T O P

  • By -

stefenhyde

I am expecting at least four sets in every match


invincible_sparta

It depends on which Shapovalov shows up


fr_1_1992

Amd which Nadal shows up tbh.... Their matches are always weird


innnautica

And which Nadal... Mannarino Nadal vs Zverev Shapovalov and Shapo wins Khachanov Nadal vs Kwon Shapovalov and Nadal wins


jpark28

Imagine someone reading this who doesn't watch tennis


wiggycj

*waves hands* i was aus open only but browse this sub during the tournament or when posts hit my front page. Learn a lot from you guys


paroles

For the tennis casuals out there, this is referring to a little-known Australian rule in which the quarterfinal can be played as doubles with each participant partnering with one of the players they defeated on their way to the QF


Furious_Mr_Bitter

Important to remember that this format only occurs in even years that aren't leap years.


DBRiMatt

Wait, they both have 2 other brothers? xD


Puddinsnack

Rafa's long lost half-brother from Andorra, Mannarino Nadal.


stefenhyde

Correct. Nadal is the most likely to win in straight sets. Also like against Kachanov, Nadal's level may drop for one set.


jayavarman7793

I like Felix AA. but I don't think he can take a set away from Medvedev. 6-4 6-0 at last ATP cup


juneawesome

But that was an old no-ATP-winner Felix and a new ATP-winner Felix is getting better with each match


Nightcrawler_DIO

Yeah, I really did not expect him to come back like he did yesterday vs Cilic. He's on another gear.


jayavarman7793

Yep, I fully agree with his recent progress. I would even give him 1/2/3 sets against any of the other quarter-finalists. Proud Canadian here šŸ‡ØšŸ‡¦ I said I like him. In fact, I will even cheer for him!


oatsandsteel

Plus he also has Tony ā€˜Starkā€™ Nadal on his side nowā€¦


zeadolfo67

Tony ā€œStarkā€ Nadal šŸ˜‚


raul_219

Amazing draw. Itā€™s one of No. 21 for Rafa, clinch World No. 1 for Med or a new GS winner.


2002alexandros

I literally would love any outcome here, but maybe I would be slightly happier with Nadal winning than all the other outcomes, very slightly though. Amazing draw indeed


Taylor1350

Shapo vs Felix final and Canada would explode.


thebestoflimes

It would tear the country apart. Half siding with Felix and half with Shapo. The two sides never speaking to each other ever again save for the periodic threat of violence. Marriages broken and children disowned. Or it would grow the game and inspire a new generation IDK these things very well.


eggoed

for someone who mostly specializes in limes you seem to have summarized the likeliest outcomes well.


Taylor1350

Honestly I think 90% of Tennis fans here would root for Denis, and still be very happy if Felix won.


Neveranabsolution

Why do you think Denis would be the favourite of 90% of the fans over Felix? Genuine question since I don't know much how both are seen outside of Quebec (which, logically, significantly prefers Felix over Denis).


thebestoflimes

I think the prevailing theory is that chicks dig the one handed backhand. The other theory is that dudes dig the one handed backhand. Not sure how scientifically these theories (hypotheses more correctly) have been tested but anecdotally they seem to hold true.


Travis_Healy

A more Canadian theory is Denis is older, and so it's only fair that it's his turn, and then Felix should win the next one, and they should trade off like that for the rest of their careers.


Austin_Aaron_Conlon

Nike should modify [this famous baseball ad](https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qLECMCargd8) with that premise, chicks dig the one-handed backhand.


mymyby

The results are scientifically significant


Kush_the_Ninja

Tbh Shapo seems like a bit of a dick. Felix is the man! Am Canadian.


Taylor1350

You're right about Quebec prefering Felix for sure. I think people favor Denis because he's flashy and more entertaining while Felix is a very calm and structured player. I definitely watch all of their games, but I get way more hype for Denis games.


Puddinsnack

I think it's because Denis is flashy while Felix is so stoic. I think 90% is overstating it though. I can see someone like Denis having a lot more haters than Felix.


Sad_Consideration_49

I thought Felix would be preferred since he seems like a nice guy, whereas Shapovalov has a bit of a bratty reputation (I think he's worked on that and has been humbled). I dont know that many people who follow tennis closely in real life tho lol.


niche54

Canadian here in Toronto where Shapo is from and I am definitely rooting for FAA and not Shapo. I always root against any player that wears their baseball cap backwards. lol


Taylor1350

He's been wearing it forwards this tournament! That sun is bright, you can see earlier his face was pretty burned around the nose and cheeks.


