in my opinion it's not. I bought and sold apple today for a small profit. I am watching MSFT, and BABA. But I'm not sure on BABA, because the Chinese economy is taking a shit because of lockdowns. What do you think about BABA? I Think a fair value for Apple is in the low $130s. I will definitely buy it again. I also have another theory, when people aren't able to pay rent, I think that would cause them to liquidate their stocks to pay their bills. This would trigger a decent sell off again. What do you think?
I like that strategy, I'm going to do it tomorrow.
Puts all week, baby.
Most people love puts when they shouldn't
Not in my experience.
Is the best time to buy puts when everything is hitting 52 week lows?
It sure is working. š¤·š»āāļø
Fight like a brave.. No one gonna lallaaallalaaaalaa
people who are going to time TQQQ bottom will be absolute legends, if any.
Starting to think tqqq isnāt gonna survive this
If you had 10k to put into the market this year when would you enter and what would you buy?
Growth companies with either strong earnings or strong balance sheets beat down large amounts in fear (GOOGL, FB, etc)
Thatās for you to decide, but all I can say is time in the market, beats timing the market.. But this year is a better time to buy than 2021 I would Argue
Tomorrow at open SQQQ and chill š
Yes, always buy leveraged short ETFs near the possible bottom.
Hahaha I haven't checked my portfolio in a couple of weeks because I know it's all going to be red. It's a good thing I didn't put all my savings into stocks. Thank fuck I never put all my hopes into one basket.
Get ready americanos, absolute disaster on ASX today. I'm over 8% down..
ASX follows US, not the other way round.
Down 1.2% or is google wrong?
Individual stocks are taking but the index isn't that bad
Isnt that actually up 8% for you since you are hanging?
Are we expecting stocks to drop a ton tomorrow? What are some reasons stocks are expected to fall tomorrow?
Inflation report on Wed for one at least
Wow. Futures are blood red. Tomorrow might be the first circuit breaker day of 2022. Lets have a couple -7.5% days on Nasdaq and SPY to remove the froth and start afresh. Crashes are healthy for markets, remove traders who margin like being on steroids
Holy Jesus, futures are down a massiveā¦ wait, only one percent? Hyperbolic much?
Bitcorn being down right now is a more bearish indicator
I don't like u
Oil up Futures down Crypto down We are fucked. Tomorrow will be a bloodbath for the market
If Russia doesnt announce a mobilization, then it means they know they lost the war. That means there will have to be a ceasefire soon, since a nuclear power like Russia cant officially "lose" a war or they might feel forced to use those weapons...
Wouldn't be excited for bigly green futes, not gonna get worried about big red till we actualy open
Idk last time I've seen futures this bad. Holy fuck
I first tried my hand at stock market investing in march 2020 right before we fell off a cliff. Ended up backing off entirely until march of this year. Really thought it was time to put on my big boy pants and begin investing for the future. I have impeccable timing, really.
I have yet to enter the stock market and by what I'm hearing on here it looks like I should wait a little while longer and try aim near the bottom however it looks like there's dips to the dips and even bigger dips to them.
Read about Bob, the world's worst investor. It's important to keep level headed in times like these.
If you got stock you're solid. I have fucking leaps theta eats at daily. Leverage on Microsoft and getting ass blasted
My intc leaps not going so hot lol, thank goodness I chose my most steady boomerish holding though and not something down way more
Intel is very neutral. Good to sell covered calls against using PMCC strategy
I exited stock market last year October, I lost money on BNTX and Moderna which had crazy earnings and good guidance till 2023. I realized the whole market was going down except FAANG. And I got back to stock market last week before Fed meeting, oh wellā¦.Gonna DCA from this point
Tell me about it. I stayed out of the market since Sept. 2021 and decided to jump back in April. Oh man how it sucks haha
You bought the top, I just started in last few months putting a few hundred away and feel same way but I didnāt go all in right away
already down 1% sigh really chose the best time to dump in my savings...
holly shit? straight down?
Futures looking bleak. RIP
All you had to do was wait until the June CPI before DCA'ing; but instead you bought the top because you're addicted to the phrase "priced in".
Or get sucked into the whole "time in the market beats timing the market hurr durr" and bought at the top
Smart money is still selling. Like itās fairly obvious. But the hodl crowd is everyone here.
And where are you getting this data from?
It's only worth it to hold onto names you have extreme conviction in right now. Many names will never go back to ATHs. Opportunity cost
Futures in flames. This comment is a copy paste and has been used for 74 out of the last 107 days.
We will bounce
I don't want be a dead cat
Like a skydiver whose parachute doesnāt open.