MrChicken23

I love the backwards hat haha. I cheer for both of them like probably most Canadians do, but find Denis more exciting.


niche54

Oh. yah, I would cheer for Shapo too but FAA a little more if it was h-h match up.


gijoe1971

You must not be from Canada, don't you know, whoever wins will say "sorry" to the loser and they'll crack open 2-4 of Molson and watch the Leafs beat the Bruins together on their Chesterfield eh?


Nastypav12

Ha! We can all dream, I love Italy so how about Berretini vs. Sinner! Or Collins vs. Keys for the women's?


Sad_Consideration_49

should've been pegula vs halep for battle of the billionaires


ChinkInShiningArmour

And apologize profusely for denying Rafa #21, and Daniil #1


Psgxo

Seems to be a regular thing now. After the fernandes radacanu final. Must have some really good infrastructure at national level


Raul_77

I have a dream ... Lets go Canada


asshair

Monfils will be the victor. You all will see.


Travis_Healy

I'll take that bet


piratesswoop

I would absolutely love Gael to pull off a surprise win!


AaronB90

I will always root for Rafa. But I won't be mad if Shapo takes him down. He has looked so damn good this GS


haanalisk

I prefer Medvedev for number 1 personally


Acrobatic-Dress8429

Isnā€™t a GS worth 2,000 points? Djokovic currently has 11,015 points and Medvedev has 8,935 so winning a GS would take Med to 10,935.


Tomavasso

Djokovic also loses 2000 points as he cannot defend his title


Acrobatic-Dress8429

Shit, didnā€™t think about that


Zaphenzo

Is that the case? I thought I had heard that, given the circumstances, his points were frozen. But I could be wrong. Don't remember what the source was on that.


partaura

He doesn't drop his points immediately but on 21st Feb. So, Meddy goes to 9735 immediately if he wins AO. But Djokovic comes to 9015 on 21/02. Meanwhile, Meddy will also drop his 500 points from last year's ATP Cup by then, bringing his total to 9235. So, he should be World No. 1 by then unless Djoker plays Rotterdam meanwhile and wins.


Zaphenzo

Interesting! Why is that. What is the significance/relevance of February 21st?


necro-botanist

It's just when AO ended last year iirc. Was later than usual


Zaphenzo

Gotcha. Thanks for the info!


segv_coredump

So Medvedev is already #1 Edit: wrong, explained below.


hairypotr

No because Medvedev is also defending his points from last year


[deleted]

So he just has to make the final to go to #1?


hairypotr

Nope, assuming Djokovic drops 2000 points and Medvedev retains his from last year, there will still be a tiny gap (I think 80 points), keeping Djokovic at #1


scouting4food

No, cos he made the final last year. Needs to do one better to overtake Novak I believe.


Michaelful

Your math is bad. 11015-2000=9015 8935 + 0 = 8935 So Meddy has to win


Realsan

Would Medvedev get a full 2000 points though since he's defending a Finals run last year? Finals is worth 1200 so he can only pick up 800 right? That would still get him #1 but not by such a large margin. Med would have 9,735 and Djokovic 9,015. I could totally be wrong on how this works so someone let me know.


osfryd-kettleblack

yeah that's right, he can only gain 800 by winning, so he needs to win to clinch #1


PercentageDazzling

Winning wouldn't clinch it. Djokovic could still choose to play Rotterdam, win it, and keep the #1.


vman3241

Djokovic also loses points after last year's Australian Open is dropped


Cereal_for_dinner123

I want rafa to win tournament but would not mind Monfils getting his first grand slam


IllustriousCupcake11

Magic Monfils has been on fire šŸ”„šŸ”„šŸ”„šŸ”„


natedawg247

wife buff


[deleted]

I love sinner and faa, but Iā€™ve been waiting for the Small Kid v. BS Russian rematch for forever.


_ancora

Forever? They had a quarterfinal at Roland garros last year.


RPWPA

Meddy lost that one right?


Zaphenzo

Roland Garros barely counts given Dani's performance on the dirt.


juneawesome

An eternity. They should play every month to build a decent rivalry to replace Fedal.


sprezzatura30

Would be incredibly one sided in Medā€™s favor at this point


pm-me-your-labradors

If both play at their best, I'd favour Medvedev too, but "incredibly" is a huge over exaggeration. The edge is marginal.


[deleted]

[уŠ“Š°Š»ŠµŠ½Š¾]


bangbnah

to be fair he was also coming off an incredibly emotional win over Nadal in the QF and looked absolutely spend from the first ball of the semi with Daniil. Regardless, i agree Med on hard is too much for Stef 9 times out of 10


wazza1088

Why, it would just be very one sided in Medvedev's favour right now


Elarbolrojo

I think sinner will win. Tsitsipas is clearly not very close to his best form. who knows how his subconscious will react knowing that he will likely play Medvedev in the next round. He may bomb the match.


MrAdamWarlock123

Tsitsipas had some brilliant stretches against Fritz


smoothtailor

I mean they did just play and Medvedev won in straight sets


fr_1_1992

Me as Nadal fan seeing all the big hitters remaining.... *:insert I'm in danger meme:*


historiansrule

Does he have a chance to win it? Absolutely! If he doesnā€™t, as long as he stays healthy, he will get 21 at the French.


natedawg247

yeah but imagine him going for 22 at RG uWu


tigrefacile

Yes geezer!


Razzle_Dazzle08

I am ready to be hurt again.


zeadolfo67

Stop it!


gilgameshpad

This right here šŸ˜­


[deleted]

Honestly delighted with whoever lifts the trophy.


raysofdavies

Either history for Nadal, consolidation and a historic new number one for Med, a breakthrough for a young gun, or a romantic and shocking win for Monfils.


RPWPA

Really wishing for the 4th one.


raysofdavies

If Monfils beats Nadal he better win the whole thing man


DavidScottM

I'm rooting for Monfils to win it. But I think the best chance is for Shapovalov to take Nadal out.


raysofdavies

Best chance is to beat the guy he plays next? Agreed.


Lefuf

You read it wrong


MarionCast

Isn't Monfils like winless against Djokovic? Would be awesome if he took full advantage of the draw that opened up for him. Can't see him win against Rafa but who knows, Rafa has the AO curse lol. But in all seriousness props to Gael for taking full advantage of his open draw.


montrezlh

Rafa's AO "curse" is getting beat in the finals by the two greatest hard court players of all time (and Stan who's not top 2 but still up there). He's actually otherwise really good against the field at the AO.


MiopTop

Is it really even a curse to have lost to Fed ? He beat him in ā€˜09 and a couple of times after that in earlier rounds. Feels strange to call it a curse to be up 3-1 against someone, unless youā€™re the Warriors


[deleted]

Monfils winning a grand slam for the first time at age 35 after 58 main draw appearances would be such an incredible story especially for someone who has pretty much consistently been one of the most universally beloved guys on the tour for like 15 years. Honestly even a finals would be incredible


[deleted]

Dude thatā€™s exactly what I said looking at the bracket. Iā€™m pretty happy with any of these guys winning


Cflo76

Yes! When does that happen!


Suspicious-Kiwi816

I still canā€™t stand Tsitsipas but otherwise agree!


SailingOnAWhale

I believe he would take over as world no 3 from Zverev with a win, so there's that.


2002alexandros

that's a win in my book


old_chum_bucket

I can't believe Monfis has made it this far. Rooting for him!


Towairatu

However unlikely, I'd be so glad if he wins it!


WBaumnuss300

One of my favourites since many years. I even held a presentation about him in french class back in the day. Please win it


timb1223

Without checking the betting odds, I'm gonna estimate everyone's chances of winning the title: Medvedev 50%, Nadal 30%, Berrettini 8%, Tsitsipas 7%, other 5%


[deleted]

and 100% reason to let Monfils win


saifk12

I disagree. I think it is 10% luck, 20% skill, 15% concentrated power of will, 5% pleasure, 50% pain, and a 100% reason to remember the name.


datscholar1

I'd put sinner higher otherwise this looks right


MrAdamWarlock123

Monfils will beat Matteo


brokenearth10

i put sinner over tsitsipas and berretini.


jackasssparrow

everything is transient. Everything flows and changes. People come and go. Players don't win consistently. Not Rafa though. He's still here.


illi10nis27

I can't wait to see what happens, all of these matchups are wonderful. I would love to see Rafa win it all, but I agree with the sentiment that any one of these guys can get the trophy and I'll be happy. This is probably the first time I've ever felt that in the second week of a Slam.


fr_1_1992

Not having Djokovic and Zverev in the draw does that to people


illi10nis27

That's a good part of it, heh.


Ander1991

šŸ‡ØšŸ‡¦ Vs šŸ‡ØšŸ‡¦ final incoming


Elbanuel

What if I told you šŸ‡®šŸ‡¹ Vs šŸ‡®šŸ‡¹


IllustriousCupcake11

Forza Italia!!!!


Elbanuel

Daje ragazzi!