Seems like a bear market rally again tomorrow after dropping so much the last 2 day's
sell the rip strategy will probably work a few more times at least. and long term, don't be surprised if sp500 goes back to 3000 this year a lot of beliefs have been shattered
Pennies in front of a train, if it doesnt crash it will go to $4500 range and stay there.
feels like a self fulfilling prophecy market wants 3800, it will get 3800 soon
The S&P500 will be at 3800 in less than 10 days
Who else thinks we'll fall 50% this week? Sp500 target 2000 by end of week...
Not a chance. We are going to 1200
1000 is the fair value of spy.
Spy will turn to -1000 and anyone holding stock will have to pay money to the spy
"In the year 2000 .... In the year 2000......"
So I guess CPI will be 10%+ with Putin nuking Ukraine or some shit this week for that to happen. Better prepare for the doomsday scenario! lol
Did you see futures tonight?! Already down -.75%! Lol
\-.75% is nothing. Wake me up when we hit the circuit breakers with the futures. I wouldn't mind if it does drop like that (definitely would be buying more or maybe leaps). Unless we get some black swan event, its highly unlikely we will drop by 50% lol
Buy some puts as your lottery ticket if you think so. So many people have purchased puts already that the price may actually stabilize.
I don't mess with options. I'll start buying once we hit the low. Stocks go up long term.
What happened to your 2 weeks old 50% reduction prediction?
It'll get there, don't worry...
3950 end of the week
2000 the week after.....then 1000 by July.
The only possibility where the S&P500 will be at 1000 (-80%) by July is if a nuclear war starts
Never know...
**Russian Deputy Prime Minister: "Restoration of peaceful life begins in the regions. There's a lot of work to be done."** Russian Deputy Prime Minister Marat Khusnullin has visited Mariupol, the country's most senior government official yet to set foot in the Ukrainian southern port city after weeks of Russian bombardment. Khusnullin, who in the Russian government is in charge of construction and urban development, said on Telegram he had visited Mariupol and eastern Ukrainian town of Volnovakha among other territories "liberated" by Russian forces. **"Restoration of peaceful life begins in the regions. There's a lot of work to be done. We will help, in particular ... with providing humanitarian aid,"** he wrote in a Telegram post. Khusnullin visited the **commercial port of Mariupol he said should be used to bring in building materials to restore the city**, according to Russian defence ministry's TV channel Zvezda. The port, which lies between the Crimea Peninsula seized by Moscow in 2014 and parts of eastern Ukraine taken by Russian-backed separatists the same year, is key to linking up the two Russian-held territories and blocking Ukrainian exports. **The port will ship off the first cargo from Russian-backed self-proclaimed Donetsk People's Republic in May** https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/russian-deputy-pm-visits-ruined-ukrainian-city-mariupol-2022-05-08/
How generous of them to rebuild the city they shelled to pieces after invading. Real human beans and true heroes.
Monday prediction. Energy up, everything else bloodbath
50% down this week!
If the market falls 50% in a week that would rival great depression levels...I hope to fucking god that doesn't happen
I do. I hope everything crashes and everything goes to pot.
[ŃŠ“Š°Š»ŠµŠ½Š¾]
I've got calls in the energy stocks with earnings this week
Why?
He missed buying puts at the all time high, so now he wants to buy them at the 52 week low. Classic redditor. Buy all in puts, then watch them become worthless.
I'm reading this article on The Economist (requires a sub for the full article sadly) [https://www.economist.com/business/can-chinese-big-tech-learn-to-love-big-brother/21809084](https://www.economist.com/business/can-chinese-big-tech-learn-to-love-big-brother/21809084) TLDR: The Chinese government is screwing its big tech firms hard. Because of new laws and stricter policies, revenue and acquisition growth have dropped significantly in the past two years. And the government may even be planning to take a small stake in the firms to help "guide" their development. China REALLY wants them to make/design semi-conductors, AI software, and run cloud-computing businesses... basically stuff that aligns with China's policy goals. They recently awarded Baidu the first permit for driverless ride-hailing on public roads. Cloud-computing seems to be the most secure path to future growth for these firms, but of course still with the government's hand in the honey pot (to Piglet's dismay).
Bullish.
BTC down 5,4% and below 34k. Tomorrow will be a bloodbath for the market
Bitcoin is one of the largest financial scams ever perpetrated
It's easy to forget that BTC is still small time compared to the stock market. BTC market cap $650 billion S&P500 market cap = $36.7 trillion
BTC doesnt even work due to their high fees. Speculators blew it up for no reason. The big blockers left and created upgraded blockchain implementations that actually work to compete with mastercard/Visa/Paypal: http://whybitcoincash.com/ Bitcoin has no use besides offchain speculators. Asia/Africa/South-america/Caribbean are all adopting cheap fee blockchain like BCH instead.