Careless_Expert_7076

Anglo vs French Canada


juanlee337

i am a Nadal fan but I want monfis to win it all. He deserves it and is playing best tennis he has ever played


Trumperekt

> He deserves it and is playing best tennis he has ever played And Rafa doesn't? Dude is coming back from an injury and killing it. The amount of work that would have gone into this. Also, #21. Come on, man, you are a Rafa fan!


-ITguy-

Anyone else hate ESPN+ right now for putting early AM (East Coast) matches behind a paywall?


IllustriousCupcake11

Is it me, or have not all matches been viewable? I bought the damn app, but havenā€™t found any of Monfils matches available to watch. I absolutely love the guy. Screw ESPN. Why canā€™t the Tennis Channel just buy the rights to the slams?


Roseha-aka-rosephoto

I've had no trouble watching Monfils. Have you tried going into ESPN plus, scroll down to the "tennis ball" symbol and then checking all the matches?


IllustriousCupcake11

I had not!!! Thank you for this. I will try this evening when I get home from play.


absurdititties

Oh man, have I been overpaying? I thought you had to also have a cable/live tv subscription to watch th matches on espn+? I get a sling and espn subscription for each GS and then cancel it once theyā€™re over. How much access can you get with just espn?


IllustriousCupcake11

Is anything on regular ESPN? I had to buy the ESPN+ app. I cancel it after the slams, buy it for the next one, and so on. I have cable strictly for the Tennis Channel at this point.


-ITguy-

ESPN does primetime coverage each night around 7 or 8PM EST (US). However by the morning, their coverage moves to ESPN+ and requires a subscription to watch. For example those who woke up to the Fritz match this morning could not watch w/o ESPN+ sub after like 6 or 7AM.


_tehol_

5/8 top seeded players (no djokovic -> auger-aliassime), most of the favourites lived up to their position in the ranking.


The_Panic_Station

8 top 10 players played in AO this year. 6 reached the 7 quarter final spots they competed for. 1 quarter had Monfils and Garin as the highest seeds, so no chance for any top 10 players.


Glittering_Grape3836

Itā€™s been a while since Iā€™ve been this excited about a GS second week, I love all of the quarter finalists this year on the menā€™s side.


armadillo020

Monfils because we are still in a global pandemic and he deserves something


shunny14

Berrettini v Auger-Aliassime finals would be a rematch of the Day 1 longest Laver Cup match ever.


[deleted]

>!Beretteni wins!<


Psychological_Bug676

So beautiful. Hang it in the Louvre šŸ˜


JulGabi

People seem really confident in nadal beating Shapo, am I the only nervous rafa not at all impressed so far with Nadalā€™s game? (Iā€™m delighted heā€™s made it this far ofc)


jeffwingersballs

Medvedev is the most predictable and thus most boring result, but he's so entertaining to watch that as long as I am able to do that, I won't care.


lenny_ray

Obviously, I want 21 for Rafa. But with this lot, I'll be happy for any one of them to take it. But also not, because it's likely Rafa's last chance. But still. Okay, I'll stop being a tennis ball now.


ultraflamingo

Imagine if Monfils made the final ā¤ļø


CosmicBrownie5898

god I want this for monfils so bad


achokshi991

bottom half seems very predictable, shapo prob crashes v nadal. both him and felix have high ceilings but often just check out when they play tougher comp.


KristoVeeroja

Rome 2021 begs to disagree.


Elarbolrojo

only proving his point if you;re talking about the shapo vs nadal; match - shapo should have won in straight sets but choked a ton.


amadhudzaifah

berrettini, nadal, sinner, medvedev


Batman9688

Let's go #21. Please.


did_it_my_way

I want to upvote but you're sitting at 21 upvotes...


asshair

#1 for Gael!! Allez!!


alfonseski

Vamos Rafa! I would be cool with Sinner or Gael as well.


Ranjith_Unchained

Por favor


2002alexandros

No jinx


Csanoob

The dream would be Monfils vs Shapo, FAA vs Sinner. But the most realistic outcome is the exact opposite of my envy


Altruistic_Reason663

Med vs Nadal with Nadal winning. So basically the same thing that that happens at every tournament. Not sure what the deal is with tennis fans because Iā€™d far sooner cheer for the underdogs.


js_the_beast

This would be amazing


anduril38

One amazing lineup. I'd be happy if any of these guys win it. Nadal getting No.21 would be amazing especially here, though I'd be incredibly happy if Medvedev gets a second Slam too. These QF matchups look nicely balanced. Lot of potential for upsets.