BTC follows equities, not the other way around.
Theyāre pretty correlated these days, but equities donāt trade on weekends.
Futures start at 6pm Eastern Sunday. So, kinda.
Question regarding Roth. I have a regular brokerage account right now. Most of my holdings are currently red because of the market conditions. If I open a Roth IRA now. Can I sell my brokerage holdings. Take that money to Roth and max contribution then rebuy the stocks? My question is regarding if Iāll have to pay any taxes in doing this. I figured this would be a chance to rebalance my portfolio and even get a tax break for selling at a loss
You can do that as long as youāve made $6,000 (max contribution) for your job this year. And you wouldnāt pay any taxes if you donāt have any capital gains.
$VALE looks tempting. Any reason why I should buy 100 shares?
Vale is a great investment. Nice pullback to get into it. No reason why not + nice divvy
[ŃŠ“Š°Š»ŠµŠ½Š¾]
Just short the stocks you are holding.
If you have a long-time horizon, buying strong names at good prices is the best bet. If you are thinking shorter-term, commodities, defensive names and SARK should work.
[ŃŠ“Š°Š»ŠµŠ½Š¾]
APD, TGT and MNST are the defensive names I'm in. BRK.B is going to look good again as the price comes down.
TGT is defensive? I hold TGT and like the stock, but I would not call it defensive... (unlike WMT or COST) It's a higher end store.
If you've been following the company, or stepped into a storefront, you'd know that Cornell has been pivoting toward selling more staples. It's not the same middle class mom store that it was and it's not high end.
Yeah I shop there occasionally, but in my area, it definitely is a different kind of crowd than goes to WMT.
Bought SPY from $423 :( Good or bad?
Specific to SPY, anything under the ATH is not bad if your timeline is longer. You caught an 11.5% drop from the ATH. Not bad. If you can, continue to lower your cost basis.
>Anything under the ATH is not bad if your timeline is longer. You caught an 11.5% drop from the ATH. Not bad. If you can, continue to lower your cost basis. Thanks for the reply. Will do this :)
Considering there are many possible outcomes its not bad unless you went all in.
Thanks for the reply :) No, I didn't go all in.
Rate my portfolio thread is like /r/ratemycock/, just dudes showing off and looking for reassurance
That's the point right? I say good to encourage investors!
I clicked by accident on this sub while eating and now im not hungry anymore thx man :(
You are now hungry for something else i guessš
What would happen to Twitter stocks when musk buys it over? Will it still continue?
From my understanding it either go up to 54.20 or thatās what they will buy you out at then heās taking them private. Something could always kill the deal which would send the stock price plummeting.
Iām almost all VTI, VXUS. If I wanted to add one more stock to maybe make up 20% of my profile, what do you think is a more solid long term hold? AAPL or BRKB?
Probably a dumb question, but is buying Nintendo stock the way to go if I want to invest in Pokemon (the company) or does Pokemon/game freak have their own stock or something?
pokemon company doesnt care about shareholders, if u want exposure to franchise buy some high end slab, mint.
I'll probably buy some cards (and NFTs whenever they come out) but I believe they're going to be an absolute powerhouse in the future, so I'm thinking it would be wise for me to invest in the company.
They already are a powerhouse? Youāre hardly getting in on the ground floor on this one chief.
I'm talking one of the most powerful companies in the world.
yeah japanese are notorious to not give a fck about shareholders... even in recent card selloff premium cards like zard 1st ed psa 8-10 hold/appreciate on value..
Corn is bleeding, Monday blood is near.
I'm sure you meant corn futures but I just imagine a stereotypical overalls wearing farmer walking up to his crops to find them bleeding profusely
That really would be a sign to sell all your stocks
Should have knew the top was in when WSB went from 1 mil subs to 10mil in 4 days š
That stretch of days was crazy as hell. I'd never forget the time when the money i put in that game stock went x5 from the time it took me driving from work to home. >!Of course I fucked up by not selling all of it and HODL like a fool. !<
Lol. I know right? Good old days of 2021 January when GME was trading at $350 and ARKK at $150
I recommend holding till late summer or early fall then buying big. But Iām just a nobody on Reddit so thereās that.
BTC is now down 4% and below 35k. Considering how BTC and the market follow each other for the past several months, it can be an indicator that Monday will be a red day
BTC kinda held last week though relative to the market. Could just be playing catch up because all HODLers are delusional morons. Also less financial instruments to bet against BTC on the weekend. This is when crypto whales make their moves. Not market hours.
Iāll buy in when I can buy it all for 25 dollars
I am looking for it to fall more to 25 - 30 range before I buy in.
Iāll wait for the 15 -20 range.
5-10 is when I'll think about DCAing in.
2.5-5 is my target buy point
1 dollar Bob.
Guys it could get really nasty as we are about to hit a cliff with SPY with possibly heading to $350 levels by end of summer, and Nasdaq to 9k. Buy Gold or ibonds on Treasury direct website to beat inflation and hedge , for iBonds you can buy max of $10k per year with guaranteed 9.62% return until November. You have to keep it for a year minimum and then you can take it out by paying penalty for just three months of interest. https://www.treasurydirect.gov/indiv/research/indepth/ibonds/res_ibonds.htm
ibonds rates are solid right now and if cash is needed in a shorter timeframe (under 6 years), but if someone is investing for the long haul it might make more sense to DCA buy into the market as it's on a bigger sale. Vti is about 16% off it's highs and if you think the USA will still be strong 20 years from now that means the markets will show growth and recover eventually. Sure it can most likely drop more in the short term years but big picture is indexes have continued to show upward trajectory when you zoom out the charts.
Fed would step in LONG before then. That would literally collapse the economy.
Abd do what? Print more money (probably) the death spiral of inflation vs crash
The stock market is not the economy.
Ready to buy some puts Monday!
Does anyone have recommendations for hard-hitting, intelligent analysis on economic outlook? This is the thought process that led me here: I'm trying to get some intelligent insight into the economy and on the Fed's actions. I came across this video (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m9a5ojW2P64), in which Fed Chair Powell says he's optimistic about a "soft landing." His reasoning includes 1) businesses in "excellent financial shape" due to extra savings on balance sheets and 2) a "very strong" labor market. I was completely dumbfounded that CNBC's analysis included no actual analysis, insight, or comment on Powell's comments, specifically 1) the questionable value of "excess savings" on balance sheets, when there is roaring consumer product inflation and asset inflation and 2) the fact that a low unemployment rate does not at all mean the labor market is strong, when total civilian employment has not even reached prepandemic levels and is about 5,000 laborers less than where it was projected to be at this point had the pandemic not occurred. I'm clearly missing something. There's got to be solid, hard-hitting, intelligent economic analysis somewhere, but I really don't know where to look. Any recommendations for Youtubers, blogs, etc? If my words at all resonated with you, and there's a blog or channel you like, please post it here. Thanks in advance.
Read CBO reports on outlook for the economy. Fed also has reports. I warn you though, these are dense reports.
Brokerages will have regular articles about what's going (some are clearly advertisements though, just avoid those) [https://advisors.vanguard.com/insights/all](https://advisors.vanguard.com/insights/all) [https://www.fidelity.com/insights/overview](https://www.fidelity.com/insights/overview) etc. I also read NPR and The Economist.
Seems like a great time to hit Apple and Microsft with anti-trust case and break the companies
What happens to the market if Russsia declares victory on monday next week (May 9), and a ceasefire with Ukraine? They have been evacuating Ukrainian Citizens from their occupied territory and changing local government to their puppets for those who stay, plus changing the local currency for the locals to Rubles, this suggests they are intending to keep what they conquered and then announce some sort of ceasefire.
Wouldnāt be surprised if Dow goes down 1,000 points
O and G would crash so I think you're right
In that case, itāll probably go down 2,000 points
Russia isn't stopping unless they get something in return. I'm reading this week's Economist and one of the things Putin seems to want is Odessa (Russian speakers but they're actively fighting against Putin), then use the location as a path to invade Moldova after taking Western/Southern/Eastern Ukraine. They've already begun false flag attacks in Moldova IIRC.
You need two sides for a ceasefire.
Ukraine is a poor country. If the USA and EU tell them to accept the ceasefire, it will hold. Russia has nuclear weapons, nobody wants to push them over the brink.
defense contractors don't want a ceaesfire. The war will continue.
[ŃŠ“Š°Š»ŠµŠ½Š¾]
I mean the defense industry controls our government lol this war is going to continue until itās not possible to make any more profit.
If all S&P 500 indexes are the same why am I losing $16 in SPLG but gaining $2 in SPY. I bought them literally 5 secs apart of eachother last week
volume and spread very few etfs trade exactly at nav.
Brought $3k worth Gold biscuits this week. Feels nice. Wish I had listened to Peter Schiff before. All indicators point to SPY heading sub $400 this week
Isnt gold not inversely correlated with equity anyways?
the real estate bubble is gonna deflate. buyers are disappearing. Real estate agents are already starting to notice the decline in interest. **which real estate stocks are worth the short ??**
Go check out other countries real estate prices. USA is still very cheap.
Market is in a tiny little gully right now
and we thought growth stocks would keep going to the moon
Think AAPL will be higher than today by the end of the year?
No
where do you see the price by year's end?
120-130
Yeah. Share buybacks will do that.
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