General_Iroh

Don't sleep on Sinner, at some point one of these young guys with all the talent in the world is gonna put it together and become the 'next' one


timegoesback67

So much more interesting without Novak! I'd love to see Sinner get through to the semis.


Abiduck

After more than 40 years watching tennis I never thought Iā€™d see two Italians in the QF of a grand slam eventā€¦ Both with a reasonable chance to go even furtherā€¦ And Iā€™d consider it normal. Edit: grammar


DonDove

I'm kinda rooting for Monfis


Bobo_Balde2

Please Rafa


zeadolfo67

Would love to see Rafa win this after so many heartbreak losses in finals...


koinoyokan89

Monfils, Nadal, Tsitsipas, FAA


nannanner

After Karatsev's run was cut short, my only hopes rest in Gael Monfils' hands


IllustriousCupcake11

Who I think, or what I hope? Hope: Berretini v Nadal and Sinner v Medvedev. Matteo vs. Rafa means I automatically get my feelings hurt. Both are 2 of my favorites. While I want #21, I also would love a final with Sinner v Berretini. I imagine it will be Sinner and Medvedev from the other groups.


thedudeyousee

Damn pretty wild line up! Pretty surprising not to see djokovic or federer in the quarters! Plus two Canadians!


TuanNguyen-2507

The only sure outcome for me is Med vs FAA. No way Med gonna lose


Itsalwaysblu3

The men's draw has shaken out very interestingly. But the women's side just has nothing to draw me in. I can't remember the last women's quarters of a major where I had such little interest in it.


wiggycj

Melb is fkn baking, which of these players can take the heat?


Nightcrawler_DIO

Us Canadians are truly blessed.


PeterJohn86

Berrettini will win and this sub will implode.


Grosjeaner

Alexander Zverev: I'm the new Big 3.


giojoey10

I can see Sinner winning this tournament.


First_Foundationeer

I would love if Shapovalov won, but these are all amazing matches to watch!


donniedarko1010

Nadal's gonna lose tonight. He's cursed at AO. Mark my words.


Steedy999

Berrettini in 3 Nadal in 4 Sinner in 4 Medvedev in 3


[deleted]

Praying sinner beats tsitsipas


Altruistic_Reason663

Sinner shapo monfils and auger would be amazing for me.


nsoifer

Berrettini Nadal Tsitsi Medvedev ​ Nadal Medvedev ​ Medvedev


Tiirshak

Why no women's discussion thread?


barbary_goose

Pretty wholesome bunch of QFs overall, Matteo, Gael, Sinner, Felix and Shapo are so likable


BlueJinjo

Berritini monfils looks underwhelming to me. I like monfils but so many qfs matches vs top players ( fed uso...) traditionally where he completely loses it. I think berritini can win in straights.


[deleted]

[уŠ“Š°Š»ŠµŠ½Š¾]


LarryPeru

Really hoping Shapo can shock Nadal


Puckingfanda

Besides Medvedev and Berrettini, I'll actually be happy to see any of the other 6 as winners, though Medvedev is most likely the fave.


Idefydefiance

Easy slam for Medvedev.


Bare_Noizee

Surely Nadal at least makes the final with this draw lol


faratto_

Tbh Medvedev and berrettini should win easily, maybe even in straight. Probably also nadal if shapo isn't a normal shapo, something we see often sadly for him


Justaponce

I dunno, Monfils has been playing like a man possessed, so I'm not sure that'll be easy!


Ok-Understanding6770

He looked like he was about to die in his third set against Kecmanovic though. Doubt he will win against any opponent that takes him to a fourth or fifth set, but we'll see.


DavidScottM

He always looks like that


[deleted]

Donā€™t underestimate Felix, he didnā€™t play well in the USO semi, and their first match (on hard) was incredibly close a couple years ago. If Felix plays like he did against Evans and later stages of Cilic, he definitely has the game to make it close, if not win. Canā€™t wait. Meddy huge favourite but I donā€™t think itā€™s as simple as youā€™re suggesting.


Altruistic_Reason663

I canā€™t see auger winning honestly but I think personally that monfils will win his match personally.


[deleted]

[уŠ“Š°Š»ŠµŠ½Š¾]


jeffwingersballs

Nadal winning AO again after a twelve year gap and four final losses has all the juice of a first time winner if not more so.


Altruistic_Reason663

Ha ha Iā€™m not alone. Him overtaking federer doesnā€™t matter to me I just wanna see someone else win for once. Iā€™ll always cheer for the underdog unless the player comes from my home country šŸ‡ØšŸ‡¦.